Atlanta Braves at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Atlanta Braves at Colorado Rockies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Atlanta Braves (61-55) and Colorado Rockies (43-75) conclude a 3-game series Sunday. First pitch from Coors Field is set for 3:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Rockies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Braves broke their 6-game losing streak on Saturday 11-8 behind 2 HRs and a career-high 6 RBI from 1B Matt Olson. Atlanta also got HRs and multi-hit efforts from DH Marcell Ozuna and RF Jorge Soler. The Braves are 8-13 since the All-Star break.

A 5-run 3rd inning ended starter Dakota Hudson‘s night early. Colorado did get a big offensive performance from No. 9 hitter LF Sam Hilliard, who went 3-for-4 with a HR, double, 2 runs scored and 5 RBIs. This was the Rockies 4th loss in their last 6 games.

Braves at Rockies projected starters

RHP Spencer Schwellenbach vs. LHP Kyle Freeland

Schwellenbach (4-5, 4.04 ERA) makes his 12th career start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 64 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 10 K in 5-3 victory against the Miami Marlins on Aug 2
  • 2024 road splits: 2-2, 3.94 ERA (29 2/3 IP, 13 ER), 0.98 WHIP, 8.2 K/9 in 5 starts
  • Has never faced the Rockies

Freeland (3-4, 5.65 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.49 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 63 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 7 K in a 6-3 win against the New York Mets Tuesday
  • 2024 home splits: 1-0, 2.51 ERA (28 2/3 IP, 12 R (8 ER), 1.05 WHIP, 8.5 K/9 in 5 starts
  • Career vs. Braves: 1-4, 6.26 (46 IP, 33 R (32 ER), 1.54 WHIP, 6.7 K/9 in 8 starts

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Braves at Rockies odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:53 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Braves -184 (bet $184 to win $100) | Rockies +154 (bet $100 to win $154)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Braves -1.5 (-122) | Rockies +1.5 (+102)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -122 | U: +100)

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Braves at Rockies picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 7, Rockies 3

Moneyline

PASS.

I’ve got the Braves (-184) taking this series on Sunday, but not at those odds. I’ll take my wager to the run line.

Run line/Against the spread

BET BRAVES -1.5 (-122).

The Rockies have struck out the 2nd-most times in the MLB this season, nearly 10 times per game. Schwellenbach has nearly a 10 K/9 and has notched double-digit strikeouts in each of his last 2 starts. This would be a game I’d target the Over on Spencer’s K prop (+130 for 7+; +500 for  9+).

The Braves are 20-12 against lefties this season and hit .253 as a team against them. Freeland has not fared well against Atlanta in his career, has not beaten them in nearly 6 years.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 10.5 (+100).

I know that this series has gone Over this total in each of the 1st 2 games, but I’m seeing a downturn in runs scored in the series finale. The Under has hit in Schwellenbach’s last 10 starts and believe it or not, it’s happened in 3 of Freeland’s last 4 starts.

I like Schwellenbach to keep the Rockies offense in check while the Braves take care of business against Freeland on Sunday afternoon.

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Atlanta Braves at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Atlanta Braves at Colorado Rockies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Atlanta Braves (60-54) and Colorado Rockies (42-74) begin a 3-game series Friday. First pitch from Coors Field is set for 8:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Rockies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Braves won all 7 matchups in 2023

The Braves dropped their 5th consecutive game on Thursday, 16-7 to the Milwaukee Brewers. The pitching staff has allowed 9 runs per game and the offense has been shut out twice during the losing streak. Atlanta hits the road for a 10-game West Coast swing. They are 28-28 away from home and 50-64 against the spread (ATS).

Colorado began their homestand losing 2 of 3 to the New York Mets. 1B Pete Alonso took Rockies starter Austin Gomber deep twice in a 9-1 loss on Thursday. They are scoring less than 3 runs per game over their last 5. Colorado is 25-31 at home and 58-58 ATS.

