Wisconsin at Baylor Odds, Picks and Prediction

Previewing No. 9 Wisconsin vs. No. 1 Baylor during the March Madness Tournament’s second round matchup.

The No. 3 Baylor Bears (22-2) are 6.5-point favorites as they look to build on an 11-game home win streak when they host the Wisconsin Badgers (17-12) this Sunday, March 21, 2021 at 2:40 PM ET at Hinkle Fieldhouse. The matchup airs on CBS. The matchup’s over/under is 136.5. Below, we analyze the Wisconsin-Baylor contest with college basketball betting odds and lines, picks and predictions.

In their last game, the Bears picked up a 79-55 win over Hartford but did not cover the 25.5-point spread they were favored by. The teams hit the under on the 138.5 point total set by sportsbooks. MaCio Teague racked up a team-high 22 points in the victory on Friday.

Brad Davison led the way for the Badgers with a team-high 29 points last time out as they picked up a 85-62 win over North Carolina and covered the 2-point spread as underdogs. The teams combined to go over the 136.5 point total set for the matchup.

Wisconsin at Baylor: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list.
Lines last updated at 11:55 AM ET on March 20, 2021.

  • Money line: Wisconsin +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Baylor -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Wisconsin +6.5 (-110) | Baylor -6.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 136.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Baylor: Three things to know

  • Jared Butler leads the Bears in scoring, averaging 17.0 points per game. Butler leads the squad with a team-high 2.6 made three-pointers per game.
  • The Bears record 20 more points per game (84.2) than the Badgers allow (64.2).
  • Baylor has a 23-1 record overall and a 13-0-1 record against the spread when scoring more than 64.2 points.

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Wisconsin: Three things to know

  • The Badgers points and assists leader is D’Mitrik Trice. He averages 13.9 points per game and dishes out 4.0 assists. Davison averages 2.0 made threes per game to lead the team.
  • The Badgers put up just 4.1 more points per game (70.1) than the Bears give up to opponents (66).
  • Wisconsin has put together a 15-4 overall record and an 11-0 ATS record in games where it scores more than 66 points.

Wisconsin at Baylor: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Baylor 75, Wisconsin 67

Money line

The Baylor Bears are favored to win this game by both BetMGM and the model.

Against the spread (ATS)

The MGM line for this game has the Bears favored by 6.5, while the model predicts they’ll win by slightly more (8.6 points).

Over/Under (O/U)

In this matchup, the model projects a total (142.2 points) a little higher than the MGM over/under (136.5 points).

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March Madness: Baylor vs. Wisconsin odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Sunday’s Baylor Bears vs. Wisconsin Badgers odds and lines, with March Madness Round 2 picks and predictions.

The top-seeded Baylor Bears (23-2) take on the Wisconsin Badgers (18-12) in a South Region second-round game Sunday. The matinée battle between the Bears and ninth-seeded Badgers tips off at 2:40 p.m. ET at Hinkle Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. Below, we analyze the Baylor-Wisconsin odds and lines, with March Madness NCAA Tournament picks and predictions.

Baylor bolted past Hartford 79-55 in its first-round game. The Bears were sharp defensively, which was a concern for them entering this tournament after struggling down the stretch in the regular season. Senior G MaCio Teague knocked down four 3-pointers in scoring a game-high 22 points against Hartford. The Cincinnati native has averaged 24.5 points per game over his last four outings.

Wisconsin played perhaps its best game of the season in dismantling North Carolina 85-62 in the first round. The Badgers were 13-for-27 (48.1%) behind the 3-point arc in claiming their first victory of 20-plus points since Dec. 19. The senior backcourt tandem of G Brad Davison (29 points) and G D’Mitrik Trice (21) combined to net 50 points in the victory.

Baylor vs. Wisconsin: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:44 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Baylor -300 (bet $300 to win $100) | Wisconsin +240 (bet $100 to win $240)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Baylor -6.5 (-110) | Wisconsin +6.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 136.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Baylor vs. Wisconsin: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Baylor 72, Wisconsin 63

Money line (ML)

Baylor can struggle against teams that really bang the offensive glass. Wisconsin is not that type of team. The Bears are a definite lean, but a price north of -250 won’t bring enough value. PASS.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The Badgers play an extreme slow-down style. Against plodding teams in the Big 12 (Texas Tech, TCU, Kansas State, Oklahoma), the Bears went 6-0 ATS.

Wisconsin is 0-6 ATS in follow-up games after its last six ATS wins. With a number under 7, the Badgers look to be getting a bit too much attention coming off what was a clicking-on-all-cylinders game. Like a thoroughbred coming off a race with an idyllic trip – overrated.

Both sides can bomb away from distance, but BU is much better on perimeter defense. The Bears can also get out and double up the Badgers in transition buckets.

BACK THE BEARS -6.5 (-110).

Over/Under (O/U)

Was hoping for a 139-and-a-hook or something close. Gaming this one into the mid-130s makes sense. Respect to the public for being near the number. PASS.

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More college sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

Alabama / Auburn / Florida / Georgia / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Tennessee / Texas / USC / Wisconsin

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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