Decision on Matthew Judon looms large over Ravens this offseason

The Baltimore Ravens will need to decide whether to use the franchise tag on OLB Matthew Judon or let him go to free agency.

The Baltimore Ravens’ biggest and toughest decision this offseason revolves around outside linebacker Matthew Judon, who is set to hit free agency. Baltimore can’t afford to let another star pass rusher leave for a second consecutive season. But re-signing Judon would undoubtedly be costly, especially if he hits the open market, which will likely drive up his value.

One solution is the franchise tag, which becomes available for teams to use on Feb. 25 and has a deadline of March 10. Those two dates loom large over Baltimore’s free agency period and are among the most important days the Ravens will see this offseason. Should Baltimore use the tag on Judon?

Let’s look at why the Ravens would even contemplate using the franchise tag in the first place.

The franchise tag for linebackers is expected to be $16.3 million, according to Over The Cap. That would be a relative bargain over what Judon could actually get in free agency. While we’ve predicted $17 million per season, the reality is top pass rushers frequently exceed all expectations once teams with a ton of salary cap space get into bidding wars. Last offseason, both Za’Darius Smith and C.J. Mosley earned deals far greater than what anyone had predicted.

The franchise tag isn’t a perfect solution either. Once applied, the entire franchise tag figure comes out of Baltimore’s current salary cap total. In the case of Judon this offseason, the expected $16.3 million tag would more than cut the Ravens’ available cap space in half. They’d go from an estimated $30.74 million, according to Over The Cap, to just $14.98 million.

Also, using the franchise tag on Judon would severely limit what Baltimore could do in free agency. Granted, they could either trade Judon or re-sign him to a long-term deal to free up some of that used cap space, but they’d be gambling they could get something done in time to not miss out on pending free agents they’re interested in. There’s always the notion of Judon holding out and refusing to play on the franchise tag while keeping his contract demands above what Baltimore is comfortable paying, creating a stalemate.

There’s no way of knowing which decision is ultimately the right one. But the stakes that are riding on this decision are massive. Tying up that type of money could keep the Ravens from improving for the 2020 season. But not keeping their only real pass-rushing threat could actually make them worse if they can’t find help in free agency.

General manager Eric DeCosta has been on fire since taking over for Ozzie Newsome. He’s worked hard to re-sign key players before they hit free agency and has saved the Ravens quite a lot of trouble already. But his decision on Judon is one that will affect Baltimore’s entire offseason and could derail the team’s momentum if he makes the wrong choice.

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GM Eric DeCosta saving Ravens from free-agency hell

Ravens GM Eric DeCosta’s philosophy of signing key players early is already having a major impact on the NFL free agency this offseason

The 2020 NFL free agency period begins in less than a month. But for Baltimore Ravens general manager Eric DeCosta, free agency is a never-ending process that can happen any day of the year.

Since taking over for Ozzie Newsome, DeCosta has gotten in the habit of re-signing players early. It’s partially to end the cycle of developing players for other teams by keeping key players from hitting the free-agent market and ultimately leaving. But a secondary effect is that Baltimore saves money by inking players to a deal at the current market value instead of in a year or two when the increasing salary cap will drive up salaries.

In the case of this offseason, DeCosta’s philosophy is already having a major impact. Though Baltimore started the offseason with 21 pending free agents, including key starters in Matthew Judon and Michael Pierce, things could have been a lot worse had DeCosta not gotten a head start.

The Ravens have signed a number of players early, including nine that would have been free agents this offseason:

Player Position
Patrick Ricard FB/DL
Willie Snead WR
Andre Smith T
Jordan Richards DB
Justin Tucker K
Marcus Peters CB
Tavon Young CB
Marshal Yanda G
L.J. Fort ILB

Just imagine the Ravens having to try to re-sign Pro Bowlers like Ricard, Peters, Tucker and Yanda, alongside Judon and Pierce. It’s very likely Baltimore would have struggled to retain even the number of guys they already had, at least not without breaking the bank and dipping further into their salary cap.

