The Atlanta Braves (100-59) open their final 3-game series of the regular season Monday on the road against the Miami Marlins (65-92). First pitch is 6:40 p.m. ET at loanDepot Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Braves vs. Marlins odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Braves lead 12-4
The Braves are coming off a 3-game sweep of the New York Mets, taking a 2-game lead in the NL East with 3 games to play. They have won 7 of their last 8 games and 12 of their last 16.
The Marlins took 3 of 4 games on the road against the Milwaukee Brewers and have won 6 of their last 9 games.
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Braves at Marlins projected starters
RHP Bryce Elder vs. LHP Jesus Luzardo
Elder (2-3, 2.76 ERA) makes his 9th start and 10th appearance in his rookie season. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 49 IP.
- Is 0-1 with 1.53 ERA in 3 starts against the Marlins
- Has a 0.65 ERA in his last 4 starts and threw a complete-game 6-hit, 6-K shutout last Monday vs. the Washington Nationals
Luzardo (3-7, 3.53 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 in 94 1/3 IP.
- Is 1-1 with 4.50 ERA in 2 starts vs. Atlanta
- Marlins have lost his last 9 starts and are 3-14 when he pitches
Braves at Marlins odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:29 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Braves -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Marlins +133 (bet $100 to win $133)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+107) | Marlins +1.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)
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Braves at Marlins picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 5, Marlins 3
Moneyline
The Braves have won 8 straight games against the Marlins.
The Marlins have lost the last 9 times Luzardo has started. They are only 32-46 at home.
The Braves can clinch at least a tie of the division title with a win.
Elder has been nearly unhittable for more than a month.
Take the BRAVES (-165).
Run line/Against the spread
Nine of the Braves’ 12 wins over the Marlins have been by at least 2 runs. Eight of their last 10 wins overall have been by multiple runs.
The Marlins are 77-82 ATS overall and 29-49 ATS at home, the 2nd-worst mark in all of baseball.
Take the BRAVES -1.5 (+107).
Over/Under
Six of the Braves’ last 9 games have had 8 or more total runs.
The Marlins’ last 4 games have had 7 or fewer runs.
The 16 games between the 2 teams have been split down the middle with half finishing with 8 or more runs and half with 7 or fewer.
Three of Elder’s last 4 starts and 3 of Luzardo’s last 5 have had 7 or fewer total runs.
I lean OVER 7.5 (+105).
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