Tag: Cincinnati Reds odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Cincinnati Reds at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Cincinnati Reds at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Cincinnati Reds (26-29) conclude a 3-game series against the Boston Red Sox (28-27) on Thursday at Fenway Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Reds lead 2-0

The Reds picked up a 5th straight win with a 5-4 victory over the Red Sox Wednesday. Cincinnati is only 3 games behind the Milwaukee Brewers for 1st place in the NL Central.

Boston OF Masataka Yoshida delivered his 7th home run and 12th double of the season in Wednesday’s loss. Boston has gone 3-7 in its last 10 games and finds itself in last place in the AL East, 10 1/2 games back of the Tampa Bay Rays.

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Reds at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Hunter Greene vs. LHP Chris Sale

Greene (1-4, 4.18 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 12.9 K/9 through 56 IP.

  • Has struck out 6-plus batters in 7 of his first 11 starts
  • Has given up 4 or more ER in 3 of his last 5 outings

Sale (5-2, 4.72 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 through 55 1/3 IP.

  • Has given up just 7 ER in his last 4 starts after allowing a combined 22 ER in his first 6 outings
  • Has registered 6-plus K’s in 7 of his first 10 turns

Reds at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:51 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Reds +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Red Sox -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-150) | Red Sox -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Reds at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 6, Red Sox 5

Moneyline

While Sale has performed well for the Red Sox thus far, the REDS (+125) are the better team right now. Boston has the 3rd-worst wRC+ (71) and is tied for the 4th-worst wOBA (.281) against right-handed pitching in the last 15 days.

Run line/Against the spread

If you aren’t comfortable taking Cincinnati to win outright, REDS +1.5 (-150) is a reasonable wager in this interleague showdown. While the Red Sox have struggled against righties recently, the Reds boasted the 6th-best wOBA (.363) and the 10th-best wRC+ (121) against southpaws in May.

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Over/Under

OVER 9 (-120) is the pick in this matchup despite Greene and Sale taking the bump. The Reds are 7-3 to the Over in their last 10 games and the Red Sox are 19-8-1 to the Over at home this season.

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Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Cincinnati Reds (4-6) face the Atlanta Braves (8-4) in the finale of a 3-game series at Truist Park Wednesday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 2-0

The Reds lost 7-6 Tuesday to the Braves despite a 2-run HR by SS Jose Barrero in the 8th inning. Cincinnati has lost 5 of its last 6 games.

The Braves were able to secure the win on Tuesday in part thanks hitting to 2 HR off RHP Luis Cessa by the 4th inning. Atlanta is on a 2-game win streak after losing 3 straight to the San Diego Padres Friday-Sunday.

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Reds at Braves projected starters

RHP Hunter Greene vs. RHP Spencer Strider

Greene (0-0, 5.63 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 2.00 WHIP, 6.8 BB/9 and 14.6 K/9 through 8 IP.

  • Has walked 3 batters and failed to get out of the 5th inning in each of his first 2 starts
  • Has registered 5-plus K’s in 12 consecutive starts dating back to last season

Strider (1-0, 2.45 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 4.9 BB/9 and 14.7 K/9 through 11 IP.

  • Has struck out 9 batters in each of his first 2 starts this season
  • Allowed 1 ER on 1 H and 1 BB with 11 K through 6 IP on July 2 in his only start vs. Cincinnati last season

Reds at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Reds +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Braves -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (+110) | Braves -1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Reds at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 4, Reds 2

Moneyline

AVOID.

The Braves (-275) are expected to complete the series sweep Wednesday but taking them straight up at the current odds isn’t advised.

Run line/Against the spread

BET BRAVES -1.5 (-130).

Strider appears to be an NL Cy Young candidate to begin the season and the Braves have been hitting the ball better in this series. Greene is susceptible to hard contact at times, so Atlanta should have a few chances to get runs on the board.

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Over/Under

UNDER 7.5 (-105) is the pick in this game in hopes we get a pitching duel between Strider and Greene. Walks can be an issue for both pitchers, but they both tend to strike out a lot of batters.

The Reds are 4-0 to the Under in Greene’s last 4 road starts.

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Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Cincinnati Reds (4-5) square off against the Atlanta Braves (7-4) in the 2nd game of a 3-game series Tuesday. First pitch from Truist Park is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 1-0.