As we saw last offseason with C.J. Mosley, Za’Darius Smith and even Terrell Suggs, plenty of other teams are more than capable of beating any offer the Ravens can throw out. In the case of those three free agents, all earned bigger contracts than expected. Even re-signing one at their current contracts would have bankrupted Baltimore’s salary cap for the near future, ultimately forcing DeCosta to watch them leave with no real plan to replace them. Hopefully, DeCosta’s current philosophy will change that practice and see fewer star players leave after their rookie contracts.

It’s a strategy that has its potential negatives, however. In the case of Young, who spent last season on injured reserve, the Ravens might have been able to get a better value on his contract had they waited until now. Still, signing players early eliminates some of the anxiety of having to work on multiple contracts at once. As long as DeCosta and Baltimore’s front office do their due diligence and have a good eye for talent, they should have far more hits than misses.

As it stands now, the Ravens head into free agency this offseason with a clearer picture of how the salary cap looks for the next few years. With just two major free agents set to hit the market, Baltimore is in far greater shape to make decisions about the future of the franchise and be aggressive in making moves as soon as free agency begins on March 18.

The Ravens will likely turn their attention to tackle Ronnie Stanley and cornerback Marlon Humphrey next in an effort to keep their two biggest pending free agents in Baltimore for the long haul.

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Ravens re-sign special-teamer and DB Jordan Richards to 1-year deal

The Baltimore Ravens re-signed special teamer and defensive back Jordan Richards to a one-year deal after adding him just prior to Week 9.

The Baltimore Ravens continue to take care of their own guys this offseason in the lead-up to free agency. After giving safety Chuck Clark a three-year extension, the Ravens kept with the theme by re-signing defensive back Jordan Richards to a one-year deal, according to the team’s Twitter account.

Though Richards is technically a defensive back, his real role for the Ravens is on special teams. Richards registered 40% of the total special-teams snaps for the entire season in spite of only being active in nine games for Baltimore.

Baltimore had originally signed Richards last season after he was cut from the New England Patriots, with his first game for Baltimore coming against New England in Week 9. The move effectively ended up being a trade between the Ravens and Patriots, with Baltimore cutting special-teams ace Justin Bethel to hopefully help their compensatory pick formula this offseason and New England cutting Richards to make room for Bethel.

The Ravens struggled at times last season on special teams, having trouble finding consistency in just about every area. But Richards was one of the highlights for the unit, recovering a fumble and returning it for a touchdown against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Keeping a major contributor they know well will hopefully help Baltimore improve on special teams next season.

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Ravens re-sign T Andre Smith to 1-year contract

Though T Andre Smith didn’t play in any games for the Baltimore Ravens, they liked what they saw from him enough to re-sign him

One of the first things the Baltimore Ravens have to do this offseason is to figure out which of their own players they want to try to re-sign. Though the Ravens have much higher priorities among their 21 pending free agents, Baltimore has gotten an early start on the process. The team announced they re-signed tackle Andre Smith to a one-year contract.

The Ravens had signed Smith just prior to their playoff game against the Tennessee Titans. Though Smith was a healthy scratch for the playoff game, it appears as though Baltimore liked what they saw and were interested in keeping him as experienced depth.

Smith really doesn’t have a shot at the starting lineup, barring an injury ahead of him. The Ravens are set with both tackles Ronnie Stanley and Orlando Brown Jr. going to the Pro Bowl for 2019. However, offensive lineman James Hurst could be a potential salary-cap casualty this offseason and the addition of Smith might point to Baltimore believing the same thing. While Smith’s contract details haven’t been reported yet, he’ll likely be cheaper than the $5.25 million cap hit Hurst carries in 2020, per OTC.

Even if Hurst isn’t cut this offseason, Smith’s 11 years of experience would be valuable to an offensive line that has very little experienced depth behind Stanley and Brown.

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Ravens 2020 Free Agency Preview: ILB Patrick Onwuasor

Baltimore Ravens ILB Patrick Onwuasor got demoted in 2019 but how does that affect his free-agent value in the 2020 offseason?

The Baltimore Ravens got so close to the Super Bowl and will look to improve themselves this offseason to make another run in 2020. But before we get to free agency and the draft, the Ravens will need to handle their own pending free agents.

We continue our look at Baltimore’s pending free agents with a preview of inside linebacker Patrick Onwuasor. Make sure to check out our other Ravens free-agent previews for 2020.

