Tag: Blue Jays Mariners odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Toronto Blue Jays (39-49) and Seattle Mariners (49-41) play the middle contest of a 3-game series Saturday. First pitch from T-Mobile Park is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 2-2

The Blue Jays suffered a 2-1 loss Friday as the Mariners (-128) earned the win as home favorites with the Under (7.5) easily cashing. Toronto has dropped 3 in a row, and 5 of the past 6 outings. Despite the total going low, the Over has cashed in 9 of the past 12 contests.

The Mariners have won 2 in a row after a 4-game skid. The Seattle pitching staff has allowed 4 or fewer runs in 4 straight games, cashing low on the total in 3 of the past 4 outings. The Under is 5-2 in the past 7 contests.

The 1st-place M’s have struggled at home lately, going just 2-4 in the past 6 outings at T-Mobile Park, with the Under going 9-3-1 in the past 13 outings.

Blue Jays at Mariners projected starters

RHP Yariel Rodriguez vs. RHP Emerson Hancock

Rodriguez (5-5, 3.31 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 0.96 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 98 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 2 H (1 solo HR), 2 BB, 6 K in 3-1 home setback vs. Houston Astros Monday
  • 2024 road splits: 0-2, 7.71 ERA (9 1/3 IP, 8 ER), 1.82 WHIP, .282 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 1 HR, 6 BB, 10 K in 3 starts
  • Never faced Mariners before

Hancock (3-3, 4.79 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 5.2 K/9 in 41 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 2 ER, 6 H (2 solo HR), 2 BB, 1 K in 3-2 home loss in 10 innings vs. Chicago White Sox June 13
  • 2024 home splits: 2-2, 2.89 ERA (28 IP, 9 ER), 1.07 WHIP, .208 OBA, 5 HR, 9 BB, 14 K in 5 starts
  • Never faced Blue Jays before

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Blue Jays at Mariners odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:12 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays +102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Mariners -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-220) | Mariners -1.5 (+168)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -122)

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Blue Jays at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 6, Blue Jays 3

Moneyline

The MARINERS (-120) are a solid play as moderate favorites at home as they look to secure the series win with a 2nd straight victory.

After a 4-game skid, the M’s have come alive with 2 straight wins while allowing just 4 runs in the past 2 outings. Seattle is 3-2 in Hancock’s past 5 starts, too.

The last-place Blue Jays (+110) have dropped 3 in a row, and 5 of the past 6 outings, while going 1-3 in the past 4 outings with Rodriguez on the hill.

Run line/Against the spread

If you’re a little more adventurous, consider the MARINERS -1.5 (+168) at plus-money.

Seattle has managed 8 victories since June 15, and 6 of those wins were by 2 or more runs. So, if you like the M’s, you should like Seattle to get the job done on the run line, too.

Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (+100) is the lean with a matchup of Rodriguez and Hancock, but go lightly.

The Under is 3-1 in the past 4 games for the M’s, and just 5-2-1 in the past 8 outings. However, the Over has a slight 4-3-1 edge in Hancock’s 8 contests.

For the Blue Jays, the Over has cashed in 9 of the past 12 outings, but be careful. The Under is 5-1 in Rodriguez’s 6 starts, although his past 2 starts are mostly due to a lack of run support, not great pitching.

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Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Toronto Blue Jays (54-45) and Seattle Mariners (50-48) wrap up a 3-game set Sunday at T-Mobile Park. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 3-2

The Blue Jays lost 9-8 as -130 road favorites in the 2nd game of the series Saturday. Toronto has lost 4 of its last 5 contests and is 3rd in the AL East, 6½ games back of the division-leading Baltimore Orioles.

The Mariners have won 5 of their last 7 contests and have not swept a series since their 4-game set vs. the Oakland Athletics from May 22-25. Seattle is 3rd in the AL West, 7½ games behind the division-leading Texas Rangers.

