St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The St. Louis Cardinals (47-42) take on the Washington Nationals (42-48) Monday in the finale of a 4-game set at Nationals Park at 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cardinals lead 2-1

The Cards bats were ablaze in the DC heat Sunday with an 8-3 victory. Each Cardinals starter had a hit, and C Willson Contreras hit his 9th homer and had 3 RBIs. Cardinals 3B Nolan Arenado‘s bat is coming alive recently, as he’s hitting .360 over his last 7 days. His BA has risen to .270 on the season. His lack of pop is still a concern, but the notoriously dead-pull hitter has been using all fields to get on base.

OF Jesse Winker continues to be a pest with 2 more hits Sunday. He’s 4-for-11 (.364) with 4 runs and 2 RBIs in the series. He has a .352-11-34 line in 238 career at-bats against St. Louis. High-end prospect OF James Wood has been productive in his first 25 at-bats, hitting .320, and he hit his first MLB homer Saturday.

Cardinals at Nationals projected starters

RHP Miles Mikolas vs. LHP Mitchell Parker

Mikolas (6-7, 5.19 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 through 100 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 5-4 loss in 10 innings Wednesday at the Pittsburgh Pirates
  • Last 5 regular season starts vs. Nationals: 2-2, 2.48 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 17 K in 29 IP

Parker (5-4, 3.61 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 84 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 5 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 7-5 home win Wednesday against New York Mets
  • Has not faced St. Louis in his career
  • Home/road splits: 3-0, 3.11 ERA, 0.82 WHIP, 6.9 K/9 in 6 home starts vs. 2-4, 4.02 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 7.5 K/9 in 9 road starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Cardinals at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:46 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cardinals -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Nationals -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals -1.5 (+155) | Nationals +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Cardinals at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 7, Nationals 5

Moneyline

The Cards are 15-11 against left-handed starters this year. Parker has also allowed 11 ER in 17 IP for a 5.82 ERA in his last 3 GS. The Nats’ defense has also been abysmal in the series. All of these factors, despite having little faith in Mikolas, lend me to roll with the CARDINALS -105.

Run line/Against the spread

We’re avoiding the RL and going back to the well with JESSE WINKER OVER 1.5 H+R+RBI (-120). As mentioned, he’s 4-for-11 (.364) with 4 runs and 2 RBIs in the series and has a .352-11-34 line in 238 career at-bats against St. Louis.

Over/Under

The Over has cashed in all 3 games of the series. The Cardinals are 7-3 O/U in their last 10, and the Nats are 6-3-1. The Over has cashed in 9 of 10 meetings between the clubs. It’s slated to be 93 degrees with a 7-mph gust blowing out to left-center. I see no reason these trends shouldn’t continue.

Take the OVER 9 (-115).

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St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The St. Louis Cardinals (46-42) and Washington Nationals (42-47) meet Sunday for the 3rd game of a 4-game series. First pitch from Nationals Park is set for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

Washington routed St. Louis 14-6 Saturday while covering as a -126 home favorite after losing the series opener 7-6. The Nationals jumped out to a 9-0 in the 2nd innings and never allowed the Cardinals to make it a close game. Washington has won 3 of its last 4 games.

RHP Lance Lynn took the loss for the Cardinals (2 2/3 IP, 10 ER, 9 H, 4 BB, 2 K), which ended a 2-game win streak.

Cardinals at Nationals projected starters

RHP Kyle Gibson vs. LHP DJ Herz

Gibson (6-3, 3.88 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 92 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 8 K in a 7-4 win at Pittsburgh Pirates Tuesday
  • Career vs. Washington: 1-3, 8.31 ERA (21 2/3 IP, 20 ER), 25 H, 9 BB, 17 K in 4 starts

Herz (1-2, 4.67 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 12.3 K/9 in 27 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 10 K in a 7-2 loss vs. New York Mets Tuesday
  • First career start vs. St. Louis

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Cardinals at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:31 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cardinals -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Nationals +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals -1.5 (+125) | Nationals +1.5 (-150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Cardinals at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 6, Nationals 5

Moneyline

LEAN CARDINALS (-125).

St. Louis is the slightly hotter team, being 6-4 in its last 10 games and 2-1 in its last 3 on the road while the Nationals are only 4-6 in their last 10 and 3-3 in their last 6 at home.

The Cardinals are also 3-1 in their last 4 matchups vs. Washington and also being 3-2 in the last 5 meetings in Washington.

Run line/Against the spread

BET NATIONALS +1.5 (-150).