Credit: Mitchell Layton-USA TODAY Sports

Patrick Onwuasor – 2019 review:

Onwuasor started 25 of the 32 games the Ravens played in 2017 and 2018. But despite being on the field for the first few snaps, he only played on 59% and 42% snaps of the total defensive snaps. It appeared that Baltimore was confident he could become an every-down replacement for C.J. Mosley when the 2019 season began.

Onwuasor started the first five games and played at least 90% of the snaps in each contest. But his role diminished after struggles in communication and production. With Baltimore signing L.J. Fort and Josh Bynes prior to Week 5, Onwuasor went on to start one more game all season and never played on more than 53% of the snaps.

This decrease in playing time led to his production dipping. In 2018, Onwuasor registered 5.5 sacks and eight tackles for loss, along with two forced fumbles. In 2019, he managed 3.0 sacks, five tackles for loss and one forced fumble.

Onwuasor was not exactly an asset to the Ravens when it came to pass defense last year. He was targeted on 7.2% of his defensive snaps, seeing 34 targets throughout the year. He allowed 30 of these (88.2%) to be converted into 424 yards, including 283 of these yards coming after the catch.

Review / Potential / Value / Chance to re-sign

Mapping out the Ravens’ perfect 2020 offseason

The Ravens have a little cap space to burn but a bunch of pending free agents and holes to fill. How can they kill it this offseason?

The Baltimore Ravens enter the 2020 NFL offseason with a bitter taste in their mouths. They’ll try to turn the disappointment of their playoff loss into action this offseason in an effort to get better and make a serious run at Super Bowl LV.

In order to do that, Baltimore will need to have a great offseason. That means getting values in free agency and picking the right players in the 2020 NFL Draft to bolster the roster and hopefully patch up their biggest holes. Though both free agency and the draft offer never-ending scenarios that will affect what the Ravens can do, we’ll take a look at what the perfect offseason would look like for Baltimore.

The Ravens are expected to have roughly $27.75 million in available cap space to start, according to Over The Cap. So let’s take a look at how they can free up a little more.

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Photo by David Eulitt/Getty Images

Cutting players:

Baltimore has a number of players who could be on the chopping block as salary cap casualties this offseason. But I feel like two players are pretty much guaranteed to be cut.

Safety Tony Jefferson was replaced well by Chuck Clark and cornerback Brandon Carr is just too expensive given his role as a depth player and floater in the secondary. Cutting both players would add roughly $13 million to the Ravens’ salary cap, according to OTC, giving them $40.75 million to play with.

We’ll also assume guard Marshal Yanda returns for the 2020 season, which won’t free up any additional money but won’t create a new hole for Baltimore to fill. Though if Yanda does retire, that would add another $7 million to the Ravens’ available salary cap, according to OTC.

Do the Ravens need to be big spenders in free agency?

With a young core of solid talent and plenty of picks in the 2020 NFL draft, the Baltimore Ravens don’t need to spend all their cap space

The Baltimore Ravens are expected to have more cap space available than in recent years thanks to a conscious decision to make their roster younger. Combined with a young core of talent led by quarterback Lamar Jackson, many are eyeing up the 2020 offseason as a chance for Baltimore to be buyers in free agency to fill their remaining roster holes and push for a Super Bowl.

But in reality, do the Ravens need to go all out this offseason and eat up all their cap space? The more I look at the roster and their cap situation for the next few years, I’m beginning to lean towards being more cautious in their offseason approach this year.

Every offseason offers tantalizing talent in free agency and 2020 is no different. Pass rushers Jadeveon Clowney, Chris Jones, Yannick Ngakoue and Shaq Barrett are pending free agents alongside wide receivers like A.J. Green, Amari Cooper and Emmanuel Sanders. Though Baltimore should have enough cap space to throw their hat into the ring on maybe one or two of these types of players, it would almost undoubtedly leave their bank accounts empty and more than a few holes remaining after the dust settles.

Instead, Baltimore already has a solid core of young talent they can lean on to at least be above average and they should build cautiously from there.

On offense, the Ravens have a pretty stacked group with Jackson, Mark Andrews, Patrick Ricard, Ronnie Stanley and Orlando Brown Jr. all earning Pro Bowl nods this past season. Add to the group some up-and-coming players like Gus Edwards, Justice Hill, Patrick Mekari, Marquise Brown and Miles Boykin and you have a really exciting lineup that already ranked among the best offenses in the NFL last season and should get better.

