The 5 best NFL Week 17 prop bets

The five smartest wagers to take to the pay window for Week 17.

With a lot on the line in all realms of football, prop bets have to step up to keep up. This week’s picks are asking five Pro Bowl-pedigree players to do what they do.

We have a touchdown machine from the past restarting his engine, a pair NFC West elite players going over their projection, an under-fire quarterback going Under, and Taylor Swift’s boyfriend closing out 2023 on a high note.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

Vegas odds chart for daily fantasy football play: Week 17

A snapshot look at the NFL betting lines and odds for Week 17 sports betting and DFS action.

A good way to start your weekly homework for DFS (daily fantasy sports) play is to analyze the early Vegas odds around Week 17.

These guys have a long history of making money off of setting the right game spread and points scored. So it can be an early indicator of teams to target due to high-scoring potential, and teams to avoid for the opposite reason.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

NFL Odds: Week 17

OFF = No odds currently listed.


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The 5 best bets for NFL Week 17

The five smartest wagers to take to the pay window for Week 17.

This week’s bets have a little something for everybody – a game with one of the lowest Over/Under numbers hitting the Over, the high O/U number going Under, two defending conference champions taking care of their business at home, and a road underdog winning on the moneyline in primetime.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

Betting the Line: NFL Week 17

A league-wide view into the best wagers to make for NFL Week 17 action.

With two weeks to go in the regular season, there is still a lot to be decided.

In the AFC, only the Baltimore Ravens and Miami Dolphins have assured playoff spots, but neither has yet locked down a division title. Seven teams are either 8-7 or 7-8, so there is plenty of uncertainty as to who will grab playoff spots. In the NFC, three division titles have been decided, but you also have seven teams that are either 8-7 or 7-8.

All 16 games in Week 17 involve at least one team that is still in the hunt for a playoff spot, which will make every win and every loss critical for those who are looking to keep their seasons alive deep into January.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

New York Jets (+260) at Cleveland Browns (-350)

The Jets have won two of their last three but are huge road underdogs (7.5 points at -110 for both teams). The Browns defense is too strong for a Jets team that has been extremely inconsistent. Take the Browns and lay 7.5 points (-110).

Detroit Lions (+220) at Dallas Cowboys (-275)

This game has one of the bigger Over/Under numbers of the year (53.5 points at -110 for both Over and Under). We’ve been sucked into this trap too many times this season with games that are supposed to be high-scoring shootouts. When a 28-24 game is still under, the number is too high. Take Under 53.5 points (-110).

New England Patriots (+500) at Buffalo Bills (-700)

Very few double-digit favorites have covered this season, and the Bills are favored by a ton (12 points at -110 for both teams). The Bills have been hot lately, and the Patriots are going to struggle to score. In their last home game, Buffalo beat Dallas by 21 and can do the same to the Patriots. Take the Bills and lay 12 points (-110).

Atlanta Falcons (+130) at Chicago Bears (-155)

This game has a very low Over/Under (38 points for both Over and Under). Both teams have hit under this number in a lot of games. But both will be taking risks, because they have nothing to lose at this point in their seasons and can pull out calls from the back of the playbook. Take Over 38 points (-110).

Las Vegas Raiders (+150) at Indianapolis Colts (-185)

The Colts are solid home favorites (3.5 points at -110 for both teams). The Raiders road victory last week against the Chiefs was their first road win since Week 1. The Colts should win, but the Raiders are getting too many points for a game that should be very close Take the Raiders plus 3.5 points (-110).

Los Angeles Rams (-210) at New York Giants (+170)

The Rams are big road favorites (4.5 points at -110 for both teams). The Rams have won five of their last six games, and their only loss came to the Baltimore Ravens. They have scored 28 or more points in their last five games, and the Giants just can’t keep up with them. Take the Rams and lay 4.5 points (-110).