Washington has been a very good ATS team this season, being 52-37 overall on the year and 24-18 ATS at home. The Nationals are also 31-16 ATS following a loss this season.

With neither team having a major advantage over the other, and Washington riding high after routing the Cardinals Saturday, this appears a very safe bet.

Over/Under

BET OVER 9 (-120).

The Over has hit in 4 of St. Louis’ last 5 games on the road and is 6-3 in its last 9 overall. For Washington, the Over is 3-1 in its last 4 games and is 6-3-1 in its last 10. The Over has also hit in 5 consecutive St. Louis-Washington matchups and is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings.

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St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The St. Louis Cardinals (45-41) take on the Washington Nationals (41-46) Friday in the opener of a 3-game set at Nationals Park at 6:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Cards won 4-2 last season

The Cards prevailed in Pittsburgh 3-2 in 10 innings against the Pirates Thursday as they took 2 of 3 from them. OF Alec Burleson had 2 hits and is leading the offense right now. Burly is hitting .354 with 3 HR and 17 RBIs in the last 15 days. The Cards are 13-7 in their last 20 games.

The Nats took the final 2 of a 4-game series against the New York Mets. They came away with a 1-0 thriller Thursday as OF Jesse Winker‘s pinch-hit homer in the 8th was the difference. No. 3 prospect in baseball, OF James Wood, has hits in 3 of his first 4 MLB games and is hitting .308 in 13 ABs.

Cardinals at Nationals projected starters

RHP Sonny Gray vs. LHP Patrick Corbin

Gray (9-5, 2.98 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 11.2 K/9 through 87 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 3 ER (6 R), 7 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 9-4 home defeat Saturday against Cincinnati Reds
  • His 11.2 K/9 is the 2nd-best of his career
  • Last 5 starts vs. Nationals: 2-1, 4.32 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 20 K in 25 IP (hasn’t faced them since 2021)

Corbin (1-8, 5.49 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.53 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 through 95 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 5-0 setback Sunday at Tampa Bay Rays
  • Has allowed the most ER in MLB
  • Last 5 regular-season starts vs. St. Louis: 1-1, 2.79 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 33 K in 29 IP (hasn’t faced it since 2021)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Cardinals at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:22 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cardinals -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Nationals +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals -1.5 (-105) | Nationals +1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Cardinals at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 6, Nationals 5

Moneyline

The Cards should win this game. Gray has been a little spotty, but his stuff has remained electric. St. Louis has been solid against lefties, too, at 13-10, and Corbin continues to live up to his standard for one of the worst contracts in MLB.

That said, I’m not spending -165 on them. Instead, we’re keying in on Winker, who hit the go-ahead homer Thursday. He’s 2-for-4 lifetime off Gray, and he KILLS the Cardinals. He’s hitting .352 with 11 homers and 32 RBIs in 224 career at-bats against them. Take JESSE WINKER OVER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+120).

Run line/Against the spread

This is a spot where you would have to consider the Cards here with their ace on the mound against an inferior team. The problem, though, is I know this team. They are just 13-26 ATS when favored. They play SO many 1-run games and have fared well at 16-12 in them. However, you just can’t trust them to cover the 1.5. That said, I also don’t want to pay -115 for a run on the Nats’ side.

PASS.

Over/Under

The Cards are 5-5 O/U in their last 10, and the Nats are 6-3-1. It’s projected to be a scorcher at 96 degrees, over 50% humidity and a 6-mph breeze blowing out to left-center.

That’s a recipe for an OVER 9 (-105) to hit.

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St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The St. Louis Cardinals (31-43) are set to play the 3rd game of a 4-game series against the Washington Nationals (27-45) Wednesday at Nationals Park. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cardinals lead 2-0

In Tuesday’s 9-3 win over the Nationals, the Cardinals got 3-hit outings from C Willson Contreras and 2B Brendan Donovan. St. Louis has now won 4 consecutive games, and all of the wins have been on the road.

The Nationals have now lost 5 straight games after Tuesday’s 6-run defeat. Washington is 19 1/2 games back of 1st place in the NL East, and it is stymied with the worst record in the NL.

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Cardinals at Nationals projected starters

RHP Miles Mikolas vs. RHP Trevor Williams

Mikolas (4-4, 4.36 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 through 86 2/3 IP.

  • Has allowed a combined 11 ER on 15 H with 3 BB and 3 K in 12 IP in his last 2 starts
  • Last 5 starts vs. Nationals: 3-1, 3.86 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 18 K in 32 2/3 IP

Williams (3-4, 4.50 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 through 70 IP.

