Brooklyn Nets odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line – Page 4

Toronto Raptors at Golden State Warriors odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Toronto Raptors at Golden State Warriors odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Toronto Raptors (13-15) host the Golden State Warriors (24-5) Saturday at Scotiabank Arena for a 7:30 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Raptors vs. Warriors odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Golden State held off the Boston Celtics 111-107 for its third straight victory Friday and pushed as a 4-point road favorite.

The Warriors are 5-2 straight-up (SU), 2-4-1 ATS and 2-4-1 O/U with the eighth-best non-garbage time efficiency differential (plus-3.8 points per 100 possessions) over the past two weeks, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Toronto lost a 131-129 nailbiter in overtime to the Brooklyn Nets Tuesday but covered as a 4.5-point road underdog. The Raptors are 3-2 SU, 4-1 ATS and 3-2 O/U with the seventh-best non-garbage time efficiency differential (plus-5.0 points per 100 possessions) in the last 14 days, per CTG.

Golden State smoked Toronto 119-104 as an 8.5-point home favorite in their first meeting this season (Nov. 21) with the Over cashing on a 216.5-point total.

Raptors at Warriors odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:25 a.m. ET.

Money line: Warriors +320 (bet $100 to win $320) | Raptors -420 (bet $420 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Warriors +8.5 (-115) | Raptors -8.5 (-107)
Over/Under (O/U): 203.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Raptors at Warriors key injuries

Raptors

C Precious Achiuwa (health and safety protocols) questionable
SF OG Anunoby (hip) questionable

Warriors (not officially submitted)

PG Steph Curry (rest) out
PF Draymond Green (hip) out
SF Andre Iguodala (knee) out
SG Jordan Poole (health and safety protocols) out
SF Otto Porter (foot) out

Deposit $10 or more, get $100 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Raptors at Warriors odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Raptors 117, Warriors 104

Money line

PASS because this is a “scheduled loss” for the Warriors (+320) but the Raptors (-420) is too outrageously high for any NBA regular-season favorite.

Especially in this current COVID surge that has the league scrambling to keep games playing as scheduled.

However, Golden State played a physical, competitive primetime game Friday and Toronto is coming in off of three days rest.

The Warriors have all but waved the white flag as they announced Curry and Green, amongst others, wouldn’t be active for their game against the Raptors.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to the RAPTORS -8.5 (-107) for a small wager — if at all — because Toronto beat Golden State by 53 points in their second meeting last season and that Warriors squad was more talented than the one that’ll play Saturday.

Golden State was missing Curry for that contest but still had Poole, Wiggins and Green and still got clobbered. Toronto has been playing some good basketball recently and is the far healthier side.

It’s RAPTORS -8.5 (-107) or PASS in this game for me.

Over/Under

TAKE the OVER 203.5 (-110) because even the backups get hit open shots in the NBA and we know Golden State head coach Steve Kerr can scheme up some solid offense even with a bunch of G-League players in the rotation.

However, I do think Golden State’s defense suffers the most with all its missing contributors and we saw Toronto run up the score against the Warriors in a similar spot last season.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and, soon, IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1622]

Philadelphia 76ers at Brooklyn Nets odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Philadelphia 76ers at Brooklyn Nets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Philadelphia 76ers (15-13) stop by Barclays Center Thursday for a 7:30 p.m. ET game with the Brooklyn Nets (20-8). Below, we look at the 76ers vs. Nets odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Brooklyn won its third straight game Tuesday by beating the Toronto Raptors 131-129 in overtime but failed to cover as 4.5-point home favorites.

Over the past two weeks, the Nets are 5-2 straight-up (SU), 3-4 ATS and 2-5 O/U with the ninth-best non-garbage time efficiency differential (plus-2.0 points per 100 possessions), according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Philly has lost back-to-back games at the Memphis Grizzlies Monday and vs. the Miami Heat Wednesday.

The Sixers are 4-3 SU, 2-5 ATS and 2-4-1 O/U with the 22nd-best non-garbage time efficiency differential (minus-4.2 points per 100 possessions).

The Nets took down the Sixers 114-109 in their first meeting of the season, Oct. 22, and the Under cashed on the 224-point total.

Kevin Durant was the best player on the floor that night; KD scored 29 points, grabbed 15 boards and threw 12 assists.

76ers at Nets odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:45 p.m. ET.

