UFC on ESPN 7 predictions: Overeem or Rozenstruik in heavyweight clash in D.C.?

Check out our staff’s picks for the UFC on ESPN 7 main card in Washington, D.C., featuring Alistair Overeem vs. Jairzinho Rozenstruik.

Overeem
vs.
Rozenstruik
Calvillo
vs.
Rodriguez
Rothwell
vs.
Struve
Kunitskaya
vs.
Ladd
Stamann
vs.
Yadong
Font
vs.
Simon
MMA Junkie readers’
consensus picks
2019: 203-123 (62%)
rozenstruik2019
Rozenstruik
(56%)
calvillo2019
Calvillo
(66%)
rothwell2019
Rothwell
(53%)
ladd2019
Ladd
(80%)
yadong2019
Yadong
(64%)
font2019
Font
(51%)
Simon Head
@simonhead
2019: 119-65 (65%)
rozenstruik2019
Rozenstruik
rodriguez2019
Rodriguez
rothwell2019
Rothwell
ladd2019
Ladd
yadong2019
Yadong
font2019
Font
Nolan King
@mma_kings
2019: 115-64 (64%)
overeem2019
Overeem
rodriguez2019
Rodriguez
rothwell2019
Rothwell
ladd2019
Ladd
stamann2019
Stamann
font2019
Font
Dan Tom
@DanTomMMA
2019: 209-117 (64%)
overeem2019
Overeem
calvillo2019
Calvillo
rothwell2019
Rothwell
ladd2019
Ladd
yadong2019
Yadong
font2019
Font
Brian Garcia
@thegoze
2019: 207-119 (64%)
trophy copy 2017 Champion
rozenstruik2019
Rozenstruik
rodriguez2019
Rodriguez
rothwell2019
Rothwell
kunitskaya2019
Kunitskaya
stamann2019
Stamann
font2019
Font
Ken Hathaway
@kenshathaway
2019: 206-120 (63%)
trophy copy 2018 Champion
rozenstruik2019
Rozenstruik
calvillo2019
Calvillo
rothwell2019
Rothwell
ladd2019
Ladd
yadong2019
Yadong
font2019
Font
John Morgan
@MMAjunkieJohn
2019: 204-122 (63%)
overeem2019
Overeem
rodriguez2019
Rodriguez
rothwell2019
Rothwell
ladd2019
Ladd
stamann2019
Stamann
font2019
Font
Mike Bohn
@MikeBohnMMA
2019: 203-123 (62%)
trophy copy 2014 Champion
overeem2019
Overeem
rodriguez2019
Rodriguez
rothwell2019
Rothwell
ladd2019
Ladd
yadong2019
Yadong
simon2019
Simon
Simon Samano
@SJSamano
2019: 203-123 (62%)
rozenstruik2019
Rozenstruik
rodriguez2019
Rodriguez
rothwell2019
Rothwell
ladd2019
Ladd
yadong2019
Yadong
font2019
Font
George Garcia
@MMAjunkieGeorge
2019: 200-126 (61%)
overeem2019
Overeem
calvillo2019
Calvillo
rothwell2019
Rothwell
ladd2019
Ladd
stamann2019
Stamann
font2019
Font
Farah Hannoun
@Farah_Hannoun
2019: 141-69 (60%)
overeem2019
Overeem
calvillo2019
Calvillo
rothwell2019
Rothwell
ladd2019
Ladd
yadong2019
Yadong
font2019
Font
Abbey Subhan
@kammakaze
2019: 193-133 (59%)
rozenstruik2019
Rozenstruik
rodriguez2019
Rodriguez
rothwell2019
Rothwell
ladd2019
Ladd
yadong2019
Yadong
font2019
Font
Dave Doyle
@davedoylemma
2019: 131-103 (56%)
overeem2019
Overeem
calvillo2019
Calvillo
rothwell2019
Rothwell
ladd2019
Ladd
stamann2019
Stamann
font2019
Font
Matt Erickson
@MMAjunkieMatt
2019: 172-154 (53%)
rozenstruik2019
Rozenstruik
calvillo2019
Calvillo
struve2019
Struve
kunitskaya2019
Kunitskaya
stamann2019
Stamann
simon2019
Simon

The UFC is back in the nation’s capital city this week for the first time since 2011, and heavyweights top the bill.