Braves at Rockies projected starters

RHP Grant Holmes vs. RHP Tanner Gordon

Holmes (0-0, 3.00 ERA) makes his 13th career appearance and 3rd start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 33 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 4-3 home loss against the Miami Marlins Saturday
  • 2024 road splits: 0-0, 2.19 ERA (12 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 0.97 WHIP, 8.0 K/9 in 5 games
  • Has never pitched against the Rockies

Gordon (0-3, 6.75 ERA) makes his 5th career start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 1.3 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 21 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 3-2 defeat at Padres Saturday
  • 2024 home splits: 0-1, 7.11 ERA (6 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 5.7 K/9 in 1 start
  • Has never pitched against the Braves

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Braves at Rockies odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:08 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Braves -168 (bet $168 to win $100) | Rockies +142 (bet $100 to win $142)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Braves -1.5 (-114) | Rockies +1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 11 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Braves at Rockies picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 6, Rockies 5

Moneyline

PASS.

I instinctually want to take the Braves because they are the better team, but the fact is they stink right now. The Rockies aren’t much better, which makes this game hard to handicap.

What makes this even tougher to pick is this pitching matchup. You’ve got 2 young inexperienced arms facing off. These 2 have a combined 6 career starts.

All that being said, I’m going to leave this wager alone and look to the run line and total for a bet.

Run line/Against the spread

BET ROCKIES +1.5 (-105).

While I don’t know if the Rockies will win this game outright, I like them on the run line. Gordon has a bit more starting experience and had his best outing of his career against the Padres in his last start. He also has the advantage of pitching in front of the home crowd. Gordon hasn’t had a chance to pitch at Coors since July 7.

The Rockies are also playing above .500 baseball at home since the All-Star break.

Over/Under

PASS.

I really want to take the Over being that it’s at Coors Field against 2 very young arms, but the trends are scaring me off of it. The teams are 3-3 against the Over in their last 6 meetings.

Atlanta is 5-5 against the Over in their last 10 and Colorado is 4-6 against the Over in their last 10. The Under has hit in Gordon’s last 2 starts and the Under hit in Holmes last start.

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Atlanta Braves at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Atlanta Braves at Colorado Rockies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Atlanta Braves (86-45) and Colorado Rockies (49-83) close out a 3-game set at Coors Field Wednesday. First pitch is at 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Rockies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 6-0

The Braves won the first 2 games of the series, 3-1 Tuesday and 14-1 Monday, and are 12-1 against the Rockies over the last 2 years. Atlanta has won 6 of 7 overall as it continues to buzzsaw the entire league and is 17-8 against left-handed starters.

The Rockies have lost 8 of 9 games and are just 5-15 over their last 20 outings. They had a minor victory Tuesday in holding the Braves to fewer than 8 runs for the first time this season. Colorado will have the luxury of facing a rookie making his debut in the daunting confines of Coors Field Wednesday.

Braves at Rockies projected starters

RHP Darius Vines vs. LHP Kyle Freeland

Vines is making his major-league debut.

  • Is 2-2 with a 2.70 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 46 K in 43 1/3 IP across 9 starts at 3 minor league levels
  • Last start at Triple-A Gwinnett: Loss, 7 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 5 K last Wednesday vs. Nashville Sounds

Freeland (5-13, 5.00 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.47 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 5.7 K/9 through 135 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 3 K Friday vs. Baltimore Orioles
  • Last 5 starts vs. Braves: 1-3, 6.04 ERA, 1.59 WHIP, 21 K in 28 1/3 IP

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Braves at Rockies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 8:15 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Braves -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Rockies +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (-175) | Rockies +1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 13.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Braves at Rockies picks and predictions

Prediction

Rockies 7, Braves 6

Moneyline

We’re going to shoot our shot today. The Braves were originally supposed to start stud RHP Spencer Strider but have opted to give him an extra day of rest. Vines is not overpowering and relies on deception and command, which could be problematic in the thin Mile High air. That’s not exactly a -250 gamble and the Rockies feel a little mispriced here.