Money line: 76ers -108 (bet $108 to win $100) | Nets -112 (bet $112 to win $110)
Against the spread (ATS): 76ers +1.5 (-120) | Nets -1.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 216.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

76ers at Nets key injuries

76ers

SG Furkan Korkmaz (health and safety protocols) questionable
PF Georges Niang (health and safety protocols) out

Nets

SG Bruce Brown (health and safety protocols) out
SG James Harden (health and safety protocols) out
SF James Johnson (health and safety protocols) out
PF Paul Millsap (health and safety protocols) out
C LaMarcus Aldridge (health and safety protocols) out
SF DeAndre’ Bembry (health and safety protocols) out
SG Joe Harris (ankle) out

76ers at Nets odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

76ers 106, Nets 101

Money line

BET the 76ERS (-108+) for 1 unit because the Nets (-112) will only have three bigs in their rotation, and Philly has two All-Star bigs – including All-NBA Second-Team C Joel Embiid.

Also, KD has been ballin’ recently and Brooklyn plays the highest volume of isolation offense. But, Philly has the best defensive efficiency vs. iso-ball, and Sixers wing Matisse Thybulle is one of the best on-ball defenders in the NBA.

Furthermore, Thybulle spent most of his time defending Harden in the first 76ers-Nets meeting this season, so now with Harden inactive for this game, Thybulle’s defensive tenacity can be used against KD.

Lastly, not only are the Sixers much healthier but they should’ve beaten the Nets in their first meeting when both teams were at full health. Philly squandered a 14-point lead and was up 12 points in the fourth quarter.

BET 76ERS (-108) for 1 unit.

Against the spread

PASS since the 76ers +1.5 (-120) is hardly any insurance for our Philly money line wager. For what it’s worth, the market is hammering the Nets -1.5 (-105) in this spot (according to the Yahoo! Sports app).

On top of that, Philly is 9-7 ATS on the road, Brooklyn is an NBA’s worst 3-10-1 ATS at home, and the Nets have failed to cover the spread in their past six home games.

Over/Under

With so much firepower out of the picture in this tilt, 216.5 is a pretty tall task. You can bet UNDER 216.5 (-110) with confidence.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1622]

Toronto Raptors at Brooklyn Nets odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Toronto Raptors at Brooklyn Nets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Toronto Raptors (13-14) visit the Barclays Center to play the Brooklyn Nets (19-8) Tuesday at 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Raptors vs. Nets odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Toronto hammered the Sacramento Kings last night (Monday) for its second straight victory. The Raptors are 4-2 straight-up (SU), 4-2 ATS and 2-4 O/U with the eighth-best non-garbage time efficiency differential over the past two weeks, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Brooklyn has also won two consecutive games with the latest coming on the road, 116-104, vs. the Detroit Pistons Sunday. In the last 14 days, the Nets are 5-2 SU, 3-4 ATS and 2-5 O/U with the 15th-ranked non-garbage time efficiency differential per CTG.

The Nets handled business in a 116-103 victory over the Raptors Nov. 7 in their first meeting of the season, and the Over cashed on a 211-point total. Kevin Durant scored a game-high 31 points on 57.9% shooting with 7 rebounds and 7 assists.

Also see: Bet Slippin’ Podcast: NBA December 14 breakdown

Raptors at Nets odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:50 p.m. ET.

Money line: Raptors +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Nets -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Raptors +5.5 (-112) | Nets -5.5 (-108)
Over/Under (O/U): 215.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Raptors at Nets key injuries

Raptors

C Precious Achiuwa (health and safety protocols) out
F OG Anunoby (hip) out
C Khem Birch (knee) out

Nets

SF Kevin Durant (ankle) questionable
C LaMarcus Aldridge (illness) out
SG Joe Harris (ankle) out
PF Paul Millsap (health and safety protocols) out

Raptors at Nets odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Nets 110, Raptors 105

Money line

PASS since Brooklyn is obviously the right side, but I wouldn’t lay it with the Nets (-220) or pay that steep of a price for any NBA regular-season favorite for that matter.

Also, I only “lean” to Toronto plus the points and don’t like the Raptors enough in this spot to “sprinkle” on their money line.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to the RAPTORS +5.5 (-112) because I envision this game being a defensive battle (more on that below), and Toronto is the second-best spread differential on the road this year (plus-7.0 ATS margin).

Also, over the past two weeks, the Raptors have stepped up their defense: Toronto ranks third in points per 100 possessions allowed in competitive times during that span (CTG). And Brooklyn has struggled to take care of business vs. elite defenses.

