UFC Vegas 16: Jack Hermansson vs. Marvin Vettori odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s UFC Vegas 16 fight between Jack Hermansson and Marvin Vettori, with MMA betting odds, picks, tips and predictions.

In a middleweight bout in the co-main event on Saturday’s card, Jack Hermansson and Marvin Vettori meet at UFC Vegas 16 at the UFC’s APEX facility in Las Vegas. The prelims kick off at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN2/ESPN+, followed by the main card on ESPN2/ESPN+ at 10 p.m. ET. Other names for the event are UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori and UFC on ESPN 19.

Hermansson (21-5) is coming off a Round 1 knockout of Kelvin Gastelum last time out on July 18, winning in 78 seconds on the Figueiredo-Benavidez card at Fight Island in Abu Dhabi, U.A.E. Hermansson has won five of his past six bouts, including three submission victories. Since arriving at the UFC level, nine of his 11 fights have finished inside the distance with five KO/TKO endings (3-2) and four stoppages via submission (3-1). He enters the octagon with a one-inch height advantage, while holding a three-inch reach advantage over his counterpart. He also holds a 5.08 to 4.33 significant strikes landed per minute advantage, and leads 48.54 to 43.81 in significant strikes-accuracy percentage. He is also ahead 2.19 to 1.67 in takedown advantage.

Vettori (15-4-1) – a.k.a. “The Italian Dream” – enters on a three-bout win streak. The southpaw posted a first-round submission win over Karl Roberson last time out on June 13. It was a rare stoppage, as Vettori’s previous six fights went the distance (3-2-1). The Brazilian jiu-jitsu specialist might normally try and get Hermansson to the canvas, but the Scandinavian fighter is just as effective on the mat as Vettori. If Vettori does go that route, his specialties are the guillotine and the rear-naked choke.

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Jack Hermansson vs. Marvin Vettori: Betting odds, predictions and picks

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:58 a.m. ET.

VETTORI (-145) has been the hotter fighter lately, and he is the play in this co-main event. You can expect that it’s going to be a rather lengthy bout, too, as the Italian doesn’t go for the early finish very often.

As such, go for OVER 3.5 ROUNDS (+105), which is a value play at plus-money. Rolling the dice on YES (+165): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is also a tremendous value at this price. In addition, if you want a better play than Vettori on the 2-way line, look to VETTORI ON POINTS (+340) to more than triple up. Yes, if he wins via knockout or submission, you’re out of luck, but it’s worth the risk.

If you’re not feeling Vettori for the win, but still want some action with a nice value, look to DECISION (+165) for the fight finish. If either fighter has their arm raised after the fight goes to the judges’ cards, you’re a winner.

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Get some action on UFC Vegas 16 by placing a legal sports bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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UFC Vegas 16: Ovince Saint Preux vs. Jamahal Hill odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s UFC Vegas 16 fight between Ovince Saint Preux and Jamahal Hill, with MMA betting odds, picks, tips and predictions.

In a light heavyweight bout in the co-main event on Saturday’s card, Ovince Saint Preux and Jamahal Hill meet at UFC Vegas 16 at the UFC’s APEX facility in Las Vegas. The prelims kick off at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN2/ESPN+, followed by the main card on ESPN2/ESPN+ at 10 p.m. ET. Other names for the event are UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori and UFC on ESPN 19.

Saint Preux (25-14) enters this one with a slight one-inch reach advantage. The veteran is coming off a second-round KO/TKO over Alonzo Menifield on the Sept. 5 Overeem-Sakai card at this very same venue. Eight of his past 10 fights have finished inside the distance, including three of the past four. He has two wins and no losses by way of knockout, and six finishes via submission, winning four of those fights.

Hill (7-0) had the result of his last fight against Klidson Abreu overturned on the May 30 Woodley-Burns card at this same venue. He knocked out Abreu in the first round at UFC on ESPN 9, but a positive marijuana test stripped him of that win, something he was extremely angry about. He was suspended until November and fined 15 percent of his show money, which roughly came out to $1,800.

Place your legal, online UFC Vegas 16 sports bets in CO, IN, NJ, TN and WV at BetMGM, the King of Sportsbooks. New customer offer. Terms and conditions apply. Bet now!

