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Toronto Blue Jays at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Toronto Blue Jays (16-18) and Washington Nationals (16-17) conclude their 3-game series Sunday. First pitch from Nationals Park is slated for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

Toronto snapped their 3-game losing streak Saturday with a 6-3 victory over the Nationals. RHP Kevin Gausman pitched 5 1/3 innings of shutout baseball, striking out 8 to earn his 2nd win and CF Kevin Kiermaier had a  2-run HR. Toronto looks to avoid losing a 4th consecutive series with a win on Sunday.

It was a rough day for the Nationals in the field as they committed 4 errors in the loss. RHP Jake Irvin went 5 innings without allowing an earned run. Washington did get multi-hit games from SS C.J. Abrams and 2B Luis Garcia Jr. with each collecting an RBI. Washington is 5-9 at home.

Blue Jays at Nationals projected starters

RHP Alek Manoah vs. LHP MacKenzie Gore

Manoah makes his comeback to the majors after elbow and shoulder injuries. He went 3-9, 5.87 ERA in 2023 with a 1.74 WHIP, 6.1 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 87 1/3 IP.

  • 2023 road stats: 3-4, 4.33 ERA (52 IP, 25 ER) in 10 starts
  • Only start vs. Nationals: Loss, 3 IP, 6 ER (7 R), 6 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 12-6 road loss Aug. 17, 2021

Gore (2-3, 3.19 ERA) may make his 7th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 in 31 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 7-1 loss at Texas Rangers Tuesday
  • Only start vs Blue Jays: Win, 5 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 5-4 road victory Aug. 29, 2023

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Blue Jays at Nationals odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:06 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays -116 (bet $116 to win $100) | Nationals -102 (bet $102 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+150) | Nationals +1.5 (-182)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Blue Jays at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Nationals 5, Blue Jays 3

Moneyline

BET NATIONALS (-102).

Washington may not be playing great at home this season, but I love getting close to plus odds against a pitcher returning to the mound for the 1st time since last Aug. 10. Manoah struggled in 2023, especially against lefties to the tune of a nearly .900 OBP. The Nationals are loaded with lefties.

The Blue Jays are struggling as a team at the plate, batting .225. Things get even worse away from Rogers Centre, hitting .207 and sporting a record of 8-11 for the season.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I’m going to focus my bet on the moneyline and not worry about the run line in this game.

Over/Under

PASS.

I really don’t see an edge to be had on this bet. Toronto and Washington are 10-10 against the Over in their last 20 combined games. I truly could see this game going either way which is why I’m going to just stay away.

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Toronto Blue Jays at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Washington Nationals (15-16) welcome the Toronto Blue Jays (15-17) to Nationals Park on Friday for the 1st game of a 3-game series Friday. First pitch is set for 6:45 p.m. ET (Apple TV+). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Toronto won 2 of 3 last season

The Blue Jays have lost 2 straight games, dropping their last game 6-1 to the Kansas City Royals Wednesday. They have lost 7 of their last 9 games. The Blue Jays have also struggled on the road, having gone 7-10 away from home.

The Nationals lost 6-0 to the Texas Rangers Thursday, but did win the previous game. They swept the Miami Marlins in a 4-game series before taking on Texas. Washington has won 5 of its last 7 yet is just 4-8 straight up at home.

Blue Jays at Nationals projected starters

LHP Yusei Kikuchi vs. LHP Patrick Corbin

Kikuchi (2-2, 2.94 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 33 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 9 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 4-2 home loss vs. the Los Angeles Dodgers Saturday
  • 2024 road splits: 1-1, 2.87 ERA, 15 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 15 H (2 HR), 5 BB, 15 K in 3 starts
  • Has never faced Washington

Corbin (0-3, 6.82 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.89 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 in 31 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 4 K in a 12-9 road win over the Miami Marlins Sunday
  • 2024 home splits: 0-1, 3.18 ERA, 11 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 12 H (0 HR), 6 BB, 9 K in 2 starts
  • Career vs. Toronto: 1-2, 5.82 ERA, 17 IP, 2.00 WHIP, 6 BB, 12 K in 3 starts

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Blue Jays at Nationals odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:33 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays -178 (bet $178 to win $100) | Nationals +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (-110) | Nationals +1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -102 | U: -120)

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Blue Jays at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 5, Nationals 2

Moneyline

PASS.

