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Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Toronto Blue Jays (66-55) took down the Boston Red Sox (60-63) on Tuesday and look to make it 2 in a row Wednesday night. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET at Fenway Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Blue Jays lead 11-3

The Jays have won 5 of their last 6 and currently hold 1 of the American League wild card spots. According to FanGraphs they now have a 94.4% chance of making the playoffs.

Boston has dropped 4 of their last 5 and their playoff hopes are fading fast.

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Blue Jays at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Jose Berrios vs. RHP Brayan Bello

Berrios (9-5, 5.39 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 128 2/3 IP.

He’s been very inconsistent throughout the season; held the New YorkYankees to 1 ER in 6 2/3 IP last time out, but in his previous 2 starts allowed 13 ER in 7 2/3 IP with just 2 strikeouts
Has faced Boston twice this season, surrendering 3 ER in 13 IP with a 10/2 K/BB
He’s struggled on the road, compiling a 6.82 ERA along with a 6.8 K/9 and 2/2 HR/9 in 12 starts

Bello (0-3, 8.47 ERA) makes his 6th appearance (4th start). He has a 2.29 WHIP, 5.8 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 through 17 IP.

Has been out a few weeks with a groin strain, but will be activated for the start Wednesday
Took the loss against Toronto July 24 with 9 H, 5 R, 2 BB and 2 K in 4 IP
He did miss a lot of bats in the minors this season, as he had a 12.1 K/9 in 96 IP split between Double-A and Triple-A.

Blue Jays at Red Sox odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:31 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Blue Jays -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Red Sox +130 (bet $100 to win $130)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+102) | Red Sox +1.5 (-125)
Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

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Blue Jays at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 6, Red Sox 5

Money line

Toronto ranks 3rd in the league in runs per game on the road (4.97) and they have been hitting well lately, with 35 runs in their last 6 games. Bello has been shaky during his brief time in the majors and is coming off a lengthy layoff, so the Toronto offense is in another good spot. A small play on the BLUE JAYS -160 is the call.

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Run line/Against the spread

The Blue Jays should put some runs on the board, but Berrios on the road doesn’t inspire a great deal of confidence. It’s probably best to PASS on the run line.

Over/Under

The total has gone over in 10 of 12 road games that Berrios has started and both teams are likely to get the bats going in this contest. Invest in OVER 9.5 (-105) or for a better payout bump it up to 10.5 (+130).

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Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Toronto Blue Jays (65-55) kick off a 3-game series against the Boston Red Sox (60-62) on Tuesday. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET at Fenway Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Blue Jays lead 10-3

Toronto fell to the Yankees 4-2 on Sunday, putting an end to a 4-game winning streak.

Boston dropped 2 of 3 over the weekend against Baltimore. They are falling out of playoff contention, with a 12-17 record since the All-Star break.

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Blue Jays at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Ross Stripling vs. RHP Josh Winckowski

Stripling (5-3, 2.93 ERA) makes his 25th appearance (17th start). He has a 1.03 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 89 IP.

After spending 2 weeks on the IL he came back and allowed just 1 H in 6 1/3 shutout IP (0 BB, 7 K) against Baltimore Wednesday
Since jumping back into the rotation in early June, he has put up a 2.21 ERA in 11 starts with a 7.1 K/9 and just 3 HR allowed in 57 IP

Winckowski (5-6, 5.19 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 5.3 K/9 through 60 2/3 IP.

Has struggled to miss bats lately with just 10 K in 23 2/3 IP in his last 5 starts
Equaled a season-high with 6 ER allowed in his Thursday start, a loss against Pittsburgh with 7 H, 1 BB, 2K in 5 IP
His skills have been weak in 7 starts at home, where he owns a 5.94 ERA along with a 3.8 BB/9 and 4/1 K/9

Blue Jays at Red Sox odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:16 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Blue Jays -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Red Sox +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+110) | Red Sox +1.5 (-135)
Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Blue Jays at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 6, Red Sox 4

Money line

Winckowski has gotten roughed up lately, with a 6.75 ERA, 2.3 HR/9, and 17/14 K/BB in his last 7 starts. The Toronto offense shouldn’t have much trouble getting to him on Tuesday and BLUE JAYS -145 is an excellent play.

Run line/Against the spread

Toronto has beaten up on Boston this season and they are 3rd in the league in runs per game on the road (4.90). Stripling and Winckowski are trending in opposite directions and the Boston starter has really struggled at home. Take the BLUE JAYS -1.5 (+110), as they could win this one going away.

Over/Under

This sets up as a good spot for the Toronto bats to get going against a starting pitcher who hasn’t been good lately. On the other side, Stripling has had a lot of success since rejoining the rotation but has also had luck on his side (.256 BABIP, 4.9% HR/FB). We’ll lean slightly to the OVER 9.5 (-110).

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Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Boston Red Sox (54-58) will host the Baltimore Orioles (58-52) at Fenway Park on Thursday night for their 9th meeting of the season. First pitch will be at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Orioles lead 5-3

The Orioles come into this game red hot, winning 7 of their last 8 games to get back into the mix in the American League playoff race – despite trading away 1B Trey Mancini before the deadline.

The Red Sox are trending in the opposite direction, losing 4 in a row and 6 of their last 7. They’ve been outscored 35-20 in their last 4games.