Defensively, Marcus Peters and Marlon Humphrey were the young Pro Bowl nominations for the 2019 season. But safety Chuck Clark deserves plenty of accolades and there’s some other talent ready to emerge in Tyus Bowser and Jaylon Ferguson.

From that foundation, the Ravens don’t need to be so eager in their free-agency approach and instead look towards the second-tier options that offer more bang for the buck. Baltimore has several holes they’ll want to fill this offseason and likely a few they’ll want to staff with veteran additions to act as a stop-gap while 2020 draft picks come up to speed over the next few years.

Both inside and outside linebacker are primed for an immediate upgrade after Baltimore limped through the 2019 season that saw mid-season additions pushed into starting roles thanks to lackluster play by the incumbents and little-to-no depth behind them. Coach John Harbaugh noted the team is interested in adding two different types of wide receivers this offseason — likely an outside possession receiver and another deep threat. Offensive guard could quickly become the Ravens’ biggest need of the offseason if Marshal Yanda decides to retire.

While Baltimore is expected to have a little more cap space than in previous years, they still rank in the bottom third of the league, according to OTC. That will make filling even half of their needs with top free agents a pipe dream this offseason. Instead, the Ravens could be more creative in how they shop in free agency to get better results for a fraction of the cost.

As we saw last season with Matthew Judon, having one good pass rusher often isn’t enough as opponents key in on stopping that lone player. So instead of breaking the bank on a top free-agent pass rusher, Baltimore could very well look to sign two lesser-known guys that fit into their scheme for the same price or less. And with two solid players, it could force opposing offenses to spread themselves too thin trying to manage both pass rushers while also dealing with Don Martindale’s crazy blitzes. That option doesn’t even include the idea that Ferguson and/or Bowser could take a jump up in play next season and bolster the unit further.

The same could be done at inside linebacker where the Ravens could look to sign players for dedicated roles and swap them out depending on needs. An early-down, run-stuffing linebacker gets matched up with a more athletic linebacker that plays only on passing downs and they rotate in based on the opponent and situational packages. It ends up being cheaper than trying to find a C.J. Mosley-like player who can do everything reasonably well.

Baltimore also has to look forward to the next offseason as well. While they don’t know what the salary cap will look like or even what the new CBA will include, they’ll have some key players heading to free agency they’ll want to re-sign. Clark, Ronnie Stanley and Marlon Humphrey are all set to hit free agency after the 2020 season and at least Stanley and Humphrey are likely to break the bank at their respective positions. Being able to roll some money forward into next offseason would be wise for the Ravens, even though they’re estimated to have $97 million in cap space for 2021.

In all, the Ravens have plenty of major contributors still on rookie deals, regardless of how this offseason works out. And with an expected nine picks in the 2020 NFL draft (seven inside the top-150, per OTC‘s compensatory pick formulations), Baltimore will have opportunities to add more impact players for dirt cheap this offseason without spending a dime in free agency. It might not be as sexy as trying to sign every big name that hits the market but it’s a strategy that will have better long-term success for the Ravens if done right.

So sadly, don’t be shocked if Baltimore is once again miserly with their checkbook this offseason.

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Ravens 2020 free agency preview: OLB Matthew Judon

Baltimore Ravens OLB Matthew Judon is the team’s top free agent this offseason and could get the franchise tag if they can’t work out a deal

After a fantastic 2019 season that saw the Baltimore Ravens go 14-2 and claim the No. 1 seed in the AFC playoffs, they’ll head into the offseason on less than stellar terms. The team that many pegged as the best in the NFL at one point will try to retain as much of their roster as possible to make another run at a Super Bowl.

However, the Ravens have 21 pending free agents this offseason and it seems unlikely they’ll be able to re-sign them all. At the very top of the list is outside linebacker Matthew Judon, who is likely going to earn a huge contract this offseason. So what better person to choose next on our free-agent preview than the guy Baltimore will try the hardest to ink to a long-term deal.

Also, check out our other Ravens free-agent previews for 2020.

