UFC on ESPN+ 49: Curtis Blaydes vs. Derrick Lewis odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN+ 49 fight between Curtis Blaydes and Derrick Lewis, with MMA odds, picks, tips and predictions.

In a heavyweight bout on in Saturday’s main event, Curtis Blaydes and Derrick Lewis meet at UFC on ESPN+ 49 – also known as UFC Vegas 19 and UFC Fight Night 185 – at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. The prelims kick off at 5 p.m. ET on ESPN+, followed by the main card on ESPN+ at 8 p.m. Below, we analyze the UFC on ESPN+ 49 odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Blaydes vs. Lewis: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:27 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Blaydes -450 (bet $450 to win $100) | Lewis +340 (bet $100 to win $340)
  • Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over +105 | Under -125)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +250 | No -300)

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Blaydes vs. Lewis: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Records: Blaydes 14-2 | Lewis 24-7

Fight result (2-way line or money line)

Blaydes (-450) steps into the octagon as an overwhelming favorite in the main event over Lewis. He has just a one-inch height and reach advantage, but the real advantage is in the stats.

Blaydes is ahead 3.55 to 2.64 in significant strikes landed per minute, and 53.44 to 50.84 in significant strikes-accuracy percentage. The real difference is in his ability to get Lewis to the canvas as Blaydes has an overwhelming 6.98 to 0.54 takedown-average lead, and 55.66 to 26.92 takedown-accuracy percentage advantage.

While Blaydes will cost you four and a half times your potential return on the 2-way line, he is a much better play on the 5-way line. Back BLAYDES BY KO/TKO, DQ OR SUBMISSION (-160) for a better value.

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Over/Under (O/U)

Four of the past six bouts for Lewis have finished inside the distance, while Blaydes has had stoppages in four of his past six, too. However, this one should go past the midway point. Lewis might be an overwhelming underdog, but he is no slouch. He’ll make Blaydes work for this victory. OVER 2.5 ROUNDS (+105) is worth a look, but it won’t be much further than that. It’s a cheaper play than OVER 1.5 ROUNDS (-225), although the latter is worth a small-unit play, too, especially if you can tie it into a parlay.

In the main event, I also like a three-round betting block of BLAYDES IN ROUND 2 (+400), BLAYDES IN ROUND 3 (+800) and BLAYDES IN ROUND 4 (+1300). Yes, you’ll lose two of those ends, but if he wins between Round 2-4, you’ll be well ahead.

To watch the early prelims and prelims, sign up for ESPN+ now.

Want some action on UFC on ESPN+ 49? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

MMA Junkie:

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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UFC on ESPN+ 49: Ketlen Vieira vs. Yana Kunitskaya odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN+ 49 fight between Ketlen Vieira and Yana Kunitskaya, with MMA odds, picks, tips and predictions.

In a women’s bantamweight bout on Saturday’s main card, Ketlen Vieira and Yana Kunitskaya meet at UFC on ESPN+ 49 – also known as UFC Vegas 19 and UFC Fight Night 185 – at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. The prelims kick off at 5 p.m. ET on ESPN+, followed by the main card on ESPN+ at 8 p.m. Below, we analyze the UFC on ESPN+ 49 odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Vieira vs. Kunitskaya: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:06 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Vieira -275 (bet $275 to win $100) | Kunitskaya +225 (bet $100 to win $225)
  • Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -350 | Under +260)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -250 | No +200)

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Vieira vs. Kunitskaya: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Records: Vieira 11-1 | Kunitskaya 13-5

Fight result (2-way line or money line)

Vieira steps into the octagon two inches taller than her counterpart, while holding a 0.61 to 0.25 submission average advantage over Kunitskaya.

Kunitskaya has won three of her past four fights since a Round 1 KO/TKO title shot loss against Cris Cyborg March 2, 2018 at UFC 222. All three wins have been by unanimous decision, including last time out against Julija Stoliarenko Aug. 8, 2020.

Vieira picked up a solid unanimous-decision victory over Sijara Eubanks at UFC 253 last time out, and has won five of her six fights at the UFC level. Her only loss was a knockout against Irene Aldana in Round 1 at UFC 245. The play here is VIEIRA ON POINTS (-120).

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Over/Under (O/U)

Over 2.5 Rounds (-350) is a little on the expensive side. YES (-250): “WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE?” is a little on the steep side, too, but that’s the better way to go. Vieira has finished inside the distance just twice in the past seven pro bouts, while Kunitskaya has gone the distance in three of the past four. That’s the slam-dunk play in this bout.

To watch the early prelims and prelims, sign up for ESPN+ now.