The Reds got a solid outing Monday from RHP Graham Ashcraft despite losing the game as he notched 2 ER on 6 H and 3 BB with 7 K in 6 IP. Cincinnati has lost 4 of its last 5 games.

The Braves needed 10 innings to pick up the 5-4 in the series opener. C Sean Murphy hit a walk-off 2-run HR to snap a 3-game losing skid.

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Reds at Braves projected starters

RHP Luis Cessa vs. RHP Kyle Wright

Cessa (0-0, 3.38 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 2 ER on 4 H and 3 BB with 2 K over 5 1/3 IP in his debut vs. the Chicago Cubs last Tuesday.

  • Threw 83 pitches in his debut
  • Has tallied 2 or more BB in 4 of his last 5 starts dating back to last season

Wright will make his 1st start of the season after recording a 21-5 record across 30 starts in 2022. He finished with a 3.19 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 180 1/3 IP.

  • Led all pitchers with 21 wins in 2022 and finished 10th in NL Cy Young voting
  • Started the season on the 15-day IL with a shoulder injury suffered in Grapefruit League

Reds at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:55 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Reds +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Braves -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (+100) | Braves -1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Reds at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 6, Reds 2

Moneyline

AVOID.

Even though the Braves (-250) are expected to easily win on Tuesday, I wouldn’t advise taking them with the lack of profit you’d receive if they get the victory.

Run line/Against the spread

BRAVES -1.5 (-120) is the choice in this matchup with Wright making his season debut for Atlanta. The Braves should also have success hitting against Cessa at home.

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Over/Under

UNDER 9 (-115) is the lean in this game with Wright taking the mound for the Braves. It remains to be seen how long he pitches in his debut, but Atlanta should be able to limit Cincinnati’s mediocre lineup.

The Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings between these clubs and the Braves are 5-0-1 to the Under in Wright’s last 6 home starts.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Chicago Cubs (1-2) will begin a 3-game series against the Cincinnati Reds (2-1) on Monday at Great American Ball Park. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cubs vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Cubs went 11-8 vs, the Reds in 2022

The Cubs wrapped up a 3-game series at Wrigley Field against the Milwaukee Brewers losing 9-5 on Sunday, the 2nd straight loss after a win on Opening Day. SS Dansby Swanson has gotten off to a great start for Chicago, going 7-for-12 with 2 RBIs in his first 3 games with his new team.

The Reds went 2-1 in their 3-game opening series against the Pittsburgh Pirates. Cincinnati won 3-1 on Sunday as Graham Ashcraft pitched 7 strong inning (4 H, 1 ER, 1 BB 6 K’s). Jason Vosler, filling in at 1B with Joey Votto injured, hit a solo HR.

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Cubs at Reds projected starters

LHP Drew Smyly vs. RHP Connor Overton

Smyly was 7-8 in 22 starts in 2022 with a 3.47 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9, and 7.7 K.9 in 106 1/3 IP.

  • Has made 22-plus starts in back-to-back seasons
  • His 3.47 ERA in 2022 was the best mark of his career in a season where he started in 10-plus games since 2015

Overton was 1-0 in 4 starts last season with a 2.73 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, 3 BB/9, and 3.8 K/9 in 33 IP.

  • Has yet to make more than 4 starts in a season
  • Didn’t allow more than 2 runs in any of his 4 starts in 2022

Cubs at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:12 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cubs -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Reds +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs -1.5 (+135) | Reds -1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Cubs at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Cubs 4, Reds 3

Moneyline

Even though the Reds have surprisingly begun the season with a winning record, I’ll back the CUBS (-125) in this NL Central matchup.

Run line/Against the spread

REDS +1.5 (-160) is how I’d wager on the spread, though, I’d prefer to get it at -150 odds or better if available. Cincinnati is capable of keeping this game close at home with neither team getting consistency from its bats to begin the season.

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Over/Under

UNDER 9 (-120) is the pick in this contest despite Great American Ball Park being a favorable hitting venue. Smyly and Overton should have solid outings against these lineups, and fewer than 9 runs have been scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Cincinnati Reds at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Cincinnati Reds at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cincinnati Reds (2-4) take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (3-2) Thursday in the opener of a four-game set at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Reds come in after being swept in a two-game interleague series with the Cleveland Indians, falling by a combined 17-8 score. Cincinnati has dropped four of the past five games overall since winning its opener.

