Atlanta Braves odds line spread pick predictions best bets

Boston Red Sox at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Boston Red Sox at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Boston Red Sox (21-16) and Atlanta Braves (25-11) wrap up a 2-game series on Wednesday at Truist Park in Atlanta. First pitch will be at 7:20 p.m. ET as the Braves go for their 4th straight win. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 1-0

After ripping off 8 straight wins, the Red Sox have dropped their last 2 games, including Tuesday’s 9-3 loss to the Braves. They’ve been outscored 15-4 in their last 2 losses, but they still rank 3rd in MLB in batting average (.270) and runs scored (211). It’s their pitching that has failed them, ranking 26th in team ERA (4.97).

The Braves have won 6 of their last 7 games and sit 7.5 games ahead of everyone else in the NL East. Only 4 teams have scored more runs than Atlanta has (197) and the Braves’ team ERA of 3.48 ranks 6th in baseball.

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Boston Red Sox at Atlanta Braves projected starters

RHP Brayan Bello vs. LHP Max Fried

Bello (1-1, 5.71 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.73 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 17 1/3 innings.

After struggling in his 1st 2 starts of the season (8 ER in 7 1/3 innings), he has bounced back nicely with 2 solid starts
In his last 2 outings, has allowed just 3 ER in 10 IP, with 3 BB, 11 K

Fried (2-1, 2.08 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 26 innings.

Lost last start Friday vs. Baltimore Orioles: 6 IP, 8 H, 7 R (5 ER), 2 BB, 7 K in 9-4 loss
Is 1-0 with a 3.60 ERA in 1 career start vs. Red Sox

Red Sox at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:02 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Braves -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-145) | Braves -1.5 (+120)
Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Red Sox at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 6, Red Sox 3

Moneyline

The Braves are hot right now, winning 6 of their last 7 games and pulling way ahead in the NL East. The Red Sox have cooled off a bit after breaking off 8 straight wins, and now with Bello on the bump, they could drop their 3rd straight.

The Braves are only 10-8 at home this season but they’ve won 8 of their last 10 at Truist Park. BET BRAVES (-160) to win outright Wednesday.

Run line/Against the spread

Of the Braves’ last 6 wins, 4 of them have been by at least 3 runs, with 3 of those victories being by 6 runs or more. The Red Sox, on the other hand, have been outscored by 11 runs in their last 2 games and their bats have gone cold after an 8-game streak with at least 5 runs scored.

BET BRAVES -1.5 (+120) to cover the run line.

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Over/Under

The Over/Under is on the higher end, even before knowing the Braves would trot out Fried as their starter. Both of these teams have strong lineups that are pushing runs across at a high rate, but 10 is a big number.

I would LEAN UNDER 10 (-110) in this matchup.

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New York Mets at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s New York Mets at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

After dropping the first 2 games of the series, the New York Mets (76-42) took down the Atlanta Braves (72-47) Wednesday night. They will conclude the 4-game series Thursday with 1st pitch set for 7:20 p.m. ET at Truist Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Braves vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Mets lead 9-6

The Mets are 18-5 in their last 23 games and their 36-23 road record is the 2nd-best in all of baseball.

Wednesday’s loss put an end to Atlanta’s 8-game winning streak in which they had outscored their opponents 53-20.

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Mets at Braves projected starters

RHP Jacob deGrom vs. LHP Max Fried

deGrom (2-0, 1.62 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 0.42 WHIP, 0.5 BB/9 and 15.1 K/9 in 16 2/3 IP.

Beat Atlanta 5-2 on Aug. 7 whiffing 12 batters in 5 2/3 IP (2 R, 1 H, 1 BB)
Owns a 2.73 ERA and 12.1 K/9 in 9 career starts at Truist Park (formerly SunTrust Park)

Fried (10-4, 2.60 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 138 1/3 IP.

Was placed on the 7-day concussion injured list last week but has been cleared to return and confirmed for Thursday’s start
In 3 starts against the Mets this season he has a 3.18 ERA and 8.5 K/9 in 17 IP
In 13 home starts he boasts a 2.49 ERA and 8.6 K/9 with 5 HR allowed in 79 2/3 IP

Mets at Braves odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:14 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Mets -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Braves +102 (bet $100 to win $102)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+140) | Braves +1.5 (-175)
Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -135 | U: +110)

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Mets at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 4, Braves 2

Money line

deGrom missed 4 months with a shoulder injury, but looks like his usual dominant self already. He tossed 76 pitches in each of his last 2 starts and got up to 6 innings last time out, and it’s reasonable to expect him to bump the pitch count up a bit in an important game.

