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The top-seeded Boston Celtics meet the 8-seed Miami Heat in Game 4 of a best-of-7 Western Conference, 1st-round series Monday. The Celtics lead the series 2-1. Tip-off from Kaseya Center is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Celtics vs. Heat odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
The Celtics bounced back from their Game 2 loss at home with a dominant 104-84 Game 3 victory over the Heat. F Jayson Tatum and G Jaylen Brown each had 22 points in the victory. Tatum also added 10 rebounds and 6 assists for Boston, which led Game 3 wire-to-wire and reclaimed the home-court edge.
C Bam Adebayo scored 20 or more points for the 3rd time this series, which is surprising given the fact that Boston outscored the Heat 42-36 in the paint. Miami also got 15 points each from G Tyler Herro and F Nikola Jovic in the loss.
The Heat need to protect the ball better and someone to help Adebayo on the offensive end or this series will end back in Boston in Game 5.
Celtics at Heat odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:52 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Celtics -550 (bet $550 to win $100) | Heat
+400 (bet $100 to win $400) - Against the spread (ATS): Celtics -10.5 (-110) | Heat +10.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 203.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Celtics at Heat key injuries
Celtics
- None
Heat
- F Jimmy Butler (knee) out
- G Terry Rozier (neck) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Celtics at Heat picks and predictions
Prediction
Celtics 110, Heat 97
Moneyline
The Celtics (-550) will win this game, but no way am I betting over 5 units to win 1 back. I’ll be saving my wager for the spread in this one.
PASS.
Against the spread
Take the CELTICS -10.5 (-110) in this one. Boston got its wake-up call in Game 2 and took care of business in Game 3. The Heat don’t have the depth to keep up with this well-oiled machine in Boston.
The scary thing is, Boston won by 20 and did not really play all that well in Game 3. The Celtics have won 8 of their last 10 straight up against the Heat and covered the spread in 2 of 3 games in this series thus far.
Over/Under
I really want to take the Under, but this number has gotten too low for me. If it were 205 or higher, I’d jump on it. The Under has gone 2-1 in this series, but this is the lowest number we’ve seen.
I’m going to PASS.
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