There’s not much value here. The Blue Jays (-178) haven’t played well on the road and are too expensive to win outright. Similarly, the Nationals (+150) aren’t worth the risk despite the plus money.

Run line/Against the spread

BET BLUE JAYS -1.5 (-111).

The Blue Jays have struggled as of late, but they are 3-2 against the spread (ATS) as a road favorite this season. Similarly, the Nationals are just 5-6 as a home favorite.

They have also failed to cover in 4 of Corbin’s last 5 starts. The pitching advantage will side with Toronto, and given Blue Jays have mainly had issues offensively, this could be what sparks its bats.

Take BLUE JAYS -1.5 (-111).

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 9 (-118).

The Blue Jays have gone Under in 2 straight games and are 12-20 O/U this season. They are 2-8 O/U in their last 10 games and have scored 2 or fewer runs in all but 3 of those games.

The Nationals have also gone Under in 2 straight and in 4 of their last 8. They are 13-17-1 O/U on the season. Considering those trends, back UNDER 9 (-118).

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Toronto Blue Jays at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Toronto Blue Jays (63-55) and Washington Nationals (51-68) wrap up their two-game interleague series Wednesday at Nationals Park. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Blue Jays vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Washington clobbered Toronto Tuesday 12-6 by roughing up Blue Jays starting RHP Alek Manoah for 6 ER on 6 H and 1 BB just 2 K in 3 IP.

Season series: Nationals lead 2-1.

RHP Jose Berrios is Toronto’s projected starter. Berrios is 8-6 with a 3.52 ERA (138 IP, 54 ER), 1.09 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 23 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 6-3, with 4 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 4 BB and 3 K Thursday at the Los Angeles Angels.
  • 2021 road splits: 3-3 with a 4.29 ERA (63 IP, 30 ER), 1.18 WHIP and 3.2 K/BB.

RHP Josiah Gray is on the rubber for the Nationals. Gray is 0-1 with a 4.13 ERA (24 IP, 11 ER), 1.21 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 11.6 K/9 in four starts and one relief appearance.

  • Last outing: Loss, 4-2, with 6 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 0 BB and 6 K Friday against the Atlanta Braves.
  • 2021 home splits: 0-1 with a 4.74 ERA (19 IP, 10 ER), 16 H, 7 BB and 21 K in three starts and one relief appearance.

Blue Jays at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:08 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Blue Jays -170 (bet $170 to win $100) | Nationals +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Blue Jays -1.5 (-102) | Nationals +1.5 (-122)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

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Prediction

Nationals 6, Blue Jays 3

Money line (ML)

Slight “LEAN” to the NATIONALS (+140) for a tiny wager – if at all – as more of a fade against Berrios on the road and because Gray is due to a decent home start.

Gray has elite talent. He’s the first-ranked prospect in Washington’s system, and 19th-ranked in MLB, and was acquired from the Los Angeles Dodgers at the trade deadline when the Nationals sold Max Scherzer and SS Trea Turner.

Berrios’ teams are 5-6 this season in his road starts and he has been even less effective on the road throughout his career. For instance, Berrios is 23-24 with a 4.71 ERA (3.44 home ERA), 1.35 WHIP (1.12 home WHIP) and 2.5 K/BB (3.9 K/BB at home).

Furthermore, I’m noticing a little “reverse line movement” (RLM) in the betting market as nearly 90% of the action is on Toronto according to Pregame.com. However, the Blue Jays have been steamed down across most sportsbooks from a -175 consensus favorite.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Definitely BET the NATIONALS +1.5 (-122) heavier than or instead of Washington’s money line for all the logic written above and because it’s wiser to take the run-and-a-half worth of insurance at this price point.

