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The Dallas Mavericks (45-30) welcome the Atlanta Hawks (36-40) to American Airlines Center Thursday. Tip is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Hawks at Mavericks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Season series: Mavericks lead 1-0
The Mavericks beat the Hawks in Atlanta 148-143 on Jan. 26, covering as a 2-point road underdog. The Over 245.5 hit with ease.
Dallas lost to the Golden State Warriors 104-100 Tuesday, failing to cover as a 1-point home underdog. The loss snapped a 7-game winning streak. The Mavs are 6-2 against the spread (ATS) in their last 8 games and 43-32 ATS on the season. They are led by G Luka Doncic, who averages 33.9 points, 9.2 rebounds and 9.8 assists per game.
The Hawks beat the Detroit Pistons 121-113 Wednesday, failing to cover as a 12-point home favorite. They have won 6 of their last 7 and are 5-2 ATS in that stretch. Atlanta is 28-48 ATS on the season. It is led by G Dejounte Murray, who is averaging 22.6 points.
Hawks at Mavericks odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 11:05 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Hawks +430 (bet $100 to win $430) | Mavericks -590 (bet $590 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Hawks +11 (-108) | Mavericks -11 (-112)
- Over/Under (O/U): 230.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Hawks at Mavericks key injuries
Hawks (not officially submitted)
- F AJ Griffin (ankle) out
- F Mouhamed Gueye (UCL) out
- F Onyeka Okongwu (toe) out
- G Trae Young (finger) out
Mavericks
- C Dereck Lively II (knee) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Hawks at Mavericks picks and predictions
Prediction
Mavericks 123, Hawks 114
Moneyline
PASS.
The Hawks (+430) are already without several key players and will be on the 2nd night of a back-to-back. They should have tired legs and aren’t worth the wager as a huge underdog. Similarly, the Mavs (-590) are far too expensive to play outright.
Against the spread
BET HAWKS +11 (-108).
Atlanta had high expectations coming into the season, and it hasn’t hit many of those ceilings. However, it has been good when counted out. The Hawks are 4-0 ATS this season when an underdog of 9.5 or greater, winning outright in 3 of those games.
Two of those came against the Eastern Conference-leading Boston Celtics and were within the last 2 weeks. Since the start of March, Dallas is just 1-1 ATS as a favorite of 9 or greater.
That said, expect Atlanta to continue exceeding expectations and take HAWKS +11 (-108).
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 230.5 (-110).
The Hawks are 8-1 O/U in their last 9 games, scoring at least 113 in every game since March 21 (8 games). They have allowed 122 or more points in 3 of those as well. Atlanta ranks 27th in defensive rating, making it unlikely it can slow down Doncic and company.
The Mavs have swayed the other way and are 2-7 O/U in their last 9, but have tallied at least 125 in 2 of their last 4. The Mavs should get theirs, and the Hawks have been playing well enough to assume they can stay hot.
Take OVER 230.5 (-110).
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