LEAN ROCKIES (+200).

Run line/Against the spread

If you’re not willing to shoot your shot on the ML, the Rockies are still priced well on the run line. They held Atlanta to 3 runs Tuesday and figure to be able to put up some runs against a potential deer in the headlights.

Either take the ML and PASS or LEAN ROCKIES +1.5 (+145).

Over/Under

The Over is 5-5 in the last 10 meetings between the teams, but we’ve only seen 14 runs 3 times. The Rockies are also 7-3 O/U over the last 10, but they’ve just topped 14 once in 7 games.

Take the UNDER 13.5 (-105).

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Atlanta Braves at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Atlanta Braves at Colorado Rockies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Colorado Rockies (23-29) host the Atlanta Braves (26-27) Saturday at Coors Field for the 3rd game of a 4-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Braves vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Atlanta won the first 2 games of this series, 13-6 Thursday and 3-1 in 10 innings Friday.

Friday’s game was 0-0 after 9 innings, spoiling pitching gems from Atlanta SP Max Fried (8 IP, 2 H, 1 BB, 4 K) and Colorado SP Chad Kuhl (6 IP, 5 H, 2 BB 3 K). Braves 1B Matt Olson‘s 2-run RBI single in the top of the 10th keyed Atlanta’s victory.

Braves at Rockies projected starters

RHP Spencer Strider vs. LHP Kyle Freeland

Strider is 1-2 with a 2.83 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 13.8 K/9 in 28 2/3 IP across 1 start and 11 relief appearances.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 3 ER (5 R), 4 H, 1 HR, 2 BB, 7 K in 6-2 final at Arizona Diamondbacks Monday

Freeland is 1-5 with a 4.96 ERA, 1.56 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 52 2/3 IP over 10 starts.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 1 HR, 4 BB, 2 K in 6-5 setback at Washington Nationals Sunday
  • 2022 home splits: 1-3 with a 6.25 ERA (31 2/3 IP, 22 ER), 3 HR, 1.67 WHIP, 6.3 K/9 in 6 starts

Braves at Rockies odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:51 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Braves -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Rockies +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (-120) | Rockies +1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 11.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Braves at Rockies picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 10, Rockies 4

Money line

BET 1 UNIT on the BRAVES (-190).

They have a decisive 3-phase edge over the Rockies (+155) in starting and relief pitching and hitting.

Strider ranks higher in most advanced pitching metrics than Freeland and his stuff is much nastier. Strider grades in the 99th percentile of K%, 98th percentile of fastball velocity and 95th percentile of whiff rate, per Statcast.

Colorado’s bullpen has the worst ERA (5.27) in baseball and second-worst WHIP (1.50) and xFIP (4.53), according to FanGraphs. Atlanta’s bullpen is 8th in both ERA (3.31) and xFIP (3.68) and 3rd in home runs allowed per 9 innings (0.61).

The Braves are 12-6 overall vs. left-handed starters and their lineup is 2nd in wRC+ (121) and 3rd in wOBA (.349) against lefties. The Rockies are 16-19 vs. right-handed starters, 24th in wRC+ (87) and score almost 1 run less per 9 against righties.

If your standard wager is $100, risk that on BRAVES (-190) to earn a $52.63 payout.

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Run line/Against the spread

LEAN BRAVES -1.5 (-120) because it should cash, and I’m not crazy about laying it with the Rockies +1.5 (+100) at Coors Field.

A bigger wager on Atlanta’s ML is a better option, but the Braves should hammer the Rockies Saturday.

Over/Under

PASS.

There’s suspicious reverse-line movement headed south of the total in the betting market (per Pregame.com) and this is a sharp number. Most of the public and cash is on the Over, but the total has been lowered from a 12-run opener. It seems like the sportsbooks are daring the public to bet the Over.