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Orioles at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Austin Voth vs. RHP Josh Winckowski

Voth (2-1, 5.53 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.57 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 55 1/3 IP.

A reliever for the Washington Nationals, he’s transitioned to a role as a starter after being claimed by Orioles
With the Orioles he’s 2-1 with a 3.19 ERA in 12 appearances (8 starts). In his last 4 starts, he’s allowed 6 ER in 16 innings

Winckowski (5-5, 4.68 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 5.8 K/9 in 50 IP.

Has factored into the decision of every start he’s made this season, but he’s just 2-4 in his last 6 outings
In his season debut on May 28, he allowed 4 ER in 3 innings against the Orioles in a game the Red Sox lost 4-2

Orioles at Red Sox odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:47 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Orioles +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Red Sox -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-175) | Red Sox -1.5 (+140)
Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

Orioles at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 6, Red Sox 5

Money line

Despite losing 4 in a row, the Red Sox are still favored at home against the surging Orioles. That’s not a bet I want to take after seeing the way Boston has played recently.

I actually like the ORIOLES (+110) to win straight up on the road and continue their hot streak. Voth has pitched much better with the Orioles than he did with Washington, posting a 3.19 ERA in Baltimore. He won’t shut down a powerful Red Sox lineup, but he should be able to hold them in check enough.

Run line/Against the spread

While I do like the Orioles in this matchup, I don’t like the idea of taking them to cover the spread at -175. It’s not worth the juice and I’d much rather just bet them to win outright against a team they’ve beaten 5 of 8 times this year. PASS.

Over/Under

In their last 2 meetings, at least 10 runs were scored in each (10-0 and 12-2). I don’t think Thursday’s score will be as lopsided, but this is a weaker pitching matchup at a hitter-friendly park.

The total is set higher at 9.5, but it’s still a number I’d bet the OVER (-125) on. I would just like to see the line come down a bit closer to even money.

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Boston Red Sox at Oakland Athletics odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Boston Red Sox at Oakland Athletics odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Boston Red Sox (52-31) and Oakland Athletics (48-36) continue their three-game series Saturday at Oakland Coliseum with a 7:15 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox vs. Athletics odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Boston won the first game of the series Friday 3-2 in extra innings thanks to a CF Enrique Hernandez RBI single in the top of the 10th inning.

Season series: Tied 2-2.

RHP Garrett Richards takes the mound for the Red Sox. Richards is 4-5 with a 4.96 ERA (81 2/3 IP, 45 ER), 1.69 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 across 16 starts.

Last outing: No-decision with 5 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 11 H, 0 BB and 3 K in Boston’s 6-5 victory over the Kansas City Royals Monday.
Richards picked up a win earlier this season vs. the Athletics (May 13) with a stat line of 6 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 3 BB and 4 K in an 8-1 victory.
- vs. Athletics on the current roster: 160 at-bats with a .244/.295/.350 slash line, 34/10 K/BB, 3 HR and 16 RBIs.

LHP Cole Irvin makes his 17th start for the Athletics. Irvin is 6-7 with a 3.64 ERA (94 IP, 38 ER), 1.22 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 this year.

Last outing: Win, 6-2, with 8 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 2 BB and 8 K at the San Francisco Giants Sunday.
Career vs. the Red Sox: 2 scoreless relief innings with 1 H, 1 BB and 0 K in 1 appearance (2019).

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Red Sox at Athletics odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:33 p.m. ET.

Money line: Red Sox +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Athletics -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Red Sox +1.5 (-160) | Athletics -1.5 (+135)
Over/Under: 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

Prediction

Red Sox 7, Athletics 4

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the RED SOX (+120) for a half unit only because there’s been heavy line movement in Oakland’s direction as the Athletics opened up as -113 favorites, but the market has bet them up to the current number.

Why I’m fading the line movement in this spot is because Boston has a 17-11 record vs. left-handed starters and is one of the most productive lineups against left-handed pitching whereas Oakland is just 26-24 vs. righty starters.

The Red Sox lineup ranks in the top 7 of both wRC+ and wOBA against left-handed pitching.

I have faith the Red Sox batters will put up some runs on Irvin because his stuff (velocity and movement pitch data) is similar to teammate starting LHP Sean Manaea, according to Statcast.

In Garrett’s win over Oakland earlier this season, Manaea started for the A’s and the Red Sox chased him after just two innings with seven earned runs on 10 hits, two home runs and just two strikeouts.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

“LEAN” to the RED SOX +1.5 (-160) for a half unit since Boston has the second-highest cover rate as a road underdog this season (18-4 ATS) and Oakland is only 17-19 ATS as a home favorite.

More importantly, the Red Sox have a much better bullpen than Oakland. Boston’s bullpen is fifth in WAR, sixth in xFIP and eighth in K-BB% while the Athletics relievers rank in the bottom 10 in each of those categories.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 9.5 (+100) for a half unit because the Over is 4-0-1 in Garrett’s five prior starts (Boston is 8-6 O/U this season when Garrett starts) and the Over is 5-0 in Oakland’s last five games against a right-handed starter.

However, it’s only a “lean” because the market is barreling into the Over and I hate following a crowd of people in sports betting.

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