Tag: Blue Jays Giants odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

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The San Francisco Giants (45-48) welcome the Toronto Blue Jays (42-50) to Oracle Park Thursday for the finale of their 3-game series. First pitch is set for 3:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Giants odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Giants lost to the Blue Jays 10-6 Wednesday, but did come out on top 4-3 on Tuesday.

The Giants have closed as a moneyline and run-line favorite in both games. San Francisco is just 1-3 in its last 4, having lost 2 of 3 on the road against the Cleveland Guardians in the series prior. The Giants are 26-20 at home and 45-48 against the spread (ATS).

The Blue Jays, who have won 3 of their last 4 games, have had their offense erupt, scoring 5 or more runs in each win. Toronto won 2 of 3 on the road against the Seattle Mariners in the series prior. It is just 3-4 over its last 7 though. The Blue Jays are 21-26 on the road and 44-48 ATS.

Blue Jays at Giants projected starters

RHP Kevin Gausman vs. RHP Jordan Hicks

Gausman (6-8, 4.64 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 97 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 2 ER (2 R), 6 H, 2 BB, 10 K in 2-1 road loss to the Seattle Mariners Friday
• 2024 away splits: 5-3, 2.31 ERA (50 2/3 IP, 13 ER), 1.01 WHIP, 5 HR, 9.6 K/9 in 9 starts
• Career vs. Giants: 0-2, 3.38 ERA (16 IP, 6 ER), 9 H, 0 HR, 9 BB, 27 K in 2 starts

Hicks (6-8, 4.64 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 90 2/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 3 ER (3 R), 8 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 3-1 road loss to the Atlanta Braves on July 3
• 2024 home splits: 2-2, 3.12 ERA (49 IP, 17 ER), 1.06 WHIP, 6 HR, 6.8 K/9 in 9 starts
• Career vs. Blue Jays: 0-2, 16.50 ERA (6 IP, 11 ER), 10 H, 1 HR, 11 BB, 4 K in 4 appearances (1 start)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Blue Jays at Giants odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:06 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays +102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Giants -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+172) | Giants +1.5 (-210)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: -102)

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Blue Jays at Giants picks and predictions

Prediction

Giants 4, Blue Jays 3

Moneyline

BET GIANTS (-120).

The Blue Jays are 1-4 in Gausman’s last 5 starts, and they are just 3-4 over their last 7 games. Toronto hasn’t fared well on the road this season either. The Blue Jays are the 6th-worst team in the MLB following a win at 15-25, which they are here.

The Giants, who are 6-3 over their last 9 at home, have a solid starting option and have scored at least 4 runs in 6 straight games. Their offense has been consistent as well. At these odds, take GIANTS (-120).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Giants, as a run-line underdog, are far, far too expensive (-210) to take here, especially given how well Gausman has pitched on the road. However, the Blue Jays are too risky as a run-line favorite as well.

Ultimately, avoid a run line play.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-102).

The Giants have gone Under in 4 of their last 7 games. Even in 2 of those 3 in which the Over did hit, it only exceeded the projected total by 0.5 runs.

The Blue Jays, who are 44-46-2 O/U on the season, have gone Under in 3 of their last 6. They have struggled offensively, scoring 3 runs or fewer in 4 of their last 7 games and 5 runs or fewer in 6 of those 7. Gausman has 9 road starts and only 2 in which the Blue Jays have allowed more than 3.

While the Giants on the moneyline is the best play, also take UNDER 7.5 (-102) given the quality of pitchers taking the mound.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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The Toronto Blue Jays (41-50) and San Francisco Giants (45-47) play the 2nd game of a 3-game set at Oracle Park Wednesday. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Giants odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Giants lead 1-0

The Giants won 4-3 in the series opener Tuesday as the Under (7.5) hit.

Toronto had a 91.1% win probability, according to ESPN, when Giants PH Mike Yastrzemski flew out with a runner on 1st for the 2nd out of the 9th inning. SS Brett Wisely tied it with an RBI single later in the inning, and CF Tyler Fitzgerald scored the winning run soon after on a wild pitch.

Toronto is 6-14 in its last 20 games, while San Francisco is 9-5 in its last 14.

Blue Jays at Giants projected starters

RHP Chris Bassitt vs. RHP Logan Webb

Bassitt (7-7, 3.43 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 102 1/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 4 BB, 3 K in 5-3 home loss vs. Houston Astros Thursday
• 2024 road stats: 2-3, 2.93 ERA (46 IP, 15 ER), 1.30 WHIP, 7.8 K/9 in 8 starts
• Career vs. Giants: 2-2, 4.41 ERA (34 2/3 IP, 17 ER), 1.18 WHIP, 9.9 K/9 in 6 starts, including 1-0 with 0.00 ERA (6 IP) in 1 start last year

Webb (7-6, 3.09 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in an MLB-leading 119 1/3 IP.

• Last start: Win, 7 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 4-2 victory at Atlanta Braves Thursday
• 2024 home stats: 4-2, 2.13 ERA (55 IP, 13 ER), 1.07 WHIP, 6.5 K/9 in 8 starts
• Career vs. Blue Jays: 0-1, 9.00 ERA (5 IP, 5 ER), 8 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 1 start, a 6-1 road loss June 28, 2023

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Blue Jays at Giants odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:37 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Giants -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-175) | Giants -1.5 (+145)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Blue Jays at Giants picks and predictions

Prediction

Giants 5, Blue Jays 3

Moneyline

The Giants (-155) should hand Toronto its 15th loss in 21 games, but with Webb taking the mound at home, the run line at plus money is the better play.

PASS. Bet the run line and/or total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

The Giants have won 5 of Webb’s last 7 home starts by 2 or more runs.

The Blue Jays scored 5 runs in the 1st inning when they faced Webb last year, but he regained control and pitched 4 scoreless frames right after. It’s unlikely that Toronto will score that many runs this time around.

Bassitt had 12 K’s in 6 shutout IP in his start last year against San Francisco, but the 2023 version of the Giants struck out a lot more than this year’s team. San Francisco had the 7th-highest strikeout rate last season (9.21 per game), while this year’s Giants are middle of the pack with the 15th-highest rate (8.35).

Don’t expect Bassitt, or the Blue Jays offense, to replicate last year’s dominance.

BET GIANTS -1.5 (+145).

Over/Under

Bassitt is coming off a disappointing performance against Houston Thursday, allowing 4 ER on 8 hits in 5 IP. After an impressive June (1.95 ERA across 6 starts), there’s a chance the 35-year-old Blue Jays pitcher is regressing toward the mean.

However, it’s tough to bet the Over when Webb is starting at home, where he has allowed 2 ER or fewer in 6 of his 8 starts.

LEAN OVER 7 (-120).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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The Toronto Blue Jays (41-49) and San Francisco Giants (44-47) open a 3-game set at Oracle Park Tuesday. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Giants odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Toronto won 2-1 last year

The Blue Jays took 2 of 3 games at the Seattle Mariners over the weekend. Toronto wrapped up the series with a 5-4 win in 10 innings as a +130 underdog Sunday with the Over (7.5) hitting. RF George Springer hit a game-tying 3-run HR in the 7th inning, and LF Daulton Varsho hit a go-ahead RBI single in the 10th.

The Giants dropped 2 of 3 games at the Cleveland Guardians Friday through Sunday. They lost 5-4 as +113 underdogs in the series finale as the Over (8.5) cashed.

Blue Jays at Giants projected starters

LHP Yusei Kikuchi vs. LHP Blake Snell

Kikuchi (4-8, 4.12 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 94 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 9-2 home loss vs. Houston Astros Wednesday
• 2024 road stats: 2-2, 4.00 ERA (36 IP, 16 ER), 1.61 WHIP, 9.8 K/9 in 8 starts
• 2024 stats on 5 days of rest: 2-4, 4.43 ERA (40 2/3 IP, 20 ER), 1.40 WHIP, 10.4 K/9 in 8 starts
• Career vs. Giants: 0-0, 4.50 ERA (6 IP, 3 ER), 6 H, 1 BB, 10 K in 1 start, a 6-3 home loss April 2, 2021, with Seattle Mariners

Snell (0-3, 9.51 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.94 WHIP, 5.3 BB/9 and 11.8 K/9 in 23 2/3 IP.

• Returns from 15-day IL after left groin strain
• Last rehab start with Triple-A Sacramento: No-decision, 5 IP, 0 R, 0 H, 1 BB, 9 K in 7-1 home loss vs. Reno Wednesday
• Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 7-5 home loss to New York Yankees June 2
• Career vs. Blue Jays (regular season): 4-4, 2.74 ERA (69 IP, 21 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 11.0 K/9 in 14 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Blue Jays at Giants odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:01 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Giants -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-225) | Giants -1.5 (+165)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Blue Jays at Giants picks and predictions

Prediction

Giants 5, Blue Jays 4

Moneyline

This line was as high as Giants -135 Monday evening. While I am somewhat concerned that money has come in on the Blue Jays, I believe the market has moved too far and there is now value on San Francisco.

Snell looked good in his final rehab start, giving up just 1 walk in 5 innings of no-hit ball, and Kikuchi has actually been worse this season — and over his career — on 5 days of rest.

BET GIANTS (-120).

Run line/Against the spread

Toronto +1.5 (-225) will likely hit, but it’s a losing proposition long term to lay -190 or higher while betting into 60-cent lines.

PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.

Over/Under

There are concerns with both pitchers in this spot. Kikuchi has been worse statistically when playing on 5 days of rest, and Snell, despite looking good in his final rehab start, is still coming off a groin injury. The Over has hit in back-to-back games for both teams, and with so many concerns surrounding both starters, the Over is the only way I would look in this market.

BET OVER 7.5 (-115).

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Corey Scott on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Fantasy baseball help from BaseballHQ.com:
Subscribe now to dominate the competition.

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