Want some action on UFC on ESPN+ 49? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

MMA Junkie:

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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UFC on ESPN+ 49: Charles Rosa vs. Darrick Minner odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN+ 49 fight between Charles Rosa vs. Darrick Minner, with MMA odds, picks, tips and predictions.

In a featherweight bout on Saturday’s main card, Charles Rosa and Darrick Minner meet at UFC on ESPN+ 49 – also known as UFC Vegas 19 and UFC Fight Night 185 – at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. The prelims kick off at 5 p.m. ET on ESPN+, followed by the main card on ESPN+ at 8 p.m. Below, we analyze the UFC on ESPN+ 49 odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Rosa vs. Minner: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:51 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Rosa -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Minner +160 (bet $100 to win $160)
  • Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over -135 | Under +110)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +185 | No -225)

Place your legal, online UFC on ESPN+ 49 sports bets in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV at BetMGM, the King of Sportsbooks. New customer offer. Terms and conditions apply. Bet now!

Rosa vs. Minner: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Records: Rosa 13-4 | Minner 25-11

Fight result (2-way line or money line)

Rosa heads into this one as a moderate favorite despite the fact he has alternated wins and losses in his eight bouts since moving to the UFC level. He won last time out by split-decision over Kevin Aguilar June 13, 2020, so if you believe in those kinds of trends, a loss is coming here.

MINNER (+160), representing Team Disorderly Conduct, has split his two fights since arriving at the UFC level, losing to Grant Dawson by submission in his debut Feb. 29, 2020, and winning against TJ Laramie in Round 1 Sept. 19, 2020. Playing MINNER (+160) on the 2-way line is a good value.

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Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 1.5 ROUNDS (-135) is a good play in this one. Each of Rosa’s past two fights have ended up going the distance, and he has needed the judges to get involved in four of his past six with just one KO/TKO loss and a submission win during the span. In Minner’s two fights at the UFC level, he has gone 1-1 on the Over 1.5 Rounds prop.

In addition, I kind of like YES (+185): “WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE?” for a small-unit wager. Minner is a hard charger looking for finishes, but Rosa is patient and tends to go long. There is some good value there.

To watch the early prelims and prelims, sign up for ESPN+ now.

Want some action on UFC on ESPN+ 49? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

MMA Junkie:

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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UFC on ESPN+ 49: Aleksei Oleinik vs. Chris Daukaus odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN+ 49 fight between Aleksei Oleinik and Chris Daukaus, with MMA odds, picks, tips and predictions.

In a heavyweight bout on Saturday’s main card, Aleksei Oleinik and Chris Daukaus meet at UFC on ESPN+ 49 – also known as UFC Vegas 19 and UFC Fight Night 185 – at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. The prelims kick off at 5 p.m. ET on ESPN+, followed by the main card on ESPN+ at 8 p.m. Below, we analyze the UFC on ESPN+ 49 odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Oleinik vs. Daukaus: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:36 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Oleinik +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Daukaus -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over +155 | Under -185)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +400 | No -550)

Place your legal, online UFC on ESPN+ 49 sports bets in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV at BetMGM, the King of Sportsbooks. New customer offer. Terms and conditions apply. Bet now!

Oleinik vs. Daukaus: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Records: Oleinik 59-14-1 | Daukaus 10-3

Fight result (2-way line or money line)

Daukaus (-200) is a little too expensive for my liking against a veteran like Oleinik, although ultimately, I do expect he’ll earn the victory. Still, I don’t like to put up two times my potential return, so let’s get more specific and avoid the 2-way line.

Youth is on the side of Daukaus, who is just 31, or 12 years younger than Oleinik. Daukaus has registered two KO/TKO wins, both in Round 1, since making his debut with the company at UFC 252 in August 2020. Oleinik is coming off a second-round KO/TKO loss to Derrick Lewis, and he is 2-3 across his past five, all knockout setbacks.

As such, playing DAUKAUS BY KO/TKO, DQ OR SUBMISSION (-125) on the 5-way line makes a lot of sense. In addition, I like DAUKAUS IN ROUND 2 (+525), as I think Oleinik can at least hang around until the early part of Round 2.

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Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 1.5 ROUNDS (-185) is worth a small-unit bet, too. Oleinik has been knocked out in the first round by Alistair Overeem and Walt Harris, while getting finished by Lewis just 21 seconds into Round 2 across his past five fights. I don’t think Daukaus gets the finish in Round 1, as mentioned above, but it’s not going any longer than the early part of 2.

To watch the early prelims and prelims, sign up for ESPN+ now.

Want some action on UFC on ESPN+ 49? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

MMA Junkie:

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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UFC on ESPN+ 49: Nassourdine Imavov vs. Phillip Hawes odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN+ 49 fight between Nassourdine Imavov and Phillip Hawes, with MMA odds, picks, tips and predictions.

