Tag: Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies odds predictions pick betting line spread

Cincinnati Reds at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Cincinnati Reds at Colorado Rockies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cincinnati Reds (3-18) hope to salvage one game of their three-game series on the road against the Colorado Rockies (12-9) in their series finale Sunday afternoon. First pitch is 3:10 p.m. ET at Coors Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Rockies lead the season series 2-0 in 2022.

Since opening the season with a split of a four-game series against the defending champion Atlanta Braves, the Reds have only one other win. They lost 11 straight games before picking up a win and have since lost five games in a row. They lost the first two games of the series 10-4 and 4-3.

The Rockies have won two straight after losing four in a row and five of seven on their last road trip. They continue to play well at home but struggle on the road.

Red at Rockies projected starters

LHP Reiver Sanmartin vs. LHP Kyle Freeland

Sanmartin (0-3, 10.91 ERA) makes his fourth start and fifth overall appearance. He has a 1.85 WHIP, 7 BB and 10 K through 15 2/3 IP.

  • Sanmartin’s 19 earned runs allowed are the most in baseball so far this season. In all three of his starts, he has allowed at least five earned runs, including nine runs on three hits in three innings in his last start.
  • The Reds have lost every game in which he has appeared this season.

Freeland (0-3, 6.16 ERA) makes his fifth start. He has a 1.68 WHIP, 6 BB and 17 K through 19 IP.

  • In his first two starts, he allowed 10 earned runs over nine innings. Since then, he has allowed only three earned runs in his last 10 innings.
  • In five career starts against the Red, he has struggled. He is 2-2 with an 8.77 ERA over 25 2/3 innings pitched

Reds at Rockies odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:03 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Reds +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Rockies -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-145) | Rockies -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Reds at Rockies picks and predictions

Prediction

Rockies 6, Reds 3

Money line

The Reds have lost five games in a row and are 2-11 on the road this season.

The Rockies are 8-4 at Coors Field this season and have taken the first two games of this series. They are 6-2 in their last eight home games.

The Rockies are always a good bet at home, especially when the line isn’t too pricey. At -160 it is getting close to not being worth it, but I still like it because of the matchup.

Take ROCKIES (-160).

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Run line/Against the spread

After covering the spread in all four games of their opening series against the Braves, the Reds have covered the spread only twice, including Saturday night’s game.

15 of their 18 losses have been by at least two runs.

Seven of the Rockies’ 12 wins have been by at least two runs. In only six previous games as the ATS favorite this season at -1.5, they are 2-4 ATS.

You can’t ignore that trend of the Reds, though,

Between the losses by the Reds and the price of the wager, I love ROCKIES -1.5 (+120).

Over/Under

The Reds have had four of their last five games have more than 10 runs. But before that, only three of their games had at least 11 total runs.

Half of the Rockies’ 12 home games have had 11 or more runs. Only two of their last eight have had 11 or more runs.

Here I LEAN UNDER 10.5 (-110).

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Cincinnati Reds at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Cincinnati Reds at Colorado Rockies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cincinnati Reds (3-16) meet the Colorado Rockies (10-9) Friday for the first of their 3-game set at Coors Field. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Cincy hasn’t won a series this season, going 0-5-1 so far. It enters on a 3-game slide after getting swept at home by the San Diego Padres.

Colorado returns home after a 2-5 road swing. The Rockies took 2 of 3 at the Detroit Tigers last weekend, but were swept in a 4-game set at the Philadelphia Phillies.

Reds at Rockies projected starters

RHP Hunter Greene vs. RHP Antonio Senzatela

Greene (1-2, 5.27 ERA) is making his fourth career MLB start. He went 3 1/3 IP in his last outing, a 4-2 loss to the St. Louis Cardinals in his home debut where he allowed 3 ER on 4 H and 4 BB with 3 K.

  • Won MLB debut at Atlanta Braves April 10, yielding 3 ER on 4 H and 2 BB with 7 K in 5 innings.

Senzatela (1-1, 4.73 ERA) lost at the Detroit Tigers 13-0 Saturday, surrendering 5 ER on 10 H with 0 BB and 3 K.

  • 2021 vs. the Reds: 0-1 with a 4.15 ERA (13 IP, 6 ER), 12 H, 1 BB and 7 K over 2 starts.
  • vs. the Reds on the current roster: 4.75 FIP with a .338 expected batting average (xBA), .385 expected wOBA (xwOBA), .489 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 11.6 K% and 88.7 mph exit velocity (EV) in 69 plate appearances.

Reds at Rockies odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:51 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Reds +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Rockies -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-205) | Rockies -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

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Reds at Rockies picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 7, Rockies 4

Money line

TAKE the REDS (+100).

