Atlanta Falcons betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

Atlanta Falcons at Denver Broncos odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Atlanta Falcons at Denver Broncos odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Atlanta Falcons (6-4) visit the Denver Broncos (5-5) on Sunday with kickoff from Empower Field at Mile High scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET. (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Falcons vs. Broncos odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

Both teams sit square in their respective conference playoff races. QB Kirk Cousins‘ Falcons sit atop the NFC South, while the Broncos, led by emergent rookie QB Bo Nix, have positioned themselves into a late-season battle for a Wild Card berth.

The Falcons come into Week 11, however, reeling from a key 20-17 divisional loss to the New Orleans Saints. However, they’ve won 5 of their past 7 games.

Denver has run into a reality check the past 2 weeks, suffering losses to the Baltimore Ravens (41-10) and Kansas City Chiefs (16-14 on a last-second blocked field goal).

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Falcons at Broncos odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated at 12:02 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Falcons +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Broncos -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Falcons +2 (-110) | Broncos -2 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 44.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Falcons at Broncos key injuries

Falcons

CB Mike Hughes (neck) out

Broncos

S Brandon Jones (abdomen) questionable
WR Josh Reynolds (hand) out

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Falcons at Broncos picks and predictions

Prediction

Falcons 24, Broncos 21

Moneyline

The DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average, per FTN) rankings make this a tough play. The Broncos sit at 15th in the league; the Falcons rank 17th.

Betting against a Sean Payton team at home typically doesn’t work out.

However, I’m going to bank on the Falcons defense doing just enough against the rookie QB despite the road assignment. The Falcons’ cornerback tandem of lockdown merchant A.J. Terrell and the improved Clark Phillips should frustrate Nix.

Atlanta’s offense should control the game, especially on the back of RB Bijan Robinson.

I’ll go with the positive vig with the road squad.

BET FALCONS (+110).

Against the spread

Given my prediction, I’ll also lock in the Falcons ATS, though covering +2 does not give much margin for error.

This is a pick against trends: Denver has beat the books at 7-3 versus the spread overall, including 2-0 as a home favorite. (Atlanta is 5-5 with a win as a road underdog.)

Cousins should overcome the thin air and tough defense with his plethora of offensive pieces.

BET FALCONS +2 (-110).

Over/Under

I’ll complete the trifecta and predict both clubs will light up the scoreboard.

Even with the potential pitfalls I’m predicting for Nix, Denver should find a few successful scoring drives, which should do the Broncos’ part to keep pace.

BET OVER 44.5 (-110).

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Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Atlanta Falcons (6-3) visit the New Orleans Saints (2-7) Sunday. Kickoff from the Caesars Superdome is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Falcons vs. Saints odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

Atlanta has won back-to-back games after handling the Dallas Cowboys 27-21 Nov. 3, covering as a 3.5-point home favorite.

New Orleans has lost 7 games in a row after falling 23-22 at the Carolina Panthers Sunday as a 7-point favorite. QB Derek Carr was 18-of-31 passing for 236 yards with a TD while RB Alvin Kamara carried the ball 29 times for 155 yards.

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Falcons at Saints odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 4:46 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Falcons -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Saints +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
Against the spread (ATS): Falcons -3.5 (-115) | Saints +3.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 46.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Falcons at Saints key injuries

Falcons

C Drew Dalman (ankle) questionable
WR Drake London (hip) questionable

Saints

S J.T. Gray (back) questionable
CB Kool-Aid McKinstry (hamstring) out
WR Chris Olave (concussion) out
CB Rico Payton (back) questionable
RB Jamaal Williams (groin) doubtful
WR Cedrick Wilson Jr. (shoulder) out

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Falcons at Saints picks and predictions

Prediction

Falcons 34, Saints 28

Moneyline

PASS.

There is minimal vaule on the Falcons (-200) to beat a struggling Saints team Sunday.

Against the spread

BET FALCONS -3.5 (-115).

New Orleans is riddled with injuries heading into Week 10. It has failed to cover 5 straight games, scoring 13 or fewer points in 3 of the 5.

Atlanta has won and covered back-to-back games and scored 27 or more points in both victories.

Over/Under

BET OVER 46.5 (-115).

The Falcons have been hot offensively, scoring 26 or more points in 5 of their last 6 games, while their defense has struggled, allowing 20 or more in every game since Week 1. Atlanta has hit the Over in 4 of its last 6 games.