  • Has given up 3 ER or more in 5 of his last 8 starts
  • Last 5 starts vs. Cardinals: 0-2, 5.32 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, 22 K in 22 IP

Cardinals at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cardinals -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Nationals +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals -1.5 (+100) | Nationals +1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Cardinals at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 6, Nationals 4

Moneyline

With St. Louis being the better team in recent games, I’ll side with the CARDINALS (-160) on the road to extend their winning streak. The Cardinals are 4-1 in the last 5 road meetings and the last 5 meetings overall.

Run line/Against the spread

CARDINALS -1.5 (+100) is how I’d bet on the run line with how St. Louis has performed on its road trip. Mikolas hasn’t been reliable for the Cardinals, but he shouldn’t have too much trouble with a Nationals lineup that doesn’t possess much power.

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Over/Under

OVER 9 (-105) has solid value with the Cardinals having success against right-handed pitching. Since the start of June, St. Louis has the 5th-best wRC+ (122) and the 3rd-best ISO (.220) against right-handed hurlers.

The Over is also 6-0 in the Cardinals’ last 6 games following a win and is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings overall.

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St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The St. Louis Cardinals (29-43) open a 3-game series with the Washington Nationals (27-43) Monday. First pitch from Nationals Park is at 4:05 ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2023; Cardinals won 4-3 last year

The Nationals had very little hope to start the year and are on pace to fall well short of 70 victories. Washington lost 4-2 to the Miami Marlins Sunday as Miami completed a 3-game sweep.

The Cardinals won the NL Central last year but find themselves at the bottom of the pack as we creep toward the halfway point of the season. The good news — if there is any — is their run differential is just -15, the 2nd-best mark in the division. St. Louis beat the New York Mets 8-7 Sunday to win the series 2-1 but has only won 4 of its last 10 games and could use a strong series against Washington to get a little spark going.

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Cardinals at Nationals projected starters

RHP Jack Flaherty vs. RHP Josiah Gray

Flaherty (3-5, 4.64 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.59 WHIP, 5.3 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 73 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 10 H, 3 B, 3 K in an 11-3 home loss to the San Fransisco Giants Tuesday
  • Has not given up a home run when ahead in the count this season

Gray (4-5, 3.19 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 79 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 5 K in a 5-4 road loss at the Houston Astros Wednesday
  • Has a .222 opponent batting average when the batter is ahead of the count

Cardinals at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook;  access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:48 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cardinals -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Nationals +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals -1.5 (+100) | Nationals +1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Cardinals at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Nationals 4, Cardinals 1

Moneyline

St. Louis has the 2nd worst win percentage in MLB as a road favorite this season, and it’s just 11-17 off a win — the 5th worst mark in the league. Considering that Washington has won 4 of its last 5 games against the NL Central, I see the value in taking the home team.

LEAN NATIONALS (+125).

Run line/Against the spread

Since I am taking Washington to win I certainly like them against the spread with the run and a half of insurance. The Nationals 25-17 ATS after a loss while St. Louis is 12-16 ATS after a win.

BET NATIONALS +1.5 (-120).

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Over/Under

St. Louis trends heavily toward the Under with a 62.2% hit rate (23-14-1) on the road. Pair that with Washington’s recent 5-1 Under record when the total is set between 9 and 10.5 runs, and I see another low-scoring game.

LEAN UNDER 9.5 (-105).

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St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The St. Louis Cardinals (53-47) and Washington Nationals (34-67) play the 2nd game of a 3-game series Saturday. First pitch from Nationals Park is set for 7:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cardinals vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: St. Louis leads 1-0 after a 6-2 victory in Friday’s series opener.

The Cardinals are continuing a road trip that has thus far seen them go a combined 3-3 in stops at the Cincinnati Reds and Toronto Blue Jays. St. Louis owns a robust .829 OPS since July 15.

The Nationals are just 1-11 in their last 12 games in D.C following Friday’s setback. Washington owns the league’s worst mark at home (15-37).

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Cardinals at Nationals projected starters

RHP Dakota Hudson vs. RHP Erick Fedde

Hudson (6-6, 4.10 ERA) is tabbed for his 19th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 4.9 K/9 through 96 2/3 IP.

  • Coming off the IL (neck) for this start. Has not pitched an MLB game since July 14.
  • Has struggled on the road with a 5.36 ERA through 45 1/3 IP over 9 starts.

Fedde (5-7, 4.95 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.54 WHIP, 4.6 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 92 2/3 IP.

  • Has walked 10 and struck out just 5 while compiling a 9.00 ERA through 13 innings across his last 3 starts.
  • Owns a 3.31 ERA over his last 3 home starts.

