In a middleweight bout on Saturday’s main card, Nassourdine Imavov and Phillip Hawes meet at UFC on ESPN+ 49 – also known as UFC Vegas 19 and UFC Fight Night 185 – at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. The prelims kick off at 5 p.m. ET on ESPN+, followed by the main card on ESPN+ at 8 p.m. Below, we analyze the UFC on ESPN+ 49 odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
Imavov vs. Hawes: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 3:02 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Imavov +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Hawes -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over -110 | Under -110)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +200 | No -250)
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Imavov vs. Hawes: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Imavov 9-2 | Hawes 9-2
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
HAWES (-125) is a good play against Imavov in what the books feel is a coin-flip fight. Both fighters enter the octagon with just one UFC level fight each under their belts. Imavov scratched out a unanimous-decision win over Jordan Williams Oct. 3, 2020, while Hawes posted a KO/TKO of Jacob Malkoun at UFC 254 in just 18 seconds Oct. 24, 2020.
Hawes has registered three straight KO/TKO wins, and all 11 of his career professional bouts have finished inside the distance. He is 7-1 by way of KO/TKO, and 2-1 via submission. He hasn’t been past Round 1 since a KO/TKO loss in Round against Julian Marquez at DWTNCS Season 1, Week 4 on Aug. 1, 2017.
In addition, I like a two-round block playing HAWES TO WIN IN ROUND 2 (+550) and HAWES TO WIN IN ROUND 3 (+1000). Yes, you would lose one of these bets if he wins in Round 2 or 3, but you’ll still be well ahead.
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Over/Under (O/U)
OVER 1.5 ROUNDS (-110) is a good bet even though Hawes hasn’t been to Round 2 in five straight matches. Imavov will provide his biggest challenge in a while. While I expect him to get the finish, it might take a little longer than usual. Playing this prop is also much better than going with No (-250): “Will the fight go the distance?” as there is no value there. You still have four minutes and 30 seconds of fight time or wiggle room rather than playing the distance wager.
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