Brentford (14 wins, 9 losses 14 draws) welcomes Manchester City (28-4-5) to Gtech Community Stadium Sunday. Kickoff for this regular-season finale is set for 11:30 a.m. ET. Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brentford vs. Manchester City odds, and make our best EPL bets, picks and predictions.
Unlike last season, Brentford’s offense has been the more notable strength for this team. The Bees, who sit 9th on the EPL table, have averaged 1.54 goals per game and allowed 1.24 this season. They are coming off a 3-1 win at Tottenham Hotspur last weekend and have won 4 of their last 5. F Ivan Toney leads the Bees with 20 goals, but he will be unavailable due to an 8-month suspension for a gambling addiction.
Man City, on the other hand, has already won the league, surging over the last few months, going 14-0-2. City is 11-3-4 on the road this season and is coming off a 1-1 draw at Brighton & Hove Albion. City is led by F Erling Haaland, who has a team-best 36 goals in 35 matches. City, which hasn’t lost since Feb. 5, leads the EPL with 2.54 goals per game this season.
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Brentford vs. Manchester City odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:59 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Brentford +300 (bet $100 to win $300) | Manchester City -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Draw +290
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -175 | U: +125)
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Brentford vs. Manchester City picks and predictions
Prediction
Brentford 2, Manchester City 2
Moneyline (ML)
SPRINKLE DRAW (+290).
Brentford has been on fire as of late, scoring 9 goals in its last 5 matches. The Bees have been able to come out on top consistently as well. They have lost just 2 games at home this season, making it a fortress for the 9th-place side.
While City is the better team, it may be resting Haaland with the Champions League title game and FA Cup title on deck. Considering City doesn’t need this game to reign supreme, it may not put its best foot forward. City has been within an expected goal of its opponent in 3 straight games as well.
With that in mind, it still is the better side and has a deep roster, but for the value, sprinkle a small wager on DRAW (+290).
Over/Under (O/U)
You can bet OVER 2.5 (-175) with the heavy juice, but I prefer the alternate line of OVER 3.5 (+140).
Simply put, Brentford has struggled to defend and has scored at will while Man City has the best attack in the EPL. City has scored 3 or more goals in 6 of its last 10 games and conceded a goal in 7 of those 10 as well.
As for Brentford, it has a surging attack, scoring multiple goals in 4 of its last 5 matches. It has allowed a goal in 8 of its last 10, too. Both sides have a strong attack, and even without Toney, Brentford has been able to find the back of the net.
TAKE OVER 3.5 (+140).
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