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Blue Jays at Mariners projected starters

RHP Alek Manoah vs. RHP Bryan Woo

Manoah (2-8, 6.18 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.84 WHIP, 6.3 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 67 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 4 ER, 3 H, 5 BB, 0 K in 9-1 home loss vs. San Diego Padres Tuesday
  • 2023 road splits: 2-3, 3.75 ERA (36 IP, 15 ER – 3 HR), .230 opponent batting average (OBA) in 7 starts
  • Career vs. Mariners (regular season): 0-1, 2.92 ERA (12 1/3 IP, 4 ER), 9 H, 2 HR, 8 BB, 14 K in 2 starts

Woo (1-2, 4.74 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 11.1 K/9 in 38 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 10-3 home loss vs. Minnesota Twins Tuesday
  • 2023 home splits: 0-1, 5.79 ERA (14 IP, 9 ER – 4 HR), .293 OBA in 3 starts
  • First career start vs. the Blue Jays

Blue Jays at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:35 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Mariners -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-165) | Mariners -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Blue Jays at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 6, Mariners 5

Moneyline

Toronto should avoid the sweep vs. the inconsistent Mariners. While Manoah is having the worst season of his career, he has been decent at bouncing back after bad performances. Manoah has allowed an average of just 1.00 ER in 5 games this season after giving up 4 or more ER in his previous start.

BET BLUE JAYS (+120).

Run line/Against the spread

Toronto +1.5 (-165) should hit, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the run line when the Blue Jays should win straight up.

PASS. Bet the moneyline and/or the total instead.

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Over/Under

Eight of Manoah’s last 9 starts have finished with 9 or more total runs. Woo has also been a worse pitcher at home this season and should help the Over hit for the 5th time in 7 games for the Mariners.

BET OVER 8.5 (-115).

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Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Toronto Blue Jays (54-43) and Seattle Mariners (48-48) open a 3-game set Friday at T-Mobile Park. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET (MLB.TV Free Game of the Day). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Blue Jays lead 2-1

The Blue Jays won 4-0 as +104 home underdogs vs. the San Diego Padres Thursday. Toronto has won 9 of its last 12 contests and is 3rd in the AL East, 5½ games back of the division-leading Baltimore Orioles.

The Mariners won 5-0 as -118 home favorites vs. the Minnesota Twins Thursday. Seattle has dropped back-to-back series and is 4th in AL West, 9½ games behind the division-leading Texas Rangers.

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Blue Jays at Mariners projected starters

LHP Yusei Kikuchi vs. RHP Bryce Miller

Kikuchi (7-3, 4.13 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 98 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 7-5 home win vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Sunday
  • Blue Jays are 4-1 in his last 5 starts
  • Career vs. Mariners: 1-0, 6 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 1 start, a 6-2 home win May 16, 2022

Miller (6-3, 3.66 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 0.97 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 64 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 2-0 home win vs. Detroit Tigers Sunday
  • Has gone 5 straight starts without losing a decision
  • First career start vs. Blue Jays

Blue Jays at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:05 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Mariners -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-200) | Mariners -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Blue Jays at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Blue Jays 3, Mariners 2

Moneyline

The Blue Jays should finally get a win at T-Mobile Park after dropping all 4 meetings in Seattle last season. The Mariners have struggled to string together back-to-back good performances this year and are just 21-26 straight up after a win.

Look for Kikuchi to have another good outing vs. his former team. T-Mobile Park should also be filled with mostly Blue Jays fans, due to Seattle’s proximity to Western Canada.

BET BLUE JAYS (+100).

Run line/Against the spread

Toronto +1.5 (-200) should hit, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the run line when the Blue Jays should win straight up.

PASS. Bet the moneyline and/or the total instead.

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Over/Under

The Under is 29-20-4 this season when the Blue Jays are coming off a win and 12-5-1 in their last 18 overall.

Miller has allowed a total of just 7 ER runs over his last 5 starts and should also help the Under hit Friday in Seattle.

BET UNDER 8 (-105).

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Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Seattle Mariners (45-41) host the Toronto Blue Jays (44-42) Sunday at T-Mobile Park for their 4-game series finale with the 1st pitch scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Seattle has won the first 3 games of this series by a combined score of 15-6. The 2-1 victory Saturday was keyed by Mariners 1B Carlos Santana 2-run home run in the top of the 8th inning.