UFC on ESPN 7 takes place Saturday at Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C. The main card airs on ESPN following prelims on ESPN and early prelims on UFC Fight Pass/ESPN+.

(Click here to open a PDF of the staff picks grid in a separate window.)

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In the main event, [autotag]Alistair Overeem[/autotag] (45-17 MMA, 10-6 UFC) takes on the unbeaten [autotag]Jairzinho Rozenstruik[/autotag] (9-0 MMA, 3-0 UFC) at heavyweight. The fight is a virtual pick’em with the oddsmakers, and it’s close with our 13 MMA Junkie editors, writers, radio hosts and videographers, as well. Overeem has the slightest possible edge at 7-6 in our picks.

In the co-main event, [autotag]Cynthia Calvillo[/autotag] (8-1 MMA, 5-1 UFC) badly missed weight for her women’s strawweight bout against [autotag]Marina Rodriguez[/autotag] (12-0-1 MMA, 2-0-1 UFC), but the fight will go on. Rodriguez is a slight favorite at the sports books, and she has a slight edge at 7-6 in our picks.

Also on the main card, [autotag]Ben Rothwell[/autotag] (36-12 MMA, 6-6 UFC) meets [autotag]Stefan Struve[/autotag] (29-11 MMA, 13-9 UFC) in a battle of heavyweight veterans. Rothwell has a slight betting edge around -150, but he has a massive 12-1 lead in the picks with only one of our staff members taking the 7-foot Struve.

Another picks blowout belongs to [autotag]Aspen Ladd[/autotag] (8-1 MMA, 3-1 UFC) in her women’s bantamweight fight against [autotag]Yana Kunitskaya[/autotag] (12-4 MMA, 2-1 UFC). Ladd is a -160 favorite, but has an 11-2 lead in the picks.

[autotag]Song Yadong[/autotag] (15-4 MMA, 4-0 UFC) is more than a 2-1 favorite in his bantamweight fight against [autotag]Cody Stamann[/autotag] (18-2 MMA, 4-1 UFC), making him the heaviest favorite on the main card. But Yadong has just a 7-6 lead in the picks.

And to open the main card, [autotag]Rob Font[/autotag] (16-4 MMA, 6-3 UFC) is just a slight favorite against [autotag]Ricky Simon[/autotag] (15-2 MMA, 3-1 UFC) in their bantamweight fight. But Font pulled off a big 11-2 rout in the picks.

In the MMA Junkie reader consensus picks, Rozenstruik (56%), Calvillo (66 percent), Rothwell (53 percent), Ladd (80 percent), Yadong (64 percent) and Font (51 percent) are the choices.

Check out all the picks above.

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6 burning questions heading into UFC on ESPN 7

The UFC hits our nation’s capital Saturday with a card that features several fights worth your time.

[jwplayer n56Adg0F-FLu19iir]

After a two-week break, the UFC is back in business. And the company returns to action with a slate of fights worth checking out.

A heavyweight matchup between the ageless [autotag]Alistair Overeem[/autotag] and undefeated [autotag]Jairzinho Rozenstruik[/autotag] headlines the final UFC on ESPN card of 2019. The main event is just one of a string of fights that might not have the star power of the month’s biggest event, UFC 245 with it’s three title fights Dec. 14, but nonetheless have meaningful consequences for the career trajectories of the participants and rankings implications for their respective weight classes. 

UFC on ESPN 7 takes place Saturday at Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C. The main card airs on ESPN following prelims on ESPN and early prelims on UFC Fight Pass/ESPN+.

Without further ado, then, here are six burning questions as the road winds toward Saturday night in our nation’s capital. 

Can Jairzinho Rozenstruik make the most of his big opportunity? 

We suspect this isn’t the way the undefeated Surinamese kickboxer wanted to get his first UFC main-event opportunity. Rozenstruik (9-0 MMA, 3-0 UFC)
stepped up and accepted the bout with Overeem after Walt Harris had to drop out due to the disappearance of his stepdaughter, who was unfortunately found dead last week.

While everyone’s thoughts remain with the Harris family in its time of sorrow, the sport continues on, and Rozenstruik steps into his chance to make a statement that he’s truly arrived.

