We were 1-2 here last week in Underdog Corner, hitting on the Miami Dolphins and coming up short with the Indianapolis Colts and Minnesota Vikings.
It was only our third losing week of the season, though, as our against-the-spread record stands at 25-11 (.694). A full 21 of those 25 underdog ATS winners have won outright as well.
That established, it’s on to our three selections for lucky Week 13.
NFL underdog predictions: Week 13
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 4:30 p.m. ET.
New Orleans Saints +4.5 (-110) vs. Dallas Cowboys
The Cowboys still have a two-game lead atop the NFC East but have dropped three of their last four contests and continue to battle COVID issues with head coach Mike McCarthy out for this Thursday night road game.
The struggle also is real for the Saints, who have lost four straight since a Halloween upset of the defending-champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers. But New Orleans’ health fortunes finally appear to be on the upswing with Taysom Hill set to take the reins at quarterback, and stud RB Alvin Kamara likely to play for the first time since Week 9.
Additionally, New Orleans has been one of the league’s best with 12-4 ATS/11-5 SU records as an underdog since 2018, so we’re banking on the SAINTS (+4.5) to keep it close in the Week 13 opener.
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Los Angeles Chargers +3.5 (-120) at Cincinnati Bengals
The Bengals have put together back-to-back double-digit wins to move to 7-4. But their other two-game win streaks this season have been followed by losses, and we could easily see that happening again with the whole city still celebrating the Bengals’ first season sweep of the hated Pittsburgh Steelers since 2009.
The up-and-down Chargers, meanwhile, were stymied in a 28-13 road loss to the Denver Broncos on Sunday to fall to 6-5.
The Bolts, though, have performed better as underdog (6-4 ATS) than favorite (7-9) over the last two seasons, so we’ll take CHARGERS (+3.5) catching the field goal-and-the-hook Sunday.
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Seattle Seahawks +3.5 (-120) vs. San Francisco 49ers
These are two NFC West rivals trending in completely different directions with the Niners having won and covered in four of their last five while the 3-8 Seahawks have dropped six of seven since beating the host 49ers 28-21 in Week 4.
But we’re banking on one last stand from Russell Wilson and Co., who have won 13 of the last 15 meetings (10-5 ATS) against San Francisco, who will be without injured do-it-all WR Deebo Samuel in this one.
Take the SEAHAWKS (+3.5) and the points at home.
Also see: All Week 13 odds and lines
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