In a 12-round super-middleweight undisputed title bout, Canelo Alvarez and Caleb Plant meet Saturday at the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas. The main card begins at 9 p.m. ET, with the main event expected to take place at approximately 11 p.m. ET. The card is televised on Showtime Pay-Per-View. Below, we break down the Canelo vs. Plant odds and lines, with boxing picks and predictions.
Canelo posted a victory over Billy Joe Saunders May 8 last time out. Before that, he posted a win, Feb. 27, against Avni Yildirim in Miami Gardens, Fla, retaining the WBO belt he won from Callum Smith prior to that.
Before that, Canelo earned the WBO World Light Heavyweight title with a win over Sergey Kovalev Nov. 2, 2019, in Las Vegas at this very same venue. That was also the date of his most recent knockout and the 38th of his career.
Plant pushed past Caleb Truax in Los Angeles last time out Jan. 30, winning by unanimous decision. Before that was a TKO victory over Vincent Feigenbutz Feb. 15, 2020 in Nashville. He also dropped Mike Lee via TKO in this very same venue back July 20, 2019. You might notice Plant’s recent opponents are nowhere near the quality level of Canelo.
Canelo vs. Plant odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:05 a.m. ET.
- Canelo Alvarez: -1200 (bet $1,200 to win $100) | Caleb Plant: +550 (bet $100 to win $550)
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Canelo (-1200) is a heavy favorite with an implied win probability of 92.31%. A $100 bet on the favorite would return a profit of just $8.33 with a victory as a chalky wager.
Canelo vs. Plant tale of the tape
Canelo Alvarez (-1200)
Record: 56-1-2 (38 KOs)
Height: 5-foot-8
Reach: 70.5 inches
Stance: Orthodox
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Caleb Plant (+550)
Record: 21-0-0 (12 KOs)
Height: 6-foot-1
Reach: 74 inches
Stance: Orthodox
Canelo vs. Plant predictions and picks
Canelo (-1200) will cost you 12 times your potential return, and there is just no value betting the huge favorite and future Hall of Famer. Instead, let’s get creative instead.
I like Canelo to win this fight on points instead. I don’t think Plant is going to get knocked out here, and Alvarez hasn’t recorded a knockout in his past three bouts dating back to Nov. 2, 2019, over two calendar years.
If you are just hellbent on playing Canelo to win outright, playing -1100 on the 3-way line is slightly cheaper. Tie him in with several other options in a parlay to reduce the risk.
The best bet on the board is OVER 9.5 ROUNDS (-120), with even more value playing YES (+165): FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE.
The card can be viewed on Showtime PPV with the event beginning at 9 p.m. ET and the main event at approximately 11 p.m. ET.
Visit Boxing Junkie for more fight news and analysis.
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