Tag: Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks odds predictions pick betting line spread

Cincinnati Reds at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Cincinnati Reds at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cincinnati Reds (18-24) and Arizona Diamondbacks (20-23) wrap up a 3-game set at Chase Field Wednesday. First pitch is scheduled for 3:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Diamondbacks lead 4-1

The Reds snapped a 3-game losing streak with a 6-2 win over Arizona Tuesday to cash as +104 road underdogs. CF Will Benson hit a go-ahead 2-run HR in the 5th inning and was 1 of 5 Cincinnati players with 1+ RBIs. RHP Hunter Greene allowed 2 ER in 7 innings and picked up the win.

Arizona snapped a 2-game winning streak with Tuesday’s loss. Diamondbacks 2B Blaze Alexander plated both of the club’s runs with a 2-run single in the 3rd inning. RHP Slade Cecconi allowed 6 ER in 5 2/3 innings to pick up the loss.

Reds at Diamondbacks projected starters

LHP Andrew Abbott vs. RHP Brandon Pfaadt

Abbott (2-4, 3.35 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 43 innings.

  • Cincinnati is 4-4 in his starts
  • Has allowed 2 or fewer ER in 6 of 8 appearances
  • Has allowed 16 ER and 8 HR this season while striking out 37 and walking 12

Pfaadt (1-3, 4.60 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 47 innings.

  • Diamondbacks are 2-6 in his starts
  • Has allowed 3 or more ER in 4 of 8 outings
  • Has allowed 24 ER and 5 HR while striking out 42 and walking 8

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Reds at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:50 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Reds +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Diamondbacks -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-165) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Reds at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 6, Diamondbacks 5

Moneyline

BET REDS (+120).

While Cincinnati has struggled recently, it is 2-3 on its road trip thus far. It has scored 4 or more runs in 5 of its last 6 games, including 5 runs in each of its last 3.

It took a 5-4 lead into the 9th inning in the 1st game of this series before allowing 2 runs to lose, and it held the Diamondbacks to just 2 runs Tuesday night. With LHP Andrew Abbott on the mound, the Reds present a solid opportunity to make some money Wednesday.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There is no value on the run line.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8.5 (-120).

Cincinnati has scored 5 or more runs in each of its last 3 games and 4 runs in 5 of its last 6. It has allowed 5 or more runs in 3 of its last 4 games and 4 or more in 7 of its last 9.

Arizona has scored 6 or more runs in 2 of its last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 7 of its last 9.

Both starting pitchers also have a tendency to allow runs with each having an ERA above 3.30.

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Cincinnati Reds at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Cincinnati Reds at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cincinnati Reds (17-24) and Arizona Diamondbacks (20-22) play the 2nd game of a 3-game set at Chase Field Tuesday. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Diamondbacks lead 4-0

The Reds are coming off a 6-5 loss as +141 road underdogs in the series opener Monday with the Over (9) hitting. Cincinnati has lost 3 straight and 11 of 12.

SS Kevin Newman hit a walk-off 2-run single for the Diamondbacks, who cashed as -154 favorites. Arizona has won back-to-back games and 6 of 8.

Reds at Diamondbacks projected starters

RHP Hunter Greene vs. RHP Slade Cecconi

Greene (1-2, 3.38 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 in 45 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 5 BB, 6 K in 5-4 home loss vs. Diamondbacks Thursday
  • 2024 road stats: 1-0, 0.82 ERA (11 IP, 1 ER), 0.82 WHIP in 2 starts
  • Career vs. Diamondbacks: 1-1, 4.60 ERA (15 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 1.28 WHIP in 3 starts, including 0-1 with a 12.27 ERA (3 2/3 IP, 5 ER) in 1 start last season

Cecconi (1-2, 4.15 ERA) makes his 5th start. The rookie has a 0.88 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 21 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 2 K in Thursday’s win at Cincinnati
  • 2024 home stats: 0-1, 12.46 ERA (4 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 5 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 1 start, a 7-1 loss vs. San Diego Padres May 3
  • Career vs. Reds: 0-0, 1.64 ERA (11 IP, 2 ER), 0.82 WHIP in 2 starts

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Reds at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:11 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Reds +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Diamondbacks -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-225) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Reds at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 4, Diamondbacks 3

Moneyline

The REDS (+100) have been a scary team to back recently, but the market is showing you that this is a good spot for them with Greene on the mound. Greene has allowed a total of just 3 runs over his last 3 starts, and Arizona may let down after an emotional walk-off win in the series opener.

BET REDS (+100).

Run line/Against the spread

The Reds +1.5 (-225) should cover, but it’s hard to beat MLB long term betting into lines with so much vig.

PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.

Over/Under

Greene has allowed 2 or fewer runs in 5 of his 8 starts this season, as has Cecconi in 3 of his 4. The risk here really begins once the starters come out of the game, so the 1st 5 innings is the safer Under to play.

BET FIRST 5 INNINGS UNDER 4.5 (-110).

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Cincinnati Reds at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Cincinnati Reds at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cincinnati Reds (17-23) and Arizona Diamondbacks (19-22) open a 3-game set at Chase Field Monday. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Diamondbacks lead 3-0

Cincinnati has lost back-to-back games after falling 6-5 in 10 innings against the San Francisco Giants Sunday and failing to cash as a +104 road underdog. Reds 1B Jeimer Candelario led the way on offense with 3 RBIs, while RHP Emilio Pagan allowed 1 run in 2/3 innings and picked up the loss.

Arizona snapped a 2-game losing streak with a 9-2 win over the Baltimore Orioles Sunday to cash as a +113 road underdog. Diamondbacks 2B Ketel Marte had 3 RBIs, while DH Randal Grichuk and RF Jake McCarthy each batted in 2 runs. RHP Zac Gallen allowed 2 ER in 6 innings and picked up the win.

Reds at Diamondbacks projected starters

RHP Graham Ashcraft vs. LHP Jordan Montgomery

Ashcraft (3-2, 3.86 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 39 2/3 innings.

  • Reds are 3-4 in his starts (1-3 on the road), including 0-3 in his last 3
  • Has allowed 17 ER and 5 HR this season while striking out 32 and walking 12

Montgomery (2-2, 4.70 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 3.9 K/9 in 23 innings.

  • Diamondbacks are 2-2 in his starts
  • Has allowed 3 or fewer ER in 3 of 4 outings
  • Has allowed 12 ER and 3 HR while striking out 10 and walking 6

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Reds at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Reds +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Diamondbacks -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-165) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Reds at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 6, Reds 4

Moneyline

PASS.

The run line presents a better opportunity for the Diamondbacks (-145).

Run line/Against the spread

BET DIAMONDBACKS -1.5 (+140).

Cincinnati has lost 9 of its last 10 games with 5 of the 9 losses coming by 2 or more runs. It has been stagnant offensively of late and scored 3 or fewer runs in 7 of its last 10.

Arizona has scored 4 or more runs in 6 of its last 7 games and won by 2 or more runs in 3 of its last 5 wins.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8.5 (-115).

Arizona has scored 4 or more runs in 6 straight meetings with Cincinnati as well as in 6 of its last 7 overall. It has allowed 3 or more runs in 3 of its last 4 and hit the Over in back-to-back games.

The Reds have scored 4 or more runs in 3 of their last 4 games while allowing 5 or more in 6 of their last 10, including 2 straight.

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Cincinnati Reds at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Cincinnati Reds at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cincinnati Reds (67-61) and Arizona Diamondbacks (66-61) open up a 4-game set at Chase Field Thursday. First pitch is at 9:40 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Reds lead 3-0

The Reds enter the desert on a 3-game winning streak after sweeping the Los Angeles Angels on Tuesday and Wednesday. They are 6-4 over the last 10 games to pull within 3 1/2 games of the Milwaukee Brewers in the NL Central. Cincinnati holds the last NL Wild Card spot and is 36-27 on the road this season.