Ovince Saint Preux vs. Jamahal Hill: Betting odds, predictions and picks

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:41 a.m. ET.

HILL (-165) steps back into the octagon with a chip on his shoulder and a lot to prove against the veteran Saint Preux (+140). Hill is angry about the positive drug test, and he is on record saying his usage occurred before he even took his last fight, not during training. He’ll have a point to prove, and that always makes for an attractive wager.

Look for HILL BY KO/TKO, DQ or SUBMISSION (+160) on the 5-way line, as he looks for the kill-shot early. As such, I like a two-round block taking HILL IN ROUND 1 (+400) and HILL IN ROUND 2 (+600). You will lose one end, but if he picks up the victory in either of the first two rounds, you’re still well ahead, which is always nice.

In addition, take UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS (-140), which is a little cheaper and more attractive than No (-185): Will the fight go the distance?

To watch the early prelims and prelims, sign up for ESPN+ now.

Get some action on UFC Vegas 16 by placing a legal sports bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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UFC Vegas 16: Gabriel Benitez vs. Justin Jaynes odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s UFC Vegas 16 fight between Gabriel Benitez and Justin Jaynes, with MMA betting odds, picks, tips and predictions.

In a lightweight bout on Saturday’s main card, Gabriel Benitez and Justin Jaynes meet at UFC Vegas 16 at the UFC’s APEX facility in Las Vegas. The prelims kick off at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN2/ESPN+, followed by the main card on ESPN2/ESPN+ at 10 p.m. ET. Other names for the event are UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori and UFC on ESPN 19.

Benitez (21-9) heads into this one as a moderate favorite. He stands one inch taller than this counterpart with a three-inch reach advantage. The southpaw enters on a two-bout losing streak with a first-round knockout loss to Sodiq Yusuff on the UFC 241 card, and a unanimous-decision setback to Omar Morales last time out on May 13 in Jacksonville, Fla. “Moggly” is just 5-4 in nine fights at the UFC level, with five of his fights ending via stoppage. In 30 career fights, 21 of his bouts have finished inside the distance, with seven wins via KO/TKO (7-2), and 12 by way of submission (10-2).

Jaynes (16-5) is looking to bounce back after a third-round submission loss to Gavin Tucker Aug. 8 on the Lewis-Oleinik card. He is 1-1 in two fights at the UFC level, knocking out Frank Camacho in his UFC debut June 20. In 21 career professional fights, he has eight KO/TKO victories with no losses, and he is 6-1 via submission. “The Guitar Hero” has never lost consecutive fights in his pro career.

Place your legal, online UFC Vegas 16 sports bets in CO, IN, NJ, TN and WV at BetMGM, the King of Sportsbooks. New customer offer. Terms and conditions apply. Bet now!

Gabriel Benitez vs. Justin Jaynes: Betting odds, predictions and picks

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:22 a.m. ET.

JAYNES (+190) is worth a roll of the dice against the moderately-favored Benitez (-225). Jaynes has never dropped back-to-back fights, and it isn’t about to start now.

JAYNES BY KO/TKO, DQ or SUBMISSION (+300) is also worth a small-unit play, while selecting a two-round block could also be a lucrative way to go. Bet JAYNES IN ROUND 2 (+1000) and JAYNES IN ROUND 3 (+1500). If he comes through in either of those rounds with a finish, yes, you will lose one end, but you will still be way ahead.

In addition, playing NO (-145): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is a decent bet.

To watch the early prelims and prelims, sign up for ESPN+ now.

Get some action on UFC Vegas 16 by placing a legal sports bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Also see:

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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UFC Vegas 16: Montana De La Rosa vs. Taila Santos odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s UFC Vegas 16 fight between Montana De La Rosa and Taila Santos, with MMA betting odds, picks, tips and predictions.

In a women’s flyweight bout on Saturday’s main card, Montana De La Rosa and Taila Santos meet at UFC Vegas 16 at the UFC’s APEX facility in Las Vegas. The prelims kick off at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN2/ESPN+, followed by the main card on ESPN2/ESPN+ at 10 p.m. ET. Other names for the event are UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori and UFC on ESPN 19.