Cardinals at Nationals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:28 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cardinals -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Nationals +122 (bet $100 to win $122)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals -1.5 (+102) | Nationals +1.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Cardinals at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 6, Nationals 5

Money line

Washington is a lean to win here, but the Nats are at such a level bettors should be seeking plus-plus value on any side involving them. Such a price is not available here: PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread

Hudson returning from the IL is already a question mark. The right-hander also has some favorable rates around the margins and owns a higher-than-surface expected ERA.

BACK WASHINGTON +1.5 (-125).

Over/Under

The St. Louis bullpen has been punching above its weight, especially this month. Cardinals relievers entered this series with a 3.19 ERA in July.

With the overall pitching matchup, play the OVER 9.5 (+100).

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St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The St. Louis Cardinals (52-47) and Washington Nationals (34-66) open a 3-game series with a Friday 7:05 p.m. ET game at Nationals Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cardinals vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting. Washington won 4 of 6 from St. Louis in 2021.

The Cardinals are continuing a trip that has thus far seen them go a combined 2-3 in stops in Cincinnati and Toronto. St. Louis owns a robust .859 OPS since July 15.

The Nationals return home after a 3-3 road trip. And they likely wish they could play anything near .500 ball in their home yard. Washington owns the league’s worst mark at home (15-36) and are just 1-10 in their last 11 games in D.C.

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Cardinals at Nationals projected starters

RHP Miles Mikolas vs. RHP Anibal Sanchez

Mikolas (7-8, 2.87 ERA) has registered a 0.99 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 through 125 1/3 IP in 20 starts.

  • Logged a clunker at Cincinnati in his 1st start of the 2nd half allowing 6 R, 7 H and 2 BB in 5 IP vs. Reds Sunday.
  • Has benefited from a low .240 batting average on balls in play.

Sanchez (0-2, 6.30 ERA) is tabbed for his 3rd start of the season. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 10 IP.

  • Returned from the IL July 14 after missing most of the 1st half with a neck injury.
  • Has allowed 7 runs in 10 IP over 2 starts this season. Owns a 4.06 ERA over 352 career games.

Cardinals at Nationals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:29 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cardinals -180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Nationals +145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals -1.5 (-112) | Nationals +1.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)

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Cardinals at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 6, Nationals 5

Money line

Washington is a lean, but the Nats are at such a level bettors should be seeking plus-plus value on any side involving them. such a price is not available here: PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread

The Redbirds are 0-8 in their last 8 road-series openers. Consider a partial-unit play on WASHINGTON +1.5 (-108).

Over/Under

The St. Louis bullpen has been punching above its weight, especially this month. A 3.28 July ERA has been accompanied by a .259 BABIP. Mix in the .240 BABIP for Mikolas and some upside to Washington’s overall offensive potential, and the OVER 9.5 (+105) is a decent play.

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St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The St. Louis Cardinals (8-9) and Washington Nationals (6-9) wrap up a three-game series at Nationals Park with a 4:05 p.m. ET first pitch Wednesday. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cardinals vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Carlos Martinez is the projected starting pitcher for the Cardinals. He is 0-6 with a 9.00 ERA, 1.80 WHIP, 6.9 K/9 and 3.6 BB/9 through 35 IP over 8 starts spanning the last two seasons. He allowed at least 3 ER in each of his three starts this season. He owns a Boeing ERA of 7.80 in 2021.

RHP Max Scherzer is the projected starter for the Nationals. Over 2020-21, Scherzer is 5-5 with a 3.44 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 12.1 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9 through 86 1/3 IP in 15 combined starts. He has allowed just 1 ER in his last 13 innings of work. Current Cardinal bats own a whiff-laden .482 OPS against Scherzer.

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Cardinals at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cardinals +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Nationals -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Cardinals +1.5 (-140) |  Nationals -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Cardinals 6, Nationals 4

Money line (ML)

The Cards took the opener of this series 12-5 and the Nats responded with a 3-2 win Tuesday.

With some tilt toward some value in the St. Louis offense and just a tad in the fade-Scherzer column (or at least fade at this kind of price), there is a razor-thin lean toward the CARDINALS (+140). A tag of +150 or higher would make for some profit margin.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS. A profitable Cardinals’ side is more likable on the money line.

Over/Under (O/U)

Surface run production numbers for the Washington offense don’t match with the higher proficiency that shows in advanced metrics. St. Louis has solid scoring numbers, but even its offense is perhaps underperforming given how hard the Cards have been hitting baseballs this April.