The Mariners are riding a 7-game winning streak while the Blue Jays have lost 8 of their last 9 games.

Season series: Seattle leads 4-2 and the Mariners have a plus-5 run differential in those meetings.

Blue Jays at Mariners projected starters

RHP Max Castillo vs. LHP Logan Gilbert

Toronto hasn’t officially announced its starter but Castillo is projected to get the nod. He’s 0-0 with a 2.38 ERA (11 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 7 H, 3 HR, 2 BB and 15 K in 5 relief appearances.

  • Figures to be an opener for Toronto’s bullpen day.
  • His ERA is misleading because he has a .174 BAbip, which is a luck-based metric, but a 50.0% hard-hit rate and 91.9 mph exit velocity, both significantly higher than the MLB average.

Gilbert is 10-3 with a 2.61 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 100 IP over 17 starts.

  • Last start: Won 6-2 Tuesday at the San Diego Padres with 5 1/3 IP, 2 R (1 ER), 6 H, 3 BB and 1 K.
  • 2022 vs. the Rays: Lost 3-0 May 17 in Toronto with 7 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 2 BB and 9 K.
  • 2022 home splits: 4-2 with a 2.81 ERA (58 1/3 IP, 13 ER), 1.06 WHIP, 4 HR and 8.4 K/9 in 7 starts.

Blue Jays at Mariners odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:47 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Blue Jays +102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Mariners -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-210) | Mariners -1.5 (+170)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Blue Jays at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 5, Blue Jays 3

Money line

BET the MARINERS (-125) since they have a massive edge in the pitching matchup over the Blue Jays (+102).

Gilbert will most likely be selected to the AL All-Star roster this month and Seattle’s bullpen is 2nd in K/BB rate (3.53) with much better swing-and-miss and contact rates than Toronto’s bullpen, according to FanGraphs.

The Mariners are red-hot entering Sunday and I still think the Blue Jays are slightly overrated due to all the sluggers in their lineup. Also, Toronto hasn’t scored more than 3 runs in any of its last 7 games.

BET MARINERS (-125).

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Mariners -1.5 (+170) are just 9-17 RL as home favorites, the Blue Jays +1.5 (-210) 9-4 RL as road underdogs and I’m hesitant to “sprinkle” on Seattle’s RL since we don’t know who Toronto’s official starter at this time.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 7.5 (+100) since Seattle is 7-9 O/U in Gilbert’s 16 starts and 18-24-1 O/U at home and the Blue Jays-Mariners is 1-5 O/U in their last 6 meetings.

However, I cannot fully endorse an Under wager since we don’t have a strong enough grasp of Toronto’s pitching situation.

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Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Toronto Blue Jays (45-40) stop by T-Mobile Park Saturday for the 3rd game of their 4-game series with the Seattle Mariners (43-42) at 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Seattle won the first 2 games of the series, 8-3 Friday and 5-2 in 11 innings Saturday.

The Mariners have won 14 of their last 17 games and are riding a 6-game winning streak, while the Blue Jays are 3-7 in their last 10 games.

Season series: Mariners lead 3-2, outscoring the Blue Jays 20-15

Blue Jays at Mariners projected starters

RHP Alek Manoah vs. LHP Robbie Ray

Manoah is 9-3 with a 2.33 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 100 1/3 IP over 16 starts.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 5 R (4 ER), 6 H, 2 HR, 2 BB, 5 K in 5-1 setback at Oakland Athletics Monday
  • 2022 road splits: 4-2, 2.47 ERA (47 1/3 IP, 13 ER), 1.16 WHIP, 6 HR, 8.2 K/9 in 8 starts

Ray is 7-6 with a 3.62 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 104 1/3 IP across 17 starts.

  • Last start: Win, 6 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 HR, 2 BB, 12 K in 2-1 home victory vs. Oakland Sunday
  • 2022 home splits: 4-2, 2.33 ERA (58 IP, 15 ER), 0.85 WHIP, 5 HR, 10.6 K/9 in 9 starts

Blue Jays at Mariners odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:18 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Blue Jays -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Mariners +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+133) | Mariners +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Blue Jays at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 4, Blue Jays 2

Money line

BET 1 UNIT on the MARINERS (+105) because there’s a line freeze in the betting market and Seattle has the pitching edge.

