Chiefs Bengals odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Kansas City Chiefs at Cincinnati Bengals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Kansas City Chiefs at Cincinnati Bengals odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Kansas City Chiefs (9-2) and Cincinnati Bengals (7-4) clash in a Week 13 matchup Sunday at Paycor Stadium. Kickoff is set for 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Chiefs vs. Bengals odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

This is a rematch of last year’s AFC Championship Game which Cincinnati won in overtime 27-24 as a 7-point underdog. The Bengals also defeated the Chiefs earlier that season 34-31 as 3.5-point underdogs.

The Chiefs are currently on a 5-game win streak, though they’re just 3-7-1 against the spread (ATS) this season. They haven’t covered the spread since Week 7 against the San Francisco 49ers when they won 44-23 as 1-point favorites. Star QB Patrick Mahomes is having an MVP-caliber season, leading the league in passing yards (3,585), passing TDs (29) and passing 1st downs (190).

The Bengals are on a 3-game win streak, coming off a 20-16 win over the Tennessee Titans last week as 1-point favorites. Cincinnati is 8-3 ATS this year with 3 of its 4 losses being decided by 3 points or fewer. The team also hopes to bring back RB Joe Mixon (provided he can pass concussion protocols) and WR Ja’Marr Chase from injury (barring a setback) after missing Mixon in Week 12 and Chase in Weeks 8-12.

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Chiefs at Bengals odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 3:23 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Chiefs -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Bengals +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
Against the spread (ATS): Chiefs -2.5 (-110) | Bengals +2.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 52.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Chiefs at Bengals key injuries

Chiefs

WR Kadarius Toney (hamstring) out
DB Deon Bush (elbow) questionable

Bengals

WR Ja’Marr Chase (hip) questionable
RB Joe Mixon (concussion) questionable
LB Logan Wilson (illness) questionable

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Chiefs at Bengals picks and predictions

Prediction

Chiefs 30, Bengals 27

Moneyline

Part of the reason why the Chiefs couldn’t beat the Bengals in the AFC Championship Game last year was the lack of pressure — they were only able to sack QB Joe Burrow once. However, the Chiefs have a much better pass rush this year — they’re currently 5th in the NFL in sacks with 35.

The Chiefs also seem to have a better running game this year with rookie RB Isiah Pacheco earning 275 total yards on 54 touches in his last 3 games. Look for the Chiefs to establish the run in this matchup while Mahomes spreads the ball around.

It should be close, but I’m leaning toward Kansas City to win this revenge game.

BET CHIEFS (-135).

Against the spread

Both games between the Chiefs and Bengals last year were decided by 3 points. The odds of this matchup being that close are high, so you’re probably better off betting the moneyline instead of the spread — you could be disappointed if this one is decided by 1 or 2 points.

AVOID the spread and take the Chiefs on the moneyline.

Over/Under

This Over/Under is tough because it’s entirely dependent on how much each team’s defense shows up. The big-scoring potential is there but both defenses have great games under their belts this season.

With that in mind, these are 2 top-5 NFL offenses. It’d be tough for this one not to total out at 53 or above.

LEAN OVER 52.5 (-110).

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Kansas City Chiefs at Cincinnati Bengals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Kansas City Chiefs at Cincinnati Bengals Week 17 odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Kansas City Chiefs (11-4) go for a ninth win in a row Sunday when they visit the Cincinnati Bengals (9-6) in Week 17. This pivotal AFC tilt is set for 1 p.m. ET from Paul Brown Stadium. Below, we look at the Chiefs vs. Bengals odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

After starting the season 3-4, the Chiefs now lead the AFC at 11-4 after winning eight straight games, five of which were by double-digits. Their most recent win was a 36-10 home victory over Pittsburgh in Week 16. It was Kansas City’s third-consecutive, 30-point game. The Chiefs have covered the spread six games in a row with the Over cashing in the last three.

The Bengals are winners of their last two games, crushing Baltimore last Sunday 41-21. QB Joe Burrow threw for 525 yards against the Ravens as the offense bounced back from a disappointing 15-point performance in a 5-point win at Denver in Week 15. The Bengals have covered the spread in their last two games.

Also see: All Week 17 odds and lines

Chiefs at Bengals odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:27 p.m. ET.

Money line: Chiefs -230 (bet $230 to win $100) | Bengals +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
Against the spread (ATS): Chiefs -5.5 (-108) | Bengals +5.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 51.5 (O: -103 | U: -117)

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Chiefs at Bengals key injuries

Chiefs

RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire (shoulder) questionable
LG Joe Thuney (illness) questionable

Bengals

LB Germaine Pratt (reserve/COVID-19 list) out
LB Logan Wilson (shoulder) probable

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Chiefs at Bengals odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Chiefs 27, Bengals 21

Money line

In a matchup like this between two quality AFC teams, it feels safer to go with the one that’s played far more consistent football the last two months. The Chiefs have won their last eight games, while the Bengals lost to the 49ers, Chargers, Browns and Jets in that same span. Cincinnati has been incredibly difficult to predict.

At -230, the Chiefs’ money line doesn’t offer much return, so I would PASS here and bet on the spread.