For instance, the Nets are 3-6 SU with a minus-5.3 points efficiency differential and the worst spread differential in the NBA (minus-8.3) vs. teams in the top-10 of defensive efficiency, per CTG.

However, I can only “LEAN” to the RAPTORS +5.5 (-112) because of their lengthy injury report, and Anunoby was the only Toronto player that played good defense vs. KD in the first Raptors-Nets meeting this season.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 215.5 (-110) for 1 unit, because not only has Toronto played better defense recently, but Brooklyn’s defense is very underrated.

In fact, the Nets are seventh in non-garbage time defensive rating (CTG) and have the best defensive effective field goal shooting (eFG%) in the NBA.

On the other hand, the Raptors have the fifth-worst eFG%, are 25th in 3-point attempt rate and have the third-worst offensive FT/FGA rate.

Furthermore, both teams attempt a high volume of mid-range jumpers, but both teams are in the top-10 of defensive shooting percentage vs. mid-range field goals. Plus Brooklyn plays the highest volume of iso-ball, and Toronto has the second-best defensive efficiency vs. isolation offense.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1622]

Brooklyn Nets at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Brooklyn Nets at Atlanta Hawks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Brooklyn Nets (17-8) travel to the Big Peach Friday for a 7:30 p.m. ET game against the Atlanta Hawks (13-12) at State Farm Center. Below, we look at the Nets vs. Hawks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

A Kevin Durant-less Nets squad lost to the Houston Rockets 114-104 as 3.5-point road favorites Wednesday. Brooklyn is 3-3 straight-up (SU), 1-5 ATS and 1-5 O/U with the 17th-best non-garbage time efficiency differential over the past two weeks, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.

Atlanta roasted the Timberwolves 121-110 in Minnesota its last time out but are also 3-3 SU in the last two weeks. The Hawks are 3-3 ATS and 4-2 O/U with the eighth-best non-garbage time efficiency differential.

The Nets handled the Hawks 117-108 as 4.5-point home favorites on a 221.5-point total in their first meeting of the season, Nov. 3. KD scored a game-high 32 points, but Atlanta won three of the “four factors.”

Also see: Bet Slippin’ Podcast: NBA December 10 breakdown

Nets at Hawks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2 p.m. ET.

Money line: Nets +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Hawks -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Nets +2.5 (-108) | Hawks -2.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 228.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Nets at Hawks key injuries

Nets

SG Joe Harris (ankle) out

Hawks

SF Cam Reddish (illness) probable
SF De’Andre Hunter (knee) out
SG Bogdan Bogdanovic (foot) out

Nets at Hawks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Hawks 118, Nets 113

Money line

GIMME the HAWKS (-140) because this is a get-right spot to snap a current three-game home losing streak and since the Nets (+115) have struggled vs. top-tier offenses thus far.

For instance, despite losing its last three home games, Atlanta is 8-4 at home with a plus-8.2 efficiency differential, which ranks fourth in the NBA. Also. the Hawks have the second-best non-garbage time offensive efficiency in the league.

On the other hand, Brooklyn is just 2-6 overall vs. teams with a top-10 offensive rating with a minus-8.3 efficiency differential (ranked 22nd) and a minus-12.6 ATS margin (ranked dead-last).

Lastly, Atlanta’s pick-and-roll (PnR) action should be effective vs. Brooklyn. According to ShotQuality.com, the Hawks generate the most shots off of PnR plays while the Nets are 22nd in shot quality allowed vs. PnR action.

TAKE THE HAWKS (-140).

Against the spread

PASS since Atlanta’s money line is 28 cents on the dollar more expensive than the Hawks -2.5 (-112) and we don’t have to sweat Atlanta winning by a margin over a Brooklyn team that’s expected to compete for the NBA Finals.

Over/Under

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 228.5 (-108) for a tiny wager if at all because I much prefer Atlanta’s money line more than any other bet in this game. That said, there’s a ton of firepower on both sides and three of the past four Nets-Hawks meetings have gone Over the total.

However, we are getting the worst of the number as this total opened at 224 (according to Pregame.com) and has been steamed up to the current price by all the pro-Over wagers.

I hate following the herd in sports betting, so I may not touch the total come game time. But, if I were to bet it, either way, it would be the OVER 228.5 (-108).

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1622]

Brooklyn Nets at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Brooklyn Nets at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Brooklyn Nets (16-7) visit the Dallas Mavericks (11-11) Tuesday at American Airlines Center for a cross-conference clash at 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Nets vs. Mavericks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Brooklyn has won six of the past eight games – but is just 2-6 ATS – with the latest being a 111-107 home loss to the Chicago Bulls Saturday. The Nets are 9-14 ATS and 10-13 O/U with the sixth-best net rating (plus-3.6).

Dallas is just 2-7 overall and 4-5 ATS over the past nine, which includes back-to-back losses to the New Orleans Pelicans and Memphis Grizzlies. The Mavs are 9-13 ATS and 8-13-1 O/U with the 23rd-best net rating (minus-1.8).

The Mavs thumped the Nets in both regular-season meetings last season and the Under cashed in each.

Nets at Mavericks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:20 p.m. ET.

Money line: Nets -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Mavericks +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
Against the spread (ATS): Nets -2.5 (-110) | Mavericks +2.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 222.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Nets at Mavericks key injuries

Nets

SG Joe Harris (ankle) out

Mavericks

PF Kristaps Porzingis (knee) probable
PG Luka Doncic (ankle) probable
SG Tim Hardaway Jr. (knee) probable
C Willie Cauley-Stein (personal) out

Nets at Mavericks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 113, Nets 108

Money line

Slight “LEAN” on the MAVERICKS (+115) if at all because I “like” Dallas plus the points and this is a solid payout to sprinkle on top of.

There are several more pro-Nets (-140) arguments so the Mavs’ spread is the better wager. However, no one is betting Dallas according to the Yahoo! Sports app and Pregame.com so there’s a ton of value in the Mavericks here.

Against the spread

Definitely BET the MAVERICKS +2.5 (-110) heavier than or instead of the money line because this number has been steamed up a half point by the market based on no new information.

The oddsmakers have access to the same data we do and understand Dallas’ recent performance and current health situation. Nearly 90% of the market is on Brooklyn in this spot and it’s typically profitable fading such lopsided betting markets, especially in prime-time sporting events.

Dallas beat Brooklyn twice last season and was a 2.5-point home underdog in the second meeting. The Nets got productive games from PG Kyrie Irving (45 points) and PF Kevin Durant (20 points) and still lost 113-109 in May.

I’d argue last year’s Brooklyn team was better than this current version even though the Nets are first in the East. The absence of Harris hurts Brooklyn’s floor spacing and makes it easier to defend KD and SG James Harden when they try to go one-on-one.

Lastly, the Nets have piled up wins but have covered only two of their last nine games. In fact, Brooklyn has one more ATS loss than Dallas this season. The Mavs should be motivated considering their .500 record and this being a home prime-time game against the best team in the East.

Over/Under

PASS since a vast majority of the market is on the Over and the one-sided betting action has steamed the Nets-Mavericks total up from the 215.5-point opener.

Several sportsbooks have this total lined at 219, so if you’re in New Jersey or Colorado, I’d sprinkle on the 217.5 (-115). Even at that number, we’d still be getting to the party late, but at least we’re getting a very good price.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1622]

Chicago Bulls at Brooklyn Nets odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Chicago Bulls at Brooklyn Nets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Chicago Bulls (15-8) play the Brooklyn Nets (16-6) Saturday in a battle of the first- and second-place teams in the Eastern Conference. Tip-off from Barclays Center is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Bulls vs. Nets odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Chicago has won three of its last four games including back-to-back victories over the Charlotte Hornets Monday and the New York Knicks Thursday. The Bulls are 15-8 ATS and 11-12 O/U with the fourth-best net rating (plus-4.7).

Brooklyn has won six of its last seven games (2-5 ATS) and also enter on a two-game win streak. Those wins were against the Knicks Tuesday and the Minnesota Timberwolves Friday. The Nets are 9-13 ATS and 10-12 O/U with the sixth-best net rating (plus-4.0).

The Nets won two of three regular-season meetings with the Bulls last year (2-1 ATS) and the Under cashed in all three contests.

Bulls at Nets odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1 p.m. ET.

Money line: Bulls +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Nets -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Bulls +2.5 (-107) | Nets -2.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 222.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Bulls at Nets key injuries

Bulls

SG Alex Caruso (hamstring) questionable
SG Javonte Green (health and safety protocols) out
PG Coby White (health and safety protocols) out

Nets (not officially submitted)

SG Joe Harris (ankle) out

Bulls at Nets odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Nets 118, Bulls 111

Money line

BET the NETS (-140) for 1.25 units because their win probability based on that money line is 58.3%. I think Brooklyn wins this game outright more than 60.0% of the time and the Nets should be laying around -160.