Matthew Judon – 2019 review:

Credit: Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

2019 was a career year for Judon, who started all 16 games for the first time. He had 9.5 sacks, 14 tackles-for-loss and forced four fumbles. Even when not getting the sack, he still made sure the quarterbacks knew he was around. Judon dished out 33 quarterback hits, the fourth-most of any player in the NFL.

Judon played 793 defensive snaps in 2019, 80.9% of the Ravens total defensive plays and more than any other linebacker on the roster. He was also named to his first Pro Bowl. All of this came at a perfect time for Judon as he will be an unrestricted free agent when the new league year begins.

Review / Potential / ValueChances to re-sign

6 biggest questions facing the Ravens this offseason

The Baltimore Ravens head into the offseason with a lot of cap space and draft picks, but they still have some questions to answer.

After their 14-2 regular season campaign that saw them pegged as Super Bowl favorites by many, the Baltimore Ravens were shown the door in the playoffs by the Tennessee Titans, losing 28-12 in the divisional round. While the Ravens proved to everyone that they have the talent to compete with any team in the NFL, being ousted from the playoffs after one game for the second year in a row has raised a lot of questions about this team.

In order to get over the hump and make a push for a Super Bowl, Baltimore is going to need to focus on a few key aspects. From players to scheme, let’s take a look at the six biggest questions the Ravens face this offseason.

Photo by Mark Brown/Getty Images

Wide receiver corps

Baltimore has changed their wide receiver room each offseason for the last two years heading into this season. Two years ago they let Jeremy Maclin and Mike Wallace go. Last year, they let Michael Crabtree and John Brown walk. While Marquise Brown, Willie Snead and Miles Boykin are all returning for 2020, it’s safe to say Baltimore needs to get Lamar Jackson some more help on the outside.

Both Seth Roberts and Chris Moore are some of the Ravens’ pending free agents and I wouldn’t expect either to be back. Moore has never really made the most of his opportunities and after being supplanted as the team’s deep threat by Brown, it’s difficult to tell what his role would be if re-signed. There are more scenarios where Roberts could come back but a huge drop against the Titans will be fresh in Baltimore’s mind if they sit down at the negotiating table. After being selected in the 2018 NFL draft, Jaleel Scott has been active in just three games and has caught just one pass for six yards. He’ll likely return for training camp but he’s in real danger of being cut if he can’t impress early and often.

At his end of the season press conference, coach John Harbaugh noted that they have their eyes on two different style of wide receivers this offseason.

Though he failed to expand upon what they were or if they’d be draft prospects or free agents, there’s plenty of room for the Ravens to add talent.

If Baltimore decides to keep six wide receivers on the 53 man roster like they did in 2019, the Ravens would have three wide-open spots if Roberts, Moore and Scott don’t return. The Ravens will have to ask themselves if they want to bring in free agents like A.J. Green, Emmanuel Sanders or Robby Anderson, or look towards the early rounds of the NFL Draft with players like Henry Ruggs III, Justin Jefferson or Tee Higgins to fill the void.

Ravens 2020 free agency preview: CB Jimmy Smith

Baltimore Ravens cornerback Jimmy Smith is set to hit free agency this offseason but could have difficulty getting a long-term deal

The 2019 season is over for the Baltimore Ravens. Now they’ll look forward to the offseason and especially free agency in order to gear up for the 2020 season.

While the Ravens will surely be interested in quite a few free agents that’ll hit the market, their biggest goal will be to retain some of their own key players. With that in mind, we’re going to do a deep dive on what Baltimore’s pending free agents are looking at this offseason.

We start things off with cornerback Jimmy Smith.

Jimmy Smith – 2019 review:

Smith carried one of the highest-paid players on Baltimore’s roster and was expected to return to full strength more than a year removed from a torn Achilles. However, Smith missed six games after suffering a knee sprain on the very first drive in Week 1. He was also held out of Week 17 along with several other starters since the Ravens had already secured the No. 1 seed.

Smith finished the season with one interception for seven yards, six passes defended, one sack and 30 combined tackles in nine games. He played just 425 total defensive snaps, losing time not only to injury but to Baltimore’s deep secondary that added Marcus Peters prior to Week 7.

Review / Potential / Value / Chances to re-sign

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