De La Rosa (11-6) started out 3-0 with three submission victories, but she has cooled off lately with just one win in her past three bouts – all three going the distance. Over 17 career professional fights, De La Rosa has had 10 fights finish inside the distance with one KO/TKO loss and nine finishes via submission (8-1). On the mat, De La Rosa’s go-to moves for a tap out are either the armbar or the rear-naked choke.

Santos (16-1) is heavily favored in this one because she is statistically better in nearly every facet. She has a 4.09 to 3.03 significant strikes landed per minute advantage, and she is ahead 46.00 to 35.42 in significant strikes-accuracy percentage. She is also up 2.33 to 1.96 in takedown average, with a whopping 77.78 to 30.00 takedown-accuracy percentage. She lost her UFC debut against Mara Romero Borella by split-decision on Feb. 2, 2019, but she bounced back with a unanimous decision win over Molly McCann July 15. Each of Santos’ past three fights have gone the distance.

Place your legal, online UFC Vegas 16 sports bets in CO, IN, NJ, TN and WV at BetMGM, the King of Sportsbooks. New customer offer. Terms and conditions apply. Bet now!

Montana De La Rosa vs. Taila Santos: Betting odds, predictions and picks

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:35 a.m. ET.

Santos (-225) is just a little heavier of a favorite than I am comfortable playing, so let’s get a little more specific.

SANTOS ON POINTS (-110) is the way to go as each of her two fights at the UFC level have gone the distance. Again, as previously mentioned, playing -225 on the two-way line is a little more expensive than I am comfortable with. However, sometimes you have to roll the dice a little, and playing YES (-225): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? should be a safe play.

To watch the early prelims and prelims, sign up for ESPN+ now.

Get some action on UFC Vegas 16 by placing a legal sports bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Also see:

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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UFC Vegas 16: Movsar Evloev vs. Nate Landwehr odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s UFC Vegas 16 fight between Movsar Evloev and Nate Landwehr, with MMA betting odds, picks, tips and predictions.

In a featherweight bout on Saturday’s main card, Movsar Evloev and Nate Landwehr meet at UFC Vegas 16 at the UFC’s APEX facility in Las Vegas. The prelims kick off at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN2/ESPN+, followed by the main card on ESPN2/ESPN+ at 10 p.m. ET. Other names for the event are UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori and UFC on ESPN 19.

Evloev (13-0) is a perfect 3-0 since arriving at the UFC level, winning each of his fights by unanimous decision. His last fight was a victory over Mike Grundy on the Whittaker-Till card back on July 25. In 13 career professional bouts, he recorded stoppages in seven outings, winning three via KO/TKO and four by way of submission, with the rear-naked choke his calling card. He has managed 4.44 significant strikes landed per minute while posting a 43.38 significant strikes-accuracy percentage. That’s all well and good, but his best work is done on the canvas. He has a 3.00 takedown average and 33.33 takedown-accuracy percentage, too.

Landwehr (14-3), who stands two inches taller than his counterpart, is a punching machine. He has posted 6.89 significant strikes landed per minute with a 50.21 significant strikes-accuracy percentage. He doesn’t really do any work on the mat, and he’ll be looking to keep this fight upright as long as he can. He was knocked out in the first round in 2:43 in his UFC debut Jan. 25 by Herbert Burns before bouncing back with a unanimous decision win over Darren Elkins May 16. While two of his past three pro bouts have gone the distance, seven of his past 11 matches have ended via stoppage.

Place your legal, online UFC Vegas 16 sports bets in CO, IN, NJ, TN and WV at BetMGM, the King of Sportsbooks. New customer offer. Terms and conditions apply. Bet now!

Movsar Evloev vs. Nate Landwehr: Betting odds, predictions and picks

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:56 a.m. ET.

Evloev (-650) is just too expensive on the 2-way line, so get creative with your ticket. You cannot risk six and a half times your potential return. That’s just not a good long-term strategy.

First off, all three of Evloev’s fights at the UFC level have been unanimous-decision wins, so playing YES (-175): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is a strong play. In addition, going with EVLOEV ON POINTS (-125) is also a solid wager, although if he were to win via knockout or submission, your ticket is a loser.

OVER 2.5 ROUNDS (-200) is a little more expensive than I care to play, but that should be a sound wager, too.

To watch the early prelims and prelims, sign up for ESPN+ now.

Get some action on UFC Vegas 16 by placing a legal sports bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Also see:

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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