Tag: BPI

Florida favored by BPI over Colorado in NCAA Tournament first round

The Basketball Power Index prediction for the Florida-Colorado game is looking good for the Gators.

Florida basketball is getting set for its first NCAA Tournament action in three years. Now that the play-in game on Wednesday night determined that the Colorado Buffaloes will face the Gators, the opening matchup is finally set.

Using the Basketball Power Index, ESPN is giving the Gators a 62.6% win probability and a projection to come out victorious by 3.5 points over the Buffaloes. The matchup quality earns an 88.4-point grade, making it the fourth-highest-rated game on Friday.

“BPI is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of performance going forward,” the site reads. “BPI represents how many points above or below average a team is… Game predictions account for opponent strength, pace of play, site, travel distance, day’s rest and altitude, and are used to simulate the season 10,000 times to produce season projections.”

Florida is ranked No. 29 in the NET rankings, while Colorado is No. 25. However, the Orange and Blue are the higher seed, coming in at No. 7 while the Buffs are a No. 10 seed in the tournament thanks to their play-in win.

The Gators take on the Buffaloes in the first round on Friday, March 22, at 4:30 p.m. ET inside Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana. The game will be broadcast on TBS.

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Gators remain in Basketball Power Index rankings top-25 after SEC Tournament

Florida lost two spots in ESPN’s Basketball Power Index following the SEC Tournament Finals loss to Auburn.

The only team standing between the Florida Gators and the Southeastern Conference Tournament title on Sunday was the Auburn Tigers.

Unfortunately, Todd Golden’s gang was unable to overcome that final hurdle, falling to their opponent in the championship game, 86-67, after a fine postseason showing. But not all was lost in the double-digit defeat.

In ESPN’s latest Basketball Power Index update following the loss, the Orange and Blue fell two spots from Sunday’s pregame ranking to No. 25. That puts Todd Golden’s team between the No. 24 St. John’s Red Storm and No. 26 TCU Horned Frogs, keeping them among the top 25 schools in the index.

Florida’s BPI rating — a measurement of a team’s true strength moving forward — fell 0.3 points to 12.1 since the last update. The offensive BPI fell 0.3 points to 8.6 while the defensive BPI rose 0.1 points to 3.5.

Florida is the No. 7 seed in the South Region this year according to the official NCAA Tournament bracket and will face the winner of the Boise State Broncos-Colorado Buffaloes play-in game.

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Gators inch up Basketball Power Index rankings with win over TAMU

Florida gained a spot in ESPN’s Basketball Power Index after beating Texas A&M on Saturday afternoon.

Florida basketball continued its run through the Southeastern Conference Tournament on Saturday afternoon with a come-back win over the Texas A&M Aggies. Down by 18 at one point late in the first half, the Gators turned things around and earned a 95-90 victory to advance to the finals.

In ESPN’s latest Basketball Power Index update following the win, the Orange and Blue rose one spot from Saturday’s ranking to No. 23. That puts Todd Golden’s team between the No. 22 Texas Longhorns and No. 24 St. John’s Red Storm.

Florida’s BPI rating — a measurement of a team’s true strength moving forward — rose 0.1 points to 12.4 since the last update. The offensive BPI rose 0.3 points to 8.9 while the defensive BPI fell 0.2 points to 3.4.

Florida will take on the Auburn Tigers in the SEC Tournament Finals on Sunday, March 17, in Nashville with a tipoff time set for 1 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on ESPN.

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Auburn solidly favored over Florida in SEC Tournament Finals, per BPI

The Tigers are favored over the Gators but we have seen these data go out the window before.

Florida basketball has battled through three rounds of the Southeastern Conference Tournament to earn a shot at the postseason title against the Auburn Tigers on Sunday.

Using the Basketball Power Index, ESPN is giving the Tigers a 78.9% win probability and a projection to come out victorious by 9.2 points over the Gators. The matchup quality earned an 84.9-point grade, making it the second-highest-rated game of the four slated for Sunday.

“BPI is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of performance going forward,” the site reads. “BPI represents how many points above or below average a team is… Game predictions account for opponent strength, pace of play, site, travel distance, day’s rest and altitude, and are used to simulate the season 10,000 times to produce season projections.”

Florida is ranked No. 26 in the NET rankings, while Auburn is No. 5, which makes it a Quadrant 1 game for both teams.

Tipoff between the Gators and Tigers is slated for 1 p.m. ET on Saturday and can be watched on ESPN.

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Basketball Power Index boosts Gators thanks to Alabama win

The BPI responded well to Florida’s whipping of Alabama in Nashville Friday night.

Florida basketball kept its Southeastern Conference Tournament title hopes alive on Friday night with a firm beatdown of the Alabama Crimson Tide, resulting in a resounding 102-88 victory for the Gators. That earned the team a ticket to the semifinal round held on Saturday.

In ESPN’s latest Basketball Power Index update following the win, the Orange and Blue rose two spots from Friday’s ranking to No. 24. That puts Todd Golden’s team between the No. 23 Texas Tech Red Raiders and No. 25 St. John’s Red Storm.

Florida’s BPI rating — a measurement of a team’s true strength moving forward — rose 0.5 points to 12.3 since the last update. The offensive BPI rose 0.2 points to 8.6 while the defensive BPI rose 0.1 points to 3.6.

Florida moves on to the semifinal round on Saturday, March 16, in Nashville where they will face the Texas A&M Aggies, who beat them in College Station by just one point the last time the two teams met. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET and the game can be watched on ESPN.

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Florida favored by a hair in SEC Tournament rematch with Texas A&M

Here’s what the Basketball Power Index predicts for Saturday afternoon’s SEC Tournament matchup between Florida and Texas A&M.