Roughly three-fourths of the bets are on the Blue Jays according to Pregame.com, but their ML price hasn’t budged at Tipico. The oddsmakers not moving Toronto’s ML despite the one-way action suggests they are daring bettors to put more money on the Blue Jays.

Ray pitches much better at T-Mobile Park and has been locked in recently. He is 3-1 in his last 7 outings with a 2.06 ERA and has a 5-game quality start streak. Also, Seattle’s bullpen has better K/BB, swing-and-miss and contact rates and lower xFIP than Toronto’s (per FanGraphs).

BET MARINERS (+105).

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Run line/Against the spread

SPRINKLE on the MARINERS -1.5 (+210) ALTERNATE RL, if at all, because of the chunky payout and all 5 Blue Jays-Mariners games this year have been decided by at least 3 runs including an extra-inning affair Friday.

My hesitancy with Seattle’s RL is Manoah is a legit ace and AL Cy Young contender and the Mariners are just 9-17 RL as home favorites.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-105) only because it feels “square” since most of the action is on Under per Pregame.com, but the total hasn’t budged and the Over 7.5 (-120) is pricier.

However, both ballclubs have their aces on the bump, the Under is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings and Toronto is 5-11 O/U in Manoah’s 16 starts this season.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Seattle Mariners (42-42) host the Toronto Blue Jays (45-39) Friday for the 2nd of their 4-game series at T-Mobile Park. First pitch is scheduled at  10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Toronto is 3-7 straight up (SU) in the last 10 games, which includes an 8-3 series-opening loss to the Mariners Thursday.

Seattle has won 5 consecutive games and is 8-2 SU in the last 10 and 14-6 SU in the last 20.

The Blue Jays-Mariners season series is tied 2-2 SU, but Seattle has a plus-2 run differential in those meetings.

Blue Jays at Mariners projected starters

RHP Ross Stripling vs. RHP George Kirby 

Stripling is 4-3 with a 3.32 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 62 1/3 IP over 11 starts and 8 relief appearances.

  • Last start: Lost 7-3 Sunday at home vs. the Tampa Bay Rays with. 4 2/3 IP, 4 R (3 ER), 7 H, 1 HR, 1 BB and 3 K.
  • 2022 road splits: 3-1 with 3.10 ERA (29 IP, 10 ER), 0.86 WHIP, 1 HR and 6.8 K/9 in 5 starts and 3 relief appearances.

Kirby is 2-3 with a 3.75 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 1.2 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 60 IP over 11 starts.

  • Last start: Won 2-1 Saturday at home vs. the Oakland Athletics with 7 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB and 9 K.
  • 2022 home splits: 0-2 with a 4.64 ERA (33 IP, 17 ER), 1.21 WHIP, 8 HR and 10.1 K/9 in 6 starts.

Blue Jays at Mariners odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:49 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Blue Jays -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Mariners -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+155) | Mariners +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Blue Jays at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 7, Blue Jays 3

Money line

GIMME the MARINERS (-110) because they’ve been bet from a slight home underdog up to the current number and Seattle is 15-11 SU as home favorites whereas the Blue Jays (-110) are 5-8 SU as road underdogs.

Also, this is a “Pros vs. Joe’s” scenario in the betting market with nearly 60% of the money on the Mariners while more than 75% of the bets placed are on Toronto, per Pregame.com. Since sharps put up a lot more dough than your average Joe, it’s wise to follow the money when it’s counter to the public.

BET 1 unit on the MARINERS (-110).

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Run line/Against the spread

LEAN MARINERS -1.5 (+175) ALTERNATE RL because of the fat payout and every Blue Jays-Mariners meeting this season has been decided by at least 3 runs even though the series is tied 2-2.