Arizona Cardinals (+425) at Philadelphia Eagles (-600)

The Eagles are massive home favorites (10.5 points at -110 for both). Eight of the Cardinals’ last 10 losses have been by 10 or more points, with their three most recent losses coming by 23, 16 and 11 points. Take the Eagles and lay 10.5 points (-110).

New Orleans Saints (+130) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-160)

The Buccaneers are a standard home favorite (3 points at -110 for both teams). The Bucs are playing their best football of the season having won four straight, and they pounded the Saints 26-9 in New Orleans in their first meeting. Take the Buccaneers and lay 3 points (-110).

San Francisco 49ers (-800) at Washington Commanders (+575)

The Over/Under on this game is high (49. 5 points at -110 for both Over and Under). The 49ers were humbled by the Ravens last week and will look to put a beating down on the Commanders. They could hold them to 13 or fewer points, which will make hitting the Over more difficult. Take Under 49.5 points (-110).

Carolina Panthers (+230) at Jacksonville Jaguars (-275)

The Jaguars have lost four straight but are still strong favorites (6.5 points at -110 for both teams). If Trevor Lawrence is ruled out, this number should drop. If he can play, expect Jacksonville to respond against the team with the league’s worst record with the Jaguars’ season on the line. Take the Jaguars and lay 6.5 points (-110).

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Miami Dolphins (+145) at Baltimore Ravens (-175)

The Ravens have been beating people up and are solid home favorites (3.5 points at -115 Dolphins, -105 Ravens). Baltimore is likely going to try to control the ball and slow down the Dolphins, but that requires touchdowns scored to be an effective strategy. Baltimore should win, but the Dolphins should keep it close by being on the attack all game long. Take the Dolphins plus 3.5 points (-115).

Tennessee Titans (+180) at Houston Texans (-225)

The Texans have been erratic but remain solid home favorites (4.5 points at -110 for both teams). Houston is winning but not blowing teams out. The Titans’ last three losses have each been by three points, and too many of their games come down to the final couple of minutes. Take the Titans plus 4.5 points (-110).

Pittsburgh Steelers (+150) at Seattle Seahawks (-185)

The Over/Under is one of the lowest on this week’s schedule (41.5 points at -110 for both Over and Under). The Seahawks have scored 20 or fewer points in their last three games and five of their last six. The Steelers have scored 20 or fewer points in seven of their last nine games. Too many things point to a field position game. Take Under 41.5 points (-110).

Los Angeles Chargers (+140) at Denver Broncos (-165)

The Broncos are a standard home favorite for a division game (3 points at -105 Chargers, -115 Broncos). The Broncos benching Russell Wilson will result in another matchup of unproven backup quarterbacks. In that instance, you take the best defense and that’s Denver. Take the Broncos and lay 3 points (-115).

Cincinnati Bengals (+260) at Kansas City Chiefs (-350)

The Chiefs have been brutal but remain strong home favorites (7 points at -110 for both teams). Those laying points on the Chiefs have been burned too often, but Patrick Mahomes & Co. need to have a game where all three phases click and they look like the defending champs. Take the Chiefs and lay 7 points (-110).

Green Bay Packers (+110) at Minnesota Vikings (-130)

The Vikings’ quarterback play has been brutal over the last month, and the young Packers are trending in the right direction, winning four their last six. This is an elimination game for the loser, and the Vikings are missing too many key players to compete. Take the Packers on the moneyline (+110).


NFL Picks: Office pool pick’em – Week 17

Use our staff’s weekly pick’em against the spread and straight up for the win.

NFL picks are provided for straight up (moneyline) and against the spread (ATS) NFL pick pools.

Each week’s spread picks are graded by the line as of when the person entered their picks. This will create situations in which a movement of the line can result in two participants having the correct pick but with different teams chosen during an individual game.

