Canelo Alvarez odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Canelo Alvarez vs. Edgar Berlanga odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Canelo Alvarez vs. Edgar Berlanga odds for their super middleweight fight, with expert picks and predictions.

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In a 12-round WBC and WBO super middleweight championship bout, Canelo Alvarez and Edgar Berlanga meet Saturday at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. The fight will take place at approximately 11 p.m. ET (DAZN), with the Pay-Per-View card beginning at 8 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Canelo vs. Berlanga odds, and make our expert boxing picks and predictions.

Records: Canelo (61-2-2, 39 KOs) | Berlanga (22-0-0, 17 KOs)

The 34-year-old Canelo picked up the IBF, WBC and WBO super middleweight belts from Jaime Munguia in an unanimous decision at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Prior to that, he stopped Jermell Charlo at T-Mobile Arena, also by unanimous decision. He has won 4 in a row since losing via unanimous decision against Dmitrii Bivol.

In fact, each of Canelo’s past 5 fights have ended up going the distance. His last finish came in Round 11 over at MGM Grand Garden Arena, topping Caleb Plant via KO/TKO.

The 27-year-old Berlanga, a.k.a. “The Chosen One”, is looking to shock the world. He has never lost, while winning 17 of his 22 career bouts via KO/TKO, a 72.7% conversion rate.

Berlanga stopped Padraig McCrory in Orlando via KO/TKO, and he has fought at this venue before. He stopped Marcelo Coceres at T-Mobile Arena in a unanimous decision on Oct. 9, 2021.

Canelo has a 70 1/2-inch reach, while Berlanga has a 73-inch reach. The challenger also stands at 6-foot-1, while Canelo is just 5-foot-7 1/2.

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Canelo vs. Berlanga odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook: access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.

Fight result (2-way line): Alvarez -1600 (bet $1,600 to win $100) | Berlanga +800 (bet $100 to win $800)
Total Rounds 8.5 (Over -120 | Under -120)
Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +225 | No -300)

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Canelo vs. Berlanga picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Canelo (-2000) will set you back 20 times your potential return betting on the 2-way line, which means risking $100 for every $5 of profit.

It shouldn’t have to be said that betting such heavy favorites is not a good idea in the long run.

Let’s get a little more specific instead. CANELO ON POINTS (+250) for the chance to multiply up by 2 1/2 times is a much better bet. Berlanga is the much taller fighter, and he has a big reach advantage, too. He should be able to keep Canelo at a big of a distance, avoiding the big blow. However, Canelo is Canelo, and he’ll likely wow the judges, doing enough to get the job done on the scorecards of the judges.

Over/Under (O/U)

If you don’t want to back Canelo to win, yet still want action on this fight, YES (+225): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is a strong play. Canelo has ended up going the distance in 5 consecutive fights.

While Berlanga has won via decision just 5 times in 22 career bouts, he has fought a lot of tomato cans along the way, and not a future Hall of Famer like Canelo.

And, if you’re a little more on the conservative side, OVER 8.5 ROUNDS (-120) is a safe play.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Canelo Alvarez vs. Jermell Charlo odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Canelo Alvarez vs. Jermell Charlo odds for their super middleweight championship fight with picks and predictions.

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In a 12-round super middleweight championship bout, Canelo Alvarez puts his belts on the line Saturday against Jermell Charlo at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. The preliminary fights begin at 5:30 p.m. ET, with the main card beginning at 8 p.m. ET. The main event will take place at approximately 11:15 p.m. ET, and it will be televised on Showtime Pay-per-view. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Canelo vs. Charlo odds, and make our expert boxing picks and predictions.

Records: Canelo (59-2-2, 39 KOs) | Charlo (35-1-1, 19 KOs)

Canelo will defend his undisputed super middleweight title for the 3rd time. He became the undisputed champ in the division in Nov. 2021 against Caleb Plant at MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas. He stepped up to light heavyweight in May 2022 and was topped by Dmitrii Bivol in an attempt to become a 2-division champ.

Canelo eased by Gennadiy Golovkin in Sept. 2022 to retain his belt and then underwent wrist surgery. He returned in May and topped John Ryder in his native Mexico, also via unanimous decision.

Canelo normally trains at sea level at home in San Diego, but he elected to hold camp near Lake Tahoe at altitude.

Charlo is the current undisputed Super Welterweight title holder. As such, this is the first time 2 undisputed champs have met in the 4-belt era.

The challenger fought against Brian Carlos Castano in July 2021, and the fighters ended in a split-decision draw. In the rematch, Charlo picked up a 10th-round knockout in mid-May 2022. He moves up 2 weight classes to battle the champ.

Canelo vs. Charlo odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:28 a.m. ET.

Fight result (2-way line): Canelo -480 (bet $480 to win $100) | Charlo +330 (bet $100 to win $330)
Over/Under: 10.5 rounds (Over -330 | Under +235)
Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -250 | No +186)

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Canelo vs. Charlo picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Canelo (-480) will cost nearly 5 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk, and not enough reward. Despite fighting at his usual weight, and Charlo moving up 2 divisions, you just can’t play Alvarez straight up.

Let’s get a little more specific. The past 3 fights for Canelo — including his flirtation with the light heavyweight division — have gone the distance. And 6 of his past 7 bouts have ended up going the distance, too.

METHOD OF VICTORY: CANELO POINTS OR DECISION (-125) is a much more affordable and reasonable play.

Over/Under (O/U)

Yes (-250): Will the fight go the distance? will cost you 2 1/2 times your potential return if you do not want to declare a winner. That’s way too expensive.

You also cannot go with Over 10.5 Rounds (-330), which will costs more than 3 times your potential return.

For an added value, play TO BE KNOCKED DOWN: JERMELL CHARLO (+184), as that particular prop pays nearly 2 times your potential return. Canelo should be able to land at least 1 thunderous blow to send Charlo to the canvas.

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