The Saints have allowed 23 or more points in each of their last 6 games.

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Dallas Cowboys at Atlanta Falcons odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Dallas Cowboys at Atlanta Falcons odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Dallas Cowboys (3-4) and Atlanta Falcons (5-3) meet in Week 9 Sunday. Kickoff from Mercedes-Benz Stadium is set for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Cowboys vs. Falcons odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions..

The Cowboys’ ground game faltered again, managing under 60 rushing yards in a 30-24 loss to the San Francisco 49ers. Falling short as 5.5-point road underdogs, they did push the game over the 48-point total. The Cowboys’ defense allowed 469 yards, with 246 through the air and 223 on the ground. QB Dak Prescott threw 2 interceptions but found WR CeeDee Lamb 13 times for 146 yards and 2 touchdowns.

The Falcons captured their 4th win in 5 games with a 31-26 victory over division-rival Tampa Bay. Covering the 1.5-point spread as road favorites and going over the 48-point total, Atlanta’s defense stepped up by forcing 3 turnovers. QB Kirk Cousins threw 4 touchdown passes, including 2 to TE Kyle Pitts, who finished with 91 receiving yards.

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Cowboys at Falcons odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 12:20 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Cowboys +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Falcons -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Cowboys +3 (-105) | Falcons -3 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 52 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Cowboys at Falcons key injuries

Cowboys

CB DaRon Bland (foot) out
CB Trevon Diggs (calf) questionable
DT Linval Joseph (back) questionable
LB Eric Kendricks (shoulder) questionable
RG Zack Martin (shoulder) questionable
DE Micah Parsons (ankle) out
DT Jordan Phillips (wrist) out
LB Nick Vigil (foot) questionable

Falcons

LB Troy Andersen (knee) questionable
C Drew Dalman (ankle) questionable
RG Chris Lindstrom (knee) questionable

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Cowboys at Falcons picks and predictions

Prediction

Falcons 27, Cowboys 20

Moneyline

PASS.

I like the Falcons here, but they’re a bit too expensive on the ML. Head to the spread instead.

Against the spread

BET FALCONS -3 (-115).

The Falcons enter this Week 9 NFC matchup on a roll, having won 4 of their last 5 games, while the Cowboys have dropped 4 of their last 6. Dallas’ 3-4 record looks shaky on closer inspection, with their only wins against the Browns, Giants and Steelers – all narrow, last-minute victories aside from a lackluster Week 1 win over Cleveland. Dallas managed fewer than 300 total yards in that game, relying heavily on Browns’ mistakes for the win.

With key defensive players like Parsons, DeMarcus Lawrence and Bland likely sidelined, the Cowboys’ defense could struggle against an improving Falcons passing game. Last week, Cousins threw 4 touchdowns and averaged 9.5 yards per attempt against Tampa. Atlanta, fighting to solidify first place in the NFC South, looks poised to take this one by at least a field goal.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 52 (-110).

This game could lean toward the Under, despite recent trends. Dallas has hit the over in its last 2 games, and Atlanta in 4 of its last 5, but both defenses are weak, and the total is set high. With the Cowboys ranking last in red zone offense and Atlanta in the bottom 10, drives may stall often. The Under has cashed in 3 of the last 4 meetings between these teams, making it a solid play here.

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Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-3) welcome the Atlanta Falcons (4-3) to Raymond James Stadium Sunday for NFL Week 8 action. Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Falcons vs. Buccaneers odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Falcons had a 3-game winning streak snapped with a 34-14 loss to the Seattle Seahawks in Week 7 as a 3-point home favorite. Atlanta is 2-1 against the spread (ATS) in its last 3 games and 3-4 ATS this season. It beat the Buccaneers 36-30 in overtime in Week 5 at home, closing as a 2.5-point favorite. The Falcons have scored at least 36 points in 2 of their last 3 games.

The Bucs lost to the Baltimore Ravens 41-31 in Week 7 as a 4-point home underdog. They have traded off winning and losing over their last 6 games, scoring at least 30 points in 4 straight. Tampa Bay has allowed at least 27 points in 3 of those games. It is 4-3 ATS and 5-2 O/U on the season. The Bucs are led by QB Baker Mayfield, who has thrown for 18 TDs.