Rozenstruik has already demonstrated his veteran kickboxing skills have transferred over nicely from the ring to the cage, a point he’s hammered home each time out so far in the UFC octagon. Rozenstruik has won all three of his UFC fights via KO/TKO, with none of his fights lasting six minutes and his most recent triumph being a 29-second knockout of former UFC heavyweight champ Andrei Arlovski in the intense spotlight of UFC 244.

That’s all well and good, but what happens if he fights someone with the ability to wait him out and drag him into deeper waters? Overeem (45-17 MMA, 10-6 UFC) has gotten clipped a few times, too, but he’s one of the game’s craftiest and adaptable fighters, a cerebral competitor who is not likely to be goaded into many mistakes. A victory over Arlovski is nice on a resume, but he’s a clearly diminished fighter. A win over Overeem, however, would be a statement Rozenstruik is ready for this, and ready to join the elite mix. 

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UFC DC’s Ben Rothwell says much of his career has lacked happiness – except one thing

Ben Rothwell’s professional MMA tenure has been nothing short of a rollercoaster ride.

WASHINGTON – [autotag]Ben Rothwell[/autotag]’s professional MMA tenure has been nothing short of a rollercoaster ride.

Successes and failures, post-fight promos and suspensions – Rothwell (36-12 MMA, 6-6 UFC) has seen highs and lows. But according to the UFC heavyweight, the highs haven’t really been that high.

Ahead of his UFC on ESPN 7 bout Saturday, Rothwell was asked at a pre-fight media day at what point in his career he was the happiest. His answer was somewhat unexpected.

“Happy: It’s not really something I experience much,” Rothwell said. “I look at my life as a lot of mistakes and a lot of failure. I’ve been fighting my whole life. Some of my earliest memories have been fighting, whether it’s been fighting off bullies or fighting off disgruntled parents. It’s just a tough thing to think about, happiness in the sport. And I’m OK with that because it’s part of my driving force.”

So why does Rothwell do what he does? Why does he decide to compete in a profession that doesn’t provide him with happiness? The Wisconsinite said having a chip on his shoulder drives him to prove something to the world.

“I don’t do this for happiness,” Rothwell said. “I do this because there is something driving me inside. It’s something that goes greater than just getting my hand raised. I have something to prove. I have something to prove that’s going to go outside of me fighting just in a cage.

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If Rothwell does experience micro-moments of happiness, he said he attributes his joy to the fans. Random strangers will come up to Rothwell and ask him for an autograph or a picture – that’s the closest Rothwell has come to pure happiness during his MMA career.

“Still until this day, I can’t believe the fanbase and the people that reach out, and the people that are inspired and excited to have me,” Rothwell said. “You want to talk about happiness? It’s those few moments where people come up and ask for an autograph.

“I’m in awe that they want a picture or an autograph. They tell me how much it means to them to watch me fight and how excited they get. I’ll tell you, that means something to me – something I can’t put a price tag on.”

Relative to his scale of having fun, Rothwell indicated he is feeling better entering his UFC DC matchup against Stefan Struve (29-11 MMA, 13-9 UFC). It’s his second UFC bout since returning from a U.S. Anti-Doping Agency (USADA) suspension.

“I just kind of had to get over everything,” Rothwell said. “That’s what I do. I pick myself up and carry on. It’s part of being a mixed martial artist – a lot of ups and downs, especially in my life. I have a long trail of failure, but somehow I’ve done enough. I’ve had some victories and I’m still standing here. I took the time to make the appropriate changes, and I’m ready for Saturday.”

UFC on ESPN 7 takes place Saturday at Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C. The main card airs on ESPN following prelims on ESPN and early prelims on UFC Fight Pass/ESPN+.

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UFC on ESPN 7 pre-event facts: Alistair Overeem is the most accurate striker in UFC history

The best facts and figures about UFC on ESPN 7, which features a Alistair Overeem vs. Jairzinho Rozenstruik heavyweight main event.

The UFC returns to Washington D.C. for the first time in more than eight years on Saturday with UFC on ESPN 7. The card is set to air on ESPN following early prelims on ESPN+/UFC Fight Pass.

In the headliner, two heavyweights on winning streaks will attempt to take another step up the divisional pecking order when perennial contender [autotag]Alistair Overeem[/autotag] (45-17 MMA, 10-6 UFC) takes on [autotag]Jairzinho Rozenstruik[/autotag] (9-0 MMA, 3-0 UFC), who stepped in on short notice as a replacement for Walt Harris.