This feels like a “trap line” with the Rockies (-120) having the best home winning percentage as home favorites (28-9) since the beginning of last season.

The Reds are the worst team in the MLB through April, but one of their few bright spots is the upside of Friday’s starter. Cincy drafted Greene No. 2 overall in the 2017 MLB Draft and his stuff is nasty.

Greene’s 4-seam fastball is in the 100th percentile of velocity and 90th percentile of spin and his whiff rate is in the 86th percentile, according to Statcast. His basic numbers don’t look good, but his first 3 starts were against a few of baseball’s best lineups (Braves, Los Angeles Dodgers and Cardinals).

On the other hand, Statcast grades Senzatela in the fifth percentile or worse in xBA, xwOBA, xSLG, expected ERA, K% and in the 20th percentile of EV.

Conventional wisdom would say to fade a rookie’s first start in the Coors Field launching pad and the oddsmakers are offering a cheap price for the Rockies. Hence the “trap line.”

BET 1 UNIT ON REDS (+100).

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS since Cincy’s ML feels like a sharp, contrarian play, but it could certainly blow up in my face. Also, Cincinnati +1.5 (-205) is too expensive given its wide range of outcomes in this game. The Reds and their rookie starter could certainly get trounced in Coors Field Friday.

Over/Under

PASS.

Senzatela is a “bottom-of-the-rotation” starter on a below-average rotation and Cincy’s lineup and bullpen is one of the worst in the MLB.

It feels like the Under 10.5 (-122) is the “sharp play” since it’s more expensive, but I cannot bet an Under at Coors Field with a rookie facing Senzatela.

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If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Cincinnati Reds at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Cincinnati Reds at Colorado Rockies odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Cincinnati Reds (17-19) play the Colorado Rockies (15-24) in the third of their four-game series Saturday at Coors Field. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Rockies lead 2-0.

RHP Tyler Mahle is getting the start for the Reds. Mahle is 2-1 with a 3.00 ERA (36 IP, 12 ER), 1.17 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 12.0 K/9 over 7 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 14-1, in 5 1/3 IP with 1 ER, 4 H, 4 BB and 7 K Monday at the Pittsburgh Pirates.
  • Career vs. the Rockies: 0-1 with a 7.53 ERA (14 1/3 IP, 12 ER), 2.09 WHIP and 7.5 K/9 across 3 starts.
    • Vs. Rockies on the current roster: 42 at-bats with a .357/.386/.500 slash line, 8/2 K/BB, 0 HR and 5 RBIs.
    • Career at Coors Field: 0-1 with a 9.64 ERA (9 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 2.36 WHIP and 5.8 K/9 over 2 starts.

RHP Jhoulys Chacin is the projected starter for the Rockies. Chacin is 0-1 with a 5.84 ERA (12 1/3 IP, 8 ER), 1.78 WHIP, 5.1 BB/9 and 5.1 BB/9 across 6 appearances.

  • Last outing: No-decision in 3 1/3 IP with 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB and 0 K in Colorado’s 12-4 loss to the San Francisco Giants on May 4.
  • Career vs. the Reds: 3-1 with a 2.60 ERA (27 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 1.12 WHIP and 7.5 K/9 over 5 starts.
    • Vs. Reds on the current roster: 96 at-bats with a .260/.345/.458 slash line, 25/11 K/BB, 4 HR and 15 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Reds at Rockies odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:40 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Reds -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Rockies +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Reds -1.5 (-125) | Rockies +1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under: 11 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Rockies 9, Reds 7

Money line (ML)

Slight “LEAN” to the ROCKIES (+150) for a tiny wager only because Colorado’s run line is a sharper wager and the Rockies have an edge in the pitching matchup today.

Furthermore, Colorado’s money line has a higher handle whereas Cincinnati has way more bets placed on its money line, which leads me to believe that the Rockies’ money is “sharp” and the “average Joe” is backing the Reds.

Chacin’s advanced pitching numbers vs. the Reds’ lineup is far more impressive than Mahle’s against the Rockies.

For instance, Chacin has a 23.3 strikeout rate, .256 expected wOBA and .291 expected slugging percentage vs. current Reds hitters while Mahle has a 17.1% strikeout rate, .364 expected wOBA and .473 expected slugging percentage vs. current Rockies hitters.

Also, the Reds relievers have the third-worst xFIP, fourth-worst SIERA and the second-worst left-on-base percentage.

