The Atlanta Braves (57-28) and the Cleveland Guardians (42-43) wrap up a 3-game interleague series Wednesday at Progressive Field. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Series tied 1-1 after Cleveland’s 6-5 win in 10 innings Tuesday
The Braves saw their 9-game winning streak snapped Tuesday night. Atlanta had a 4-2 lead heading to the bottom of the 6th inning, but Cleveland scored 3 runs to take the 5-4 lead. The Braves tied it up in the top of the 9th to force extras, but the Guardians walked it off with an OF David Fry game-winning RBI single.
The Guardians have won 3 of their past 4 games, all against interleague opponents. All 3 of the victories have come as an underdog, too. The Guardians have alternated Over and Under results in each of the past 15 games dating back to June 18.
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Braves at Guardians projected starters
RHP Michael Soroka vs. RHP Cal Quantrill
Soroka (1-1, 6.89 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.53 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 15 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 7 K in a 16-4 home win vs. the Miami Marlins Friday
- 2023 road splits: 0-1, 8.38 ERA (9 2/3 IP, 9 ER – 3 HR), 6 BB, 5 K, .300 OBA in 2 starts
Quantrill (2-5, 6.18 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 5.0 K/9 through 62 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 3 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 1 K in a 10-1 road loss vs. the Chicago Cubs Friday
- 2023 home splits: 1-3, 6.04 ERA (25 1/3 IP, 17 ER – 2 HR), 12 BB, 13 K, .268 OBA in 5 starts
Braves at Guardians odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:55 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Braves -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Guardians +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (-110) | Guardians +1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Braves at Guardians picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 8, Guardians 4
Moneyline
The BRAVES (-165) are moderate favorites as they look for a bounceback after their first loss in 10 games.
Soroka has been shaky on the road in his 2 assignments so far but Quantrill has been erratic regardless of the venue. This should be a high-scoring affair, with the Atlanta offense teeing off on the Cleveland right-hander. The Guardians just don’t have the offense to keep up in a battle of poor pitchers.
Run line/Against the spread
The BRAVES -1.5 (-110) are a solid play on the run line as favorites. While the Guardians have covered in 3 of the past 4 as an underdog on the run line, Atlanta is the play here.
In the past 8 games as a favorite, the Braves have covered on the run line in 7 outings.
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Over/Under
OVER 10 (-105) is a big number, but with Soroka and Quantrill facing each other, we should see plenty of runs for both sides.
The Over is 5-2 in the past 7 contests in Game 3 of a series, while going 4-1 in the past 5 interleague road games. The Over is 8-2 in Atlanta’s past 10 road games against a right-handed starting pitcher, too.
The Over is 4-1 in the past 5 for the Guardians against teams with a winning percentage of .600 or higher, too, while cashing in 11 of the past 16 against NL East foes.
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