This would be an awesome NBA JAM game featuring four of the best scorers in the league, but I’ll go with the team that has two former MVPs (Brooklyn).

Furthermore, F Kevin Durant is a sneaky good defender and I expect KD to win his matchup against Bulls wing DeMar DeRozan handily. If Caruso cannot suit up then Chicago’s perimeter and on-ball defense will be significantly weakened.

Both of these squads like to filter their offense through their scoring options, running a lot of isolation offense and attempting crafty long-mid-range jumpers. However, Chicago’s defense has the third-worst efficiency against isolation offense.

We also have a “Pros vs. Joe’s” scenario in the betting market, according to Pregame.com — slightly more money is on Brooklyn’s money line but there is a higher percentage of actual bets on Chicago at the time of publication.

The bottom line is this game is priced as if these are even teams and I don’t think we’ve seen enough out of the Bulls to say that. I “LIKE” the NETS (-140) to knock the Bulls down a peg Saturday.

Against the spread

PASS with a heavy “lean” to the Nets -2.5 (-115) because they are the right side and should cover that number.

However, Brooklyn’s money line is only 25 cents on the dollar more expensive than the Nets -2.5 (-115) so I’d rather stick with that.

Over/Under

PASS with a “lean” to the Over 222.5 (-108) because with all the firepower on both sides I think we could get an explosive offensive outing. Plus both teams are very efficient in isolation offense and very inefficient versus iso ball on the defensive end of the floor.

However, a vast majority of the market has already steamed the Bulls-Nets total up from the 219.5-point opener to the current number. I hate following a crowd of people in sports betting and I don’t have a strong enough handicap of this total to get down money.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1622]

Minnesota Timberwolves at Brooklyn Nets odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Minnesota Timberwolves at Brooklyn Nets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Minnesota Timberwolves (11-11) meet the Brooklyn Nets (15-6) Friday at Barclays Center for a 7:30 p.m. ET game. Below, we look at the Timberwolves vs. Nets odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Brooklyn has won five of its past six games (2-4 ATS), which includes a 112-110 victory over the New York Knicks Monday. The Nets are 9-12 ATS and 10-11 O/U with the fifth-best net rating.

Minnesota has won seven of the last nine games (6-3 ATS) but lost its most recent, 115-107, at the Washington Wizards Wednesday. The T-Wolves are 10-12 ATS and 9-13 O/U with the 11th-best net rating.

The Nets beat the T-Wolves in both regular-season meetings last year and the Under cashed in each game.

Also See: Bet Slippin’ Podcast: NBA December 3 breakdown

Timberwolves at Nets odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:30 p.m. ET.

Money line: Timberwolves +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Nets -340 (bet $340 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Timberwolves +7.5 (-115) | Nets -7.5 (-107)
Over/Under (O/U): 222.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Timberwolves at Nets key injuries

Timberwolves

SF Anthony Edwards (illness) probable
F Jaden McDaniels (illness) probable
C Karl-Anthony Towns (back) questionable
PG Patrick Beverley (groin) out

Nets

SG Joe Harris (ankle) out

Timberwolves at Nets odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Nets 114, Timberwolves 111

Money line

PASS with a heavy “lean” to the Timberwolves (+260) because I’ll generally sprinkle on an underdog’s money line when betting them to cover. However, there’s no way I can bet Minnesota outright before Karl-Anthony Towns‘ game status is officially announced.

Also, Brooklyn is a more bankable team in close-game situations. For instance, the Nets are 7-1 overall in the clutch (defined by a game within a five-point margin with five minutes remaining) with a plus-38.7 net rating. The T-Wolves are 5-6 overall in the clutch with a minus-27.7 net rating.

Against the spread

BET 1 unit on the TIMBERWOLVES +7.5 (-115) because they match up well with Brooklyn stylistically, Minnesota has been hit by “sharp money”, and the Nets have underperformed at home thus far.

For instance, Brooklyn attempts the most shots out of isolation offense, the third-highest volume of mid-range jumpers, and the fifth-most shots out of the post, according to ShotQuality.com.

Whereas Minnesota’s defense is second in shot quality allowed vs. isolation offense and 11th in defensive mid-range field goal percentage.