Also, even though Washington’s bullpen has been awful lately, Toronto’s bullpen isn’t much better so the “backdoor is open” so to speak. In fact, these bullpens are tied with the third-worst WAR in August.

Lastly, this could be considered a good spot for the Nationals who are 11-5 ATS in interleague contests and 17-14 ATS as home underdogs.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Under 9 (-122) as a contrarian play against a market that’s barrelling into the Over currently. We are seeing RLM with most of the action on the Over but the Under has a lot more vig.

On top of that, both teams play more to the Under in this “spot” considering the location of the game and the interleague matchup.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Toronto Blue Jays at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (50-68) host the Toronto Blue Jays (63-54) Tuesday for the first half of a two-game interleague miniseries at Nationals Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Blue Jays vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Toronto snapped a three-game losing skid by beating the Seattle Mariners 8-3 in their series finale Sunday. The Blue Jays are 13-7 across their last 20 games and are 4 games back of the Oakland Athletics for the second AL Wild Card berth.

Washington’s freefall is on as the Nationals are riding a seven-game losing skid, have won just once in their last 10 games, and are 5-15 over their last 20 contests.

Season series: Tied 1-1.

RHP Alek Manoah is Toronto’s projected starter. He is 5-1 with a 2.59 ERA (59 IP, 17 ER), 1.02 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 through 11 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 10-2, with a 6 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB and 11 K Wednesday at the Los Angeles Angels.
  • 2021 road stats: 2-1 with a 3.23 ERA (30 2/3 IP, 11 ER), 1.08 WHIP and 3.8 K/BB across six starts.

RHP Erick Fedde makes his 20th start for the Nationals. He is 4-8 with a 5.12 ERA (91 1/3 IP, 52 ER), 1.42 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 4 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 1 BB and 4 K in Washington’s 5-4 loss at the New York Mets Thursday.
  • Fedde beat Toronto April 28 with 6 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 3 BB and 7 K in Washington’s 8-2 victory.
    • vs. Blue Jays on the current roster (28 PA): 7.53 FIP with a .280 batting average, .389 wOBA, .480 expected slugging percentage, 10.7 K% and 85.1 mph exit velocity

Blue Jays at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Blue Jays -220 (bet $220 to win $100) | Nationals +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Blue Jays -1.5 (-125) | Nationals +1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

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Prediction

Blue Jays 8, Nationals 1

Money line (ML)

PASS even though there has been “sharp” line movement in Toronto’s direction. The Blue Jays (-220) opened as -155 money line favorites but have been steamed up to the current number.

Toronto has an edge in the three most important phases of the game: bullpen and starting pitching, and hitting.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Manoah was one of the highest acclaimed pitching prospects in the minor leagues and has looked the part since being called up to The Show. His pitching peripherals add even more credibility to his performance than his basic numbers while Fedde’s don’t.

Furthermore, the Blue Jays have continued to hit well this month as Toronto’s lineup is in the top 10 in wRC+, wOBA and BB/K while the Nationals are bottom 10 by wRC+ and wOBA in August.

Also, Washington’s bullpen has been one of the worst in the majors this month and ranks in the bottom five by xFIP, SIERA, K-BB% and HR/9.

There has also been the same sharp line movement in the betting market with Toronto’s run line as the money line. Lastly, Toronto is 13-5 ATS in interleague matchups this season.

BET the BLUE JAYS -1.5 (-125) for 1 unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 9.5 (-122) for a tiny wager, if at all, because I much prefer Toronto’s run line than the total.

However, we have a “pros vs. joes” scenario in the betting market as 64% of the money is on the Under whereas 54% of the bets placed are on the Over, according to Pregame.com. It’s wiser in sports betting to follow the money rather than the crowd.

In addition, these teams have a combined 13-18-2 O/U in interleague games and 10-29 O/U when playing after a day off.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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