Against the spread

The Chiefs haven’t kept many of their recent games very close, recording four blowouts (Raiders twice, Broncos and Steelers) in the last two months. I don’t expect them to crush the Bengals in the same way, but they should be able to cover the 5.5-point spread.

They’ve covered the spread in their last six and that should continue Sunday. Take CHIEFS -5.5 (-108).

Over/Under

The Chiefs defense hasn’t received enough credit for the way it has played this season. Kansas City has allowed more than 14 points just once in its last seven games, and that came against the high-powered Los Angeles Chargers.

The Bengals are capable of lighting up the scoreboard too, but I think their 41-point outburst against the Ravens was more a product of a Baltimore’s banged-up secondary.

With the total inflated, I like UNDER 51.5 (-117) in this one.

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Underdog corner: 3 best NFL picks and predictions of Week 17

Assessing the NFL betting odds and lines for Week 17, with three predictions and picks for the best underdog bets to make.

NFL point-spread favorites continued their late-season surge last week, but we hit on two of our three selections here in “Underdog Corner,” cashing with outright wins by the Tennessee Titans and Buffalo Bills.

That upped our season record to a nice-and-profitable 31-17 (.646) with 26 outright winners.

Also see: All Week 17 odds and lines

NFL underdog predictions: Week 17

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 9:40 p.m. ET.

Cincinnati Bengals +5.5 (-112) vs. Kansas City Chiefs

This is a crucial contest for both of these AFC contenders with the conference’s No. 1 seed and a division title among the items on the line.

QB Patrick Mahomes and the 11-4 Chiefs have won eight straight (with six straight covers) to put the wraps on another AFC West crown and surge into pole position in the AFC.

QB Joe Burrow and the Bengals, meanwhile, have won four of their last six and need another victory to clinch their first AFC North crown since 2015.

The Chiefs are the better team with more big-game experience, but Burrow and Co. have more than enough firepower to keep this one close at home. Take the BENGALS (+5.5) and the points.

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Houston Texans +12.5 (-112) at San Francisco 49ers

San Francisco has won five of its last seven to move into the thick of the NFC playoff chase but lost last Thursday night against the Titans and now may be without starting QB Jimmy Garoppolo due to a thumb injury.

The Texans, meanwhile, have no such postseason aspirations at 4-11 but continue to play hard behind better-than-you-think rookie QB Davis Mills and have won two straight by double digits, including last Sunday’s 41-29 upset of the 13.5-point favorite Chargers.

Given the Niners’ QB uncertainty and their 5-8 against-the-spread (ATS) record at home since the start of last season, we’re taking the TEXANS (+12.5).

Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5 (-120) vs. Cleveland Browns

The 7-7-1 Steelers and 7-8 Browns still have slim AFC chances so this is basically a de facto elimination game in the regular-season Monday Night Football finale.

Pittsburgh has had the upper hand in this series of late, going 10-3-1 straight up (SU) and 8-5-1 ATS since 2015, including a 15-10 road win in Cleveland as a 5.5-point underdog on Halloween.

But the main reason we like Pittsburgh here is that this likely will be the final home game of QB Ben Roethlisberger’s storied career, and it’s hard to imagine the STEELERS (+3.5) coming up short.

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First look: Kansas City Chiefs at Cincinnati Bengals odds and lines

Looking at Sunday’s Kansas City Chiefs at Cincinnati Bengals Week 17 NFL odds, lines and trends. Here’s what you need to know.

The Kansas City Chiefs (11-4) visit the Cincinnati Bengals (9-6) for a Week 17 matchup Sunday. Kickoff from Paul Brown Stadium is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Chiefs vs. Bengals odds and lines; check back for our NFL picks and predictions.

The Chiefs blasted the Pittsburgh Steelers 36-10 at home in Week 16, clinching the AFC West title. The Chiefs covered as 10.5-point favorites with the Over cashing. They have won eight straight games, the longest active streak in the NFL. The Chiefs also have covered the spread in six straight outings.

The Bengals moved atop the AFC North Division with a 41-21 win over the visiting Baltimore Ravens, covering as 7.5-point favorites. Cincinnati is 4-2 straight up and 4-2 against the spread across the past six games.

Chiefs at Bengals odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 6:27 a.m. ET.

Money line: Chiefs -220 (bet $220 to win $100) | Bengals +175 (bet $100 to win $175)
Against the spread (ATS): Chiefs -4.5, -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Bengals +4.5, -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
Over/Under (O/U): 48.5, O: -112 (bet $112 to win $100) | U: -108 (bet $108 to win $100)

Also see: Betting 101

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2021 betting stats:

ML: Chiefs 11-4 | Bengals 9-6
ATS: Chiefs 8-7 | Bengals 8-7
O/U: Chiefs 8-7 | Bengals 7-8

Chiefs at Bengals head-to-head

The Chiefs punished the Bengals 45-10 in the most recent meeting at Arrowhead Stadium on Oct. 21, 2018, but that was well before the arrival of QB Joe Burrow and WR Ja’Marr Chase.

Prior to that contest, Cincinnati had won four straight meetings. The Under is 4-1 across the past five meetings in the series.

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