Tag: Browns win total

Reverse engineering the Browns’ win-loss predictions from reporters of other teams

Reverse engineering the Browns’ win-loss predictions from the ESPN reporters of other teams shows the Browns still lack national respect

The quick-take reactions to the schedule release and seemingly requisite game-by-game predictions from NFL reporters and analysts are often very good looks into the national perception of a team. Judging by the game picks involving the Cleveland Browns from the ESPN writers for every team, the Browns still have a way to go to earn some respect.

ESPN’s own Cleveland reporter, Jake Trotter, predicted a 9-7 finish for Kevin Stefanski’s first Browns team. That’s a fair prediction coming out of the schedule release (I projected a 10-6 finish).

But a deeper look at what the other ESPN beat writers projected for their respective teams in going through each game paints a less rosy outlook for Cleveland. Here’s how the ESPN NFL Nation reporters projected each Browns game to wind up for their squad:

Week 1 – Ravens: win

Week 2 – Bengals: loss

Week 3 – Redskins: loss

Week 4 – Cowboys: win

Week 5 – Colts: win

Week 6 – Steelers: win

Week 7 – Bengals: win

Week 8 – Raiders: win

Week 9 – Bye

Week 10 – Texans: win

Week 11 – Eagles: loss

Week 12 – Jaguars: win

Week 13 – Titans: win

Week 14 – Ravens: win

Week 15 – Giants: loss

Week 16 – Jets: win

Week 17 – Steelers: loss

That’s a 5-11 record as predicted by the folks who cover the other teams. Most analysts will feel better about their own team than others, to be fair. And the lack of respect for the Browns for their recent poor results is to be expected.

NFL team win total best bets: How many games will the Cleveland Browns win in 2020?

Assessing the Cleveland Browns’ projected win total for the 2020 NFL season, with best bets for their Over/Under.

How many games will the Cleveland Browns win in the 2020 NFL season? We look at BetMGM‘s projected win total and the Over/Under odds, while looking back at the 2019 season and key offseason roster changes.

Cleveland Browns’ 2019 season

The Browns entered the season with high expectations. They were considered a sleeper pick for the Super Bowl after adding WR Odell Beckham Jr. – WR Jarvis Landry was acquired the offseason before, in 2018.

However, their defense struggled, first-time head coach Freddie Kitchens was in over his head – he was fired after the season – and QB Baker Mayfield regressed after a promising rookie campaign. They finished 6-10 straight up, losing their final three games, and ended up third in the NFC North Division.

As for gambling trends, they were 5-10-1 against the spread with an 8-8 Over/Under record.

Cleveland Browns’ 2020 offseason changes

The Browns have made big offensive additions. They signed OT Jack Conklin and drafted OT Jedrick Wills Jr. (Alabama) in the first round to protect Mayfield. They signed TE Austin Hooper and re-signed RB Kareem Hunt. On defense, they signed FS Andrew Sendejo and SS Karl Joseph.

They replaced Kitchens with Kevin Stefanski, who will be a head coach for the first time in his career. They also hired San Francisco 49ers DB coach Joe Woods to be their defensive coordinator.

However, they lost LBs Joe Schobert and Christian Kirksey in free agency.

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Cleveland Browns’ 2020 opponents

OPPONENT LOCATION
Baltimore Ravens Home
Cincinnati Bengals Home
Pittsburgh Steelers Home
Houston Texans Home
Indianapolis Colts Home
Las Vegas Raiders Home
Philadelphia Eagles Home
Washington Redskins Home
Ravens Away
Bengals Away
Steelers Away
Dallas Cowboys Away
Jacksonville Jaguars Away
New York Giants Away
New York Jets Away
Tennessee Titans Away

Cleveland Browns’ 2020 win total: Best bet

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Odds last updated Monday, May 4 at 7:30 a.m. ET.

Projected wins: 8.5 / OVER: -105 / UNDER: -115

The Browns are even more talented than last season when they were expected to be a playoff team. With a first-year coach for the second consecutive season, they play in a traditionally tough division, but have many winnable games on their schedule. With better protection for Mayfield and more weapons, the Browns should be in the mix for a playoff spot. Though the 8.5 wins leave little room for error, this Browns team appears to be able to win between 9-11 games. Take the OVER 8.5 (-105).

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