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The Atlanta Braves (63-34) and Milwaukee Brewers (55-44) wrap up their 3-game series in Milwaukee on Sunday. First pitch at American Family Field is slated for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Brewers and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1
The Braves lost to Milwaukee 4-3 on Saturday and have lost 5 of 8 games since the All-Star break. Atlanta is allowing nearly 7 runs per game over their last 7. The NL East leaders have won 9 of 11 games against the NL Central this season.
Milwaukee won its 6th game since the All-Star break on Saturday after Friday’s 6-4 loss to the Braves. Over the last 8 games, the Brewers have held opponents under 3 runs per game. The NL Central-leading Brewers are 9-3 against the NL East this season.
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Braves at Brewers projected starters
RHP Bryce Elder vs. RHP Julio Teheran
Elder (7-2, 3.31 ERA) will make his 20th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 7 K/9 in 108 2/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 2 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 4 K in a 16-13 home loss vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Tuesday
- 2023 away splits: 4-1, 2.83 ERA (47 2/3 IP, 15 ER), .223 OBA in 8 starts
- First start vs. the Brewers
Teheran (2-4, 4.01 ERA) will make his 10th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 in 51 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 3 K in a 4-3 loss at the Philadelphia Phillies Tuesday
- 2023 home splits: 1-1, 3.10 ERA (29 IP, 10 ER), .212 OBA in 5 starts
- First start vs. the Braves
Braves at Brewers odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:55 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Braves -178 (bet $178 to win $100) | Brewers +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (-111) | Brewers +1.5 (-108)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -118 | U: -104)
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Braves at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Brewers 6, Braves 4
Moneyline
LEAN BREWERS (+150)
When you’ve got a red-hot team playing at home getting such juicy odds, it’s worth a bet even if it’s just half a unit.
I also believe in the revenge narrative. Teheran pitches for the 1st time against the team that developed him and thet he played 9 season with. He should have a little extra chip on his shoulder heading into this game.
Run line/Against the spread
BET BREWERS +1.5 (-108).
I really like this bet a lot and you aren’t having to pay much more than a unit to get that run and a half.
After a fantastic start to the season, Elder has struggled in his last 2 starts, allowing 12 ER in 6 IP. While Teheran has not been much better his last 2 starts (10 ER in 10 2/3 IP), at home he’s been better. He’s allowed 2 ER or fewer in 3 of his last 4 starts at American Family Field.
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Over/Under
I lean to the OVER 9.5 (-118). You’ve got 2 starters who have allowed a combined 31 ER over their last 6 starts. Atlanta has one of the best offenses in baseball despite being in a bit of a slump to start the 2nd half of the season. And the Brewers have scored at least 4 runs in each of their last 4 games.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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