The Redbirds’ .709 OPS is undercut by low batting-average-on-balls-in-play numbers in runners-in-scoring-position and lead-off situations.

With some fade action in Scherzer’s early-season 2.37 ERA and on both bullpens, there is a heavy Over lean to this game.

OVER 7.5 (-120) is one of the better plays on the board Wednesday.

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St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The St. Louis Cardinals (8-8) and Washington Nationals (5-9) play the middle contest of their three-game series at 7:05 p.m. ET Tuesday at Nationals Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cardinals vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Adam Wainwright is the projected starting pitcher for the Cardinals. He is 0-2 with a 7.11 ERA, 1.90 WHIP, 10.0 K/9 and 3.6 BB/9 through 12 2/3 IP over 3 starts this season. Wainwright is facing the Nationals for a second straight game; he allowed 3 ER in 5 IP against Washington Wednesday. Current Nats bats own an aggregate .874 OPS against him.

LHP Patrick Corbin is the projected starter for the Nationals. Corbin is 0-2 with a 21.32 ERA, 3.00 WHIP, 8.5 K/9, and 9.9 BB/9 through 6 1/3 IP over 2 starts. The veteran southpaw started the season on the COVID-19 list and made his season debut April 10 against the Los Angeles Dodgers. He has allowed 15 ER in his two outings.

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Cardinals at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cardinals +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Nationals -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Cardinals +1.5 (-160) |  Nationals -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Cardinals 6, Nationals 4

Money line (ML)

St. Louis has been at its best against lefty pitching with a .934 OPS. Peg the Cardinals as having enough on the mound and some confidence at the plate coming off a 12-run outburst Monday.

BACK THE CARDINALS (+110).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS, but for the sake of a rider on the above ML play, consider a Cardinals play if the tag approaches +160.

Over/Under (O/U)

Surface run production numbers for the Washington offense (3.6 runs per game) don’t match with the higher proficiency that shows in advanced metrics. St. Louis (5.2) has solid scoring numbers, but even its offense is perhaps underperforming given how hard the Cards have been hitting baseballs this April.

Neither starter engenders much confidence, and both bullpens have been filing average but ball-in-play deflated numbers. All the pitchers in Tuesday’s affair figure to be working against a batter’s breeze out to center.

The Over hit easily in a 12-5 Redbird win in the Monday opener. BACK OVER 9 (-120) in this one, too.

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St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The St. Louis Cardinals (7-8) and Washington Nationals (5-8) open up a three-game series at 7:05 p.m. ET Monday at Nationals Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cardinals vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Jack Flaherty is the projected starting pitcher for the Cardinals. He is 2-0 with a 4.11 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 9.4 K/9, and 3.5 BB/9 in 15 1/3 IP over 3 starts. Since getting roughed up by the Reds on Opening Day, Flaherty has yielded just one run over 11 IP.

RHP Joe Ross is the projected starter for the Nationals. Ross is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA, 0.82 WHIP, 7.4 K/9, and 2.5 BB/9 in 11 IP over 2 turns in the Washington rotation. The aggregate St. Louis line against him includes a .626 OPS and .111 isolated power.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Cardinals at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:54 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cardinals -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Nationals +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Cardinals -1.5 (+125) |  Nationals +1.5 (-155)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Cardinals 5, Nationals 4

Money line (ML)

The Redbirds and Nats faced each other last week, with Washington claiming two wins in a three-game set. Both Monday starters — Flaherty and Ross — pitched in that series.

Flaherty pitched 5 shutout frames on Tuesday; Ross tossed 6 scoreless innings on Wednesday.

The series loss for the Cards is part of a string of three series setbacks in a row; St. Louis enters Monday’s contest having won just two of its last eight games.

Flaherty didn’t pitch all that different in 2020 (4.19 ERA) than he did in 2018 (3.34) or 2019 (2.75). He was undone by a low strand rate and a higher percentage of fly balls leaving the yard.

Peg the Redbirds having enough edge on the mound to warrant a slim road favorites’ price. BACK THE CARDINALS (-125).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS, but for the sake of a rider on the above ML play, consider a Cardinals play if the tag approaches +160.

Over/Under (O/U)

Surface run production numbers for the Washington offense (3.8 runs per game) don’t match with the higher proficiency that shows in advanced metrics.

St. Louis (4.9) does have some solid scoring numbers, but even its offense is perhaps underperforming given how hard the Cards have been hitting baseballs this April.

With both hurlers being seen for a second time in six days, and with both bullpens filing average but ball-in-play deflated numbers, BACK THE OVER 8 (-110).

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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