I’d only “sprinkle” on Seattle’s alternate RL, if at all, since Toronto’s lineup is more productive vs. right-handed pitching and the Mariners’ bullpen is only slightly better than the Blue Jays’.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 8.5 (-110) because both lineups hit right-handed pitching well and neither starter is a top-of-the-rotation guy even though Kirby is a solid prospect out of Seattle’s farm system and Stripling has been locked in this year. That said, Seattle’s ML is my favorite look in this game.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

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The Toronto Blue Jays (45-38) and the Seattle Mariners (41-42) open a 4-game series Thursday at T-Mobile Park in Seattle. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Blue Jays lead 2-1

The Blue Jays avoided an embarrassing road sweep at the hands of the lowly Oakland Athletics, winning 2-1 Wednesday after being outscored 10-4 in the first 2 games.

The Mariners have won 4 in a row and 7 of the past 8 games, climbing to within one game of .500. Seattle hasn’t been .500 or better since May 3.

Blue Jays at Mariners projected starters

RHP Casey Lawrence v Undecided vs. LHP Marco Gonzales

The Blue Jays haven’t announced a starting pitcher as of this publishing. The Toronto Sun reported that RHP Casey Lawrence (0-1, 6.23 ERA) will get the nod. The 34-year-old right-hander has pitched in 4 MLB games this season (13 IP, 9 ER, 13 H, 9 K), all in relief.

  • 2022 Triple-A stats: 8-2, 2.22 ERA (73 IP, 18 ER), 0.82 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9, 8.0 K/9 with Buffalo
  • Last MLB outing: Loss, 5 2/3 IP out of the bullpen Saturday, yielding 6 ER on 7 H, 2 HR and 1 BB with 6 K vs. visiting Tampa Bay Rays
  • Hasn’t made a start in the majors since April 27, 2017 in his first go-around with the Blue Jays
  • Made 34 relief appearances with the Mariners from 2017-18, going 3-0 with a 6.20 ERA (65 1/3 IP, 45 ER).

Gonzalez (4-9, 3.29 ERA) makes his 17th start of the season. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 5.0 K/9 through 87 2/3 IP.

  • Allowed just 1 ER, 5 H and 3 BB with 2 K across 6 IP in a 5-1 win at Toronto May 18
  • Is 2-4 with a 3.28 ERA with a .236 opponents’ batting average in 46 2/3 IP across 8 starts at home.

Blue Jays at Mariners odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:58 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Blue Jays -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Mariners +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+120) | Mariners +1.5 (-145)
  • Over/Under (O/U):  8.5 (O: -112  | U: -108)

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Blue Jays at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 6, Blue Jays 4

Money line

The MARINERS (+115) are the play at home behind the veteran southpaw Gonzales. He was crafty in a win against the Blue Jays in Toronto earlier this season.

Toronto’s starting pitching staff has been awful, and now it turns to an emergency pitcher making his first start since 2017. Lawrence might pitch with a little bit of a chip on his shoulder since he has spent time within the Seattle organization, but look for the M’s to prevail.

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Mariners +1.5 (-145) aren’t worth playing on the run line because of the -145 juice, and it’s not as good a value as the money line.

If you like Seattle, and you should, just play it straight up.

Over/Under

The OVER 8.5 (-112) is the lean here.

It’s uncertain how deep Lawrence will be able to go for the Blue Jays. The Toronto bullpen has been taxed by manager Charlie Montoyo lately. That’s good news for the Seattle offense and for Over bettors.

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Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Toronto Blue Jays (62-54) and Seattle Mariners (63-55) put a lid on a three-game series Sunday. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET at T-Mobile Park. Let’s analyze the lines around the Blue Jays vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Steven Matz is the projected starting pitcher for the Blue Jays. He is 9-7 with a 4.28 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, 9.3 K/9 and 2.6 BB/9 in 101 IP over 20 starts this season.

  • He allowed 4 runs (2 earned) on 6 hits and 3 BB in his last start (Aug. 10 vs. Los Angeles Angels).
  • He has clocked a 2.92, with just 1 home run allowed, across his last 5 starts.

RHP Logan Gilbert is the projected starter for the Mariners. Across 15 starts this season, Gilbert is 5-3 with a 4.05 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 10.31 K/9 and 2.21 BB/9 in 73 1/3 IP.

