The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-8) face off against the Atlanta Falcons (6-10) Sunday in a regular-season finale. Kickoff from Mercedes-Benz Stadium is set for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Buccaneers vs. Falcons, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Buccaneers beat the Carolina Panthers 30-24 last Sunday to cover the spread as 3.5-point home favorites and clinch the NFC South. In their previous 6 games, Tampa Bay is 3-2 straight up but 1-5 against the spread (ATS) and 4-11-1 ATS on the season.
The Falcons edged past the Arizona Cardinals 20-19 last week, failing to cover as 7-point home favorites. They are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games and 8-8 ATS overall — yep, they opened the season 6-0 ATS before the freefall. So, it’s no surprise Atlanta has already been eliminated from playoff contention.
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Buccaneers at Falcons odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:07 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Buccaneers +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Falcons -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Buccaneers +4 (-111) | Falcons -4 (-109)
- Over/Under (O/U): 40.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Buccaneers at Falcons key injuries
Buccaneers
- CB Carlton Davis (shoulder) out
- CB Jamel Dean (toe) questionable
- S Mike Edwards (hamstring, hip) questionable
- WR Julio Jones (knee, illness) questionable
- LB Carl Nassib (pectoral) out
- S Logan Ryan (knee) out
- OL Donovan Smith (foot) out
- NT Vita Vea (calf) out
Falcons
- OL Elijah Wilkinson (calf) out
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Buccaneers at Falcons picks and predictions
Prediction
Falcons 20, Buccaneers 13
Moneyline
PASS.
Although the Buccaneers (+170) are without a lot of top players and the Falcons (-200) are at home, the moneyline odds do not present enough return on investment to make a play worth it.
Against the spread
LEAN FALCONS -4 (-109).
As mentioned, Tampa Bay is 4-11-1 ATS and having already clinched a playoff spot, it already has its sights beyond this Week 18 matchup.
On the flip side, with their season already all but over, the Falcons are looking to close the season on a high note and see what progress QB Desmond Ridder can make before the offseason.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 40.5 (-110).
The Falcons’ Under has hit 5 times in a row and 7 of their last 8 games. The Buccaneers’ Under has hit 5 times in their last 8 games. In a game that has no ramifications, points may be more difficult to come by.
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