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2023 Week 17 picks: moneyline & against the spread

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook


2023 Season-long rankings: moneyline


2023 Season-long rankings: ATS


NFL all-time picks leaderboard: moneyline

Moneyline DMD SG HS CC CJB HCG KH
2022 184-98-2 172-110-2 172-110-2 181-101-2 174-108-2 190-92-2 178-104-2
2021 167-104-1 159-112-1 176-95-1 175-96-1 176-95-1 174-97-1 n/a
2020 161-94-1 161-94-1 164-91-1 174-81-1 166-89-1 172-83-1 n/a
2019 162-93-1 156-99-1 161-94-1 164-91-1 157-98-1 163-92-1 n/a
2018 167-87-2 158-96-2 153-101-2 165-89-2 157-97-2 n/a n/a
2017 168-88 161-95 165-91 180-76 160-96 n/a n/a
2016 157-97-2 149-105-2 152-102-2 156-98-2 139-115-2 n/a n/a
2015 154-102 137-119 155-101 165-91 n/a n/a n/a
2014 166-89-1 158-97-1 163-92-1 177-78-1 n/a n/a n/a
2013 163-92-1 160-95-1 153-102-1 n/a n/a n/a n/a
All-time 1,649-944-11 1,571-1,022-11 1,614-979-11 1,537-801-10 1,129-698-9 699-364-5 178-104-2
accuracy (63.5%) (60.5%) (62.2%) (65.7%) (61.7%) (65.4%) (63.0%)

NFL all-time picks leaderboard: ATS

ATS DMD SG HS CC CJB HCG KH
2022 136-142-6 132-148-4 143-136-5 132-150-2 145-136-3 142-134-8 127-152-4
2021 141-130-1 142-129-1 136-135-1 152-119-1 143-128-1 151-120-1 n/a
2020 118-138 122-134 129-127 130-126 143-113 130-126 n/a
2019 121-135 133-123 139-117 121-135 137-119 139-117 n/a
2018 132-124 131-125 133-123 132-124 130-126 n/a n/a
2017 129-127 136-120 132-124 136-120 131-125 n/a n/a
2016 110-146 125-131 124-132 132-124 127-129 n/a n/a
2015 125-131 121-135 123-133 141-115 n/a n/a n/a
2014 122-134 124-132 132-124 123-133 n/a n/a n/a
2013 115-136-5 119-132-5 117-134-5 n/a n/a n/a n/a
All-time 1,249-1,343-12 1,285-1,309-10 1,308-1,285-11 1,199-1,146-3 956-876-4 562-497-9 127-152-4
accuracy 48.2% 49.5% 50.4% 51.1% 52.2% 53.0% 45.6%

DMD – David Dorey, SG – Steve Gallo, HS – Harley Schultz, CC – Cletis Cutts, CJB – Cory Bonini, HCG – HC Green, KH – Kevin Hickey


The 5 best NFL prop bets for Week 17

The five best NFL player prop bets to make for the upcoming week.

As we start the new year we’re looking for prop bets that will have carry over from the old year. This week, we’re investing in three of the best receivers in the game, a young running back who will be critical in a division-rivalry game, and a quarterback not hitting a lofty number as he looks to get to the playoffs yet again.

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook

Vegas odds chart for daily fantasy football play: Week 17

A snapshot look at the NFL betting lines and odds for Week 17 sports betting and DFS action.

A good way to start your weekly homework for DFS (daily fantasy sports) play is to analyze the early Vegas odds around Week 17.

These guys have a long history of making money off of setting the right game spread and points scored. So it can be an early indicator of teams to target due to high-scoring potential, and teams to avoid for the opposite reason.