  • Gilbert logged a 6.75 ERA over three starts from July 24-Aug. 4 but bounced back with a solid effort against the Texas Rangers in his last start (6 IP, 2 ER allowed on 5H and 0 BB, Aug. 10).
  • Unkind batting-average-on-balls-in-play figures played into Gilbert’s recent slump. Over his last five starts, the 24-year-old rookie has clocked a 5.11 ERA, but he has pitched around a .328 BABIP.

Blue Jays at Mariners odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Blue Jays -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Mariners -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Blue Jays -1.5 (+145) | Mariners +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Prediction

Blue Jays 5, Mariners 3

Money line (ML)

Toronto had been 12-4 over its previous 16 games before arriving in the Emerald City. But the Blue Jays have dropped the first two games of this series and will take to the field Sunday looking to avoid a sweep.

With its wins over Toronto, Seattle is 5-1 over its last 6 games. But overall, with 4.19 runs per game against 4.55 RPG allowed, the Mariners are fortunate to be playing .534 baseball. The Jays figure as the value side, but the tag here overshoots any leverage. PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Expected-ERA figures reveal upside for Matz (who has been hurt by a .340 BABIP) and downside for Gilbert (who has benefited from a 9.6% home run/fly ball rate.

The back end of the Blue Jays bullpen figures to be more available than its opposites on the Mariners side for this series finale. Seven of Toronto’s last 10 wins have been by 3 runs or more.

BACK THE BLUE JAYS -1.5 (+145).

Over/Under (O/U)

Batting analytics point to both teams perhaps scoring more runs than they “should have” for most of the season. For instance, both offenses have been aided by generous BABIPs in clutch batting situations. Pair that angle with some capable pitching and a fair price on the underside of this number.

TAKE THE UNDER 8.5 (-110).

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Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Toronto Blue Jays (62-52) and Seattle Mariners (61-55) open a three-game series Friday. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET at T-Mobile Park. Let’s analyze the lines around the Blue Jays vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Robbie Ray is the projected starting pitcher for the Blue Jays. He is 9-5 with a 2.90 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 11.0 K/9, and 2.4 BB/9 in 130 1/3 IP over 22 starts.

  • Has logged a 1.85 ERA and 0.96 WHIP since the beginning of July.
  • Seattle gets a higher than average percentage of its plate appearances vs. left-handers from left-handed batters. That plays into a Ray strength as he has a career .642 OPS allowed vs. LHBs.

RHP Chris Flexen is the projected starter for the Mariners. He is 10-5 with a 3.81 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 6.1 K/9, and 1.9 BB/9 in 120 1/3 IP over 21 starts.

  • Has a wide gulf in his home/road splits favoring games at T-Mobile (2.67 ERA at home, 5.44 ERA on the road).
  • Has benefited from a .241 batting average on balls in play in high-leverage situations.

Blue Jays at Mariners odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:25 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Blue Jays -180 (bet $180 to win $100) | Mariners +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Blue Jays -1.5 (-105) | Mariners +1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Prediction

Blue Jays 6, Mariners 3

Money line (ML)

Toronto is 12-4 over its last 16 games and arrives in the Emerald City after splitting four games with the Los Angeles Angels.

Seattle is coming off a 2-1 series win over Texas and has won three of its last four, but the Mariners are just 6-9 over their last 15 and are definitely tabbed as a “too far over their skis” group worthy of fading on many nights.

Friday is one of those nights, but the price on the Jays isn’t great: STEER CLEAR.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Ray has the support peripherals to back up his surface stats, at least to a greater degree than his Friday mound foe.  Flexen averages 90 pitches per start but has thrown 211 over his last two efforts and is ripe for a late-season fatigue slump.

On a night with a bit of an Over lean, BACK THE BLUE JAYS -1.5 (-105).

Over/Under (O/U)

Both Ray and Flexen have expected-ERA figures higher than their surface figures. Seattle’s bullpen has surged this month with a 2.81 ERA, but that performance has been aided by a .232 BABIP.

Both bullpens are still borderline top-third units though, and T-Mobile most certainly profiles as a pitcher’s park. Still, the Blue Jays’ big-inning potential and just a little giveback from the pitchers are rewarded by a nice price here.

TAKE THE OVER 8.5 (-112).

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