For more on the numbers behind the main event, as well as the rest of the 12-fight card, check below for 50 pre-event facts about UFC on ESPN 7.

* * * *

Main event

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Overeem, 39, is the oldest of the 24 fighters scheduled to compete at the event.

Overeem’s two-fight UFC winning streak at heavyweight is tied for the fourth longest active streak in the division behind Rozenstruik (three), Francis Ngannou (three) and Augusto Sakai (three).

Overeem is one of 11 fighters in UFC history to earn 10 or more heavyweight wins.

Overeem has earned 40 of his 45 career victories by stoppage. That includes seven of his 10 UFC wins.

Overeem lands 73.8 percent of his significant strike attempts in UFC competition, the highest rate in company history.

Overeem has been on the losing end of the fifth and sixth largest statistical comeback finishes in UFC heavyweight history. He out-landed Antonio Silva by 30 significant strikes before being knocked out at UFC 156, and he out-landed Travis Browne by 27 significant strikes before his demise at UFC Fight Night 26

Overeem’s 13 knockout losses in MMA competition are the most of any active member on the UFC roster.

Overeem’s 11 knockout losses in UFC/WEC/PRIDE/Strikeforce competition are the most in combined organizational history.

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Rozenstruik makes his second UFC appearance in a 35-day stretch. He defeated Andrei Arlovski at UFC 244 on Nov. 2.

Rozenstruik’s three-fight UFC winning streak at heavyweight is tied with Ngannou and Sakai for the longest active streak in the division.

Rozenstruik has earned eight of his nine career victories by stoppage. That includes all three of his UFC wins.

Rozenstruik’s three-fight knockout streak in UFC competition is tied with Ngannou, Amanda Nunes, Maycee Barber, Jared Cannonier and Justin Gaethje for the longest active streak in the company.

Rozenstruik’s nine-second knockout at UFC on ESPN+ 12 is the second fastest in UFC heavyweight history behind Todd Duffee’s seven-second finish at UFC 102.

Co-main event

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[autotag]Marina Rodriguez[/autotag]’s (13-0-1 MMA, 2-0-1 UFC) three-fight UFC unbeaten streak at strawweight is tied for the fourth longest active streak in the division behind Tatiana Suarez (five), Yan Xiaonan (four) and Zhang Weili (four).

Rodriguez fought to the first draw in UFC strawweight history against Randa Markos at UFC Fight Night 137 in September 2018.

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[autotag]Cynthia Calvillo[/autotag]’s (8-1 MMA, 5-1 UFC) five wins since 2017 in strawweight competition are tied for most in the division.

Calvillo’s three submission victories in UFC strawweight competition are tied with Rose Namajunas for most in divisional history.

Calvillo has completed at least one takedown in five of her six UFC appearances.

Calvillo’s nine submission attempts in UFC strawweight competition are most in divisional history.

Calvillo attempts 2.02 submission attempts per 15 minutes in UFC strawweight competition, the most in divisional history.

Remaining main card

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[autotag]Stefan Struve[/autotag] (29-11 MMA, 13-9 UFC) returns to competition after announcing his retirement from MMA following a victory at UFC on ESPN+ 3 in February.

Struve competes in his 23rd UFC heavyweight bout, the third most appearances in divisional history behind Andrei Arlovski (31) and Frank Mir (27).

Struve’s 13 victories in UFC heavyweight competition are tied for fourth most in divisional history behind Arlovski (17), Mir (16) and Junior Dos Santos (15).

Struve’s 11 stoppage victories in UFC heavyweight competition are tied with Arlovski and Gabriel Gonzaga for second most in divisional history behind Mir (13).

Struve’s six submission victories in UFC heavyweight competition are second most in divisional history behind Mir (eight).

Struve’s 21 submission attempts in UFC heavyweight competition are tied with Mir for most in divisional history.

Struve’s eight fight-night bonuses for UFC heavyweight fights are second most in divisional history behind Stipe Miocic (nine).

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[autotag]Ben Rothwell[/autotag]’s (36-12 MMA, 6-6 UFC) three-fight losing skid is the longest of his career. He hasn’t earned a victory since January 2016.

