Tag: Braves Rays odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

The Atlanta Braves (60-28) and Tampa Bay Rays (57-35) meet Sunday for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch from Tropicana Field is set for 1:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 2-0

Atlanta won 6-1 Saturday as -152 road favorites to take the 1st 2 games of this series. The Braves took a 4-0 lead in the top of the 4th on an 1B Matt Olson’s RBI single and C Sean Murphy’s 3-run homer. The Rays managed to cut the lead to 4-1 on a throwing error in the bottom of the 8th, but the Braves put the game away with a 2-run 9th.

The Braves have won 3 straight games and are 12-1 in their last 13. Headed in the opposite direction are the Rays, who have lost 7 in a row. They’ still have the best home record in the majors at 34-15, while the Braves own the best road record at 30-13.

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Braves at Rays projected starters

RHP Bryce Elder vs. RHP Zach Eflin

Elder (7-1, 2.45 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 through 102 2/3 innings.

• Last outing: Win, 6 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 1 K in 4-2 win at Cleveland Guardians Monday
• Will be 1st career start vs. Rays since MLB debut in 2022

Eflin (9-4, 3.24 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 through 97 1/3 innings.

• Last outing: Loss, 7 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 9 K in 3-1 home loss vs. Philadelphia Phillies Tuesday
• Career vs. Braves (regular season): 6-3, 3.11 ERA (81 IP, 28 ER), 1.15 WHIP, 7.6 K/9 in 16 appearances (13 starts)

Braves at Rays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:06 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Braves -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Rays -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+155) | Rays +1.5 (-190)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Braves at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 4, Rays 3

Moneyline

LEAN BRAVES (-105).

The Braves are the hotter team, and with how dominant they’ve been on the road this season, betting them to complete the sweep is the way to go.

Sure, the Rays are a very good team and have dominated at home, but the Braves are simply the safer choice given Tampa Bay’s 7-game losing streak.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I’m confident that the Rays will cover +1.5 with a good chance of winning straight up, but the -190 juice is simply not worth the risk.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-115).

There are several trends that point to an Under play here.

The Under cashed in the 1st 2 games of this series.

The Under is 7-3 in Atlanta’s last 10 games and 4-1 in Elder’s last 5 starts.

For Tampa Bay, the Under is 3-1 in their last 4 games, 6-4 in their last 10, and 4-1 in Eflin’s last 5 starts.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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The Atlanta Braves (59-28) and Tampa Bay Rays (57-34) meet Saturday for Game 2 of a 3-game series. First pitch from Tropicana Field is set for 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 1-0

Atlanta won 2-1 as -103 road favorites in Game 1 of this series Friday. Tampa Bay started the game out hot with a solo home run in the 1st inning and held that 1-0 lead until the 4th inning. During that inning, C Sean Murphy hit a 2-run home run to give the Braves the lead and ultimately score the only runs for Atlanta during that game. SP Charlie Morton pitched 6 1/3 innings, allowing only 1 run and 2 walks with 6 strikeouts.

The Braves have now won back-to-back games and now sit at 11-1 in their last 12 overall. The Rays have dropped each of their last 6 straight games, including 4 straight home losses. Tampa Bay sits at 34-14 at home on the year while Atlanta sits at 29-13 on the road.

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Braves at Rays projected starters

RHP Spencer Strider vs. RHP Taj Bradley

Strider (10-2, 3.66 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 14.2 K/9 through 98 1/3 IP.

• Last outing: Win, 6 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 9 K in a 6-3 home win Sunday vs. Miami Marlins
• Leads MLB with 155 K’s
• First career start vs. Tampa Bay

Bradley (5-4, 5.27 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 12.1 K/9 through 56 1/3 IP.

• Last outing: No-decision, 3 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 9 H, 1 BB, 3 K in a 7-6 road loss Sunday vs. Seattle Mariners
• 3-2 with a 5.70 ERA, 1.27 WHIP in 5 home starts; 2-2, 4.96 ERA, 1.47 WHIP in 7 road starts
• First career start vs. Atlanta

Braves at Rays odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:45 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Braves -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Rays +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+110) | Rays +1.5 (-135)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Braves at Rays picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 6, Rays 5

Moneyline

BET BRAVES (-150).

The Braves are so much hotter than Tampa Bay, and all trends suggest that the Braves should win this game. The Braves are 9-1 in their last 10 overall while the Rays are 3-7 in their last 10. The Braves are also 5-0 in Strider’s last 5 starts; whereas the Rays are 2-3 in Bradley’s last 5 starts, including back-to-back losses.

Run line/Against the spread

LEAN RAYS +1.5 (-135). 

The Rays are the much colder team but are still one of the best teams in the league. Both teams are evenly matched as they are 5-5 in the last 10 Atlanta-Tampa Bay meetings, and the last game finished with a 1-run margin. I don’t see this game being a blowout.

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Over/Under

LEAN OVER 8.5 (-105). 

For Atlanta the Over is 3-2 in Strider’s last 5 starts, and for Tampa Bay, the Over has hit in 3-straight Bradley starts and 4 of his last 5 starts overall. The Over is also 7-3 in the last 10 matchups overall and 4-2 in the last 6 meetings overall.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @payton_shanks on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

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