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Falcons at Buccaneers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 9:25 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Falcons -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Buccaneers +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
Against the spread (ATS): Falcons -2.5 (-115) | Buccaneers +2.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 46 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Falcons at Buccaneers key injuries

Falcons

LB Troy Andersen (knee) out
CB Antonio Hamilton (back) questionable
OL Ryan Neuzil (knee) questionable
S Justin Simmons (hamstring) doubtful

Buccaneers

WR Mike Evans (hamstring) out
DT Greg Gaines (calf) out
RB Bucky Irving (toe) questionable
DB Tykee Smith (concussion) out

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Falcons at Buccaneers picks and predictions

Prediction

Buccaneers 31, Falcons 27

Moneyline

BET BUCCANEERS (+120).

The Buccaneers have been on fire offensively. They have scored a combined 82 points in their last 2 games while the Falcons fell flat in Week 7 and have scored 17 or fewer in 3 of 7 games this season. Atlanta has allowed at least 30 points in 2 of its last 3 games.

The Buccaneers ended the first matchup between with teams with 160 rushing yards, and they should again be able to dominate the trenches, whereas the Falcons may find it difficult to have QB Kirk Cousins throw for 477 passing yards again.

That said, considering how well Tampa Bay has been scoring recently, take BUCCANEERS (+120) to win outright at home.

Against the spread

PASS.

The Buccaneers are preferably taken on the moneyline here given the plus-money nature, and given it is a divisional matchup, splitting the series seems more reasonable than taking them on the spread at less than a field goal amount.

The spread is playable, but the moneyline is the better option here.

Over/Under

BET OVER 46.5 (-110).

The Falcons are 3-1 O/U in their last 4 games and have scored at least 26 points in 3 of their last 4, allowing at least 20 points in all but 1 game this season. Atlanta tallied 17 in the first half against Tampa Bay and should be able to dice up the defense again.

The Bucs offense has been hot, and their defense has been struggling as of late. They are 4-0 O/U in their last 4 and 5-2. Considering the trends for both teams, back OVER 46.5 (-110).

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Seattle Seahawks at Atlanta Falcons odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Seattle Seahawks at Atlanta Falcons odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Seattle Seahawks (3-3) and Atlanta Falcons (4-2) meet Sunday. Kickoff from Mercedes-Benz Stadium is set for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Seahawks vs. Falcons odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Seahawks are coming off a 36-24 loss as 3.5-point underdogs vs. the visiting San Francisco 49ers Oct. 10, with the Over (48.5) hitting. Seattle is 0-3 straight up and against the spread (ATS) in its last 3 games.

The Falcons won 38-20 as 6-point favorites at the Carolina Panthers Oct. 13, as the Over (46) cashed. RB Bijan Robinson scored twice for Atlanta, which has won and covered back-to-back games.

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Seahawks at Falcons odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 1:30 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Seahawks +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Falcons -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
Against the spread: Seahawks +3 (-115) | Falcons -3 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 51 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Seahawks at Falcons key injuries

Seahawks

CB Tre Brown (ankle) out
RT Stone Forsythe (hand) out
S Rayshawn Jenkins (hand) out
CB Riq Woolen (ankle) out

Falcons

LB Troy Andersen (knee) out
LB Lorenzo Carter (concussion) out
S Justin Simmons (hamstring) questionable

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Seahawks at Falcons picks and predictions

Prediction

Seahawks 27, Falcons 20

Moneyline

The Seahawks are coming off 3 straight losses, but there’s no shame in losing to the 49ers in Week 6 and at the Detroit Lions in Week 4. We can downgrade Seattle for losing to the New York Giants in Week 5, but the game likely would’ve gone to OT if New York didn’t block a Seahawks field goal — and return it for a TD — in the final minute of play.

I’m not overly impressed with Atlanta covering as a favorite in Week 6 vs. the Panthers, who are an NFL-worst 1-5 ATS.

I’m also not upgrading the Falcons for their 2 fluky wins before the Carolina victory. Atlanta had a 7% win probability, according to ESPN Analytics, with 22 seconds remaining in regulation vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 5, as well as a 15.5% win probability with 41 seconds left vs. the New Orleans Saints in Week 4.

One team is being undervalued by the market after 3 straight losses — 2 of which were respectable and another that was a bad beat — and the other team is overrated after beating up on the Panthers and getting lucky in back-to-back victories.

BET SEAHAWKS (+130).