The Snakes are on fire, winners of 4 in a row and 8 of 10. They are a half-game behind the Reds for that final Wild Card spot, so this will be a huge series for both teams as it is the last time they meet in the regular season. The Diamondbacks are 21-18 against left-handed pitching.

Reds at Diamondbacks projected starters

LHP Brandon Williamson vs. RHP Merrill Kelly

Williamson (4-3, 4.47 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 86 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 9 H, 1 BB, 6 K Saturday against the Toronto Blue Jays
  • 1 career start vs. Diamondbacks: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 5 K July 22

Kelly (10-5, 3.13 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 129 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 3 K Saturday against San Diego Padres
  • 4 career starts vs. Reds: 2-1, 3.00 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 20 K in 24 IP

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Reds at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:57 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Reds +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Diamondbacks -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-140) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Reds at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 4, Reds 3

Moneyline

The Reds are 7-3 across the last 10 meetings with the Diamondbacks, but Arizona has the edge on the mound. Kelly has allowed 4 ER in 17 IP over his last 3 home starts for a 2.12 ERA. Williamson is coming off a rough start against Toronto. With the Diamondbacks at home and on such a hot streak, I will LEAN DIAMONDBACKS (-165), despite the chalk.

Run line/Against the spread

The Reds are 43-20 on the RL on the road, and Arizona is 31-32 against the spread at home. As mentioned, Cincinnati has won 7 of 10 from the D-Backs. I just favor Kelly in this one. We’ll take the run with REDS +1.5 (-140).

Over/Under

The Over is 4-6 for Cincinnati over the last 10 games while the Diamondbacks have gone 5-4-1. The Over is just 3-6-1 over the last 10 meetings between the clubs. Williamson has pitched to 3 straight Unders. Kelly has pitched to Unders in 4 of 5. I’ll LEAN UNDER 9 (-120).

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Cincinnati Reds at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Cincinnati Reds at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cincinnati Reds (23-39) try to complete a 3-game road sweep over the Arizona Diamondbacks (29-35) in their series finale Wednesday afternoon. First pitch is 3:40 p.m. ET at Chase Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Reds hold a 4-2 lead in the season series entering the teams final 2022 meeting.

After winning the first game of the series 5-4, the Reds followed it up with a 5-3 win Tuesday in 12 innings. They have won 3 games in a row.

The Diamondbacks have lost 4 of their last 5 games and 8 of their last 11.

Red at Diamondbacks projected starters

RHP Luis Castillo vs. RHP Zac Gallen

Castillo (2-4, 3.23 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 39 IP.

  • Has lost his last 2 starts. Pitched well in Friday’s 2-0 loss to the St. Louis Cardinals with 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 H,  1 BB and 3 K..
  • Had 1 start allowing 5 runs, but has not allowed more than 3 ER in any other start this season.

Gallen (4-2, 2.95 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 58 IP.

  • Coming off his worst outing of the year. In Friday’s 7-5 loss to the Philadelphia Phillies, he gave up 6 R (4 ER) on 7 H (2 HR) with 1 BB and 3 K in 1 2/3 IP.
  • Has allowed 2 or fewer ER in 9 of his 11 starts.

Reds at Diamondbacks odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:14 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Reds +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Diamondbacks -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds -1.5 (+165) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-205)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Reds at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 6, Reds 3

Money line

The Reds have won 3 games in a row but have not swept an opponent in a 3-game series yet this season.

The Diamondbacks have only been swept in a series by the Dodgers, once at home and once on the road.

Arizona is 7-4 when Gallen starts.

Expect the home team to bounce back.

Take the DIAMONDBACKS (-120).

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Run line/Against the spread

For the 2nd day in a row, the Diamondbacks are favored on the money line, but underdogs on the run line.

If you like the Reds to win this game, it would be an appealing bet to put some action on them to cover because of the payout. However, while they have played well as of late, the fact they have yet to sweep an opponent in a 3-game series makes it tough to think they can do it.