Colorado’s bullpen ranks near Cincinnati’s in all those metrics, but if there isn’t a whole lot of difference between the two ‘pens and Mahle gets drilled by Colorado then the ROCKIES (+150) becomes juicier.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Definitely BET the ROCKIES +1.5 (+105) heavier than or instead of Colorado’s money line. We are still getting a plus-money payout here

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 11 (-105) for a one-third unit because I have no faith in either starter or bullpen, the Reds have gone Over in six of Mahle’s seven starts this season and Colorado has gone Over in eight of its last 10 home games.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Cincinnati Reds at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Cincinnati Reds at Colorado Rockies odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Cincinnati Reds (17-17) and Colorado Rockies (13-24) kick off a four-game series Thursday at 8:40 p.m. ET at Coors Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Luis Castillo is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds. He is 1-4 with a 6.42 ERA, 1.63 WHIP, 7.0 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9 in 33 2/3 IP over seven starts. Castillo hasn’t been his usual self in 2021, and has allowed 4 ER or more four times. Most of his ERA estimators aren’t great but are a couple runs below his actual ERA as he’s been hurt by a .357 BABIP and 54% LOB%.

RHP Chi Chi Gonzalez is the projected starting pitcher for the Rockies. He has made five starts and two relief appearances, and is 1-1 with a 5.97 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, 4.7 K/9 and 3.1 BB/9 in 28 2/3 IP. Gonzalez has been roughed up to the tune of 11 ER in 8 2/3 IP in his last two starts, both of which came on the road. He boasts a 4.89 career ERA in 13 games (nine starts) at Coors Field, along with a 7.1 K/9 and 1.4 HR/9.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Reds at Rockies odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 4:34 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Reds -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Rockies +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Reds -1.5 (-110) | Rockies +1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 11 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Reds 8, Rockies 5

Money line (ML)

Since joining the Rockies in 2019, Gonzalez has put up a dreadful 5.74 ERA across 111 1/3 IP. The team has lost four of his five starts so far this season. Cincinnati’s bats should enjoy a big game against him Thursday evening.

It’s tough to put too much faith in Castillo given his struggles in his first seven outings. But there’s no doubt he has been unlucky to this point and is clearly the better pitcher in this game. So, take the REDS -160.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Reds have the highest implied run total in the league. They could knock Gonzalez out of the game pretty early. Even if it’s a close game late, as the road team, they could still break it open like they did Wednesday at the Pittsburgh Pirates. Back the REDS -1.5 (-110).

Over/Under (O/U)

There has been an average of 10.3 runs per game scored in 21 contests at Coors Field this year. The Over is 6-2-1 in Cincinnati’s last nine road games and 6-2 in Colorado’s last eight at home.

With neither starter pitching doing very well, there should be plenty of scoring in this game. The total is a high one, but we’ll still lean OVER 11 (-110).

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Cincinnati Reds at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Cincinnati Reds at Colorado Rockies odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Cincinnati Reds (17-17) and Colorado Rockies (13-24) kick off a four-game series Thursday at 8:40 p.m. ET at Coors Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Luis Castillo is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds. He is 1-4 with a 6.42 ERA, 1.63 WHIP, 7.0 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9 in 33 2/3 IP over seven starts. Castillo hasn’t been his usual self in 2021, and has allowed 4 ER or more four times. Most of his ERA estimators aren’t great but are a couple runs below his actual ERA as he’s been hurt by a .357 BABIP and 54% LOB%.

RHP Chi Chi Gonzalez is the projected starting pitcher for the Rockies. He has made five starts and two relief appearances, and is 1-1 with a 5.97 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, 4.7 K/9 and 3.1 BB/9 in 28 2/3 IP. Gonzalez has been roughed up to the tune of 11 ER in 8 2/3 IP in his last two starts, both of which came on the road. He boasts a 4.89 career ERA in 13 games (nine starts) at Coors Field, along with a 7.1 K/9 and 1.4 HR/9.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Reds at Rockies odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 4:34 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Reds -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Rockies +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Reds -1.5 (-110) | Rockies +1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 11 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Reds 8, Rockies 5

Money line (ML)

Since joining the Rockies in 2019, Gonzalez has put up a dreadful 5.74 ERA across 111 1/3 IP. The team has lost four of his five starts so far this season. Cincinnati’s bats should enjoy a big game against him Thursday evening.

It’s tough to put too much faith in Castillo given his struggles in his first seven outings. But there’s no doubt he has been unlucky to this point and is clearly the better pitcher in this game. So, take the REDS -160.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Reds have the highest implied run total in the league. They could knock Gonzalez out of the game pretty early. Even if it’s a close game late, as the road team, they could still break it open like they did Wednesday at the Pittsburgh Pirates. Back the REDS -1.5 (-110).

Over/Under (O/U)

There has been an average of 10.3 runs per game scored in 21 contests at Coors Field this year. The Over is 6-2-1 in Cincinnati’s last nine road games and 6-2 in Colorado’s last eight at home.

With neither starter pitching doing very well, there should be plenty of scoring in this game. The total is a high one, but we’ll still lean OVER 11 (-110).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @RuddHQ on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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