In a middleweight bout on Saturday’s main card, Nassourdine Imavov and Phillip Hawes meet at UFC on ESPN+ 49 – also known as UFC Vegas 19 and UFC Fight Night 185 – at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. The prelims kick off at 5 p.m. ET on ESPN+, followed by the main card on ESPN+ at 8 p.m. Below, we analyze the UFC on ESPN+ 49 odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Imavov vs. Hawes: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 3:02 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Imavov +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Hawes -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over -110 | Under -110)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +200 | No -250)

Place your legal, online UFC on ESPN+ 49 sports bets in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV at BetMGM, the King of Sportsbooks. New customer offer. Terms and conditions apply. Bet now!

Imavov vs. Hawes: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Records: Imavov 9-2 | Hawes 9-2

Fight result (2-way line or money line)

HAWES (-125) is a good play against Imavov in what the books feel is a coin-flip fight. Both fighters enter the octagon with just one UFC level fight each under their belts. Imavov scratched out a unanimous-decision win over Jordan Williams Oct. 3, 2020, while Hawes posted a KO/TKO of Jacob Malkoun at UFC 254 in just 18 seconds Oct. 24, 2020.

Hawes has registered three straight KO/TKO wins, and all 11 of his career professional bouts have finished inside the distance. He is 7-1 by way of KO/TKO, and 2-1 via submission. He hasn’t been past Round 1 since a KO/TKO loss in Round against Julian Marquez at DWTNCS Season 1, Week 4 on Aug. 1, 2017.

In addition, I like a two-round block playing HAWES TO WIN IN ROUND 2 (+550) and HAWES TO WIN IN ROUND 3 (+1000). Yes, you would lose one of these bets if he wins in Round 2 or 3, but you’ll still be well ahead.

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Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 1.5 ROUNDS (-110) is a good bet even though Hawes hasn’t been to Round 2 in five straight matches. Imavov will provide his biggest challenge in a while. While I expect him to get the finish, it might take a little longer than usual. Playing this prop is also much better than going with No (-250): “Will the fight go the distance?” as there is no value there. You still have four minutes and 30 seconds of fight time or wiggle room rather than playing the distance wager.

To watch the early prelims and prelims, sign up for ESPN+ now.

Want some action on UFC on ESPN+ 49? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

MMA Junkie:

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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UFC on ESPN+ 49: Andrei Arlovski vs. Tom Aspinall odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN+ 49 fight between Andrei Arlovski and Tom Aspinall, with MMA odds, picks, tips and predictions.

In a heavyweight bout on Saturday’s main card, Andrei Arlovski and Tom Aspinall meet at UFC on ESPN+ 49 – also known as UFC Vegas 19 and UFC Fight Night 185 – at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. The prelims kick off at 5 p.m. ET on ESPN+, followed by the main card on ESPN+ at 8 p.m. Below, we analyze the UFC on ESPN+ 49 odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Arlovski vs. Aspinall: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 5:34 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Arlovski +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Aspinall -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over +110 | Under -135)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +135 | No -160)

Place your legal, online UFC on ESPN+ 49 sports bets in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV at BetMGM, the King of Sportsbooks. New customer offer. Terms and conditions apply. Bet now!

Arlovski vs. Aspinall: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Records: Arlovski 30-19 | Aspinall 9-2

Fight result (2-way line or money line)

Aspinall (-250) will cost you two and a half times your potential return as he looks for his third straight win at the UFC level, and sixth consecutive victory overall. Let’s get more specific.

The Briton is a lot more attractive on the 5-way line, as ASPINALL BY KO/TKO, DQ OR SUBMISSION (-110) is a much more cost-effective play. In 11 career professional bouts he has never gone the distance, winning seven times (7-0) via KO/TKO, while going 2-1 by way of submission. One time he was disqualified due to illegal elbows at BAMMA 25 against Lukasz Parobiec on May 13, 2016, the last time he suffered a loss.

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Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS (-135) is a great play here as you can expect a finish in an Aspinall fight. The 42-year-old Arlovski has ended up going the distance in 10 of his past 11 fights, while he was knocked out by Jairzinho Rozenstruik at UFC 244 in just 29 seconds in his only fight inside the distance. You can expect Aspinall to finish him inside the distance, too.

In addition, target ASPINALL IN ROUND 2 (+450) for an added bonus. I normally like to target a two-round block, but there is little value in taking him in Round 1, and Arlovski is a veteran who knows how to prolong a fight. He isn’t going down in the first.

To watch the early prelims and prelims, sign up for ESPN+ now.

Want some action on UFC on ESPN+ 49? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

MMA Junkie:

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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