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UFL Championship: Birmingham Stallions vs. San Antonio Brahmas odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Birmingham Stallions vs. San Antonio Brahmas odds and lines, with expert UFL picks and predictions.

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The Birmingham Stallions (10-1) and the San Antonio Brahmas (8-3) meet in the UFL Championship Game on Sunday at The Dome at America’s Center in St. Louis. Kickoff is scheduled for 5 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Stallions vs. Brahmas odds and make our expert UFL picks and predictions.

The Stallions are looking to secure a 3rd consecutive championship after winning the USFL the past 2 seasons. It won the UFL conference with a 9-1 record, and a 31-18 victory over the Michigan Panthers at home in the conference championship round last weekend.

Birmingham has won 10 of its 11 games this season, but that lone loss came in San Antonio in Week 9. The Brahmas won 18-9 as an 8.5-point underdog, holding the Stallions to a season low in points. In fact, Birmingham has scored 20 or more points in every other game this season.

The Stallions covered last week, snapping an 0-4 against the spread (ATS) skid to close out the regular season. The Over (43) cashed, too, and the total has gone high in 4 of the team’s past 6 outings after the Under went 4-1 in the first 5 games.

The Brahmas used defense to get into this position, and it’s nothing new. This team allowed 19 or fewer points in all but 1 game this season, a 31-24 loss at home against St. Louis in Week 3. The offense has been just good enough, posting 20 or more points just twice in the past 6 games, but the team is still 4-1 SU in the past 5, while covering 4 in a row.

With San Antonio’s defense, it’s no surprise that the Under is on an 8-0 run. In fact, that Week 3 game against the Battlehawks was the only Over result in 11 games this season.

In Week 9, San Antonio had a 32:11 to 27:49 edge in time of possession, while posting 329 total yards, to just 278 for Birmingham. The Brahmas scored 2 TDs in 3 trips to the red zone, too, while outrushing the Stallions 126-78. Both teams turned it over once.

League MVP Adrian Martinez was limited to 18-of-32 passing for 211 yards, 1 TD and 1 INT, while running for 56 yards. TE Jace Sternberger was huge, going for 7 grabs and 110 yards with the lone TD. He scored in each of the final 2 regular-season games, while posting 2 grabs for 48 yards vs. Michigan last week.

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Stallions vs. Brahmas odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:14 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Stallions -185 (bet $185 to win $100) | Brahmas +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
Against the spread: Stallions -3.5 (-110) | Brahmas +3.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 41.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Stallions vs. Brahmas key injuries

Stallions

RB Larry Rountree (undisclosed) out
WR Isaiah Zuber (undisclosed) out

Brahmas

WR Landen Akers (suspension) out
WR Cody Latimer (undisclosed) out
WR Tavonn Salter (undisclosed) out
RB Pooka Williams (undisclosed) out

Stallions vs. Brahmas picks and predictions

Prediction

Brahmas 20, Stallions 18

Moneyline

The BRAHMAS (+150) are worth a look as the underdogs. This San Antonio defense is sick, and they held the Stallions (-185) well below their season average in the Week 9 matchup at The Alamodome.

Birmingham was a well-oiled machine in the 1st half of the season, but the defense started to show some signs of breaking from Week 6 on. The Stallions allowed just 13.6 PPG in the first 5 games, but the Birmingham D coughed up 21.7 PPG in the past 6 outings, including 18 points to San Antonio in the 9-point loss.

Against the spread

Back the BRAHMAS +3.5 (-110) catching the points, if you’re a little more on the conservative side, and you can’t bring yourself to play San Antonio straight up against the 2-time defending champion Stallions -3.5 (-110).

Coach Wade Phillips has brought a suffocating defense to San Antonio, and as long as the offense can be somewhat effective, a straight-up win is likely. But if you need insurance, three and a hook is nice.

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Over/Under

UNDER 41.5 (-115) is the play in this title game in St. Louis.

Death, taxes and Brahma Unders? OK, that’s probably not really a saying, but it should be. San Antonio cashed low on the total 10 times in 11 games this season, including the Week 9 win over Birmingham.

