The Washington Capitals (18-4-5) take on the Detroit Red Wings (7-18-3) Saturday at Little Caesars Arena with puck drop scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. We analyze the Capitals-Red Wings sports betting odds and lines, while providing NHL betting tips and picks around this matchup.
Capitals at Red Wings: Projected starting goalies
Ilya Samsonov vs. Jonathan Bernier
Samsonov is 5-2-1 through seven starts and one relief appearance. He has a .912 save percentage with a 2.65 goals against average. The 22-year-old struggled his last time out, allowing four goals on 39 shots against the Montreal Canadiens.
Bernier is 5-6-2 on the season, but hasn’t been in net for a Red Wings win since Nov. 12. He has a .893 SV% and a 3.32 GAA through 13 starts and three relief appearances. He allowed three goals on 40 shots against the Toronto Maple Leafs his last time out.
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Capitals at Red Wings: Odds, picks and betting tips
Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access them at USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 12:15 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Capitals 6, Red Wings 2
Moneyline (ML)
Both teams played Friday with the Red Wings taking a 6-1 loss on the road against the Philadelphia Flyers and the Capitals beating the Tampa Bay Lightning 4-3 in overtime at home. The CAPITALS (-223) have won two straight while the Red Wings have lost eight in a row and are just 4-8-1 on home ice. The back-to-back situation for Washington seems to have deflated its odds with this number higher than it should be.
Washington is tied for the second-best goal differential in the league at plus-18 while the Red Wings are a league-worst minus-50. Detroit is outshot by 3.5 shots on goal per game and has a team shooting percentage of just 6.21 at 5-on-5.
Puck Line/Against the Spread (ATS)
Increase your profit with the CAPITALS by backing them to cover the -1.5 (+125) and win by two or more goals. The Caps are 15-12 against the puck line overall and 10-3 on the road. The Wings are 12-16 overall and just 5-8 at home.
New to sports betting? A $10 bet on the Capitals to cover the spread and win by two or more goals returns a profit of $12.50.
Over/Under (O/U)
Take the OVER 6.5 (+125) and rely on the Capitals to handle the bulk of the scoring Saturday. Washington is 6-4 against the Over/Under across its last 10 games while Detroit is 5-4-1 across its last 10.
Esten’s NHL betting record: 92-80
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