Tag: Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins odds predictions pick betting line spread

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The Atlanta Braves (72-60) and Minnesota Twins (72-60) wrap up a 3-game set at Target Field Wednesday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 2-0

After taking the Monday opener 10-6 as +107 underdogs, the Braves won 8-6 in 10 innings as -111 favorites Tuesday as the Over (8.5) hit. 1B Matt Olson grounded into a fielder’s choice to drive in the go-ahead run in the 10th, part of a 4-run inning for Atlanta.

Twins RP Jhoan Durán allowed 4 runs (3 earned) on 4 hits with 1 K. He retired just 1 of the 5 batters he faced before getting pulled in the 10th. Minnesota has lost 3 straight games and 7 of its last 9.

The Braves and Twins hold the final Wild Card spot in their respective leagues.

Braves at Twins projected starters

LHP Chris Sale vs. RHP David Festa

Sale (14-3, 2.62 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.02 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and MLB-leading 11.6 K/9 in 147 2/3 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 2 ER, 9 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 3-2 home victory in 10 innings vs. Washington Nationals Friday
• 2024 road stats: 6-3, 2.49 ERA (79 2/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.00 WHIP, 12.4 K/9 in 13 starts
• Career vs. Twins: 11-6, 3.81 ERA (144 IP, 61 ER), 1.08 WHIP, 11.7 K/9 in 30 appearances (22 starts), including 0-0 with 1.50 ERA (6 IP, 1 ER) in 1 start last year

Festa (2-3, 5.20 ERA) makes his 8th start and 9th appearance. The rookie has a 1.32 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9 in 36 1/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 6-1 home defeat vs. St. Louis Cardinals Friday
• 2024 home stats: 0-2, 6.61 ERA (16 1/3 IP, 12 ER), 1.59 WHIP, 11.6 K/9 in 4 appearances (3 starts)
• Has never faced Braves

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Braves at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:06 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Braves -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Twins +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+105) | Twins +1.5 (-130)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Braves at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 4, Twins 3

Moneyline

The Braves (-155) are rightfully favored in this spot, but laying $155 to win $100 on Atlanta seems like an overreaction to the pitching mismatch.

PASS. Bet the run line and/or total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

It’s unlikely that Minnesota loses 3 straight games at home by multiple runs. Only 1 of Sale’s last 4 starts has resulted in a multi-run win for Atlanta, and Festa has allowed 2 or fewer runs in 5 of his last 6 outings.

BET TWINS +1.5 (-130).

Over/Under

It’s hard to look toward the Over with Sale taking the mound for Atlanta. He has allowed 2 ER or fewer in 13 straight outings, while Festa has been improving throughout the season, posting a 3.18 ERA (17 IP, 6 ER) in 4 August starts.

BET UNDER 7.5 (-105).

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The Atlanta Braves (71-60) visit the Minnesota Twins (72-59) on Tuesday. First pitch from Target Field is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 1-0

The Braves beat the Twins 10-6 on Monday to cover as +107 road underdogs. 1B Matt Olson led the way on offense with 5 RBIs while LHP Max Fried allowed 1 ER in 5 IP to pick up the win.

The Twins have lost back-to-back games after losing Monday as -116 home favorites. RHP Bailey Ober allowed 9 ER in 2 IP to take the loss.

Braves at Twins projected starters

RHP Spencer Schwellenbach vs. RHP Simeon Woods Richardson

Schwellenbach (5-6, 3.94 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 in 82 1/3 IP.

• Last start: Win, 6 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 9 K in 3-2 win against Philadelphia Phillies Thursday
• First time facing Twins

Woods Richardson (5-3, 3.69 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 112 1/3 IP.

• Last start: Win, 5 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 11-4 win at San Diego Padres Wednesday
• First time facing Braves

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Braves at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:43 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Braves -110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Twins -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+155) | Twins +1.5 (-190)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Braves at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 5, Twins 4

Moneyline

BET BRAVES (-110).

Atlanta has won 4 of its last 5 games and 7 of the last 10 games and has held opponents to 2 runs in 3 of its last 5 games. Minnesota has lost back-to-back games and 6 of its last 8 overall. It has scored 2 runs or fewer in 2 of its last 4 games.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There is better value on the Atlanta moneyline.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8 (-115).

Atlanta has scored 4 runs or more twice in its last 4 games and has allowed 5 or more runs in back-to-back games. Minnesota has scored 6 runs in 2 of its last 3 games and has allowed 6 or more runs in 2 of its last 4. Between 2 young starting pitchers, expect the Over to hit.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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The Atlanta Braves (70-60) visit the Minnesota Twins (72-58) on Monday. First pitch from Target Field is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Braves won all 3 games in 2023

The Braves had a 3-game winning streak snapped on Sunday with a 5-1 loss against the Washington Nationals while failing to cover as -180 home favorites. 1B Matt Olson had Atlanta’s only RBI with a HR.

The Twins lost 3-2 to the St. Louis Cardinals on Sunday, failing to cover as -137 home favorites. DH Royce Lewis and LF Willi Castro (HR) each had an RBI.

Braves at Twins projected starters

LHP Max Fried vs. RHP Bailey Ober

Fried (7-7, 3.57 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 128 2/3 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 3-2 loss against Philadelphia Phillies Wednesday
• Career vs. Twins: 1-0. 0.00 ERA (5 1/3 IP, 0 ER), 5 H, 1 BB, 10 K in 1 start in 2019

Ober (12-5, 3.54 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 140 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 7-5 loss at San Diego Padres Tuesday
• Has never faced Braves

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Braves at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:31 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Braves -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Twins -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+155) | Twins +1.5 (-190)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Braves at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 3, Braves 2

Moneyline

BET TWINS (-115).

In a game between 2 teams that have been performing relatively even recently, the pitching duel will have a big impact. Ober holds the advantage with a slightly lower ERA while also doing an exceptional job of keeping runners off the base paths with a 0.99 WHIP. Atlanta has had a difficult time producing runs over its last 10 games and will continue to struggle with Ober on the mound.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There is better value on the Twins moneyline.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-115).

Atlanta has hit the Under in 9 of its last 10 games including each of its last 7. It has scored 3 or fewer runs in 8 of its last 10 games, including 6 of its last 7, while allowing 3 runs or fewer in 8 of its last 9 games. Minnesota has hit the Under in each of its last 3 games and has allowed 3 or fewer runs in back-to-back games.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @seth_orlemann on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Fantasy baseball help from BaseballHQ.com:
Subscribe now to dominate the competition.

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