The Stallions hit the Under in the final 2 regular-season games before re-discovering the gas pedal last week against Michigan. Still, it managed a season-low 9 points in the first meeting with the Brahmas. Go low.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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USFL Conference Championship: Michigan Panthers at Birmingham Stallions odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Michigan Panthers at Birmingham Stallions odds and lines, with expert UFL picks and predictions.

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The UFL’s USFL Conference Championship is this weekend with the 2nd-place Michigan Panthers (7-3) visiting the 1st-place Birmingham Stallions (9-1). Kickoff is Saturday at 3 p.m. ET at Protective Stadium (ABC). The San Antonio Brahmas (7-3) and St. Louis Battlehawks (7-3) will face off for the XFL title Sunday and the 2 winners will meet June 16 in St. Louis for all the marbles and the UFL Championship.

Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Panthers vs. Stallions odds and make our expert UFL picks and predictions.

The Panthers had a 5-game win streak snapped last week in the regular-season finale, falling at Birmingham 20-19 but covering the 8-point spread as underdogs with the Under (43.5) cashing. The result wasn’t going to affect the standings, so the Panthers were able to rest players for Saturday’s playoff game.

The Stallions swept the Panthers in the regular season, winning 20-13 in Detroit in Week 2, and the 20-19 victory at home last weekend.

The Stallions didn’t lose until Week 9 when they suffered an 18-9 setback at the Brahmas.

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Panthers at Stallions odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:44 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Panthers +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Stallions -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Panthers +5.5 (-115) | Stallions -5.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 43 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Panthers at Stallions key injuries

Panthers

DE Kenny Willekes (ankle) out

Stallions

LB Damon Lloyd (shoulder) probable

Panthers at Stallions picks and predictions

Prediction

Stallions 31, Panthers 20

Moneyline

The 2 games between the teams this season were 1-score victories by Birmingham. The Panthers did not reach 20 points in either game.

The Stallions ran through 4 straight games of scoring 30 or more before locking up the division. Once the division was decided, they took their foot off the pedal scoring 9 and 20 points in their final 2 games.

But Birmingham has scored the most points and allowed the 2nd fewest. That will stand out in the conference championship.

The Stallions should make it to the championship game but no need to bet them at -250.

PASS.

Against the spread

They did not cover the spread in their final 2 games but in 6 of their 9 wins they did so by more than 5 points.

Two of the Panthers’ 3 losses were by at least a touchdown, and they averaged 23 points over their final 4 games.

The Stallions scored 27 or more in 6 of 10 games.

BET STALLIONS -5.5 (-105).

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Over/Under

Both regular-season meetings failed to even reach 40 total points and the Stallions’ final 2 games were both Under 40.

However, I have a feeling that both teams have held things back over the last 2 weeks. Expect the intensity to increase now that it’s a win-or-go-home playoff tilt.

BET OVER 43 (-110).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Michigan Panthers at Birmingham Stallions odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Michigan Panthers at Birmingham Stallions odds and lines, with expert UFL picks and predictions.

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The Michigan Panthers (7-2) travel to meet the Birmingham Stallions (8-1) Saturday at Protective Stadium in Week 10. Kickoff is scheduled for 2 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Panthers vs. Stallions odds and make our expert UFL picks and predictions.

The Panthers enter play as the hottest team in the UFL, posting 5 straight victories. That’s the longest streak in the league since the Stallions saw their 8-game winning streak snapped in San Antonio last weekend.

Michigan has alternated covers and non-covers in all 9 games this season, covering narrowly as a 3.5-point favorite 26-22 at Houston in Week 9. The Over holds a 3-2 advantage in the past 5 games, as the Michigan offense is good for 22 or more points in each of those outings. The Panthers are averaging 27.0 points per game (PPG) in the win streak, and the D has allowed 20 or fewer points in 7 of 9 games this season.

