Five reasons why Auburn could beat Mississippi State

Here are five reasons why the Tigers are going to win on Saturday.

Auburn is trying to rebound.

The Tigers still have a lot of things to fight for in these final few games. They’re fighting for a potential nine or ten win season in Bryan Harsin’s first year with Auburn. They are also still fighting for a spot in the SEC Championship game. While the loss to Texas A&M might have been deflating, Auburn still has a lot of things to accomplish.

It starts with Mississippi State.

The Bulldogs are 5-4, but their progression through the season has been confusing. They’ve beaten a Texas A&M squad that has really turned the corner, as well as an NC State team who is currently inside the Top 25. They’ve also lost to Memphis, LSU, and Arkansas. Which Mississippi State team shows up on Saturday?

Here are five reasons why Auburn beats whichever one does.

Auburn vs Mississippi State Prediction, Game Preview

Auburn vs Mississippi State prediction, game preview, how to watch, lines, and why each team might – or might not – win this Saturday.

Auburn vs Mississippi State prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, November 13


Auburn vs Mississippi State How To Watch

Date: Saturday, November 13
Game Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: Jordan-Hare Stadium, Auburn, AL
How To Watch: ESPN
Record: Auburn (6-3), Mississippi State (5-4)
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Auburn vs Mississippi State Game Preview


Why Mississippi State Will Win

The passing game continues to get stronger and stronger.

The Bulldogs might have lost to Arkansas last week, but QB Will Rogers is starting to push the ball a little deeper, more big plays are coming, and the midrange air show is on fire.

Rogers is hitting over 75% of his throws with three or more touchdowns in six games, and now he gets to go against an Auburn defense that can be thrown on.

The Tigers haven’t been gouged, but Matt Corral of Ole Miss, LSU’s Max Johnson, and Penn State’s Sean Clifford were each able to crank up over 300 yards.

Assume Rogers steps off the bus with 350 passing yards, controls the game from the start – the Bulldogs are fantastic at dictating the tempo – and rely on a defense that’s been great at getting into the backfield.

However …

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Why Auburn Will Win

The Mississippi State defense just got run over – at least a bit – but Arkansas, allowing a season-high 202 rushing yards. Auburn’s ground attack didn’t work a lick against Texas A&M, but it has to at least give it a shot early on.

No, the Tigers aren’t going to tear off a big day on the ground, but if they commit to it they should be able to get around 160 or so. That might be just enough to help control the clock a wee bit – they can’t let Mississippi State have the ball for 35 minutes – and give Bo Nix easy third down chances.

The Auburn offensive front is playing just well enough hold its own. In this, the more Auburn offensive balance, the better.

What’s Going To Happen

It’s a fun matchup and a big moment for both teams.

Mississippi State played well in the loss to Arkansas, and if it can win this it’s bowl eligible, gets Tennessee State next to tune up even more, and then it’s Egg Bowl time against Ole Miss with a chance to close out with a strong kick.

Auburn got stuffed by a great Texas A&M defense last week, and while it’s already bowl eligible, the date at South Carolina next week isn’t such a sure thing and the finale against Alabama is obviously not a two-foot putt.

It’ll be a close, tight game late with the Auburn defense rising up and coming up with one big stop. Mississippi State’s field goal kicking problems will continue to be an Achilles’ heel.

College Football Schedule: Week 11 Predictions, Lines

Auburn vs Mississippi State Prediction, Lines

Auburn 24, Mississippi State 21
Line: Auburn -5.5, o/u: 50
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2

Must See Rating: 4

5: House of Gucci
1: Yellowstone

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Kickoff time, TV Channel announced for Auburn vs Mississippi State

Auburn and MSU will kick off early.

Auburn has landed their third early kick of the season.

Auburn and Mississippi State will face off on November 13th at 11 a.m. central time on ESPN.

No. 12 Auburn (6-2, 3-1 SEC) has won two straight over Top 25 opponents (No. 17 Arkansas, No. 10 Ole Miss) after getting demolished by No. 1 Georgia just a couple of weeks prior. the Tigers now face No. 13 Texas A&M in College Station this weekend.

Mississippi State (5-3, 3-2 SEC) just picked up a crucial 31-17 win over the No. 18 Kentucky Wildcats. There was a lot of speculation regarding whether or not the Bulldogs could make a bowl game, but now with one game away from eligibility with Tennessee State coming to Starkville in late November, it seems like Mike Leach is going to get this team bowling for the second consecutive season.

The Tigers hold a 65-27-2 all-time lead in the series. Auburn has won 15 of the last 20 meetings.

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Auburn football schedule analysis: Grading the Mississippi State Bulldogs

Auburn should take care of business against Mississippi State.

This is the ninth article in a series grading Auburn’s opponents by position groups.

Mississippi State had one goal last season: expose LSU.

They did so in jaw-dropping fashion. A lot of fans and media members had questions about the Bulldogs’ air raid offense led by new head coach Mike Leach, and all questions were brushed aside during that season opener against the then no. 6 LSU Tigers… until the very next week.

Arkansas rolled into Starkville and dashed any hopes of the air raid working in the SEC. KJ Costello threw three interceptions and the offense mustered only 14 points. The rest of the season followed suit. The Bulldogs couldn’t sustain drives.

This season, Mike Leach & Co. will try and revive what was a dead offense (21.4 points per game, 13th in the SEC) in 2020.

Let’s take a look at each of Mississippi State’s units and grade them accordingly.

Auburn vs Mississippi State Prediction, Game Preview

Auburn Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs prediction and game preview.

Auburn vs Mississippi State prediction and game preview.


Auburn vs Mississippi State Broadcast

Date: Saturday, December 12
Game Time: 7:30 ET
Venue: Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville, MS
Network: SEC Network

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Auburn (5-4) vs Mississippi State (2-6) Game Preview

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Why Auburn Will Win

The Tigers might have struggled against the stars of the West – getting rocked by Alabama and Texas A&M over the last two weeks – but they’ve been able to beat the mediocre.

Okay, there was a South Carolina blip in the middle of the season, but for the most part, the defense has been okay, the secondary has been decent, and the real issue – getting gutted by the Texas A&M running game and having problems with Tennessee and Ole Miss – won’t be a concern against the Bulldogs.

There’s no running game whatsoever coming from Mike Leach’s team – and the nation’s worst running game – there aren’t enough big plays down the field, and there are too many issues at scoring when the chances are there.

But …

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Why Mississippi State Will Win

The turnovers have slowed, and the team has improved because of it.

Giveaways were a gigantic problem over the first five games with 19 in all, and then the glitch got fixed. Over the last three games, MSU has turned it over just once, and the five takeaways against Vanderbilt led to the second win of the season outside of the start against LSU.

It also helps that Will Rogers has grown into the starting quarterback job, improving his passing numbers in each of his six appearances and coming off a terrific 440-yard, three-touchdown day in the loss to Ole Miss.

The third down conversions continue to be an issue, but the Bulldogs get to go against the SEC’s worst defense at coming up with third down stops.

What’s Going To Happen

Mississippi State will rise up in the regular season finale – it still might get a bowl game out of all of this.

Continually lost throughout this season has been a defense that’s been good enough to get by. There were the expected problems against the top teams, and getting ripped up by Vanderbilt wasn’t fun, but for the most part, it’s been okay.

After getting pounded on last week by the A&M running game, the Tiger D will get picked on by the Mississippi State passing attack.

Auburn vs Mississippi State Prediction, Line

Mississippi State 27, Auburn 24
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Auburn -6.5, o/u: 49.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3

Must See Rating: 3

5: Wonder Woman 1984
1: A Holly Dolly Christmas

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