The Dodgers enter off an interleague series sweep at the Minnesota Twins, including a 7-0 win in the finale Wednesday. Clayton Kershaw had an 80-pitch, 7-inning perfect game before exiting. The Dodgers bullpen allowed a hit in the final 2 innings to spoil the combined no-hitter.

Reds at Dodgers: Projected starters

Reds RHP Luis Cessa vs. Dodgers RHP Walker Buehler

Cessa (0-0, 0.00 ERA) will make his first start of the season after appearing in relief twice to start the year.

  • Allowed 1 hit and 2 walks with 1 strikeout in 2 2/3 IP in two relief appearances against the Braves April 7-10.
  • Will be making his first start since the 2018 season when he was a member of the New York Yankees.

Buehler (1-0, 3.60 ERA) allowed 2 runs and 4 hits with 2 walks across 5 innings at Colorado last Friday in his season debut.

  • Went 11-2 with a 2.05 ERA across 123 IP with 130 strikeouts over 19 starts at Dodger Stadium in 2021.
  • Posted an 0-1 record with a 5.84 ERA and .277 opponent batting average with 15 strikeouts across 12 1/3 IP in two starts versus Cincinnati last year.

Reds at Dodgers odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:42 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Reds +210 (bet $100 to win $210) | Dodgers -270 (bet $270 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (+102) | Dodgers -1.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Reds at Dodgers prediction and picks

Prediction

Dodgers 8, Reds 3

Money line

The Dodgers (-270) will cost you more than two and a half times your potential return, and that’s just too much risk for not enough reward.

PASS, and look to the run line instead.

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Run line/Against the spread

The DODGERS -1.5 (-125) are a much better play at home with their Opening Day starter on the hump against Cessa, who will presumably be an opener since he is making his first start since 2018.

The Reds were clubbed by the Indians at Great American Ball Park in a two-game interleague set, getting outscored 17-8. If Cleveland’s bats can pile up that kind of offense, imagine what Los Angeles will do at Dodger Stadium.

Over/Under

The OVER 8.5 (-115) is the play, and the Dodgers have the potential of taking care of it all on their own.

The Over is 4-1 in the past five series openers for Cincinnati dating back to last season while going 5-2 in its last seven meetings with L.A.

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If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Cleveland Guardians at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Cleveland Guardians at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

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The Cleveland Guardians (2-2) take on the Cincinnati Reds (2-2) Tuesday at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Guardians vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Guardians split their wraparound 4-game series against the Kansas City Royals. Cleveland won its final 2 games of the set to gain the split, outscoring Kansas City 27-10 after being outscored in the first two games 4-1.

The Reds also split a 4-game set in their opening series, playing well against the Atlanta Braves. Cincinnati scored exactly 6 runs in 3 of the 4 outings.

Guardians at Reds: Projected starters

RHP Shane Bieber vs. RHP Tyler Mahle

Bieber did not factor into the decision in his first start against Kansas City Thursday, allowing a run with 3 hits and no walks while striking out 4 across 4.2 IP.

  • Went 5-2 with a 2.91 ERA with a .211 opponent batting average in 9 road starts across 55.2 IP on the road last season.
  • Allowed 3 runs, 6 hits and 2 walks with 13 strikeouts over 8 innings in a win at GABP April 18 last season in his only appearance against the Reds.

Mahle picked up the win in his initial start of the season Thursday, allowing 1 unearned run, 3 hits and 2 walks with 7 strikeouts across 5 innings.

  • Went 5-4 with a 5.63 ERA across 78.1 IP over 15 starts at home last season, striking out 98 batters with 19 home runs allowed.
  • Last faced Cleveland Aug. 4, 2020, allowing just 1 hit and 2 walks with 6 strikeouts across 6 scoreless innings in a no-decision.

Guardians at Reds odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Guardians -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Reds +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (+135) | Reds +1.5 (-170)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

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Guardians at Reds prediction and picks

Prediction

Guardians 4, Reds 2

Money line

The GUARDIANS (-120) failed to win in Bieber’s first start in Kansas City. He probably saw the offense break out in the past 2 games and wondered where the run support was in his outing. The Cleveland bats will likely struggle a little against Cincinnati’s opening-day starter, but it’ll do enough to get the win for its ace.

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Run line/Against the spread

The GUARDIANS -1.5 (+135) are worth a small-unit play in this one. In its 2 wins, Cleveland also won by 3 or more runs each time. If you like Cleveland to win, you should like it on the run line, too.