Florida basketball has successfully navigated through its first two rounds of the Southeastern Conference Tournament, having gotten past the Georgia Bulldogs and Alabama Crimson Tide on Thursday and Friday nights, respectively.

Now, the Gators are set for a rematch with the Texas A&M Aggies — who beat them in College Station last time they met by just a single point, 67-66 — on Saturday afternoon in the tournament semifinal round.

Using the Basketball Power Index, ESPN is giving Florida a 56.4% win probability and is projected to come out victorious by 1.7 points over Texas A&M. The matchup quality earned a 93.4-point grade, making it the highest-rated game played on Saturday.

“BPI is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of performance going forward,” the site reads. “BPI represents how many points above or below average a team is… Game predictions account for opponent strength, pace of play, site, travel distance, day’s rest and altitude, and are used to simulate the season 10,000 times to produce season projections.”

Florida is No. 28 in the NET rankings, while Texas A&M is No. 32, making this a Quadrant 1 game for both teams.

Florida faces Texas A&M starting around 3:30 p.m. ET and the game will be broadcast on ESPN.

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Gators stand pat in BPI rankings after beating Georgia in SEC Tournament

The Basketball Power Index did not think much of Florida’s second-round win over the ‘Dawgs.

Florida basketball earned a second-round victory in the Southeastern Conference Tournament on Thursday night against the Georgia Bulldogs, 85-80, in a game that had the Gator Nation on the edge of its seat for most of the way.

In ESPN’s latest Basketball Power Index update following the win, the Orange and Blue remained in the same spot as our previous update at No. 26. That puts Todd Golden’s team between the No. 25 TCU Horned Frogs and No. 27 Cincinnati Bearcats; TCU leapfrogged Florida in this update, moving up from No. 27.

Florida’s BPI rating — a measurement of a team’s true strength moving forward — fell 0.1 points to 11.8 since the last update. The offensive BPI fell 0.1 points to 8.43 while the defensive BPI remained at 3.5.

The Gators will face the Alabama Crimson Tide in the final game of Friday’s third-round SEC Tournament slate with a tipoff time estimated around 9:30 p.m. ET. The game will once again be broadcast on the SEC Network.

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Alabama favored over Florida per BPI in SEC Tournament

Here’s what the Basketball Power Index predicts for Friday night’s SEC Tournament matchup between Florida and Alabama.

Florida basketball won its Southeastern Conference Tournament opener on Thursday night, but it was not easy, as the pesky Georgia Bulldogs gave the Gator Nation a scare; alas, Todd Golden’s gang earned the 85-80 victory to advance to the next round, where the Alabama Crimson Tide awaits.

Using the Basketball Power Index, ESPN is giving the Crimson Tide a 73.9% win probability and a projection to come out victorious by 7.5 points over the Gators. The matchup quality earned an 85.0-point grade, putting it among the top 10 games played on Friday.

“BPI is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of performance going forward,” the site reads. “BPI represents how many points above or below average a team is… Game predictions account for opponent strength, pace of play, site, travel distance, day’s rest and altitude, and are used to simulate the season 10,000 times to produce season projections.”

Florida is ranked No. 35 in the NET rankings, while Alabama is No. 8, which makes it a Quadrant 1 game for both teams.

Tipoff between the Gators and the Tide is slated for sometime around 9:30 p.m. ET on Friday night as it is the final game on the day’s roster.

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Basketball Power Index unfazed by Florida’s loss at Vanderbilt

Florida actually rose one spot in ESPN’s BPI after the tough Vandy road loss.

The road woes returned for Florida basketball on Saturday in Nashville as the Gators were unable to put away a tenacious Vanderbilt Commodores team, allowing the home squad to hang around long enough to seize a 79-78 last-minute victory.

In ESPN’s latest Basketball Power Index update following the loss, the Orange and Blue actually rose a spot from our previous update to No. 26; it also represents a one-spot increase from Saturday’s pregame rankings. That puts Todd Golden’s team between the No. 25 Villanova Wildcats and No. 27 TCU Horned Frogs.

Florida’s BPI rating — a measurement of a team’s true strength moving forward — fell 0.1 points to 11.9 since the last update. The offensive BPI fell 0.2 points to 8.4 while the defensive BPI inched up 0.1 points to 3.5.

Florida is a No. 6 seed in the Southeastern Conference Tournament, giving it a first-round bye and matching the Gators up with the winner of Game 2 on Thursday, March 14, inside Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tennessee. Tipoff is slated for a late 9:30 p.m. ET start on the SEC Network.

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Florida favored by double digits over Vanderbilt, per ESPN’s BPI

The Basketball Power Index expects the Gators to take care of business in Nashville on Saturday.

Florida basketball prepares for the final game of the Southeastern Conference and regular-season schedule on Saturday as it travels to Nashville for a rematch with the Vanderbilt Commodores.

Using the Basketball Power Index, ESPN is giving the Florida Gators an 89.2% win probability and with a projection to come out victorious by 13.7 points over the Commodores. The matchup quality earned a 62.2-point grade, which is among the less exciting games being played on that day.

“BPI is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of performance going forward,” the site reads. “BPI represents how many points above or below average a team is… Game predictions account for opponent strength, pace of play, site, travel distance, day’s rest and altitude, and are used to simulate the season 10,000 times to produce season projections.”

Florida is ranked No. 28 in the NET rankings coming in while Vanderbilt is No. 216, which makes it a Quadrant 3 game for the Gators and a Quadrant 1 game for the Commodores.

Florida and Vanderbilt tangle on Saturday, with tipoff slated for 4:30 p.m. ET and the game will be broadcast on the SEC Network.

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