Atlanta Braves at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Atlanta Braves at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The battle between two division leaders continues Saturday as the NL East-leading Atlanta Braves (76-69) try to even their road series against the NL West-leading San Francisco Giants (96-52). First pitch is scheduled for 9:05 p.m. ET at Oracle Park. Let’s analyze the lines around the Braves vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Braves RHP Charlie Morton (13-5, 3.49 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 through 165 IP.

  • Morton has allowed more than 3 runs just once in his last 12 starts; he allowed 2 or fewer runs in eight of those outings.
  • The Braves have won seven of Morton’s last eight road starts.

Giants LHP Alex Wood (10-4, 4.08 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 through 125 2/3 IP.

  • The Giants are 16-7 in his starts this season and have won his last six at home, dating back to June 26.
  • The Giants have won six of his last seven starts overall.

Braves at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:32 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Braves +102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Giants -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Braves +1.5 (-205) | Giants -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Prediction

Giants 6, Braves 3

Money line (ML)

The Giants have the most wins in baseball and have won 12 of their last 15 games. They are 41-33 against teams with a winning record.

The Braves have dropped three games in a row and four of their last five. They are only 28-37 against winning teams.

The two teams have split four games so far this season.

This is a great pitching matchup, but take the GIANTS (-125).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Giants have the best ATS record in all of baseball at 89-59, while the Braves are 68-77 ATS. However, the Braves are sixth in the majors with a 43-29 road ATS record.

That is countered by the Giants’ 40-33 home ATS record.

San Francisco is 10-5 ATS in their last 15 games but has failed to cover the spread in three straight outings. They have only had two longer streaks without covering this season.

Take the GIANTS -1.5 (+165).

Over/Under (O/U)

10 of the Giants’ last 12 games have finished with totals of 8 or more runs.

Nine of the last 11 for the Braves have, too.

Three of the four games between the teams this season have had 8 or more combined runs.

Take OVER 7.5 (-130).

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Atlanta Braves at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Atlanta Braves at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (95-52) open a three-game set with the Atlanta Braves (76-68) Friday at Oracle Park. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Braves vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Braves lead 2-1.

RHP Ian Anderson is Atlanta’s projected starter. Anderson is 7-5 with a 3.61 ERA (109 2/3 IP, 44 ER), 1.30 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 across 21 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 6-2, with 5 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB and 9 K Sept. 10 vs. the Miami Marlins.
  • Anderson picked up a win Aug. 29 against the Giants with a stat line of 5 2/3 IP, 4 H, 2 BB and 0 K in Atlanta’s 9-0 victory.
  • vs. Giants on the current roster (24 PA): 4.35 FIP with a .190 batting average (BA), .234 wOBA, .394 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 0.0 K% and 84.0 mph exit velocity (EV).

RHP Logan Webb gets the nod for the Giants. Webb is 10-3 with a 2.80 ERA (125 1/3 IP, 39 ER), 1.11 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 over 22 starts and one relief appearance.

  • Last outing: Win, 6-5, with 6 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 2 BB and 5 K Sunday at the Chicago Cubs.
  • Webb got a win against Atlanta Aug. 28 with 7 IP, 5 H, 1 BB and 6 K in San Francisco’s 5-0 victory.
  • vs. Braves on the current roster (45 PA): 1.47 FIP with a .195 BA, .209 wOBA, .358 xSLG, 24.4 K% and 88.6 mph EV.

Braves at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 4:06 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Braves +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Giants -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Braves +1.5 (-145) | Giants -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -115 | U:-107)

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Prediction

Braves 5, Giants 4

Money line (ML)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Braves (+145) since I see value in their run line. However, I’m staying away because Atlanta is 6-7 in September while San Francisco is 11-4 and Webb has been awesome at home.

Webb is 5-0 at home with a 1.66 ERA (3.68 road ERA), 0.96 WHIP (1.23 road WHIP) and a 4.9 K/BB (3.6 K/BB on the road).

Also, there’s been a “sharp” line move toward San Francisco who’s number has been increased since the betting market for Braves-Giants has opened.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

“LEAN” to the BRAVES +1.5 (-145) only because it’s on the fringe of my price range and Atlanta’s run line has been decreased even though it has more money wagered on it.

I’m encouraged there’s more money on the Braves and more bets on the Giants because it’s typically wiser to follow the money in those situations. Plus Atlanta is 21-9 ATS as a road underdog.

On top of that, San Francisco’s bullpen has struggled this month and Atlanta can certainly sneak in the backdoor even if Webb has a strong start. In September, Giants relievers rank 22nd or worse in K-BB%, SIERA and xFIP while Atlanta’s bullpen is top 10 in each of those categories.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” OVER 7.5 (-115) because San Francisco’s lineup has been raking in September (ranked second in wRC+, wOBA and WAR) and the Over is more expensive even though far more money has been wagered on the Under, according to Pregame.com at the time of publication.

Maybe this is too square, but this total seems too low even though Webb has been lights out at home.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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