Over/Under

The UNDER 8.5 (-120) is the best play on the board in this battle between the aces of these teams. Cincinnati pitching has allowed 15 total runs across 4 games so far, while Cleveland pitching has allowed 3 or fewer runs in 3 of 4 games to date.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cincinnati Reds (1-1) and Atlanta Braves (1-1) continue their 4-game series Saturday at Truist Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Reds vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: 1-1

Cincinnati won the opener 6-3 Thursday with 3B Brandon Drury’s 3-run, 6th-inning homer being the key blow. Atlanta responded with a 7-6 victory Friday. Braves first-year closer Kenley Jansen gave up 3 ER on 3 H and 3 BB over 1 IP in his team debut Friday.

Reds at Braves: Projected starters

RHP Vladimir Gutierrez vs. RHP Kyle Wright 

Gutierrez is Cincy’s projected starter Saturday. He was 9-6 with a 4.74 ERA in 2021 (114 IP, 60 ER), 1.41 WHIP, 6.9 K/9 and 3.6 BB/9 over 22 starts his rookie season.

  • Career vs. Braves: 1-1, 3.00 ERA (12 IP, 4 ER), 11 H, 4 BB, 10 K in 2 starts
  • Vs. Braves on current roster: 7.20 FIP with a .280 batting average (BA), .363 wOBA, .541 expected slugging percentage, 14.8 K% and 89.6 mph exit velocity (EV) in 27 plate appearances

Wright takes the mound for the Braves Saturday. He spent most of 2021 pitching for Atlanta’s Triple-A affiliate. Wright pitched in almost as much in the World Series (5 2/3 IP) as the regular season (6 1/3 IP) last year.

  • Last season: 0-1, 9.95 ERA (6 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 1.90 WHIP, 7.1 BB/9, 8.5 K/9 in 2 starts
  • Never faced Reds before

Reds at Braves odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:15 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Reds +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Braves -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-140) | Braves -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Reds at Braves prediction and picks

Prediction

Reds 6, Braves 4

Money line

SPRINKLE on the REDS (+145), if at all, with the planning of hitting their spread harder. Gutierrez made 2 quality starts versus the Braves last season and Atlanta (-180) is too expensive with Wright on the mound.

Most bettors are assuming we see the Wright from the World Series where he surrendered just 1 ER in 2 appearances. But Wright hasn’t lived up to his first-round potential in his 21 career big-league, regular-season games.

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Run line/Against the spread

BET REDS +1.5 (-140) instead of or heavier than their ML because the Braves are just 23-53 RL as home favorites since the beginning of last season and Cincy is 33-17 RL as a road underdog.

Furthermore, Atlanta’s bullpen was its biggest question mark entering 2022 and it hasn’t looked sharp in the first 2 games. The Reds moved a couple of productive bats this offseason, but there’s still pop in their lineup.

A bulk of my handicap here is a hunch that the Braves -1.5 (+115) are overpriced with an unproven starter on the mound.

TAKE the REDS +1.5 (-140).

Over/Under

LEAN to the OVER 9.5 (-115).

The Braves are 46-36-8 O/U at home since 2021, the weather forecast is predicting nearly 14 mph winds blowing out to left-center field and I’m iffy on both starters.

However, the total feels sharp, plus a vast majority of the market is backing the Over and it’s rarely profitable in sports betting to be on the same side as the public.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Cincinnati Reds at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Cincinnati Reds at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox (89-68) host the Cincinnati Reds (82-75) Tuesday to begin a two-game interleague miniseries at Guaranteed Rate Field. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Reds vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Cincy has rattled off four straight wins but needs an absolute collapse from the St. Louis Cardinals, who are 5.5 games ahead of the Reds for the second NL Wild Card seed. The Cardinals clinch that spot with one victory.

Chicago has clinched the AL Central and is pretty much locked into the 2- vs. 3-seed American League Division Series matchup vs. whoever comes out of the AL West. The White Sox have been playing .500 baseball over their past 10 and 20 games.

Season series: Tied 1-1.

RHP Riley O’Brien makes his MLB debut for the Reds. O’Brien was 7-7 with a 4.55 ERA (112 2/3 IP, 57 ER), 1.31 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 over 22 starts and one relief appearance in Triple-A this season. He is the 24th-ranked prospect in Cincinnati’s farm system.

