The Boston Bruins (20-4-6) visit the Ottawa Senators (12-17-1) Monday at Canadian Tire Centre. Puck drop is scheduled for shortly after 7:30 p.m. ET. We analyze the Bruins-Senators sports betting odds and lines, while providing NHL betting tips and picks around this matchup.
Bruins at Senators: Projected starting goalies
Tuukka Rask vs. Anders Nilsson
Rask had won six games in a row before taking an overtime loss against the Chicago Blackhawks Thursday in which he allowed four goals on 31 shots. He is 13-2-3 on the year with a .929 save percentage and 2.15 goals against average.
Nilsson replaced injured starter Craig Anderson in Saturday’s loss to the Philadelphia Flyers and Marcus Hogberg was recalled from Belleville of the AHL Monday. Nilsson should start with a record of 7-8-1, a .910 SV% and 3.10 GAA.
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Bruins at Senators: Odds, picks and betting tips
Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access them at USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated 9 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Bruins 5, Senators 2
Moneyline (ML)
The Bruins have won both meetings between the two Atlantic Division rivals this season, and they’ve won 10 straight head-to-head meetings dating back to December 2017. Boston is coming off consecutive losses, including a 4-1 home defeat at the hands of the Colorado Avalanche Saturday, but it is still 8-1-1 over its last 10 games. Ottawa went 4-6 and is coming off Saturday’s 4-3 loss to the Flyers.
The BRUINS (-189) are an easy play. They’re 8-3-1 on the road, while the Senators are 7-5-0 at home. Boston has the edge in Corsi (percentage of all shot attempts), scoring chances and PDO (shooting percentage plus save percentage) at 5-on-5. C Patrice Bergeron (lower body) may be returning for Boston.
New to sports betting? A $10 bet on the Bruins to win in regulation, overtime or a shootout returns a profit of $5.30.
Puck Line/Against the Spread (ATS)
Increase your profit margin by backing the BRUINS (-1.5, +140) to win by two or more goals on the road. The same $10 bet would return a profit of $14.
The Bruins are 15-15 against the spread overall and 6-6 on the road, while the Senators are 17-13 ATS overall and 8-4 at home. Thirteen of Boston’s 20 victories on the year were by at least a two-goal margin, including one of two against Ottawa. Thirteen of the Senators’ 17 losses were by multiple goals.
Over/Under (O/U)
The first two meetings of the year between the two played to either side of Monday’s projected total of 5.5 total goals. The Bruins are 4-6 against the Over/Under across their last 10 games while the Sens were 5-5. Take the OVER 5.5 (-149), with Bergeron’s possible return boosting Boston’s goal output.
Esten’s NHL betting record: 110-91
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