2022 Bass Pro Shops Night Race odds, picks and predictions

Looking at the odds for Sunday’s 2022 Bass Pro Shops Night Race at Bristol Motor Speedway with NASCAR expert picks and predictions.

The NASCAR Cup Series is at Bristol Motor Speedway Saturday for the 2022 Bass Pro Shops Night Race. Green flag is scheduled to drop shortly after 7:30 p.m. ET (USA Network). Below we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the 2022 Bass Pro Shops Night Race odds, with NASCAR picks and predictions.

2022 Bass Pro Shops Night Race: What you need to know

  • Hendrick Motorsports driver Kyle Larson picked up the win last fall in the night race, starting 5th
  • Watch qualifying before finalizing your bets. The race winner at Bristol has started 9th or higher in 6 of the last 7 NASCAR Cup Series races.
  • Erik Jones leads all active drivers at Bristol, posting a 12.4 Average-Finish Position (AFP) in 9 career Cup starts
  • Joe Gibbs Racing driver Kyle Busch, soon to be a member of Richard Childress Racing, leads all drivers with 8 wins in his 32 career Cup starts with 2,592 laps led while posting a 13.0 AFP
  • JGR’s Denny Hamlin has 2 wins with 9 top-5 finishes and 15 top-10 runs in 31 career starts at BMS
  • TrackHouse Racing’s Ross Chastain has struggled mightily in his career at Bristol, posting a 26.8 AFP in 5 career Cup starts

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2022 Bass Pro Shops Night Race – Expert pick(s)

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 12:24 p.m. ET.

KYLE BUSCH (+750) made headlines in announcing his plans for 2023 and beyond, as he’ll move to RCR and back behind the wheel of a Chevy. For now, he is in the playoffs, and Bristol has been his race. He is a tremendous value play at this price based on his 8 career wins at the track. Busch owns Thunder Valley, with 2,592 laps led. The next best total is Kevin Harvick, with 1,209 laps led.

2022 Bass Pro Shops Night Race – Long shot

ERIK JONES (+4000) picked up a victory at Darlington in the opening playoff race, surprising everyone. He is a non-playoff driver, but he crashed the party with the historic win for Petty GMS Motorsports. It was the 3rd career win for Jones and the 200th time the No. 43 car appeared on Victory Lane.

Jones leads all drivers with a 12.4 AFP in 9 career Cup starts, and he has never had a DNF at the short track. With 293 laps led, and 4 top-5 finishes, including a runner-up, he is worth a roll of the dice.

2022 Bass Pro Shops Night Race prop pick

ERIK JONES TOP-10 FINISH (+162)

Jones has never won at Bristol, but he came close in August 2017 in the night race with a 2nd-place run. He has 9 career BMS starts, and 5 of those runs have been 10th or better, with 293 laps led. As mentioned above, he is worth a look as a long-shot to win. But he is still a value at plus-money for a top-10 finish.

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