Against the spread

If you can find Seahawks +3.5 at -120 or cheaper, I would consider it.

Otherwise, PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.

Over/Under

This number is just a bit high. The Seahawks have scored 24 or fewer points in 4 of their 6 games this season, and the Falcons have put up 26 or fewer in 4 of 6.

With the Seahawks defense coming off extra rest — Seattle played on Thursday in Week 6 — don’t expect the Falcons to put up 30+ like they did vs. Carolina in Week 6 and in an OT game vs. the Buccaneers in Week 5.

BET UNDER 51 (-110).

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Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Atlanta Falcons (3-2) meet the Carolina Panthers (1-4) for a Week 6 game at Bank of America Stadium Sunday. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Falcons vs. Panthers odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Falcons are flying high after a 36-30 home win in overtime against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the Week 5 Thursday night game. Atlanta, which covered as a 2.5-point favorite, has won 3 of its past 4 games. Atlanta is 2-0 straight up (SU) in 2 games against NFC South foes, while going 1-1 against the spread (ATS) with a pair of Over results.

The Panthers came alive in Week 3 at the Las Vegas Raiders for a surprising 36-22 win as 5.5-point underdogs, but they’ve sunk back into their losing ways in the past 2 outings. The Chicago Bears, who were 4-point favorites, manhandled the Panthers 36-10 at Soldier Field in Week 5 as Carolina slipped to 1-4 ATS. The Over has cashed in 3 in a row for the Panthers, who are 4-1 O/U on the season.

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Falcons at Panthers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:58 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Falcons -275 (bet $275 to win $100) | Panthers +220 (bet $100 to win $220)
Against the spread: Falcons -6 (-110) | Panthers +6 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 47 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Falcons at Panthers key injuries

Falcons

LB Troy Anderson (knee) out
LB Nate Landman (calf, quadriceps) questionable

Panthers

LB Jadeveon Clowney (shoulder) doubtful
C Austin Corbett (biceps) out
CB Dane Jackson (hamstring) questionable
LB Josey Jewell (hamstring, groin) out
WR Diontae Johnson (ankle) questionable
OL Taylor Moton (elbow) out
C Andrew Raym (concussion) out
DE A’Shawn Robinson (ankle) questionable
TE Ian Thomas (calf) questionable
TE Tommy Tremble (concussion) out

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Falcons at Panthers picks and predictions

Prediction

Falcons 32, Panthers 19

Moneyline

The Falcons (-275) will cost 2.75 times the potential return. That’s way too much risk if you were to back Atlanta on a standalone wager. However, if you were to toss them into a multi-leg parlay with at least 3 to 6 teams, it isn’t a terrible idea.

PASS.

Against the spread

The FALCONS -6 (-110) head into Charlotte with a head of steam, having vanquished divisional foes Tampa Bay and New Orleans the past 2 weeks.

However, last season the Falcons went to Carolina as 2.5-point favorites and lost 9-7 in Week 15. As a matter of a fact, Panthers have won and covered the past 2 home games against the Falcons

Carolina is 3-1 ATS in the past 4 meetings vs. Atlanta. So, be careful, as these divisional games can sometimes be tight, even when they’re not expected to be.

Over/Under

OVER 47 (-110) is a decent play as Atlanta’s offense has been moving the ball well lately, and Carolina’s defense ranks last in points allowed at 33.0 points per game (PPG). It’s a great recipe for an Over play.

Know that you’ll be going against the series trends, as the total has gone Under in 3 straight meetings, while cashing in 4 of the past 5 meetings in Charlotte.

However, this season, which carries a lot more weight, the Falcons have cashed Overs in both of their divisional games, while the Panthers have hit Overs in 4 of 5 games, with the defense allowing 26 or more points in both home games, and 35.0 PPG in the past 2 contests.

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-1) visit the Atlanta Falcons (2-2) Thursday. Kickoff from Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Buccaneers vs. Falcons odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

Tampa Bay got back in the win column with a 33-16 victory over the Philadelphia Eagles Sunday as a 1-point home underdog. QB Baker Mayfield went 30 of 47 for 347 yards with 2 TDs, with WR Mike Evans (8 receptions, 94 yards, 1 TD) being his top receiver. On the ground, RBs Bucky Irving and Rachaad White each had 10 carries for 49 yards while Irving added a TD.