RHP Reynaldo Lopez is Chicago’s projected starter. Lopez is 3-3 with a 3.16 ERA (51 1/3 IP, 18 ER), 0.96 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 over eight starts and 10 bullpen outings.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 3 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 0 BB and 4 K in Chicago’s 7-2 victory at the Cleveland Indians Thursday.
  • 2021 home splits: 2-1 with a 3.00 ERA (24 IP, 8 ER), 0.79 WHIP and 5.2 K/BB in three starts and five relief appearances.

Reds at White Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:35 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Reds +155 (bet $155 to win $100) | White Sox -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Reds +1.5 (-130) | White Sox -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: +110 | U: -135)

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Prediction

White Sox 6, Reds 2

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the WHITE SOX (-190) for a half unit since this is on the fringe of my price range considering Lopez isn’t a “top of the rotation” starter on Chicago’s pitching staff.

Also, perhaps O’Brien gives Cincy a decent outing because no one in this White Sox lineup has faced O’Brien in the majors yet.

However, Chicago is six games above-.500 in interleague games, 12 games above-.500 vs. righty starters and 22 games above-.500 at home.

Plus I’m skeptical of Cincy’s motivation since it’s all but eliminated from playoff contention and whose starter is making their debut in “The Show”.

Furthermore, the White Sox has edges in the three most important phases of the game: Starting and relief pitching and hitting.

Lastly, we have “sharp line movement” towards Chicago since this game opened with the White Sox being around -163 as a consensus favorite before being steamed up by the market to the current price.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because we don’t really know what we’re going to see from O’Brien today, Cincy’s bullpen is the only unit that’s pitching better than Chicago’s this month, and the Reds are 31-15 ATS as a road underdog.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 9.5 (-135) because of the “reverse line movement” in the betting market, and the oddsmakers trying to steer bettors away from the Over by making the Under so expensive.

For instance, according to Pregame.com, roughly 70% of the cash and around two-thirds of the bets placed are on the Over, but this total is heading south. It’s a red flag in sports betting whenever the House makes the more popular side cheaper.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Los Angeles Dodgers at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (95-54) meet the Cincinnati Reds (77-72) Sunday for their three-game series finale at Great American Ball Park with the first pitch scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Dodgers vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Cincinnati took the opener 3-1. Los Angeles won 5-1 Saturday behind a masterful pitching performance from NL Cy Young front runner Max Scherzer, who had 7 IP with 0 ER, 2 H, 2 BB and 7 K.

Dodgers LHP Clayton Kershaw makes his 20th start of the season. Kershaw is 9-7 with a 3.33 ERA (110 2/3 IP, 41 ER), 0.99 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: No-decision in 5-1 home win over the Arizona Diamondbacks Monday with 4 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB and 5 K.
  • Kershaw picked up an 8-0 win against Cincy April 28 with 7 IP, 4 H, 1 BB and 8 K.
  • vs. Reds on the current roster: 2.97 FIP with a .141 batting average (BA), .212 wOBA, .231 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 36.0 K% and 82.0 mph exit velocity (EV) in 86 plate appearances (PA).

LHP Wade Miley is Cincy’s projected starter. Miley is 12-6 with a 3.09 ERA (160 IP, 55 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 27 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 6-5, with 4 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 10 H, 2 BB and 1 K Tuesday at the Pittsburgh Pirates.
  • vs. Dodgers on the current roster: 3.93 FIP with a .268 BA, .326 wOBA, .457 xSLG, 21.7 K% and 89.6 mph EV in 106 PA.

Dodgers at Reds odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 4:14 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dodgers -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Reds +160 (bet $100 to win $160)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Dodgers -1.5 (-117) | Reds +1.5 (-103)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Prediction

Dodgers 6, Reds 3

Money line (ML)

L.A. has so many clear edges across the board that I cannot even think about Cincy’s money line in this spot, but the Dodgers (-200) are a little too expensive.

Also, this is only Kershaw’s second start back from IL stint and I’d like to see some more of him before risking two times my return on a money line.

PASS. 

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

BET the DODGERS -1.5 (-117) because, if Kershaw knocked the rust off in his previous start, L.A. has a massive advantage in this matchup.

Cincy’s lineup is terrible against left-handed pitching: 29th in wRC+, 26th in wOBA and 24th-fewest home runs hit.

Additionally, we are getting “sharp line movement” toward L.A., which opened at a -107 consensus run line but has been moved up because early bettors hammered the DODGERS -1.5.

