The Chicago Bears (7-6) visit the NFC North-leading Green Bay Packers (10-3) in the 200th meeting between the longtime rivals Sunday for a 1 p.m. ET kickoff at Lambeau Field (on FOX). We analyze the Bears-Packers odds and sports betting lines, while providing betting tips and advice on this Week 15 NFL matchup.
Bears at Packers: Week 15 preview, betting trends and notes
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- The Bears have won three in a row, most recently knocking off the Dallas Cowboys 31-24 at home in the Week 14 Thursday game.
- The Packers, who lead the division by a game over the Minnesota Vikings and currently sit in the No. 2 NFC playoff spot, are on a two-game win streak after beating the visiting Washington Redskins 20-15 last week.
- A Chicago loss in Green Bay would eliminate the Bears from playoff contention if the Vikings win at the Los Angeles Chargers later Sunday.
- The Bears are 3-3 on the road, but 4-9 Against the Spread (ATS) overall.
- The Packers are 6-1 at home and 8-5 ATS overall.
- The Packers won the first head-to-head meeting of the season, 10-3 in Week 1 at Soldier Field.
- Bears QB Mitchell Trubisky has thrown for 2,440 yards and 16 TDs, but with 8 interceptions.
- Packers QB Aaron Rodgers has thrown for 3,260 yards with 23 TDs and 2 picks in 13 games.
- The Bears defense ranks fourth in points allowed (17.8 PPG) and 10th in yards allowed (326.5 YPG).
- While the Packers offense hasn’t been its usual self – ranking 23rd in yards (340.1 YPG) – the defense has been decent, ranking 13th in points allowed (20.8 PPG) but 22nd in yards allowed (367.9 YPG).
- Aaron Jones leads the Packers ground attack, rushing for 779 yards with 12 TDs. David Montgomery has been the Bears’ main RB, tallying for 680 rushing yards with 5 TDs
Bears at Packers: Key injuries
Bears: WR Taylor Gabriel (concussion), TE Ben Braunecker (concussion), RT Bobby Massie (ankle), DE Roy Robertson-Harris (foot) and LB Danny Trevathan (elbow) are questionable. CB Prince Amukamara (hamstring) is probable.
Packers: TE Jimmy Graham (wrist), WR Geronimo Allison (knee), RG Billy Turner (knee) and CB Kevin King (shoulder) are questionable.
Bears at Packers: Odds, betting lines and prediction
NFL odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Odds last updated Thursday at 1:20 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Packers 24, Bears 16
Moneyline (ML)
It’s no surprise the Packers (-209) are favored at home, but I’m not interested in making a 2-to-1 type bet, where every $2.09 wagered only would profit $1 if Green Bay prevails. I’m going to focus on the spread instead. The Bears are +170 where every $1 wagered would profit $1.70 if Chicago wins.
Against the Spread (ATS)
The PACKERS (-4.5, -106) are the STRONGEST PLAY. Green Bay has won the last three vs. the Bears at Lambeau and have won 9 of the past 11 head-to-head meetings at home. Plus, Rodgers is 18-5 vs. the Bears in his career. Chicago (+4.5, -115) last won at Green Bay Nov. 26, 2015.
Every $1.06 wagered on the Packers to win by 5 points or more would profit $1 if they do so.
Over/Under (O/U)
The UNDER 41.5 (-125) is worthy of a small play. The Bears are 5-8 O/U on the season, 2-3 O/U on the road and 0-2 O/U as a road underdog. The Packers are 6-7 O/U overall and 3-4 O/U at home – they’ve been favored in every home game.
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Johnny’s December record: 5-1. Strongest plays: 3-0.
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