Atlanta also found its way back in the win column with a 26-24 victory over the New Orleans Saints Sunday while failing to cover as a 2.5-point home favorite. RB Kirk Cousins went 21 of 35 for 238 yards with an INT while RB Tyler Allgeier ran the ball 8 times for 60 yards.

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Buccaneers at Falcons odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Wednesday at 11 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Buccaneers +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Falcons -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Buccaneers +1.5 (-110) | Falcons -1.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 44 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Buccaneers at Falcons key injuries

Buccaneers

G Luke Goedeke (concussion) out
DT Calijah Kancey (calf) out
WR Jalen McMillan (hamstring) out
WR Trey Palmer (concussion) out
S Antoine Winfield Jr. (foot) out

Falcons

LB Troy Andersen (knee) out

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Buccaneers at Falcons picks and predictions

Prediction

Buccaneers 31, Falcons 23

Moneyline

BET BUCCANEERS (+105).

Tampa Bay found its offensive groove again in Week 4 scoring 33 points. It is 1-0 on the road this season and has held opponents to 16 or fewer points in 2 of its last 3 games.

The Falcons narrowly avoided a 2-game skid last week with a last-second field goal, but will struggle to go toe-to-toe against a Buccaneers team that has scored 33 or more points in 2 of its first 4 games.

Against the spread

PASS.

There is better value on Buccaneers ML.

Over/Under

BET OVER 44 (-110).

Tampa Bay has allowed 16 or more points in each of its 4 games this season. Atlanta has allowed 18 or more points in each of its 4 games, including 21 or more in each of the last 3. On offense, the Buccaneers have scored 20 or more points in 3 of their 4 games — including 33 or more in 2 of the 4 — while the Falcons have scored 17 or more in each of their last 3.

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New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The New Orleans Saints (2-1) and Atlanta Falcons (1-2) face off in an NFC South battle Sunday. Kickoff from Mercedes-Benz Stadium is set for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Saints vs. Falcons odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

New Orleans suffered a 15-12 loss at the hands of the visiting Philadelphia Eagles Sept. 22 while failing to cover as a 2.5-point favorite. For the 1st time this season, New Orleans’ offense was shut down, as it only gained 219 total yards after picking up over 375 in each of its first 2 games.

Atlanta was beaten 22-17 by the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday Night Football while failing to cover as a 3-point home underdog. The Falcons were dominated 34:57 to 25:03 in the time of possession battle and outscored 10-3 in the 2nd half.

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Saints at Falcons odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Friday at 7:23 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Saints +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Falcons -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Saints +3 (-115) | Falcons -3 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 41.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Saints at Falcons key injuries

Saints

LB Demario Davis (hamstring) out
RB Alvin Kamara (hip/ribs) questionable
C Erik McCoy (groin) out
WR Chris Olave (hamstring) questionable
WR A.T. Perry (hamstring) questionable
RG Cesar Ruiz (knee) questionable
WR Cedrick Wilson Jr. (ankle) questionable

Falcons

LB Matthew Judon (hamstring) questionable
OT Kaleb McGary (knee) questionable
RB Bijan Robinson (shoulder) questionable

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Saints at Falcons picks and predictions

Prediction

Falcons 17, Saints 15

Moneyline

BET FALCONS (-150).

Atlanta has played stiff competition to start its season and looked solid in its last 2 games, but I expect the Falcons to look even better this week because of the desperation of not wanting to start 1-3. If Robinson plays, the Falcons will be able to ride their defense and run game to victory.

Against the spread

LEAN SAINTS +3 (-115).

This will be a defensive battle, and New Orleans has looked like the better team to start the season. While I do think the Saints’ offense will look more mortal, like it did last week, it should still be productive enough to keep this one close.

This is a lean because I could see this being decided by a field goal, so the margin for error is extremely small.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 41.5 (-115).

The Under has hit in each of Atlanta’s first 3 games this season and hit in New Orleans’ last outing.

These are both teams that make their name on defense, and with my prediction that the Saints’ offense will continue coming back to Earth, the Under should be an easy play here.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Kansas City Chiefs at Atlanta Falcons odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Kansas City Chiefs at Atlanta Falcons odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Kansas City Chiefs (2-0) and Atlanta Falcons (1-1) meet Sunday. Kickoff from Mercedes-Benz Stadium is set for 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Chiefs vs. Falcons odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Chiefs didn’t cover as 6.5-point favorites, but still pulled off a 26-25 victory over the visiting Cincinnati Bengals in Week 2 as the Over (47.5) hit. K Harrison Butker kicked a game-winning 51-yard FG as time expired. The kick was set up by a crucial pass interference call on 4th down that went against Cincinnati.