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook

NFL Odds: Week 17

Day Time (ET) Away Home Away odds Home Odds Total points O/U
Sunday, Jan. 1 1:00 PM Arizona Cardinals Atlanta Falcons +5.5 -5.5 41.5
Sunday, Jan. 1 1:00 PM Jacksonville Jaguars Houston Texans -3 +3 43.0
Sunday, Jan. 1 1:00 PM Indianapolis Colts New York Giants +5.5 -5.5 39.0
Sunday, Jan. 1 1:00 PM Carolina Panthers Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3.5 -3.5 40.5
Sunday, Jan. 1 1:00 PM Denver Broncos Kansas City Chiefs +12 -12 45.0
Sunday, Jan. 1 1:00 PM New Orleans Saints Philadelphia Eagles +5.5 -5.5 41.5
Sunday, Jan. 1 1:00 PM Miami Dolphins New England Patriots +2.5 -2.5 41.0
Sunday, Jan. 1 1:00 PM Chicago Bears Detroit Lions +6 -6 52.0
Sunday, Jan. 1 1:00 PM Cleveland Browns Washington Commanders +2.5 -2.5 41.0
Sunday, Jan. 1 4:05 PM New York Jets Seattle Seahawks -2 +2 42.5
Sunday, Jan. 1 4:05 PM San Francisco 49ers Las Vegas Raiders -9 +9 42.0
Sunday, Jan. 1 4:25 PM Minnesota Vikings Green Bay Packers +3 -3 48.0
Sunday, Jan. 1 4:25 PM Los Angeles Rams Los Angeles Chargers +6 -6 43.0
Sunday, Jan. 1 8:20 PM Pittsburgh Steelers Baltimore Ravens +2.5 -2.5 35.0
Monday, Jan. 2 8:30 PM Buffalo Bills Cincinnati Bengals -1 +1 49.5

OFF = No odds currently listed.


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The 5 best bets for NFL Week 17

Ring in the new year with these Week 17 wagers.

As we say goodbye to 2022 and hello to 2023, we’re looking at not one, but two moneyline picks, a team looking to rest for two weeks, the most meaningless game of the week, and the game with the most postseason ramifications. We’re checking a lot of boxes with these picks.

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook

NFL Picks: Office pool pick’em – Week 17

Use our staff’s weekly pick’em against the spread and straight up for the win.

The Huddle staff makes its weekly NFL game picks every Thursday.

NFL picks are provided for straight up (moneyline) and against the spread (ATS) NFL pick pools.

Each week’s spread picks are graded by the line as of when the person entered their picks. This will create situations in which a movement of the line can result in two participants having the correct pick but with different teams chosen during an individual game.

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook

NFL Week 17 picks: moneyline & against the spread


Season-to-date rankings: moneyline


Season-to-date rankings: ATS


NFL all-time picks leaderboard: moneyline

Straight Up DMD SG KP HS CC CJB HCG
2021 Record 167-104-1 159-112-1 179-92-1 176-95-1 175-96-1 176-95-1 174-97-1
2020 Record 161-94-1 161-94-1 165-90-1 164-91-1 174-81-1 166-89-1 172-83-1
2019 Record 162-93-1 156-99-1 161-94-1 161-94-1 164-91-1 157-98-1 163-92-1
2018 Record 167-87-2 158-96-2 179-75-2 153-101-2 165-89-2 157-97-2 n/a
2017 Record 168-88 161-95 171-85 165-91 180-76 160-96 n/a
2016 Record 157-97-2 149-105-2 156-98-2 152-102-2 156-98-2 139-115-2 n/a
2015 Record 154-102 137-119 156-100 155-101 165-91 n/a n/a
2014 Record 166-89-1 158-97-1 164-91-1 163-92-1 177-78-1 n/a n/a
2013 Record 163-92-1 160-95-1 170-85-1 153-102-1 n/a n/a n/a
Accuracy entering 2022 1,465-846-9
(63.1%)
1,399-912-9
(60.3%)
1,501-801-9
(64.7%)
1,442-869-9
(62.2%)
1,356-700-8
(65.7%)
955-590-7
(61.5%)
509-272-3
(64.9%)