Rothwell is 0-2 since he returned from a nearly three-year layoff in March.

[autotag]Aspen Ladd[/autotag]’s (8-1 MMA, 3-1 UFC) two knockout victories in UFC women’s bantamweight competition are tied for fourth most in divisional history behind Nunes (six), Ronda Rousey (three) and Germaine de Randamie (three).

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[autotag]Yana Kunitskaya[/autotag] (12-4 MMA, 2-1 UFC) is 2-0 since she returned to the UFC women’s bantamweight division in October 2018.

Kunitskaya’s two-fight UFC winning streak at women’s bantamweight is tied for the fourth longest active streak in the division behind Nunes (eight), de Randamie (four) and Ketlen Vieira (four).

[autotag]Cody Stamann[/autotag] (18-2 MMA, 4-1 UFC) has earned all four of his UFC victories by decision.

[autotag]Song Yadong[/autotag] (14-3 MMA, 4-0 UFC), 22, is the youngest of the 24 fighters scheduled to compete at the event.

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[autotag]Rob Font[/autotag] (16-4 MMA, 6-3 UFC) returns to competition for the first time since Dec. 15, 2018. The 357-day layoff is the longest of his more than eight-year career.

Font has alternated wins and losses in his past five fights. He won his most recent bout at UFC on FOX 31 in December 2018.

Font’s five stoppages victories in UFC bantamweight competition are tied for fifth most in divisional history behind T.J. Dillashaw (eight), Urijah Faber (seven), Marlon Vera (seven) and Pedro Munhoz (six).

Font’s four knockout victories in UFC bantamweight competition are tied for third most in divisional history behind Dillashaw (seven) and Eddie Wineland (five).

[autotag]Ricky Simon[/autotag]’s (15-2 MMA, 3-1 UFC) victory at the 5:00 mark of Round 3 at UFC Fight Night 128 is the latest stoppage in a three-round UFC fight.

Preliminary card

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[autotag]Thiago Alves[/autotag] (23-14 MMA, 15-11 UFC) competes in his 26th UFC welterweight bout, the most appearances in divisional history.

Alves’ 15 victories in UFC welterweight competition are the third most in divisional history behind Georges St-Pierre (19) and Matt Hughes (16).

Alves’ nine stoppage victories in UFC welterweight competition are tied for third most in divisional history behind Hughes (12) and Matt Brown (12).

Alves’ eight knockout victories in UFC welterweight competition are second most in divisional history behind Brown (10).

Alves’ 13 knockdowns landed in UFC welterweight competition are the most in divisional history.

Alves’ four knockout victories stemming from knee strikes in UFC competition are most in company history.

Alves has landed 380 leg kicks in UFC competition, the second most in company history behind Joanna Jedrzejczyk (430).

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[autotag]Tim Means[/autotag] (28-11-1 MMA, 10-8 UFC) is 8-6 (with one no contest) since he returned to the UFC for a second stint in May 2014.

[autotag]Makhmud Muradov[/autotag] (23-6 MMA, 1-0 UFC) is 17-1 in his past 18 fights dating back to March 2015.

Muradov enters the event on a 12-fight winning streak. He hasn’t suffered a defeat since December 2016.

[autotag]Trevor Smith[/autotag] (15-9 MMA, 5-6 UFC) has earned all five of his UFC victories by decision. He hasn’t earned a stoppage victory since June 2012.

UFC research analyst and live statistics producer Michael Carroll contributed to this story. Follow him on Twitter @MJCflipdascript.

UFC on ESPN 7: Make your predictions for Alistair Overeem vs. Jairzinho Rozenstruik

We want your predictions for Saturday’s UFC on ESPN 7 event in Washington, D.C.

We want your predictions for Saturday’s UFC on ESPN 7 event in Washington, D.C.

Our staff picks feature includes the consensus picks from MMA Junkie readers. Simply cast your vote for each bout below, and we’ll use the official tallies that are registered by Thursday at noon ET (9 a.m. PT).

Those MMA Junkie reader consensus picks will be part of the UFC on ESPN 7 event staff predictions we release Friday ahead of the event. UFC on ESPN 7 takes place Saturday at Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C. The main card airs on ESPN following prelims on ESPN and early prelims on UFC Fight Pass/ESPN+.

Make your picks for all six main card fights inside: