Atlanta Hawks at Detroit Pistons odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Atlanta Hawks at Detroit Pistons odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Detroit Pistons (3-6) welcome the Atlanta Hawks (4-5) to Little Caesars Arena Friday. Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Hawks vs. Pistons odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Hawks swept 3-0 last season

The Hawks beat the New York Knicks 121-116 Wednesday as 7-point home underdogs.

Atlanta has rebounded after a 4-game losing streak, which had left it at 2-4 on the season. It has won 2 of its last 3 games. The Hawks have struggled immensely to cover, though, and even went 0-6 against the spread (ATS) to open the season. They are 2-7 ATS overall and 1-2 ATS on the road. They are led by G Trae Young, who is averaging 23.8 points per game.

The Pistons lost to the Charlotte Hornets 108-107 on the road Wednesday as 1.5-point favorites. They had won their previous 2 games, beating the Brooklyn Nets 106-92 Sunday and the Los Angeles Lakers 115-103 Monday.

Detroit is just 1-3 straight up at home this season and 2-2 ATS. It has averaged 111 points over its last 2 games, a sharp increase over its offensive success to start the season. The Pistons are led by G Cade Cunningham, who is averaging 22.9 points per game.

Hawks at Pistons odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated Thursday at 8:50 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Hawks -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Pistons -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Hawks -1.5 (-105) | Pistons +1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 225.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Hawks at Pistons key injuries

Hawks

  • G Bogdan Bogdanovic (hamstring) out
  • F De’Andre Hunter (knee) out

Pistons

  • C Jalen Duren (ankle) doubtful
  • F Ausar Thompson (reconditioning) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Hawks at Pistons picks and predictions

Prediction

Pistons 120, Hawks 116

Moneyline

BET PISTONS (-105).

The key here is efficiency. Both teams are led by guards, but the Pistons have been far more effective this season. Their top 3 guards are all shooting 47% or better from the field, while Young is shooting 38.4%.

The Pistons have picked up the pace as of late and won 2 of their last 3, even beating the Lakers, who should be a contending team this season. Atlanta has won 2 of its last 3, but has a road loss to the Washington Wizards and is 1-2 straight up/ATS on the road.

Considering those trends, back PISTONS (-105).

Against the spread

PASS.

The moneyline and spread are so similar in this one that it really is a toss up. The thought process for avoiding the spread is that the outright play for the Pistons to win is better than taking them as slight underdogs at worse odds.

However, either is playable in this scenario.

Over/Under

BET OVER 225.5 (-115).

The Hawks play at one of the fastest paces in the league and really don’t play much defense, which is why they are 8-1 O/U. They have gone Over in all 3 road matches, allowing at least 111 points in each and 128 or more in 2 of the 3.

The Pistons are 2-7 O/U, but they are 2-2 O/U at Little Caesars Arena and have scored 109 or more points in 3 of 4 home games. Since both teams feature numerous capable scoring guards, expect a quick pace and high scores.

Back OVER 225.5 (-115).

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Atlanta Hawks at Detroit Pistons odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Atlanta Hawks at Detroit Pistons odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Hawks (3-1) will take on the Detroit Pistons (1-4) Friday at Little Caesars Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Hawks vs. Pistons odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Hawks defeated the Pistons 118-113 in their last game on Wednesday, failing to cover as 7.5-point favorites on the road. G Trae Young had his best scoring output of the season with 35 points, 6 assists and 3 rebounds.

The Pistons have been a fun team to watch to begin the season, but they’ve lost 4 straight games after winning their season opener against the Orlando Magic. Detroit has gotten plenty of contributions from F Bojan Bogdanovic, who leads the team with 23.2 points per game on 53.3% shooting from the field.

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Hawks at Pistons odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 8:31 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Hawks -240 (bet $240 to win $100) | Pistons +190 (bet $100 to win $190)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Hawks -5.5 (-115) | Pistons +5.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 227.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Hawks at Pistons key injuries

Hawks

  • G Bogdan Bogdanovic (knee) out

Pistons

  • F Marvin Bagley III (knee) out
  • G Alec Burks (foot) out
  • G Jaden Ivey (non-COVID illness) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Hawks at Pistons picks and predictions

Prediction

Hawks 120, Pistons 116

Moneyline

Go ahead and PASS on the moneyline in this game unless you’re confident in the Pistons being able to win at home against the Hawks. I wouldn’t recommend taking Atlanta straight up given the minimal return you’ll receive if the Hawks win.

Against the spread

PISTONS +5.5 (-105) is an enticing wager as Detroit has kept it close against Atlanta when playing at home in recent matchups. If the Pistons can get solid production from Bogdanovic and G Cade Cunningham, they should be able to keep it within two 3-pointers on Friday.

The Hawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games against the Pistons. Atlanta is also 1-4 ATS in its last 5 meetings overall with Detroit.

Over/Under

Wednesday’s matchup between the Hawks and the Pistons reached 231 total points to hit the over of 229. The projected total has come down for some reason, which is why I’m siding with OVER 227.5 (-110).

The Pistons have hit the Over in each of their last 4 home games and 8 of their last 9 games overall. The Over is also 17-8 in the last 25 meetings between Atlanta and Detroit.

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Atlanta Hawks at Detroit Pistons odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Atlanta Hawks at Detroit Pistons odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Hawks (2-1) take on the Detroit Pistons (1-3) Wednesday at Little Caesars Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Hawks vs. Pistons odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Hawks are coming off a surprising 126-109 home loss to the Charlotte Hornets Sunday despite being 10-point favorites. It’s been a solid start for newly-acquired G Dejounte Murray as he’s notched 19.7 points, 7.3 rebounds, 8.3 assists and 3.3 steals per game on 46% shooting from the field.

The Pistons are on the 2nd leg of a back-to-back after losing 120-99 at the Washington Wizards Tuesday, failing to cover as 6-point underdogs. F Bojan Bogdanovic is leading Detroit in scoring with 20.8 points on 51.9% shooting to begin the season.

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Hawks at Pistons odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:10 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Hawks -300 (bet $300 to win $100) | Pistons  +230 (bet $100 to win $230)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Hawks -7.5 (-112) | Pistons +7.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 230.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Hawks at Pistons key injuries

Hawks

  • G Bogdan Bogdanovic (knee) out
  • F Justin Holiday (non-COVID illness) questionable

Pistons

  • Not yet submitted

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Hawks at Pistons picks and predictions

Prediction

Hawks 123, Pistons 109

Moneyline

PASS on the moneyline in this game with the Hawks being heavy favorites over the Pistons on the road. Taking Atlanta (-300) isn’t worth the risk considering the low return you’ll receive if the Hawks win.

Against the spread

I’ll take HAWKS -7.5 (-112) with the Pistons playing a back-to-back after losing at the Wizards Tuesday. I’m expecting big games from Murray and G Trae Young with Atlanta having 2 days of rest since its last game.

The Pistons are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a loss by 10 or more points.

Over/Under

Even with Detroit having the 5th-worst offensive rating in the NBA, OVER 230.5 (-115) is an enticing bet. The Pistons also have the 4th-worst defensive rating in the league, which should lead to the Hawks scoring points in bunches, and both teams are top 11 in pace this season.

The Over has hit in each of the last 4 games for Atlanta against a team with a winning percentage below .400. Meanwhile, Detroit has hit the Over in 7 of its last 8 games overall.

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Atlanta Hawks at Detroit Pistons odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Atlanta Hawks at Detroit Pistons and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Hawks (36-36) head to the Motor City Wednesday to play the Detroit Pistons (19-53) at Little Caesars Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Hawks vs. Pistons odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Atlanta has alternated between winning and losing the last five games — 3-2 straight up (SU) and 2-3 against the spread (ATS) — with the most recent being a 117-111 road victory at the New York Knicks Tuesday.

Detroit has lost 6 of its last 7 games (5-2 ATS) including two straight at the Cleveland Cavaliers Saturday (113-109) and the tanking Portland Trail Blazers Monday (119-115).

These teams are tied 1-1 SU and ATS in their head-to-head series this season and the total is 1-1 Over/Under as well.

Hawks at Pistons odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:42 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Hawks -220 (bet $220 to win $100) | Pistons +175 (bet $100 to win $175)
  • Against the spread: Hawks -5.5 (-107) | Pistons +5.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under: 227.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

Hawks at Pistons key injuries

Hawks (not yet submitted)

  • PF John Collins (foot) out

Pistons

  • PG Hamidou Diallo (sprain) out

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Hawks at Pistons odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Pistons 117, Hawks 113

Money line

SPRINKLE on the PISTONS (+175)  with the plan of hitting their spread harder because Detroit’s victory over the Hawks (-220) March 7 wasn’t a fluke. In fact, the Pistons outperformed the Hawks in three of the “four factors” and they tied in the fourth.

Furthermore, Atlanta should be a bigger favorite considering Hawks PG All-Star Trae Young put on a virtuoso performance at Madison Square Garden Tuesday and the Pistons lost to a terrible Trail Blazers squad.

Also, Young has struggled in his four visits to Detroit, averaging just 18.3 points on 32.8% field goal shooting (25.7% from behind the arc) with 8.8 assists to 5.5 turnovers in those four games.

Again, the sharper wager is Detroit’s spread but I’ll SPRINKLE  on the PISTONS (+175).

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Against the spread

Definitely BET the PISTONS +5.5 (-115)  heavier than or instead of their ML since this is an awful spot for the Hawks -5.5 (-107) and the presumed sharp side of the market is backing Detroit.

For instance, the Hawks are 4-9 ATS in the second of a back-to-back with a minus-2.6 ATS margin, 5-8 ATS as road favorites and 0-6 ATS in their last six games versus teams with a losing record. Also, the Pistons are 17-12-1 ATS as home underdogs and 9-5 ATS as 5-to-7-point underdogs.

On top of that, this is a Pros versus Joe’s scenario in the betting market. Nearly 60% of the cash is on the Pistons but more than 85% of the bets placed are on the Hawks, according to Pregame.com.

Since sharps wager more money than the public, the cash column is seen as the sharp side of the betting market.

The PISTONS PLUS THE POINTS  is my favorite wager in this game.

Over/Under

LEAN to the OVER 227.5 (-112)  but we’d be getting the worst of the number since the Hawks-Pistons game opened with a 224.5-point total (per Pregame.com).

Atlanta is 8-5 O/U in the second of a back-to-back, Detroit is 10-6 O/U when playing with a rest advantage and these teams have a combined 37-22 O/U versus teams with a losing record.

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Atlanta Hawks at Detroit Pistons odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Atlanta Hawks at Detroit Pistons odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Hawks (31-32) visit Little Caesars Arena Monday to take on the Detroit Pistons (17-47). Tip is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Hawks vs. Pistons odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Hawks have alternated covering and not covering the spread over their last 6 games, having gone 5-5 against the spread (ATS) over their last 10. Atlanta is 28-35 ATS on the season.

The Hawks have struggled this season, sitting 10th in the Eastern Conference. They’re led by G Trae Young, who averages 28 points and 9.3 assists per game.

As for the Pistons, while they sit 14th in the East, they’re 33-31 ATS on the season and are 15-12 ATS as a home underdog.

Detroit has been on fire recently, covering 7 straight games and winning 5 of them outright. The Pistons are led by F Jerami Grant, who is scoring 19.0 points per game.

Hawks at Pistons odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Hawks -350 (bet $350  to win $100) | Pistons +265 (bet $100 to win $265)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Hawks -7.5 (-108) | Pistons +7.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 227.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Hawks at Pistons key injuries

Hawks

  • G Kevin Huerter (shoulder) questionable

Pistons

  • G Hamidou Diallo (non-Covid illness) questionable

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Hawks at Pistons odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Hawks 119, Pistons 113

Money line

PASS.

I wouldn’t bet Atlanta -350. That’s far too pricey for a road team as inconsistent as the Hawks. Atlanta is just 12-19 straight up on the road. I’d lean towards the points for value in this matchup.

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Against the spread

“LEAN” on the PISTONS +7.5 (-112).

The Pistons have been covering at too high of a rate to bet against. Having covered 7 straight and having been profitable as a home underdog this season makes this the better side of the spread.

Also, No. 1 overall pick G Cade Cunningham is starting to figure it out, averaging 20.4 points, 8.0 rebounds and 4.9 assists per game over his last 7 performances.

Atlanta has not been a good covering team when road favorites either, just 4-7 ATS in that scenario. The Hawks are just 6-8 ATS since Jan. 31, so this recent stretch of hot-and-cold performances has been their rhythm as of late.

Taking on a team that covers at a high rate while the road isn’t a situation that’ll bode well for Atlanta. Considering Detroit has the worst net rating in the league, I only lean to them despite this being a favorable position.

Over/Under

BET on the OVER 227.5 (-110).

This is my favorite bet in the game.

The Hawks sit 2nd in offensive rating with the Pistons 25th in defensive rating. Also, the Young-Capela pick and roll should give Detroit fits as starting C Isaiah Stewart stands just 6-foot-8.

Atlanta is No. 1 in turnover rate and No. 7 in true shooting percentage, both of which will bode well for the Over, especially against a team that ranks in the bottom 10 in defensive efficiency.

Both teams also sit in the top 20 in pace as well with the Pistons 15th and Hawks 18th on the season. The Hawks are 35-28 O/U this season and 7-3 O/U over their last 10.

Detroit is 5-3-2 O/U over its last 10 and has gone over 110 in 3 of its last 4 games. The Pistons have proven they can hang around offensively, and they’ll have to do just that against Atlanta.

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Atlanta Hawks at Detroit Pistons odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Monday’s Atlanta Hawks at Detroit Pistons NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Atlanta Hawks (34-27) travel to meet the Detroit Pistons (18-43) Monday at Little Caesars Arena. Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Hawks-Pistons odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

The Hawks picked up an impressive 111-104 victory Sunday against the Milwaukee Bucks as the Under cashed. Atlanta has won two in a row, and four of the past five, while also going 4-1 ATS during the stretch.

The Pistons are on a three-game skid, recently falling 115-109 on the road against the Indiana Pacers Saturday. Detroit last dropped four in a row March 21-27.

The last time these teams faced each other was Jan. 20 at State Farm Arena, as Atlanta won 123-115 in overtime. The Hawks also won at home 128-120 Dec. 28 as the Pistons covered the 10.5-point number. The Over cashed in both games.

Hawks at Pistons: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:03 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Hawks -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | Pistons +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Hawks -5.5 (-110) | Pistons +5.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 220.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Hawks at Pistons: Key injuries

Hawks

  • PF De’Andre Hunter (knee) out
  • SF Cam Reddish (Achilles) out
  • SG Tony Snell (ankle) out
  • PG Trae Young (ankle) questionable

Pistons

  • SG Rodney McGruder (elbow) out
  • PG Dennis Smith Jr. (knee) out

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Hawks at Pistons: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Hawks 118, Pistons 109

Money line (ML)

The Hawks (-225) will cost you more than two times your potential return, and that’s just too risky on the road. Atlanta won the most recent meeting in late January, but it needed overtime to do so.

AVOID.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The HAWKS -5.5 (-110) have cashed in four of the past five, and 11 of the previous 14 games overall. The Pistons have failed to cover in each of the past two. They haven’t had three straight non-covers since Feb. 17-21. Still, Atlanta has cashed in seven of its past eight as a favorite, while hitting in four of the past five against the number on the road.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 220.5 (-110) is my favorite play in this matchup. The Over has connected in each of the first two meetings this season, and four straight meetings in this series overall.

The Over is also 6-2 across the past eight on the road, while going 7-1 in the past eight as a road favorite. The Over is also 6-1 in the past seven for Atlanta in the second end of a back-to-back.

While the Under is 5-1-1 in the past seven for Detroit, the Over is 4-1-1 in the past six as a home underdog.

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