NFL all-time picks leaderboard: ATS

ATS DMD SG KP HS CC CJB HCG
2021 Record 141-130-1 142-129-1 154-117-1 136-135-1 152-119-1 143-128-1 151-120-1
2020 Record 118-138 122-134 123-133 129-127 130-126 143-113 130-126
2019 Record 121-135 133-123 133-123 139-117 121-135 137-119 139-117
2018 Record 132-124 131-125 145-111 133-123 132-124 130-126 n/a
2017 Record 129-127 136-120 135-121 132-124 136-120 131-125 n/a
2016 Record 110-146 125-131 127-129 124-132 132-124 127-129 n/a
2015 Record 125-131 121-135 126-130 123-133 141-115 n/a n/a
2014 Record 122-134 124-132 143-113 132-124 123-133 n/a n/a
2013 Record 115-136-5 119-132-5 117-134-5 117-134-5 n/a n/a n/a
Accuracy entering 2022 1,113-1,201-6
(48.1%)
1,153-1,161-6
(50.7%)
1,203-1,111-6
(51.9%)
1,165-1,149-6
(50.2%)
1,067-996-1
(51.7%)
811-740-1
(52.3%)
420-363-1
(54.1%)

DMD – David Dorey, SG – Steve Gallo, KP – Ken Pomponio, HS – Harley Schultz, CC – Cletis Cutts, CJB – Cory Bonini, HCG – HC Green


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Betting the NFL Line: Week 17

A wise wager from each contest heading into NFL’s Week 17.

With two weeks to go in the 2022 regular season, there is shockingly only one game – Arizona at Atlanta – that doesn’t have some kind of playoff implications. Every other game has some postseason significance – some more than others – making the penultimate week of the regular season one of the most exciting to follow.

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook

NFL Betting Odds and Lines: Week 17

Dallas Cowboys (-575) at Tennessee Titans (+430)

The Cowboys are massive 12-point favorites, and the Titans are without eight key starters, including their starting quarterback, running back, and best defensive player. The bet I’m looking at is the Over/Under (40 points at -110 Over, -110 Under). Dallas has hit the Over on this point in eight straight games, and I think the Titans will score enough points to do their part. Take the Over (-110).

Jacksonville Jaguars (-210) at Houston Texans (+180)

Depending on the outcome of the Cowboys-Titans game, the Jaguars could clinch the AFC South with a win. They’ve been installed as reasonable road favorites (4.5 points at -109 Jaguars, -111 Texans). Although Houston has been playing better, their division rivals know them better than most and how to exploit their weaknesses. Take the Jaguars are lay 4.5 points (-109).

Arizona Cardinals (+155) at Atlanta Falcons (-180)

Both teams are on quarterbacks they didn’t expect to play, yet they have a respectable Over/Under (42.5 points at -108 Over, -112 Under). I don’t have faith in either offense generating touchdowns and it might take a defensive or special teams TD to top this number. Take the Under (-112).

Indianapolis Colts (+200) at New York Giants (-240)

The Colts have become a running joke and now they take their show on the road where the Giants are solid favorites (5.5 points at -110 for both teams). The Colts appear to be playing out the string, and the Giants can lock down a playoff spot. I always go with the more motivated team at home in these scenarios. Take the Giants and lay 5.5 points (-110).

New Orleans Saints (+220) at Philadelphia Eagles (-260)

The Saints have played six games against teams that are currently in the playoffs. They’ve lost all six and are facing the best team in their conference. The Eagles are solid favorites (6 points at -109 Saints, -111 Eagles). The Eagles need one more win to rest their starters for the next two weeks. I like those odds. Take the Eagles and lay 6 points (-111).

Carolina Panthers (+145) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-170)

The Buccaneers have been incredibly disappointing this season, but they’re still just one win away (at home) from heading back to the playoffs. They’re small home favorites (3 points at -104 Panthers, -116 Buccaneers). Neither team has a win against a team with a winning record. As much as they’ve put bettors through, I still can’t turn my back on Tom Brady. Take the Buccaneers and lay 3 points (-116).

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Denver Broncos (+550) at Kansas City Chiefs (-800)

The Broncos are broken and players are more concerned about who their next boss will be for next season. They’re making business decisions. The Chiefs are looking to lock down the No. 1 seed in the AFC and need to win out. They’re huge favorites (12.5 points at -110 for both teams). With so much at stake, if the Chiefs get a lead, they will keep the pressure on – and Denver doesn’t have the answer offensively. Take the Chiefs and lay 12.5 points (-110).

Chicago Bears (+210) at Detroit Lions (-250)

It’s rare when a point spread on a Bears-Lions game has been this high for one team (6 points at -110 Bears, -110 Lions). Detroit is a different team at home. They’re 3-1 in the last four home games and have lost to both the Eagles and Bills by just three points. Chicago can’t hold a candle to them. Take the Lions and lay 6 points (-110).

Miami Dolphins (+135) at New England Patriots (-155)

I don’t like this game at all because the Dolphins are in a brutal road location again, and the Patriots are frighteningly inconsistent. As such, the only bet I’ll touch is the Over/Under (41.5 points at -107 Over, -113 Under). I don’t think Miami’s offense will thrive, and I have no faith in New England’s offense. Take the Under (-113).

Cleveland Browns (+110) at Washington Commanders (-130)

The Browns are one of the more disappointing teams in the league, but are minimal road underdogs (2 points at -108 Browns, -112 Commanders). Washington is currently in the playoffs and needs this game to likely make it a reality. Take the Commanders and lay 2 points (-112).

New York Jets (-125) at Seattle Seahawks (+105)

The Jets have lost four straight that have strengthened the winner’s playoff positioning each time. Seattle is at the top of the glut of 7-8 teams in the NFC and are home dogs in front of the “12th Man.” They have issues on defense, but I’m not letting that stop me. Take the Seahawks on the moneyline (+105).

San Francisco 49ers (-475) at Las Vegas Raiders (+360)

The NFL’s hottest team faces a team that just gave up on its franchise quarterback. The 49ers would have been huge favorites anyway, but it’s bigger now (10 points at -111 49ers, -109 Raiders). Derek Carr will be the No. 3 QB and likely in street clothes. He was the only chance they remotely had to derail the Niner Train. Take the 49ers and lay 10 points (-111).

Minnesota Vikings (+150) at Green Bay Packers (-180)

The belief here is that the Packer magic is back, and the ghosts of Lambeau Field will rise up and carry the Packers to the playoffs. It makes for good copy and allows the TV talking-head cliche professionals to dabble in their art. What Minnesota has accomplished this season is improbable to say the least. The only complete win the Vikings have had all season came in Week 1 in a beatdown of the Packers. Take the Vikings on the moneyline (+150).

Los Angeles Rams (+235) at Los Angeles Chargers (-280)

One L.A. team is ready to go to the playoffs. The other L.A. team can look at those Super Bowl rings and remember what used to be. The Chargers are strong favorites (6.5 points at -111 Rams, -109 Chargers). Both teams are at home, so there’s no advantage other than two teams headed in different directions. Take the Chargers and lay 6.5 points (-109).

Pittsburgh Steelers (+125) at Baltimore Ravens (-150)

This is typically a bloodbath when both are at full strength. Neither one is this time around. The Ravens are small favorites (2.5 points at -109 Steelers, -111 Ravens). These games always seems to be close and come down to the final few minutes. I’ll take my chances with Justin Tucker kicking the winning field goal at home. Take the Ravens and lay 2.5 points (-111).

Buffalo Bills (-110) at Cincinnati Bengals (-110)

Monday night games usually look good on paper when the schedule comes out and can be awful in real time. The Bills have won six straight games. The Bengals have won seven straight. Both teams will come out slinging and probably not stop. The Over/Under is high (49.5 points at -111 Over, -109 Under). This may top this number late in the third quarter. Take the Over (-111).


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