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The Cincinnati Reds (17-21) play the 2nd game of their 3-game road series against the San Francisco Giants (17-23) Saturday, First pitch from Oracle Park is at 7:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds Vs. Giants odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Reds lead 1-0.
The Reds took the series opener Friday with a 4-2 win as they held the Giants scoreless over the final 7 innings. The win snapped an 8-game losing streak.
The Giants have lost 2 straight and 6 of their last 8 overall. The series with the Reds started a 9-game homestand.
Reds at Giants projected starters
LHP Nick Lodolo vs. RHP Mason Black
Lodolo (3-1, 2.79 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 0.93 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 through 29 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 4 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 11-1 home loss to Baltimore Sunday
- Reds are 4-1 in his starts
- Allowed 1 or fewer runs in 3 of 5 starts
Black (0-1, 10.38 ERA) makes 2nd start of his MLB career. He has a 2.54 WHIP, 3 BB and 4 K through 4 1/3 IP.
- Last start (MLB debut): Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 8 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 6-1 road loss to Philadelphia Monday
- Was 2-1 with 1.01 ERA in 6 starts (26 2/3 IP) for AAA Sacramento before getting called up
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Reds at Giants odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:10 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Reds -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Giants +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds -1.5 (+135) | Giants +1.5 (-160)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: +100 | U: -120)
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Reds at Giants picks and predictions
Prediction
Reds 5, Giants 3
Moneyline
The Reds are 4-1 in Lodolo’s 5 starts this season. They are 8-8 on the road.
The Giants are 9-8 at home but Black was knocked around in his MLB debut.
The Reds have not scored more than 4 runs in their last 9 games. They have only lost twice when scoring 5 or more runs.
The Giants have been held to 3 or fewer runs in 13 of their last 15 games.
Expect Lodolo to return to form and for the Reds to get the win. But there are better odds to bet on the run line.
PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
Of the Reds’ 17 wins, 16 have been by at least 2 runs. All 4 of their wins when Lodolo pitches have been by 2 or more runs.
Fifteen of the Giants’ 23 losses have been by multiple runs.
BET REDS -1.5 (+135).
Over/Under
The 8-run projection is right where I think the score will be.
The Reds have scored 5 or more runs in 14 of their 17 wins.
The Giants have only surpassed 3 runs 3 twice in their last 15 games and both those game in Coors Field, where scoring runs is normal.
Rather than the 8-run projection, use the alternate total. The odds aren’t as good but still reasonable.
BET ALTERNATE TOTAL UNDER 8.5 (-145).
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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