Also, the Braves are 5-6 O/U as road favorites and the Rockies are 6-9 O/U as home underdogs.

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Atlanta Braves at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Atlanta Braves at Colorado Rockies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Atlanta Braves (25-27) meet the Colorado Rockies (23-28) Friday at Coors Field for the 2nd of their 4-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Braves vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Atlanta crushed Colorado 13-6 Thursday in the series opener and first meeting of the season, highlighted by Braves C Travis d’Arnaud‘s 2-HR and 6-RBI night.

Braves at Rockies projected starters

LHP Max Fried vs. RHP Chad Kuhl

Fried is 5-2 with a 3.10 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 61 IP over 10 starts.

  • Last start: Won 6-3 Sunday at home vs. the Miami Marlins with 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 1 HR, 3 BB and 5 K.
  • Career at Coors Field: 1-0 with a 3.12 ERA (8 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 8 H, 1 HR, 4 BB and 6 K in 1 start and 1 bullpen outing.

Kuhl is 4-2 with a 3.56 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 48 IP over 9 starts.

  • Last start: Won 3-2 Saturday at the Washington Nationals with 6 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 1 HR, 1 BB and 7 K.
  • 2021 vs. the Braves: One start while pitching for the Pittsburgh Pirates, a no-decision in Pittsburgh’s 2-1 home win with 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 HR, 0 BB and 7 K.

Braves at Rockies odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:22 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Braves -180 (bet $180 to win $100) | Rockies +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (-120) | Rockies +1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 11.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Braves at Rockies picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 7, Rockies 3

Money line

LEAN BRAVES (-180) because this is on the fringe of my price range and might opt to be greedy by using Atlanta’s ML in a parlay with another similarly priced line for a better payout. But, I want action on the Braves here since they have a significant pitching advantage.

Fried is the ace of the reigning World Series champs and has elite stuff. Four of Fried’s 5 pitches have a minus-run value (RV) and he grades in the 95th percentile in chase rate (per Statcast) and Fried’s FIP is lower than his ERA.

Kuhl is off to a nice year himself but grades in the 38th percentile or worse in chase rate, hard-hit rate and exit velocity, according to Statcast. Kuhl’s slider is one of the more effective pitches in the MLB but 4 of his other 5 pitches have a plus-RV.

Also, Atlanta’s bullpen ranks far ahead of Colorado’s in WAR (3.2-0.8), ERA (5.28-3.34), FIP (4.28-2.95), K/BB rate (3.04-1.86) and chase rate (34.2-30.2%), per FanGraphs.

Finally, Atlanta’s ML has taken heavy sharp action as the Braves opened at -161 but are all the way up to -180, according to Pregame.com.

Let’s follow the money and RISK 1 unit on the BRAVES (-180) instead of betting 1 unit.

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There might not be a good return on investment for laying it with RL favorites visiting Coors Field so the Braves -1.5 (-120) is a no-go. The Rockies are 38-24 RL as home underdogs since the beginning of last year.

Over/Under

Slight LEAN to the UNDER 11.5 (-130) there’s reverse line movement headed south of the total in the betting market and the Under has cashed in 5 of the last 7 Braves-Rockies meetings in Colorado.

According to Pregame.com, roughly 90% of the cash is on the Over 11.5 (+105) but the Under is more expensive, which suggests the oddsmakers are trying to entice more action on the Over.

That said, Coors Field is notoriously the most hitter-friendly ballpark in baseball, Atlanta’s lineup has been raking the last 2 weeks and Colorado’s lineup ranks highly in several advanced hitting metrics vs. left-handed pitching.

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Atlanta Braves at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Atlanta Braves at Colorado Rockies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Atlanta Braves (24-27) open a 4-game road series against the Colorado Rockies (23-27) Thursday. First pitch is 8:40 p.m. ET at Coors Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Braves vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

This is the first meeting between the two teams this season.

