Tag: Avalanche Stars odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

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The Colorado Avalanche (13-10-0) take on the division-rival Dallas Stars (13-8-0) Friday evening. Puck drop from American Airlines Center is set for 9 p.m. ET (TNT). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NHL odds around the Avalanche vs. Stars odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting; Avalanche won 3-1 in 2023-24 regular season; Dallas won 4-2 in second round of 2024 playoffs

The Avs survived in a 2-1 shootout against the visiting Vegas Golden Knights Wednesday as -156 favorites. RW Valeri Nichushkin scored his 2nd goal of the season and has a 3-game point streak after his late start to the season due to personal issues. The Avs have won 7 of 9 to right their season.

The Stars were embarrassed 6-2 in Chicago Wednesday as -218 favorites. C Matt Duchene scored his team-high 12th goal in the loss. The Stars, who are 6-4 in their last 10 games, have allowed 6 goals in consecutive games.

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Avalanche at Stars odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NHL odds. Lines last updated at 6:59 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Avalanche +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Stars -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
• Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Avalanche +1.5 (-225) | Stars -1.5 (+180)
• Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Avalanche at Stars projected goalies

Alexandar Georgiev (7-5-0, 3.26 GAA, .875 SV%) vs. Jake Oettinger (11-4-0, 2.43 GAA, .912 SV%, 1 SO)

Georgiev got off to a miserable start to the season, but he has been much better in November, dropping his GAA more than 2 goals per game. He’s 6-1-0 with a 2.38 GAA and .910 SV% in 8 November games (7 starts). He was 3-1-0 with a 3.51 GAA and .892 SV% in 4 starts against Dallas last season.

Oettinger is coming off his one of his worst performances of the season, allowing 5 goals on 33 shots at Carolina Monday. In 9 starts this month, he has allowed 2 goals or fewer in 6 of them, though. He was 1-2-0 with a 4.74 GAA and .863 GAA in 3 starts against the Avs a season ago.

Avalanche at Stars picks and predictions

Prediction

Stars 6, Avalanche 4

Moneyline

The Stars beat the Avs in 6 games in the Stanley Cup Playoffs last year, but Colorado really took it to them during the regular season. The Avs won 6-3 and 5-4 in Dallas, 5-1 at home, and Dallas won the final meeting 7-4. So Colorado scored 20 goals in the 4 games.

That said, Dallas is 8-2-0 at home and 5-6-0 on the road. Oettinger has just a 1.98 GAA at home. I like the home side.

BET STARS (-130).

Puck line/Against the spread

I’m taking NATHAN MACKINNON ANYTIME GOAL SCORER (+130). He has not scored in 8 straight games and doesn’t have a point in 2 straight. He took 10 shots on goal in the last game! So you know he’s ready to put this slump to bed. If you’d prefer to play it safe, take NATHAN MACKINNON OVER 3.5 SHOTS (-140) as the same logic correlates there.

Over/Under

These matchups were slugfests in the regular season. The Stars just allowed 6 goals twice, and the Avs are finally hitting their stride with everyone back.

TAKE OVER 6.5 (-115).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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The Colorado Avalanche and Dallas Stars meet Wednesday for Game 5 of their Western Conference 2nd round series. The opening puck drop from the American Airlines Center is slated for 8 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Avalanche vs. Stars odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

Series: Stars lead 3-1

Colorado took the series opener 4-3 in overtime, storming back from a 3-0 deficit to do so. The Avs have been bludgeoned 14-5 since. including losing 5-1 in Monday’s Game 4.

The Stars have killed off 8 straight penalties in this series and have killed 85% of their penalties since April 24. That and a .925 SV% against Colorado have Dallas on the verge of a series win.