There isn’t enough value for a bet on the Diamondbacks to cover, as you have to wager more than twice what you can win. PASS. 

Over/Under

Both games this series, and 4 of the 6 other games they’ve played, have had 8 or more runs.

Eleven of the Reds’ last 14 games have had 8 or more runs.

Five of the last 6 for the Diamondbacks and 3 of the last 4 starts for Gallen have had 8 or more runs.

Take OVER 7.5 (-120).

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Cincinnati Reds at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Cincinnati Reds at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cincinnati Reds (22-39) take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (29-34) Tuesday in the 2nd of 3 games. First pitch is 9:40 p.m. ET at Chase Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.

After taking the series opener, the Reds hold a 3-2 lead in the season series.

The Reds won 5-4 Monday behind a 3-run homer by DH Brandon Drury and starter Mike Minor and the bullpen holding Arizona scoreless for the final 5 innings of the game. The Reds have won 2 straight games and evened their current road trip record at 2-2.

The Diamondbacks lost for the 3rd time in 4 games and the 7th time in their last 10.

Reds at Diamondbacks projected starters

RHP Tyler Mahle vs. RHP Zach Davies

Mahle (2-5, 5.07 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 65 2/3 IP.

  • Had no-decision in Thursday’s 5-4 loss to the Diamondbacks, but pitched well (6 IP, 1 R, 4 H, 2 BB and 10 K).
  • Has an ERA of 1.93 in his last 18 2/3 innings.

Davies (2-3, 4.21 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 62 IP.

  • Had a no-decision in the Thursday’s 5-4 win over the Reds, allowing 3 R, 6 H in 6 IP.
  • Has allowed 3 or more ER in 5 of his last 6 starts.

Reds at Diamondbacks odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:52 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Reds +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Diamondbacks -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds -1.5 (+160) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-200)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Reds at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 6, Reds 5

Money line

The Reds have won 2 straight on the road, but they have won consecutive road games in the same series only twice all season.

The Diamondbacks are 12-12 at home against everyone except the Dodgers this season and, outside of getting swept in a 4-game series at home by L.A., have lost consecutive home games in the same series only twice.

Take the DIAMONDBACKS (-120).

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS on Tuesday’s run line. It is a rare case where one team is favored on the money line, but is the underdog against the spread. If the Diamondbacks win the game outright, as I expect, then they will cover the +1.5, but at this price, it isn’t worth a wager, and while the line for the Reds is great, that is only a good bet if you think they aren’t going to lose.

Over/Under

Three of the 5 games this season between the Reds and Diamondbacks have had 9 or more runs.

Nine of the last 12 games for the Reds have had 9 or more runs.

Four of the last 5 for the Diamondbacks have as well.

Take OVER 8.5 (-130).

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Cincinnati Reds at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Cincinnati Reds at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cincinnati Reds (21-39) open a 3-game series on the road against the Arizona Diamondbacks (29-33), who are coming off a 9-game road trip. First pitch is 9:40 p.m. ET at Chase Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The season series is tied 2-2 as the teams meet for the last 3 times in the regular season.

The Reds are coming off a 7-6 win Sunday over the St. Louis Cardinals, the only win of that 3-game series. They are 3-7 in their last 10 games, which includes 2 wins over Arizona.

The Diamondbacks avoided a 3-game sweep Sunday against the Philadelphia Phillies with a 13-1 win. They finished their longest road trip of the year 4-5.

Reds at Diamondbacks projected starters

LHP Mike Minor vs. RHP Merrill Kelly

Minor (0-2, 8.64 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 3 BB and 8 K in 8 1/3 IP.

  • Missed the first 2 months with a shoulder injury and hasn’t gotten out of the 5th inning in either start so far this season.
  • Has faced Arizona 6 times (4 starts) in his career, going 2-1 with a 2.25 ERA in 28 IP.

Kelly (5-3, 3.32 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 65 IP.

  • Beat the Reds in his last start, pitching 6 scoreless innings of 1-hit ball in a 7-0 victory June 8.
  • Had a 1.22 ERA in his first 6 starts and then a 7.77 ERA in his next 5 prior to his last start against the Reds.

Reds at Diamondbacks odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:26 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Reds +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Diamondbacks (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-160) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

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Reds at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 5, Reds 3

Money line

This is only the 12th time all season the Diamondbacks are favored. They are 6-5 as the favorite this season.

The Reds have been abysmal on the road this season. They are 9-22 and have the 2nd-fewest road wins in MLB.

Kelly was back to his early-season form in his last outing against the Reds, while Minor has struggled in his 2 starts coming back from injury.

Take the DIAMONDBACKS (-155).

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Run line/Against the spread

The Reds are 27-33 ATS overall this season and 15-16 ATS on the road. Arizona is 36-26 ATS overall and 16-14 ATS at home.

The Diamondbacks have won Kelly’s last 2 starts after dropping 4 straight, both by at least 2 runs. In their 6 wins with Kelly starting, 5 have been by 2 or more runs. Six of their last 8 victories have been by more than 1 run.

This is the best bet of the night for this game. Take the DIAMONDBACKS -1.5 (+130).

Over/Under

In their 4 games against one another earlier this month, 2 had only 7 runs and 2 had 9 or more.

Four of the Diamondbacks’ last 6 games have had 9 or more runs and 8 of the Reds’ last 11 have had 9 or more runs.

But when Kelly is pitching well, the scores are lower. In 5 of the 6 wins Arizona has with him on the mound, there have been fewer than 9 runs.

I LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-102).

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Cincinnati Reds at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Cincinnati Reds at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Cincinnati Reds (5-1) kick off a three-game set Friday with the Arizona Diamondbacks (2-5) at Chase Field. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Cincinnati has won five in a row, all in the NL Central Division, and just swept a three-game series with the Pittsburgh Pirates, outscoring them 30-8 in the set.

Arizona, which started its season playing NL West Division rivals, has dropped back-to-back games to lose its previous series against the Colorado Rockies 2-1.

RHP Tyler Mahle (1-0) is the projected starter for the Reds. Mahle picked up a win at home against the St. Louis Cardinals Saturday. He pitched five innings, surrendering two earned runs and four hits while striking out nine with just two walks in Cincinnati’s 9-6 victory.

Last season, Mahle was 2-2 with a 3.59 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 11.3 K/9 and 4.0 BB/9 across 9 starts and 1 relief appearance.

RHP Taylor Widener (1-0) is on the hill Friday for the Diamondbacks. Widener had a quality start in a win against the San Diego Padres for his first-career start Sunday. He pitched six scoreless innings, striking out five Padres hitters and walking three with just three hits allowed.

In 2020, Widener was 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 9.9 K/9 and 5.4 BB/9 in 12 relief appearances.

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Reds at Diamondbacks odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:45 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Reds -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Rangers +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Reds -1.5 (+105) | Rangers +1.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Reds 7, Diamondbacks 3

Money line (ML)

It’s only a six-game sample size, but the REDS (-150) have only faced right-handed starters and have by far the best advanced hitting numbers vs. righties.

Also, the absences of Arizona’s CF Ketel Marte and SS Nick Ahmed are probably a welcomed sight for Mahle. Both players hit homers off of him in his only career start vs. the Diamondbacks in 2019.

However, I only “LEAN” to the REDS (-150) for 0.75 units because we are late to the party and Cincinnati opened as a -120 money line favorite.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Slight “LEAN” to the Reds -1.5 (+105) for a quarter unit since it’s still plus-money, but just like Cincinnati’s money line, we are getting the worse of the Reds’ run line.

That being said, I am not sure about Widener’s future as a starter and I don’t believe Arizona knows either.

Widener had a 60% hard-hit rate in his first start against the Padres and more or less got lucky with a .200 BABIP.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS with a “LEAN” toward the Under because Arizona is missing Marte, Ahmed and RF Kole Calhoun, who led the team in homers last season.

The reason for the PASS is because Cincinnati’s hitters are raking through the first week of the season.

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