The Braves are coming off a 3-game road series against the Arizona Diamondbacks. They lost 2 of the 3 contests but picked up a 6-0 in the finale on Wednesday. They are 7-7 in their last 14 games.

The Rockies took 2 of 3 games against the Miami Marlins to start the week as they began a 7-game homestand.

Braves at Rockies projected starters

RHP Ian Anderson vs. LHP Austin Gomber

Anderson (3-3, 4.34 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 47 2/3 IP.

  • Is 3-2 with a 2.79 ERA in 5 road starts as he has had a decision in each outing away from Truist Park.
  • Has allowed 4 runs in both of his last 2 starts which have resulted in a 6.17 ERA over his last 11 2/3 innings.

Gomber (2-5, 5.51 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 through 47 1/3 IP.

  • Was rocked for 8 ER on 7 H and 3 BB in just 1 1/3 IP at the Washington Nationals Saturday in his last start.
  • Is 1-2 with a 4.13 ERA in 4 starts this season at Coors Field.

Braves at Rockies odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Braves -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Rockies +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (-103) | Rockies +1.5 (-117)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 11.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

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Braves at Rockies picks and predictions

Prediction

Rockies 6, Braves 3

Money line

The Braves are 10-13 on the road this season and lost 2 of 3 contests to the Diamondbacks in the series coming into Thursday’s game. They have lost Anderson’s last 2 road starts.

The Rockies have lost Gomber’s last 4 starts but continue to be a much better team at home than on the road. They are 16-12 at home, which ties them for the 2nd-most home wins in the National League, and 7-15 on the road.

They are 7-6 this season at home underdogs, while the Braves are 5-4 as road favorites.

Seemingly a toss-up in terms of trends, I like the potential payout for a Colorado win.

Take ROCKIES (+125).

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Run line/Against the spread

The Braves are only 4-5 ATS this season as road favorites, while Colorado is 8-5 ATS as home ‘dogs.

Anderson’s 1 career start at Coors Field lasted 3 innings and he allowed 4 runs on 5 hits and 4 walks. He did not get a decision in that game.

Take the ROCKIES +1.5 (-117).

Over/Under

Only 2 of the Braves’ last 13 games had 12 runs or more.

Eight of the Rockies’ last 12 home games have had totals of 12 or more runs.

Only 3 of Gomber’s 9 starts have had 12 or more runs, but those have come in his last 4 starts.

Only 1 of the Braves’ last 6 losses had more than 11 runs and only 1 of their last 21 wins has gone over 11 runs.

Take UNDER 11.5 (-120).

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Atlanta Braves at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Atlanta Braves at Colorado Rockies odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Atlanta Braves (71-64) close out their four-game road series with the Colorado Rockies (63-73) Sunday afternoon, hoping to salvage a split. First pitch is at 3:10 p.m. ET at Coors Field. Let’s analyze the lines around the Braves vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Braves RHP Charlie Morton (12-5, 3.52 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 through 151 IP.

  • The Braves lost his last two starts and four of his last six. While he is 12-5, the Braves are 14-13 when he gets the start.
  • He has allowed more than 3 runs only once in his last 10 starts.

Rockies RHP Ryan Feltner makes his major league debut. He went 8-3 with a 2.62 ERA in the minor leagues this year and had a 1.22 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 through 110 IP.

  • Feltner had seven starts for High-A Spokane and 13 for Double-A Hartford.
  • He had a quality start in seven of his last eight minor league starts.

Braves at Marlins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Braves -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Rockies +160 (bet $100 to win $160)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Braves -1.5 (-130) | Rockies +1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under: 11.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Prediction

Rockies 6, Braves 4

Money line (ML)

After winning nine in a row from Aug. 13-22, the Braves are struggling a bit, having lost eight of their last 11 games. After taking the opener against the Rockies 6-5, they dropped back-to-back 1-run games. The NL East leaders are 38-32 on the road this season.

