Tag: Braves Orioles odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

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The Atlanta Braves (35-30) and Baltimore Orioles (45-22) meet Thursday for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is set for 1:05 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Baltimore leads 2-0

Baltimore beat Atlanta 4-2 Wednesday to take a 2-0 series lead while cashing as a -113 home favorite. RF Colton Cowser hit a go-ahead 2-run shot in the 8th to break the 2-2 tie. The Orioles have won each of their last 6 games.

RHP Joe Jimenez picked up the loss, allowing 2 ER on 3 hits and 0 walks with 2 K’s in 1 inning of relief. Atlanta has dropped each of its last 5 contests.

Braves at Orioles projected starters

RHP Reynaldo Lopez vs. LHP Cole Irvin

Lopez (3-2, 1.85 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 63 1/3 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 5-2 win at Washington Nationals Thursday
• Career vs. Baltimore: 1-2, 3.24 ERA (16 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 1.32 WHIP, 8.6 K/9 in 2 starts and 7 relief appearances

Irvin (6-2, 2.87 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 in 62 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 6-3 win at Tampa Bay Rays Friday
• Career vs. Atlanta: 0-0, 10.62 ERA (20 1/3 IP, 24 ER), 2.26 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 in 2 starts and 5 relief appearances

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Braves at Orioles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:05 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Braves -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Orioles -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+155) | Orioles +1.5 (-190)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Braves at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 3, Braves 2

Moneyline

LEAN ORIOLES (-115).

Baltimore is 6-0 in its last 6 games and 8-2 in its last 10, while Atlanta has lost 5 straight and is 3-7 in its last 10. The Orioles are also 3-2 in the last 5 meetings.

This is only a lean because Atlanta is 4-3 in the last 5 meetings in Baltimore.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I expect Baltimore to cover here as a +1.5 (-190) underdog, but the line is not worth betting on at this price. Bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 9 (-115).

The Under has hit in 3 consecutive home games for the Orioles. For Atlanta, the Under is 4-2 in its last 6 road games and 6-4 in its last 10 overall. The Under has also hit in 3 straight Atlanta-Baltimore matchups and is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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The Atlanta Braves (35-29) visit the Baltimore Orioles (44-22) Wednesday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 6:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 1-0.

The Braves have lost 4 games in a row after falling 4-0 against the Orioles Tuesday and failing to cover as -141 road favorites. DH Marcell Ozuna was the only Atlanta player to have multiple hits while LHP Max Fried allowed 4 ER in 5 innings to pick up the loss.

Baltimore has won 5 games in a row after Tuesday’s win while covering as a +123 home favorite. SS Jorge Mateo led the way on offense with a 3-run homer while RHP Albert Suarez allowed 0 ER in 5 1/3 innings to pick up the win.

Braves at Orioles projected starters

RHP Spencer Schwellenback vs. LHP Cade Povich

Schwellenbach (0-2, 8.38 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.55 WHIP, 2.79 BB/9 and 8.38 K/9 through 9 2/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 9-0 loss at Boston Red Sox Wednesday.
• In his first 2 games in the MLB, he has allowed 9 ER and 2 HR while walking 3 and striking out 9.

Povich (0-1, 10.13 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 1.69 WHIP, 6.75 BB/9 and 3.38 K/9 through 5 1/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 2 K in 6-5 loss at Toronto Blue Jays Thursday.
• In 11 games in the minors this season, he went 5-1 with a 3.18 ER and a 1.11 WHIP.

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Braves at Orioles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Braves +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Orioles -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves +1.5 (-190) | Orioles -1.5 (+155)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Braves at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 6, Braves 5

Moneyline

LEAN ORIOLES (-125).

The Orioles are 7-3 in their last 10 games including 5-0 in their last 5. They have held opponents to 3 or fewer runs in each of their last 5 games while scoring 4 or more in each game during that span. The Braves are just 4-6 in their last 10 including 0-4 in their last 4 and 1-5 in their last 6 on the road. Wednesday will be a battle between 2 rookie starting pitchers with 3 games total experience combined.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There is minimal value on the run line in this matchup.

Over/Under

BET OVER 9 (+100).

With both pitchers having an 8.30 ERA or above through their first few starts, going against 2 of the top offenses in the MLB, the Over has a strong chance of hitting. The Braves have hit the Over in 2 of their last 3 games while the Orioles have scored 5 or more runs in 7 of their last 9.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @seth_orlemann on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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