As mentioned, the Stallions were tripped up 18-9 in San Antonio as an 8.5-point favorite last weekend. After opening 5-1 ATS, Birmingham has failed to cover the past 3 games. The Under (44) easily hit last week, and that halted a 3-0 Over run for the defending USFL champs.

These teams met in Detroit back in Week 2, with the Stallions pulling off a 20-13 win as a 6.5-point road favorite as the Under (41.5) connected.

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Panthers at Stallions odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 6:31 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Panthers +320 (bet $100 to win $320) | Stallions -400 (bet $400 to win $100)
Against the spread: Panthers +8 (-110) | Stallions -8 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 43.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Panthers at Stallions key injuries

Panthers

RB Matthew Colburn (undisclosed) out
RB Wes Hills (leg) injured reserve
QB Brian Lewerke (undisclosed) out
QB E.J. Perry (hamstring) injured reserve
WR Marcus Simms (undisclosed) out

Stallions

PK Chris Blewitt (undisclosed) out
RB Ricky Person (undisclosed) out
QB J’Mar Smith (undisclosed) out
WR Isaiah Zuber (undisclosed) out

Panthers at Stallions picks and predictions

Prediction

Panthers 22, Stallions 19

Moneyline

The PANTHERS (+320) are worth a look straight up for the chance to multiply your initial wager by 3 times.

The Stallions (-400) built a giant lead in the standings, and they have seemed to slack off a little in the past few weeks. Birmingham lost to San Antonio, a good team, outright last weekend, and it nearly suffered an ugly loss to a bad Houston team the weekend before.

One thing to note, too, is that these teams will play each other again next weekend in the 1st round of the playoffs, so the Stallions might not be keen on revealing too much since this game is essentially meaningless.

Against the spread

If you’re a little more on the conservative side, and can’t play Michigan straight up, consider PANTHERS +8 (-110).

Again, the Stallions -8 (-110) aren’t playing for anything, clinching a playoff spot way back in Week 6, while the Panthers look to roll into the playoff rematch next week in Birmingham with momentum. Expect Birmingham’s offense to be very vanilla in the finale.

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Over/Under

UNDER 43.5 (-110) is a nice play in this finale.

The Stallions defense had been roughed up for 25.0 PPG in Weeks 6 through 8, but at least they showed up in San Antonio, allowing just 18 points in the loss.

The Panthers offense has been rolling, but they also might not want to show everything off with another game with the Stallions looming for much bigger stakes next weekend in the playoffs.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Birmingham Stallions at San Antonio Brahmas odds, picks and predictions

Beat the sportsbook: Analyzing Saturday’s Birmingham Stallions at San Antonio Brahmas odds and lines, with expert UFL picks and predictions.

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The Birmingham Stallions (8-0) are on the road in Week 9 taking on the San Antonio Brahmas (6-2) Saturday. Kickoff from the Alamodome is scheduled for 3 p.m. ET (ABC). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook‘s lines around the Stallions vs. Brahmas odds and make our expert UFL picks and predictions.

The Stallions have already clinched a playoff spot and won all their games this season. They took down the Houston Roughnecks 35-28 May 18, failing to cover the 16.5-point spread as home favorites. The Over (42.5) cashed in.

San Antonio has won 2 straight games and 4 of its last 5. It beat Arlington 20-15 Sunday, covering the 2-point spread as home favorites. The Under (45.5) cashed in.

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Stallions at Brahmas odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:34 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Stallions -460 (bet $460 to win $100) | Brahmas +360 (bet $100 to win $360)
Against the spread (ATS): Stallions -8.5 (-110) | Brahmas +8.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 44 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Stallions at Brahmas key injuries

Stallions

LB Elijah Sullivan (hamstring) out
T Armani Taylor-Prioleau (knee) out

Brahmas

WR K.D. Cannon (foot) probable
OL Greg Eiland (leg) out
QB Chase Garbers (wrist) probable
LB Joel Iyiegbuniwe (foot) out
RB John Lovett (chest) doubtful
TE Alize Mack (personal) probable
CB Darius Phillips (groin) probable
LB Garrett Nelson (shoulder) probable
WR Justin Smith (calf) probable
LB Tim Ward (ankle) out

Stallions at Brahmas picks and predictions

Prediction

Stallions 24, Brahmas 19

Moneyline

The Brahmas have not allowed more than 15 points in their last 5 games, but their defense faces a Stallions team that has scored 30 or more in 4 straight and 5 of its last 6.