An odd storyline for Kansas City this season has been the lack of a connection between QB Patrick Mahomes and TE Travis Kelce. Mahomes has targeted Kelce a total of just 7 times in 2 games for 4 receptions, 39 yards and no TDs. Kelce’s Over/Under for receiving yards Sunday is set at 49.5 (O: -115 | U: -125) at BetMGM Sportsbook.

The Falcons covered as 5.5-point underdogs in a 22-21 win at the Philadelphia Eagles Monday with the Under (46.5) cashing. QB Kirk Cousins (20 of 29, 241 yards, 2 TDs) threw a go-ahead TD to WR Drake London with 34 seconds remaining to pull off the last-minute upset.

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Chiefs at Falcons odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated at 5:28 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Chiefs -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Falcons +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
Against the spread (ATS): Chiefs -3 (-115) | Falcons +3 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 46.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Chiefs at Falcons key injuries

Chiefs

WR Marquise Brown (shoulder) out
RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire (illness) out
RB Isiah Pacheco (fibula) out

Falcons

None

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Chiefs at Falcons picks and predictions

Prediction

Chiefs 24, Falcons 20

Moneyline

Since 2022 — the year WR Tyreek Hill was traded to Miami — the Chiefs (-165) have the best away record in the NFL at 15-4. They will likely win Sunday, but this line has too much vig.

PASS. Bet the spread and/or total instead.

Against the spread

This line was Chiefs -4.5 (-110) last Sunday, and the market has been overreacting to news ever since. The Chiefs have been downgraded due to their injuries at RB, and the Falcons have been upgraded after Eagles RB Saquon Barkley dropped a pass that would’ve sealed a Philadelphia victory Monday.

The Falcons scored just 10 points in a Week 1 loss to the visiting Pittsburgh Steelers, and if Barkley didn’t have a crucial drop Monday, they would’ve only scored 15 points in Week 2. I don’t see how Atlanta scores enough to keep this one close.

BET CHIEFS -3 (-115).

Over/Under

The Under is 6-3 since 2022 when the Chiefs have a rest advantage, according to TeamRankings.com. The Falcons are 2-0 to the Under this season and should continue to struggle offensively against a Chiefs defense that was 5th in opponent yards per play (4.8) last year.

BET UNDER 46.5 (-110).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Alex’s best bet: Cash in on this Monday Night Football side

SportsbookWire.com’s Alex White likes a side in the Atlanta Falcons-Philadelphia Eagles Week 2 Monday Night Football game.

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Alex White of SportsbookWire.com likes a side in Week 2’s Monday Night Football game, featuring the Atlanta Falcons at the Philadelphia Eagles.

Kickoff from Lincoln Financial Field is set for 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN).

The Falcons lost their opener 18-10 to the visiting Pittsburgh Steelers despite leading 10-9 at halftime. So yea, the Atlanta offense didn’t score in the 2nd half. On the bright side, the defense didn’t allow a touchdown, but Pittsburgh kicked 6 field goals in picking up the win.

The Eagles “offense looked awesome, there’s no denying that [and RB] Saquon Barkley was an immediate impact,” Alex points out about Philly’s 34-29 opening victory over the Green Bay Packers on a neutral field in Brazil. “But [QB] Jalen Hurts did throw two picks.”

The Eagles are favored 5.5 points, per BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds as of Monday, 4:30 p.m. ET — the line was 6.5 points early Monday.

Listen below to why Alex is backing this play.

🏈Monday night showdown: Let’s go!🏈

Week 2 concludes in Philly and our @alexwhitee has a 💵best bet 💵when the @AtlantaFalcons visit the Philadelphia @Eagles. 🏈💰🏈Who do you like? pic.twitter.com/rLjwZHlfMv

— SportsBookWire (@SportsBookWire) September 15, 2024

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Make sure to catch Alex on Sports By the Book Saturday 11 a.m.-noon ET, and Sunday through Wednesday noon-1 p.m. ET, and on Punch Lines every Monday and Wednesday 3 p.m.-4 p.m. ET — live from the South Point Sportsbook in Las Vegas. Follow @alexwhitee on Twitter/X.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

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