Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Toronto Blue Jays (7-10) play the second half of a two-game set at Fenway Park against the Boston Red Sox (12-6) Wednesday. First pitch will be thrown at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Trent Thornton (0-0) gets the ball for his first start of 2021 in an expected opener role. The 27-year-old has a 2.35 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 7.0 K/9 and 3.5 BB/9 over 7 2/3 innings spanning 5 relief appearances.

RHP Garrett Richard (0-1) owns a 6.00 ERA and 1.75 WHIP with 7.5 K/9 and 5.3 BB/9 over 12 IP and 3 starts. He has been much better with 2 ER across 10 IP over his last 2 outings after getting lit up by the Baltimore Orioles in his first start.

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Blue Jays at Red Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Blue Jays +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Red Sox -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Blue Jays +1.5 (-175) |  Red Sox -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under: 10 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Blue Jays 5, Red Sox 4

Money line (ML)

The BLUE JAYS (+105) should be backed as short underdogs after dropping Tuesday’s contest 4-2 in Boston. All 4 Red Sox runs came in the fourth inning against ace LHP Hyun-Jin Ryu. Three were delivered on a home run by SS Xander Bogaerts.

Toronto has the best bullpen in baseball with a 2.14 ERA and Thornton has been a big part of that success. He makes his first start of 2021, but he led the Jays in both starts made and innings pitched in 2019.

Boston has the best team OPS in baseball against right-handed pitching at .842 but the Jays’ deep ‘pen held the Sox scoreless Tuesday and can match up well once Thornton comes out of the game.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the run line with the greater value lying with the Blue Jays’ money line.

It’s not worth the risk of laying $175 for a $100 profit or $10 for a $5.71 profit for just one run of insurance on Toronto.

Over/Under (O/U)

Back the UNDER 10 (-115).

Tuesday’s run total came in comfortably below a projected line of 8.5 runs. While that was in the weaker side of the batting split for both teams and with No. 1 pitchers on the bump, Wednesday’s projected total is too high based on Richards’ one poor outing this season.

The Toronto offense remains shorthanded with OFs George Springer (quadriceps) and Teoscar Hernandez (COVID-19) still on the shelf. The Jays scored more than 5 runs in just two of their last 10 games.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Esten McLaren on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Toronto Blue Jays (7-9) begin a two-game road set against the AL East rival Boston Red Sox (11-6) Tuesday at Fenway Park. The first pitch will be thrown at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Hyun-Jin Ryu will make his fourth start of the season for the Blue Jays. The now 34-year-old finished third in AL Cy Young voting last year and has picked up where he left off. He is 1-1 with a 1.89 ERA, 0.90 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 and 0.9 BB/9. He has allowed 2 home runs over 19 innings.

LHP Eduardo Rodriguez is set for his third start of 2021 for the Red Sox. He is 2-0 with a 3.60 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 10.8 K/9 and 0.9 BB/9 after sitting out the 2020 campaign due to COVID-19. He has allowed 2 homers through 10 innings.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Blue Jays at Red Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Blue Jays -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Red Sox -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Blue Jays -1.5 (+155) |  Red Sox +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Blue Jays 5, Red Sox 2

Money line (ML)

Ryu oddly didn’t face the Red Sox once in the regionally aligned 2020 campaign, his first with the Blue Jays. The lack of familiarity for the Boston bats will play to the veteran’s advantage. He enters off a win over the New York Yankees in which he struck out 7 with a single walk over 6 2/3 scoreless innings last Tuesday.

While Boston leads baseball with 96 runs scored, Toronto has the edge in the lefty-lefty battle. The teams share a .728 OPS in the split, but the Blue Jays have the better wOBA and wRC+.

Back the BLUE JAYS (-105) as slight road underdogs.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The BLUE JAYS -1.5 (+155) are a better play to win by at least 2 runs. Not only do they have the advantage in the starting pitcher battle, but they lead baseball with a 2.24 bullpen ERA. Even with RHPs Kirby YatesJulian Merryweather and Jordan Romano all on the injured list, Toronto still has the edge over Boston in the late innings.

Red Sox relievers are walking 4.02 batters per nine innings and have benefited from an unsustainable 3.6% home run-to-fly-ball rate.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 8 (-105) is the more appealing side of the projected total. Both teams are in the middle of the pack on offense in the lefty split.

Expect Ryu to shut down the Boston offense in his first appearance against them in a rival uniform. The Toronto offense remains shorthanded with OFs George Springer (quadriceps) and Teoscar Hernandez (COVID-19) on the injured list.

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Esten McLaren on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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