Australia (1 win, 1 loss, 0 draws) battles Denmark (0-1-1) Wednesday in Group D with kickoff from Al Janoub Stadium set for 10 a.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Australia vs. Denmark odds, and make our best World Cup bets, picks and predictions.
This will be the final group stage match for each side. Australia advances to the knockout stage with any points.
Denmark would advance if they beat Australia by more than Tunisia beats France, which assumes the group leader loses to the team currently in last place in the group. Nonetheless, France may rest most of their key pieces. In all reality, with a win, Denmark should be in.
Australia lost 4-1 to France to kick off the World Cup and then beat Tunisia 1-0. It didn’t necessarily dominate that game though as Tunisia had 5 more shots and 2 more on target with 59% possession.
Denmark, a side that has drastically disappointed, drew Tunisia despite having 4 more shots on target and 62% of the possession. Denmark lost to France 2-1 on Saturday. They sit 10th in FIFA’s world rankings with Australia 38th.
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Australia vs. Denmark odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 8:33 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Australia +550 (bet $100 to win $550) | Denmark -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Draw +330
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Prediction
Denmark 2, Australia 1
Moneyline (ML)
PASS.
Betting Denmark at (-190) doesn’t make much sense given how they have played, but in a similar fashion, Australia might have won but didn’t look dominant against Tunisia.
Having been clobbered by France as well, backing the underdog Aussies at (+550) isn’t suggested either. Play the total for value in this battle.
Over/Under (O/U)
BET OVER 2.5 (-110).
Denmark is 1-1 O/U this amount in 2 games, but in a 0-0 draw, they were still able to get 11 shots and 5 on frame. Denmark has had double-digit shots in both games.
Australia is also 1-1 O/U at this total, and they were dominated in possession by Tunisia, but still managed 9 shots. That type of play could be repeated, but if they allow Denmark 14 shots, chances are they concede a few goals.
Denmark has talent in their midfield with M Christian Eriksen and M Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, so possessing and getting into holes should be easy. Denmark has gone Over 2.5 in 6 of 10 games this calendar year.
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