We don’t need vintage Kershaw because the Reds have been struggling at the plate recently. In September, Cincy’s lineup is in the bottom 10 of several advanced hitting metrics including wRC+, wOBA and WAR.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 8.5 (+100) for a tiny wager because I’m much more confident in the Dodgers covering than the total.

Miley might not have the most eye-popping numbers, but he induces soft contact and ranks in the 94th percentile in EV, 82nd percentile in hard-hit rate and 78th percentile in chase rate. Plus, Cincy’s bullpen has been lights out this month.

The combination of Kershaw on the mound, Cincy’s struggles against left-handed pitching and sneaky strong pitching from the Reds equals a small bet on UNDER 8.5 (+100).

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Los Angeles Dodgers at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cincinnati Reds (77-71) host the Los Angeles Dodgers (94-54) for the second of their three-game series Saturday at Great American Ball Park. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Dodgers vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Cincy won the series opener Friday 3-1 as starting RHP Luis Castillo had 6 1/3 IP with 0 ER, 5 H, 2 BB and 10 K and Reds SS Kyle Farmer‘s 6th-inning 2-run double put the game out of reach.

Season series: Reds lead 3-1.

RHP Max Scherzer takes the hill for the Dodgers. Scherzer is 14-4 with a 2.17 ERA (162 IP, 34 ER), 0.82 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 12.2 K/9 across 27 starts for the Dodgers and the Washington Nationals.

  • Last outing: Win, 8-0, with 8 IP, 1 H, 0 BB and 9 K against the San Diego Padres.
  • Scherzer beat Cincy May 25, 2-1, while pitching for Washington with 7 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB and 9 K.
  • vs. Reds on the current roster: 2.70 FIP with a .183 batting average (BA), .251 wOBA, .337 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 34.1 K% and 89.4 mph exit velocity (EV) in 205 plate appearances (PA).

RHP Sonny Gray is Cincy’s projected starter. Gray is 7-7 with a 3.80 ERA (120 2/3 IP, 51 ER), 1.19 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 over 23 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 2-0, with 7 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 1 BB and 6 K Sunday at the St. Louis Cardinals.
  • Gray lost at L.A., 8-0, April 28 with 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 3 BB and 11 K.
  • vs. Dodgers on the current roster: 3.01 FIP with a .202 BA, .250 wOBA, .292 xSLG, 23.9 K% and 87.4 mph EV in 109 PA.

Dodgers at Reds odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dodgers -210 (bet $210 to win $100) | Reds +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Dodgers -1.5 (-125) | Reds +1.5 (+102)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Prediction

Dodgers 6, Reds 2

Money line (ML)

PASS with a heavy “lean” on the Dodgers (-210) just because they are the right side since L.A. has a significant edge in the three most important phases of the game (starting and relief pitching and hitting).

However, the Dodgers is on the fringe of my price range, and if I were to bet L.A.’s money line I’d most likely be including it in a parlay with another similarly priced favorite.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

BET DODGERS -1.5 (-125) for 1 unit because Scherzer has pitched well in Cincy, Gray has been less effective at home this season and there has been “sharp line movement” in L.A.’s direction.

Scherzer has won all three of his career starts at the Great American Ball Park. He has only allowed 1 ER in his 20 IP at Cincy’s home ballpark with a 35/6 K/BB rate.

In fact, Scherzer is dialed in as the Dodgers hit the home stretch of their season. Since joining L.A. at the trade deadline, Scherzer is 6-0 with a 0.88 ERA and a 14.4 K/BB rate and is now the favorite to win the NL Cy Young.

Furthermore, Gray has a losing home record with a 4.65 ERA (2.97 road ERA), 1.25 WHIP (1.12 road WHIP) and has given up 11 home runs in 12 home starts (five home runs allowed in 11 road starts).

Lastly, according to Pregame.com, L.A.’s run line opened with roughly a -110 consensus price-point because both sides of the market bet this line up.

Let’s follow the “pros” and “joes” on the DODGERS -1.5 (-125) before this price gets out of control.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 8.5 (-115) only because I’m fearful L.A.’s explosive lineup can do some real damage to Gray, and if this game is out of reach Cincy might use its less effective relievers.

That said, if Gray doesn’t get raked too badly, he’ll turn the game over to a Cincy bullpen that has pitched very well this month. For instance, Cincy’s bullpen has the best xFIP, SIERA and K-BB% in September. Also, both lineups rank below-average in wRC+, wOBA and WAR this month.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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