Plus the T-Wolves get a bunch of easy buckets and the Nets allow easy buckets. Minnesota averages the most points off turnovers, most second-chance points and the 10th-most fastbreak points per game.

Brooklyn’s defense allows the 23rd-worst points off turnovers, 18th-worst second-chance points, and 29th-worst fastbreak points per game. Furthermore, the Nets are 24th in putback plays per miss and the T-Wolves score points per miss on putbacks, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.

Lastly, Minnesota opened as an 8-point underdog but early action has steamed the T-Wolves down to the current price. While I’m nervous about KAT’s game status, apparently the “wiseguys” are not.

Let’s follow the money and BET TIMBERWOLVES +7.5 (-115).

Over/Under

PASS because I could make cases for both sides of the total.

Both teams play at an above-average pace and we’ve already discussed how Minnesota can score easy buckets. But, few players make scoring look easier than Nets’ superstars Kevin Durant and James Harden.

That said, the T-Wolves have the seventh-best defensive effective field goal percentage (eFG%) and the Nets are first in defensive eFG%.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1622]

New York Knicks at Brooklyn Nets odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Knicks at Brooklyn Nets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Knicks (11-9) take a short commute to Barclays Center for a 7:30 p.m. ET game against the Brooklyn Nets (14-6) Tuesday. Below, we look at the Knicks vs. Nets odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

New York has alternated between winning and losing over its last eight games (3-5 ATS) with the latest being a 99-90 victory Saturday at the Atlanta Hawks. The Knicks are 9-11 ATS and 7-13 O/U with the 17th-best net rating (minus-0.2).

Brooklyn had its four-game win streak snapped Saturday in a 113-107 home loss to the Phoenix Suns. The Nets are 9-11 ATS and 9-11 O/U with the sixth-best net rating (plus-4.0).

The Nets beat the Knicks in all three regular-season meetings last year but New York covered two of those contests and the Over cashed in each game. Also, the Knicks have covered in six of their last seven meetings with the Nets.

Knicks at Nets odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:57 a.m. ET.

Money line: Knicks +210 (bet $100 to win $210) | Nets -270 (bet $270 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Knicks +6.5 (-115) | Nets -6.5 (-107)
Over/Under (O/U): 216.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Knicks at Nets key injuries

Knicks

PG Derrick Rose (ankle) questionable
SF RJ Barrett (illness) questionable
C Taj Gibson (groin) questionable
C Nerlens Noel (knee) questionable

Nets

SG Joe Harris (ankle) out
C Nicolas Claxton (illness) out

Knicks at Nets odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Nets 106, Knicks 103

Money line

PASS with a slight “lean” towards the Knicks (+210) because it’s a fat payout and I like New York getting the points in this game.

However, Brooklyn has a much better clutch net rating and if Knicks-Nets comes down to the final possessions, which it should, then it’s hard to not side with F Kevin Durant in this one.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to the KNICKS +6.5 (-115) for a half-unit because most of the market is on the Nets but I don’t see 6.5 points worth of difference between the current versions of these teams. Also, the Knicks have played much better on the road than the Nets have at home.

New York is 6-3 overall on the road with the fifth-best efficiency differential and fifth-best ATS margin, according to CleaningTheGlass.com. Whereas Brooklyn is 6-4 with the 17th-ranked efficiency differential and 25th-best ATS margin at home.

My hesitation with the Knicks +6.5 (-112) in this spot is New York is going through lineup changes and is still figuring out its best rotations. Knicks head coach Tom Thibodeau announced Monday that PG Kemba Walker is no longer in the rotation and SG Alec Burks will take over as the starter.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 216.5 (-115), which is my favorite play in this contest.

First of all, the Under has been hit by “sharp line movement” as the Knicks-Nets opened with a 217-point total and has been lowered despite more action being on the Over, according to the Yahoo! Sports App.

New York does a good job defending what Brooklyn does often. The Nets play a lot of isolation basketball and attempt a bunch of mid-range jumpers, but the Knicks have the seventh-best defensive efficiency vs. isolation offense and sixth-best defensive field goal percentage vs. mid-range shots per CleaningTheGlass.com.

On top of that, Brooklyn’s defense is underrated. The Nets have the best effective field goal shooting allowed and the eighth-best defensive rating.

Essentially, I’m expecting a rock-fight between two teams that play a lot of isolation basketball and have a combined 16-24 O/U record this year. Plus there might be value in zagging on the trend of all three Knicks-Nets games last season going Over the total.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1622]