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Avalanche at Stars odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 9:53 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Avalanche +120 (bet $100 to win $100) | Stars -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
• Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Avalanche +1.5 (-210) | Stars -1.5 (+170)
• Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Avalanche at Stars projected goalies

Alexandar Georgiev (38-18-5, 3.02 GAA, .897 SV%) vs. Jake Oettinger (35-14-4, 2.72 GAA, .905 SV%)

Georgiev allowed 4 goals on 33 shots Monday. He owns an .879 SV% in this series

Oettinger stopped 24 of 25 pucks in Game 4, and he owns a .923 SV% in 11 playoff games this spring.

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Avalanche at Stars picks and predictions

Prediction

Avalanche 4, Stars 3

Moneyline

Colorado has in most ways outplayed Dallas in 5-on-5 action, but the Stars have prevailed on special teams and between the pipes.

But the Avalanche do have 3 wins on road ice in these playoffs, and they won twice at the American Airlines Center in the regular season.

It’s difficult to see on the surface with the way the last 2 games played out, but the value here is on COLORADO (+120).

Puck line/Against the spread

PASS: Too much juice to overcome.

Over/Under

The Over is 7-2-1 in the last 10 series meetings (regular plus postseason). In Colorado’s playoff games, the Over has gone 6-2-1.

The Avs figure to get something going on the power play. And Georgiev may just be slumping at the wrong time. He registered a .917 SV% in the playoffs a year ago; he’s got an .887 figure this spring.

BET THE OVER 6.5 (+100).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

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The Colorado Avalanche and Dallas Stars meet Thursday for Game 2 of their Western Conference 2nd round series. Puck drop from American Airlines Center is slated for 9:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Avalanche vs. Stars odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

Series: Avalanche lead 1-0

Colorado took Tuesday’s series opener 4-3 in overtime. The Avs ceded a 3-0 1st-period lead to the Stars, battled back to tie the game 3-3 early in the 3rd and win it with an OT goal by LW Miles Wood.

The Stars were shorthanded just twice in the opener, but a penalty-killing unit ranked 8th in the regular season was undone by 2 Colorado goals in those situations.

Stream the NHL all season on ESPN+, with your team’s out-of-market games, exclusive games, originals and more. Get ESPN+ now!

Avalanche at Stars odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 11:11 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Avalanche +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Stars -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
• Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Avalanche +1.5 (-250) | Stars -1.5 (+200)
• Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Avalanche at Stars projected goalies

Alexandar Georgiev (38-18-5, 3.02 GAA, .897 SV%) vs. Jake Oettinger (35-14-4, 2.72 GAA, .905 SV%)

Georgiev stopped 19 of 22 shots in Tuesday’s lid-lifter. He owns an .895 SV% over 6 games in these playoffs and a .908 mark across 15 career playoff starts.

Oettinger stopped 22 of 26 pucks in Game 1, and he owns a .915 SV% in 8 playoff games this spring. He owns a .917 SV% across 36 career playoff games.

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Avalanche at Stars picks and predictions

Prediction

Avalanche 4, Stars 3

Moneyline

Colorado is 7-2-0 across its last 9 games vs. Dallas (regular season and playoffs), and the Avs have won 3 in a row on Dallas ice.

The Avalanche had the smoother trip through the 1st round, with the Stars going a full 7 games — with a lot of tied and 1-goal action — in their series win against the Vegas Golden Knights.

The Avs should have all the confidence in the world after going 2-for-2 on the power play and coming back from a 3-0 deficit in the opener. Colorado’s 5-on-5 analytics in these playoffs are top notch.

BACK COLORADO (+110).

Puck line/Against the spread

PASS: Too much juice to overcome.

Over/Under

The Over is 6-1 in the last 7 series meetings. In these playoffs, Colorado games have hit the Over 5 times in 6 games.

Five-on-five analytics point to Colorado having even more offense in the tank and Dallas’ defense being a bit too far out over its skis. Both sides have done credible work setting up high-danger chances in numbers. Plus, the Avs are 8 for 18 (44.4%) on the power play in the playoffs.

BET OVER 6.5 (+100).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

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