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The Cincinnati Reds (17-24) and Arizona Diamondbacks (20-22) play the 2nd game of a 3-game set at Chase Field Tuesday. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Diamondbacks lead 4-0
The Reds are coming off a 6-5 loss as +141 road underdogs in the series opener Monday with the Over (9) hitting. Cincinnati has lost 3 straight and 11 of 12.
SS Kevin Newman hit a walk-off 2-run single for the Diamondbacks, who cashed as -154 favorites. Arizona has won back-to-back games and 6 of 8.
Reds at Diamondbacks projected starters
RHP Hunter Greene vs. RHP Slade Cecconi
Greene (1-2, 3.38 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 in 45 1/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 5 BB, 6 K in 5-4 home loss vs. Diamondbacks Thursday
- 2024 road stats: 1-0, 0.82 ERA (11 IP, 1 ER), 0.82 WHIP in 2 starts
- Career vs. Diamondbacks: 1-1, 4.60 ERA (15 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 1.28 WHIP in 3 starts, including 0-1 with a 12.27 ERA (3 2/3 IP, 5 ER) in 1 start last season
Cecconi (1-2, 4.15 ERA) makes his 5th start. The rookie has a 0.88 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 21 2/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 2 K in Thursday’s win at Cincinnati
- 2024 home stats: 0-1, 12.46 ERA (4 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 5 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 1 start, a 7-1 loss vs. San Diego Padres May 3
- Career vs. Reds: 0-0, 1.64 ERA (11 IP, 2 ER), 0.82 WHIP in 2 starts
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Reds at Diamondbacks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:11 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Reds +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Diamondbacks -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-225) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+165)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Reds at Diamondbacks picks and predictions
Prediction
Reds 4, Diamondbacks 3
Moneyline
The REDS (+100) have been a scary team to back recently, but the market is showing you that this is a good spot for them with Greene on the mound. Greene has allowed a total of just 3 runs over his last 3 starts, and Arizona may let down after an emotional walk-off win in the series opener.
BET REDS (+100).
Run line/Against the spread
The Reds +1.5 (-225) should cover, but it’s hard to beat MLB long term betting into lines with so much vig.
PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.
Over/Under
Greene has allowed 2 or fewer runs in 5 of his 8 starts this season, as has Cecconi in 3 of his 4. The risk here really begins once the starters come out of the game, so the 1st 5 innings is the safer Under to play.
BET FIRST 5 INNINGS UNDER 4.5 (-110).
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