Looking at the last 10 hoops matchups between Baylor and Texas

Can Texas finally beat Baylor?

The Texas Longhorns have a huge matchup with the Baylor Bears on Monday night. The basketball game presents Texas with an opportunity to beat Baylor for the first time in seven tries.

The Longhorns have been abysmal against Baylor in recent seasons. They have Shaka Smart to thank for much of that, but even Chris Beard couldn’t earn a win over the once sleeping giant.

Baylor has won 12 of the last 13 meetings dating back to 2016. Since they met in the 2009 Big 12 tournament, the Bears are 21-8 against the Longhorns.

While Scott Drew’s team is not the juggernaut it has been the last three seasons, Baylor is still a formidable foe for Texas.

Here’s a look at the last 10 meetings between the two teams.

Baylor vs Texas Prediction Game Preview

Baylor vs Texas game preview, prediction, and breakdown for the Week 13 game on Friday, November 25

Baylor vs Texas prediction, game preview, how to watch. Week 13, Friday, November 25


Baylor vs Texas Prediction Game Preview

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Baylor vs Texas How To Watch

Date: Friday, November 25
Game Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, TX
How To Watch: ESPN
Record: Baylor (6-5), Texas (7-4)
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Why Baylor Will Win

The combination of a balanced offense and decent enough run defense might be enough to pull this off.

The Bears might have stalled in the 31-3 loss to Kansas State, but they came back to push TCU to the brink in last week’s crazy 29-28 loss on a walk-off field goal. Even so, the O continues to be great on third downs to keep everything moving.

Baylor is terrific at dominating the clock – it did that against TCU and keeps the ball for over 32 minutes. Texas doesn’t care about the time of possession battle and will probably lose by well over five minutes.

And then there’s the run defense. Texas is 4-0 when running for more than 205 yards and 3-4 when it doesn’t. More to the point, the three wins when the running game didn’t rock came against teams that aren’t going bowling.

Baylor allowed more than 205 rushing yards just twice so far, but …

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Why Texas Will Win

Yeah, that Bijan Robinson guy is pretty good.

He was stuffed by TCU for 29 yards, and came back roaring with 243 yards and four scores in what seemed like just a few minutes in the blowout win over Kansas last week. That was his second 200-yard game in the last three and his eighth with over 100 yards in his last nine.

Baylor’s defense was amazing against the run over the first half of the season, but it had a few issues in Big 12 play allowing over four yards per carry in each of the last four games. It’s also 2-4 this season when giving up over three yards per run.

Alabama and TCU. Those are the only two teams to hold Texas to under three yards per carry.

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What’s Going To Happen

Texas will play in the Big 12 Championship with a win and a Kansas State loss to Kansas. It’ll take care of the first part of that itself.

Baylor will once again be dangerous, but it’ll struggle defensively late as the Longhorn passing game does enough to balance out the attack – the Bear D will sell out to stop Robinson.

Baylor is 1-5 when allowing more than 24 points. Texas was held to under 24 by – again – Alabama and TCU.

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Baylor vs Texas Prediction, Line

Texas 34, Baylor 24
Line: Texas -8.5, o/u: 54.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2
Baylor vs Texas Must See Rating (out of 5): 3.5

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Baylor vs Texas Prediction, College Basketball Game Preview

Baylor vs Texas prediction, college basketball game preview, how to watch, lines, and why each team might – or might not – win on Monday.

Baylor vs Texas prediction, college basketball game preview, how to watch: Monday, February 28


Baylor vs Texas How To Watch

Date: Monday, February 28
Game Time: 9:00 ET
Venue: ESPN
How To Watch: Frank Erwin Center, Austin, TX
Record: Baylor (24-5), Texas (21-8)
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Baylor vs Texas Game Preview


Why Baylor Will Win

The Bears continue to scuffle a little bit – the consistency isn’t there – but they’ve been able to win three straight including a relatively dominant win over Kansas.

They’re doing a great job on the move, moving the ball around as well as any team in the Big 12, and they shoot threes a whole lot better than they have over the last few games.

They rolled over Texas a few weeks ago by hitting 50% from the field, rolling on the free throw line, and pulling off a great defensive performance that didn’t allow much of anything easy.

But …

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Why Texas Will Win

Texas has been on fire from the outside at times and has done an amazing job of generating second chance points over the last few weeks.

No, the threes were there in the win over TCU – the Longhorns hit just 1-of-14 shots from the outside – but still won owning the interior and going up with 13 offensive rebounds.

They followed up the TCU game by hitting 63% from the field and going off from three. It all has to work to beat Baylor.

They’ve only lost twice at home, and both times were a tad strange. Texas Tech shut down the Longhorns cold, and Kansas State hung around and pulled survived a low-scoring fight.

And …

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What’s Going To Happen

Texas is killing it on defense.

It’s fourth in the nation in scoring D, it’s allowing teams to hist just 41% from the field, and it’s doing an amazing job when it comes to not turning the ball over.

Again, it all has to work to get by a Baylor team that’s attacking and stepping up its own defensive game.

This is going to be fun.

Baylor vs Texas Prediction, Lines

Texas 68, Baylor 65
Line: Baylor -1, o/u: 135.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2

Must See Rating: 4

5: No War
1: War

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Baylor vs. Texas Basketball Fearless Prediction, Game Preview

Baylor vs Texas college basketball fearless prediction and game preview.

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Baylor vs. Texas college basketball fearless prediction and game preview.


Baylor vs. Texas Broadcast

Date: Monday, February 10
Game Time: 9:00 ET
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
Venue: Frank Erwin Center, Austin, TX
Network: ESPN

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Baylor (21-1) vs. Texas (14-9) Game Preview

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Why Baylor Will Win

It was just over a month ago, but Texas was whacked in Waco 59-44 as a part of a rough run going 4-7 since the new year started.

The Bear D didn’t let Texas do anything from three, there weren’t a whole slew of mistakes and turnovers, and there wasn’t any drama for a team now on a 20-game winning streak.

The No. 1 team in the nation continues to dominate with a suffocating defense that Texas shouldn’t be able to handle.

This isn’t hard – the Longhorns just don’t score. They’ve only hit the 70 point mark twice in 2020. Baylor will come up with the turnovers needed to make the UT O struggle that much more.

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Why Texas Will Win

How do you beat Baylor? Texas has to get hot from three at home early on and get the Bears out of their comfort zone.

This isn’t a hard formula. When the Longhorns hit the three, they win. They’re 8-0 this season when they connect on 40% or more of their threes, and they’re 0 for they’re last 8 when they’re under the 40% mark.

It’s not totally impossible to hit 40% on the Baylor defense, but it’s certainly not easy this year.

In the Big 12, Texas is only behind TCU in the the number of threes jacked up per game – and it’s going to keep on pumping them up.

What’s Going To Happen

Texas isn’t going to hit 40% from three.

The Baylor defense is too active, forces too many mistakes, and it’s not going to let Texas get that extra pass it needs. Just as big a problem is the inability of the Longhorns to get to the line and hit their free throws – they’re not going to get the easy points needed to pull this off.

Baylor vs. Texas Prediction, Line

Baylor 70, Texas 61
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Baylor -6.5, o/u: 128.5
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3
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Must See Rating: 2.5

5: Parasite
1: The 2020 Oscars as a program

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