However, the Brahmas have not scored more than 20 points in their last 3 games. They have allowed the fewest points in the league (131), but the Stallions aren’t far behind at No. 2 (143).

The Stallions will be challenged, but they have a much better offense than what the Brahmas have faced. The Stallions should win, but don’t bet them on the moneyline at -460.

PASS.

Against the spread

The Stallions’ last 2 wins have been close. They won by 7 last week and 4 the week before.

Both of the Brahmas’ losses were by 7 or fewer points.

Their defense will keep them in the game, but the Birmingham offense will prevail.

BET BRAHMAS +8.5 (-110).

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Over/Under

The Brahmas have not had a total surpass 40 in their last 5 games.

On the other hand, the Stallions have had totals over 50 in their last 3 games. They have, though, had 4 games fail to reach 44 total points.

It will be close, but the Brahmas’ low-scoring offense will keep the total down.

BET UNDER 44 (-110).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Houston Roughnecks at Birmingham Stallions odds, picks and predictions

Beat the sportsbook: Analyzing Saturday’s Houston Roughnecks at Birmingham Stallions odds and lines, with expert UFL picks and predictions.

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The Houston Roughnecks (1-6) travel to meet the Birmingham Stallions (7-0) Saturday at Protective Stadium for a Week 8 battle. Kickoff is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Roughnecks vs. Stallions odds and make our expert UFL picks and predictions.

The Roughnecks are tied with the Memphis Showboats for last place in the USFL Conference, and Houston has already been eliminated from the postseason chase. Houston has a league-low 96 points, and it’s a dismal 1-3 straight-up (SU) in 4 road games.

The Roughnecks enter just 1-4-2 against the spread (ATS) this season, while going 0-2-1 ATS in the past 3 outings. The Under is on a 4-game run, too.

These teams already met at Rice Stadium in Houston back in Week 5, with the Stallions coming away with a 32-9 win as 8.5-point favorites as the Under (41.5) came in at most shops.

Birmingham is a perfect 7-for-7 straight up, while going a healthy 5-2 ATS. The Over has cashed in back-to-back games for the first time this season, and the offense has scored 30 or more points in each of the past 3 contests. The defense has allowed 23.5 PPG in the past 2 games, too.

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Roughnecks at Stallions odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Roughnecks +1000 (bet $100 to win $1,000) | Stallions -2000 (bet $2,000 to win $100)
Against the spread: Roughnecks +16.5 (-110) | Stallions -16.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 42.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Roughnecks at Stallions key injuries

Roughnecks

RB Tiyon Evans (undisclosed) out
LB Reuben Foster (ankle, elbow) out
QB Jarrett Guarantano (wrist) probable
RB Kirk Merritt (wrist) injured reserve
OT Na’Ty Rodgers (knee) out
TE Clint Sigg Jr. (ankle) probable
CB Kiondre Thomas (ankle, foot) out

Stallions

CB CJ Marable (undisclosed) out
QB J’Mar Smith (undisclosed) out
WR Isaiah Zuber (undisclosed) out

Roughnecks at Stallions picks and predictions

Prediction

Stallions 36, Roughnecks 15

Moneyline

The Stallions (-2000) will set you back 20 times your potential return, and that’s too much risk for not nearly enough reward. You would have to risk $100 for every $5 won. There’s no value in that, no matter how much of a sure thing it likely is that Birmingham gets the W.

PASS.

Against the spread

The STALLIONS -16.5 (-110) are laying a giant number at home, but Birmingham is worth playing.

Birmingham worked over the Roughnecks +16.5 (-110) by 23 points at Rice Stadium just 3 weeks ago, and there is no reason to believe the results will be any different with the Stallions playing on their home field.

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Over/Under

OVER 42.5 (-115) is worth a look in this Week 8 rematch.

The Stallions dropped 32 points on the Roughnecks in the first meeting, and Birmingham’s offense has piled up 30 or more points in 3 in a row, and 4 of the past 5 outings.

The B-Ham defense has displayed some holes in the past 2 games, too. While allowing 26 to the Battlehawks last week is excusable, this team also let a poor Memphis team hang 21 points on them in Week 6.

Houston has really scuffled on offense, and it is the biggest reason there is any concern about playing the Over. The Roughnecks have cobbled together just 29 points of offense, or 9.7 PPG, in the past 3 games. But the defense has allowed 22 or more points in 4 of the past 6 contests, including 32 points allowed to Birmingham.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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St. Louis Battlehawks at Birmingham Stallions odds, picks and predictions

Beat the sportsbook: Analyzing Saturday’s St. Louis Battlehawks at Birmingham Stallions odds and lines, with expert UFL picks and predictions.

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The St. Louis Battlehawks (5-1) hit the road for a Week 7 battle with the Birmingham Stallions (6-0) Saturday at Protective Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 4 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Battlehawks vs. Stallions odds and make our expert UFL picks and predictions.

The 1st-place Battlehawks lead the XFL Conference, 1 game clear of the San Antonio Brahmas for the top spot. St. Louis also sports a plus-70 point differential while posting 5 consecutive victories.

The Battlehawks have cashed against the spread (ATS) in 5 straight outings, too, while the Over has hit in 4 of the previous 5. St. Louis is averaging 38 points per game (PPG) in the past 2 road games while allowing just 18.

The Stallions have not only won all 6 games to date, leading the USFL Conference, but they’re 5-1 ATS. The offense has posted 32 or more points in 3 of the past 4 games while cashing the Over in 4 of 6. At home, Birmingham is averaging 26.5 PPG while allowing just 16.

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Battlehawks at Stallions odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:45 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Battlehawks +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Stallions -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
Against the spread: Battlehawks +4.5 (-115) | Stallions -4.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 47.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Battlehawks at Stallions key injuries

Battlehawks

WR Ja’Marcus Bradley (undisclosed) out
RB Mataeo Durant (toe) out
WR Kevon Latulas (undisclosed) out
QB Brandon Silvers (undisclosed) out

Stallions

QB Amari Rodgers (undisclosed) out
RB Larry Rountree III (undisclosed) out
QB J’Mar Smith (undisclosed) out

Battlehawks at Stallions picks and predictions

Prediction

Stallions 29, Battlehawks 23

Moneyline

The Stallions (-200) will cost you 2 times your potential return, and that’s too much risk for not enough reward in this battle of 1st-place teams.

Birmingham welcomed back RB CJ Marable last week in Memphis after sitting in Week 5 against the skidding Houston Roughnecks due to an undisclosed injury. Marable returned with 31 rushing yards on 5 attempts while posting 4 receptions for 12 yards and a score. The rich get richer, and that’s not good for the rest of the UFL.

PASS.

Against the spread

The STALLIONS -4.5 (-105) are a strong play in this clash of the UFL titans.

Birmingham has cashed in 5 of the past 6 games, although it does come with some risk. The Stallions are just 1-1 ATS in 2 home games.

The Battlehawks +4.5 (-115) have won and covered 5 in a row since a loss at Michigan in Week 1. If this game were inside the raucous dome of St. Louis, the ‘Hawks would be the play. But in Birmingham, side with the defending USFL champs.

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Over/Under

OVER 47.5 (-105) is a solid play in this Week 7 battle.

Birmingham has a suffocating defense, but St. Louis has a strong passing game, and it should be able to move the ball on the Stallions. Birmingham was dinged for 21 points last week in Memphis, which is a good sign for St. Louis. The Showboats scored a season-high in points against the unbeaten Stallions, so imagine what the Battlehawks can do.

St. Louis also has a pretty strong D, allowing just 10 PPG in the past 2 outings. But the offense is on point, averaging 31.4 PPG in the past 5. This game has the potential to be a track meet. Enjoy.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Birmingham Stallions at Memphis Showboats odds, picks and predictions

Beat the sportsbook: Analyzing Saturday’s Birmingham Stallions at Memphis Showboats odds and lines, with expert UFL picks and predictions.

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The Birmingham Stallions (5-0) travel to meet the Memphis Showboats (1-4) Saturday at the Simmons Bank Liberty Bowl. Kickoff is scheduled for noon ET (ABC). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Stallions vs. Showboats odds and make our expert UFL picks and predictions.

The defending USFL champion Stallions picked up a 32-9 win in Houston last week to easily cover an 8.5-point spread as the Under (41.5) hung on at most shops. Birmingham improved to 4-1 against the spread (ATS) while cashing the Under in 4 of 5 games to date.

The Showboats suffered a 4th straight loss last week at home against the Michigan Panthers, falling 35-18. Memphis has failed to cover the past 3 outings, while the Over has hit in each game. The Showboats defense has been abysmal in the past 3 outings, allowing 32 or more points, and 33.4 points per game (PPG).

These teams met in Week 3 in Birmingham, with the Stallions dominating the Showboats 33-14 to cover a 7-point number as the Over (40.5) cashed.

The 2 sides also met during the USFL season twice last season, too. Birmingham won 42-2 in Week 2 at home to easily cover a 7-point spread as the Under (44.5) just connected, while the Stallions won in Memphis in Week 10 by a 27-20 count, also covering as a 4.5-point favorite as the Over (44) hit.

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Stallions at Showboats odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:10 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Stallions -800 (bet $800 to win $100) | Showboats +550 (bet $100 to win $550)
Against the spread (ATS): Stallions -12.5 (-110) | Showboats +12.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 42.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Stallions at Showboats key injuries

Stallions

RB Larry Roundtree (undisclosed) out
QB J’Mar Smith (undisclosed) out
WR Isaiah Zuber (undisclosed) out

Showboats

QB Josh Love (undisclosed) out
WR Diondre Overton (undisclosed) out

Stallions at Showboats picks and predictions

Prediction

Stallions 33, Showboats 18

Moneyline

The Stallions (-800) remain the top teams in the UFL, and we saw what they can do against the Showboats (+550) once already this season. Birmingham paddled Memphis 33-14 at home back in Week 3, and there is no reason to believe things will be any different. The Showboats just cannot stop anybody on defense.

However, you can’t risk 8 times your potential return on the road team.

PASS.

Against the spread

The STALLIONS -12.5 (-110) are laying the biggest number of the season in UFL play. In fact, Birmingham is just the 2nd double-digit favorite in the 2024 campaign.

There is little reason to like the Showboats +12.5 (-110), as the offense has scored 19 or fewer points in all 5 games this season while allowing at least 32 points in each of the past 3 outings, including Week 3 in Birmingham.

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Over/Under

OVER 42.5 (-110) is a strong play, and Birmingham figures to do most of the heavy lifting to get this one across the finish line.

The Stallions have racked up 20 or more points in all 5 games while going for 26.3 points per game (PPG) in 3 outings on the road.

The concern with betting the Over is Birmingham’s stout defense, which has allowed just 13.6 PPG, including 14 to Memphis in Week 3. The concern is also the struggling offense of the Showboats, which hasn’t been able to crack the 20-point mark all season.

Still, the Stallions should do enough to get the job mostly done, even if the Showboats lay another egg.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Birmingham Stallions at Houston Roughnecks odds, picks and predictions

Beat the sportsbook: Analyzing Saturday’s Birmingham Stallions at Houston Roughnecks odds and lines, with expert UFL picks and predictions.

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The Birmingham Stallions (4-0) travel to meet the Houston Roughnecks (1-3) Saturday at Rice Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Stallions vs. Roughnecks odds and make our expert UFL picks and predictions.

The defending USFL champion Stallions held on for a 20-18 win over the D.C. Defenders last weekend, but they came nowhere near covering as 9-point favorites. The Under (46.5) cashed, and the total has now gone low in 3 of 4 games to date.

Birmingham has averaged 23.5 points per game (PPG) in 2 road outings while allowing just 13.5 PPG. The Stallions are 2-0 against the spread (ATS) away from home while cashing the Under in both instances.

The Roughnecks got off the schneid last week with a 17-9 win over the Arlington Renegades at Rice Stadium. The defensive effort was easily the best of the season for Houston, as it had allowed 25.0 PPG in the first 3 outings, cashing the Over twice.

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Stallions at Roughnecks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:40 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Stallions -400 (bet $400 to win $100) | Roughnecks +310 (bet $100 to win $310)
Against the spread (ATS): Stallions -8.5 (-110) | Roughnecks +8.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 41.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Stallions at Roughnecks key injuries

Stallions

RB CJ Marable (undisclosed) out
QB J’Mar Smith (undisclosed) out
WR Isaiah Zuber (undisclosed) out

Roughnecks

QB Kenji Behar (undisclosed) out
RB Tiyon Evans (undisclosed) out
QB Jarrett Guarantano (ribs) out
RB Kirk Merritt (wrist) injured reserve
WR Reggie Roberson (undisclosed) out
TE Clint Sigg Jr. (undisclosed) out

Stallions at Roughnecks picks and predictions

Prediction

Stallions 25, Roughnecks 13

Moneyline

The Stallions (-400) are easily the best team in the UFL, boasting the best record at 4-0. The Roughnecks (+310) are no longer winless after last weekend, but they topped the winless Renegades. Houston is simply a step above the worst team in the league.

Birmingham is all but likely going to win this game, but you can’t risk 4 times your potential return, especially on a road team.

PASS.

Against the spread

The STALLIONS -8.5 (-110) are a much better play on the road laying the points.

Birmingham has managed at least 20 points in each of its 4 games, but defense is what really sets the Stallions apart. The defending USFL champs have allowed 14 or fewer points in 3 of the first 4 games and 18 or fewer points in each outing.

The Roughnecks +8.5 (+110) are going to find the sledding difficult against the Stallions D. Houston has scored 20 or fewer points in every game this season.

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Over/Under

UNDER 41.5 (-115) is worth playing lightly, but go with a half-unit play at most.

The Under is 3-1 in 4 games for Birmingham this season, and the only reason the Week 3 meeting with Memphis went Over was the poor D of the Showboats — Birmingham won 33-14.

Houston’s offense is subpar. The defense has performed well at home, allowing just 13.5 PPG, and that’s all the Roughnecks have to hang their hat on right now.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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DC Defenders at Birmingham Stallions odds, picks and predictions

Beat the sportsbook: Analyzing Saturday’s DC Defenders at Birmingham Stallions odds and lines, with expert UFL picks and predictions.

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One of the 3 Week 4 UFL games Saturday has the DC Defenders (2-1) on the road facing the Birmingham Stallions (3-0). Kickoff is at 7 p.m. ET at Protective Stadium (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Defenders vs. Stallions odds and make our expert UFL picks and predictions.

The Defenders rallied for a 29-28 win as 1-point underdogs in the final minutes at Arlington Renegades in Week 3. Trailing 28-18 with less than 2:08 to go, RB Cam’Ron Harris scored a 1-yard rushing touchdown and QB Jordan Ta’amu ran in for the 2-point conversion to cut the deficit to 3. Using the alternate kickoff rule to try and maintain possession with a 4th-and-12 play, Ta’amu completed a 19-yard pass to WR Ty Scott to keep possession, and 4 snaps later, K Matthew McCrane hit a game-winning 49-yard field goal with 4 seconds remaining.

The Stallions won their 3rd straight game, beating the Memphis Showboats 33-14 as 7-point home favorites in Week 3. QB Adrian Martinez passed for 334 yards and 2 touchdowns and ran for a team-high 44 yards with a score. Birmingham outgained Memphis 424 yards to 211.

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Defenders at Stallions odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:48 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Defenders +310 (bet $100 to win $310) | Stallions -400 (bet $400 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Defenders +9 (-115) | Stallions -9 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 46.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Defenders at Stallions key injuries

Defenders

TE Briley Moore-McKinney (knee) out
DE Andre Mintze (hamstring) out
S Montae Nicholson (neck) out

Stallions

K Chris Blewitt (quad) out
CB Ike Brown (foot) out
OL Cole Schneider (knee, ankle) probable
OL Matt Kaskey (ankle, shoulder) probable

Defenders at Stallions picks and predictions

Prediction

Stallions 28, Defenders 13

Moneyline

The Stallions (-400) have the league’s top offense, averaging 26.7 points per game (PPG) and 374.3 yards per game. They also have the league’s top defense, allowing 13.7 PPG. They have not allowed more than 14 points in a game yet.

The Defenders (+310) gave up 28 to the Renegades.

There is no reason to bet against the Stallions yet, although the injury to Blewitt is something to watch to see whether the kicking game is affected.

However, betting the Stallions at -400 just makes no sense because there is no value.

PASS.

Against the spread

The Stallions have covered the spread in all 3 games they have played, winning twice by double digits.

After being held to just 12 points in the opener, DC scored 23 and 29 points, respectively, in its next 2 games. The Defenders have won outright the last 2 weeks as underdogs.

With how the season has looked through 3 weeks, I am riding the Stallions until they give me a reason not to.

BET STALLIONS -9 (-105).

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Over/Under

The Under was 2-0 in the Stallions’ 1st 2 games but the Over hit in Week 3 with their 33-point performance.

As mentioned, the Stallions haven’t allowed more than 14 points in a game this season, so it would take another 30-plus-point game for the Stallions for this Over to cash.

The Defenders have allowed more than 20 points only once this season.

BET UNDER 46.5 (-110).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Birmingham Stallions at Michigan Panthers odds, picks and predictions

Beat the sportsbook: Analyzing Sunday’s Birmingham Stallions at Michigan Panthers odds and lines, with expert UFL picks and predictions.

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The Birmingham Stallions (1-0) are on the road to face the Michigan Panthers (1-0) Sunday. Kickoff from Ford Field is at 12 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Stallions vs. Panthers odds and make our expert football picks and predictions.

The Stallions, who are coming off back-to-back USFL championships, started the UFL season with a 27-14 road win March 30 over the Arlington Renegades, the XFL champions from last season, covering the 3.5-point spread as favorites.

The Panthers also won their opener last week, beating the St. Louis BattleHawks 18-16 on a last-minute 64-yard field goal by K Jake Bates, picking up the upset win as 6.5-point underdogs.

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Stallions at Panthers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Stallions -300 (bet $300 to win $100) | Panthers +230 (bet $100 to win $230)
Against the spread (ATS): Stallions -6.5 (-115) | Panthers +6.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 41.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Stallions at Panthers picks and predictions

Prediction

Stallions 29, Panthers 18

Moneyline

The Stallions tied San Antonio for the most points scored in Week 1. They rolled up 397 yards of offense in the game.

Michigan only had 280 yards of offense and turned the ball over twice, getting saved by a 64-yard field goal at the end of the game.

They won’t be as lucky against Birmingham.

The Stallions (-300) should win, but don’t bet them at such a high price.

PASS.

Against the spread

The Stallions covered the 6.5-point spread last week in their win, beating Arlington by 13.

Every winner covered the spread in Week 1, including the 2 favorites.

With the Stallions’ 171 rushing yards in Week 1, it will be tough to slow them down if they get a lead.

BET STALLIONS -6.5 (-115).

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Over/Under

No game in the opening weekend hit the Over. The Stallions’ game was the highest-scoring contest of the weekend.

But if this season goes like Birmingham’s 2023 season, the opener was the lowest-scoring game of the year. Only 2 of its final 10 games, including the postseason, did not have at least 42 total points.

BET OVER 41.5 (-105).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Jess Root on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

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