The Rockies continue to be two different teams when at home or when on the road. They are 18-50 away from Coors Field but 45-23 at home. They have the second-most home wins and second-highest home winning percentage in baseball and have won 11 of their last 13 home games.

Even with Feltner making his MLB debut, take the ROCKIES (+160).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Braves are 63-72 ATS this season but 41-29 ATS on the road. They are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games.

The Rockies top all of baseball with a 45-23 ATS record at home. They covered four straight games overall and seven of their last 10. They have gone seven straight games without losing by more than one run.

I expect an outright win by Colorado, but if your confidence level isn’t as high on betting the money line, take the ROCKIES +1.5 (+105).

Over/Under (O/U)

Despite the reputation, only 43.9% of the games at Coors Field this season have gone Over the projected total. It is the seventh-lowest home Over percentage in the league.

Saturday’s game against the Rockies was the first in 14 games the Braves had a total of 12 or more runs. Only two of Morton’s last 10 starts had a total that would beat today’s projected total.

Four of the last nine games for the Rockies at home had at least 12 runs.

Take UNDER 11.5 (-112).

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Atlanta Braves at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Atlanta Braves at Colorado Rockies odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Atlanta Braves (70-62) and Colorado Rockies (61-72) commence a four-game series Thursday at Coors Field. First pitch is set for 8:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Braves vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Braves RHP Touki Toussaint (3-2, 3.60 ERA) makes his eighth start in his ninth game. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 40 IP.

  • Sports an xERA nearly a full run higher than his surface number while ranking in the bottom third percentile in average exit velocity and hard-hit rate.
  • Throws breaking balls over 75% of the time and has been tagged for an 18.9% HR/FB rate.

Rockies RHP Chi Chi Gonzalez (3-6, 6.08 ERA) makes his 17th start and his 22nd appearance. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 5.1 K/9 through 94 2/3 IP.

  • Making his fourth start and fifth appearance of the second half; allowed 14 ER over 12 IP across his previous three starts.
  • Has the fifth-highest ERA, and sixth-lowest K-BB%, of any pitcher with at least 90 IP.

Braves at Rockies odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at noon ET.

  • Money line: Braves -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Rockies +130 (bet $100 to win $130)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Braves -1.5 (-110) | Rockies +1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 12.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Prediction

Rockies 6, Braves 5

Money line (ML)

The Braves enter Thursday’s contest on a three-game losing skid after a trip to Los Angeles to play the Dodgers, and things don’t get a lot easier with a visit to Colorado. The Rockies have baseball’s second-best home record at 43-22, despite their abysmal overall record.

Having Gonzalez on the mound doesn’t inspire a lot of confidence here, but Toussaint is also pitching well beyond his abilities and a heavy breaking ball arsenal may lend itself to disaster at Coors Field if a few of them are left hanging.

If this one ends up in the hands of the bullpens sooner than later that doesn’t hurt the Rockies, either. Colorado’s relievers rank better than Atlanta’s in SIERA, xFIP and K-BB% over the second half of the season.

Consider a partial-unit play on the home side. Take the ROCKIES (+130).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Oddsmakers have been disrespecting the Rockies on their home turf all season. Colorado’s 64.6% cover rate at home is the league’s only mark above 60%, and that number jumps to 71.4% when the Rockies are home underdogs on the strength of a 25-10 ATS record.

The Braves are no slouches on the road, but given a belief the Rockies can get this done on the money line, I’m going to back them on the run line as well.

The value is great here for a team that performs well at home and if you’re not comfortable with them winning outright then getting an extra run and a half of insurance might be what you’re after.

BACK COLORADO +1.5 (-110).

Over/Under (O/U)

Generally, I’d “lean” to an Under when I see a total as high as 12.5. Coors Field has a well-deserved reputation as a great ballpark for hitters but totals are often inflated multiple runs there and it has played mostly to the Under this season.

However, this pitching matchup doesn’t appeal to me in taking an Under. I’m going to go ahead and PASS on the O/U.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @unansweredpoint on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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