Both offenses will have a hard time getting anything going in this one, with 2 outstanding starting pitchers dueling it out. We’ll side with the best pitcher in the game in deGrom and take the METS -125 to prevail.

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Run line/Against the spread

This sets up to be a tight pitchers’ duel and there is a strong chance it is eventually decided by just 1 run. But there’s not much value in getting +1.5 runs on either side so it’s best to simply PASS on the run line.

Over/Under

Even with 2 strong offenses squaring off, we aren’t likely to see a lot of runs in this contest. deGrom vs Fried should be a low-scoring affair, with either hurler capable of completely shutting down the opposition. Even with the low total, UNDER 6.5 (+110) is the side to take.

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Arizona Diamondbacks at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Arizona Diamondbacks at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (45-53) open a 6-game road trip Friday night with the 1st game of a 3-game series against the Atlanta Braves (59-41) First pitch is 7:20 p.m. ET at Truist Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Diamondbacks lead 2-1

The Diamondbacks are coming off a 3-game sweep over the San Francisco Giants. They are 5-1 since the All-Star Game and have won 6 of their last 7 games overall.

The Braves lost 2 of 3 games on the road against the Philadelphia Phillies. They are 3-3 since the All-Star break. They trail the NL East-leading New York Mets by 3 games.

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Diamondbacks at Braves projected starters

LHP Madison Bumgarner vs. RHP Kyle Wright

Bumgarner (6-9, 3.71 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 in 104 1/3 IP.

Has had a decision in his last 11 starts. He has won 3 of his last 4.
In June 1 start against the Braves, he took the loss in a 6-0 defeat with 6 IP, 2 R, 7 H, 2 BB and 6 K.

Wright (12-4, 2.95 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 116 IP.

Was the starter when Braves beat Bumgarner with 6 IP, 0 R, 3 H, 5 BB and 5 K.
He’s 8-1 in his last 10 starts. The Braves have won his last 6 starts and 9 of his last 10 outings.

Diamondbacks at Braves odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:13 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Diamondbacks +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Braves -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-117) | Braves -1.5 (-103)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

Diamondbacks at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 6, Diamondbacks 3

Money line

Arizona has struggled against winning teams this season and on the road. They are 15-29 against teams over .500 and 18-26 on the road. They have lost 15 of their last 21 road games.

The Braves’ 33 home wins are the 3rd-most in all of baseball and they have feasted on lesser teams. They are 39-19 against teams .500 or below.

But PASS on the money line at -220. It isn’t worth the action unless you include a Braves win in a parlay bet.

Run line/Against the spread

The Diamondbacks are 57-41 ATS overall this season, tied for the 3rd-best ATS record. They are 26-18 ATS on the road and have covered the spread in 7 of their last 8 games.

The Braves are 51-49 ATS overall but a paltry 23-31 ATS at home. But their last 5 wins and 6 of their last 7 have been by at least 2 runs. In fact, of their last 19 wins, only 3 have been by only 1 run.

Take the BRAVES -1.5 (-103).

Over/Under

The Braves’ last 11 games have all had 9 total runs or more. Three of Wright’s last 4 outings have had 9 or more.

Only 7 of the D-backs’ last 17 games have had totals of 9 or more, but 3 of Bumgarner’s last 4 starts have had 9 or more.

Take OVER 8.5 (-130).

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New York Mets at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Mets at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (41-34) and Atlanta Braves (37-41) continue their three-game series Wednesday at Truist Park in Atlanta. Game 2’s first pitch is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Mets lead 6-3.

LHP David Peterson is on the rubber for the Mets. Peterson is 2-5 with a 4.95 ERA (63 2/3 IP, 35 ER), 1.32 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 across 14 starts.

Last outing: No-decision with 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 2 BB and 5 K vs. the Philadelphia Phillies Friday.
Peterson got a no-decision earlier this season vs. the Braves (May 19) with a stat line of 4 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 1 BB and 5 K in Atlanta’s 5-4 victory.
- vs. Braves on the current roster: 47 at-bats with a .191/.283/.319 slash line, 17/5 K/BB, 1 HR and 5 RBIs.

LHP Max Fried makes his 12th for the Braves. Fried is 4-4 with a 4.21 ERA (57 2/3 IP, 27 ER), 1.34 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 this year.

Last outing: Win, 9-1, with 7 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 2 BB and 6 K vs. the St. Louis Cardinals June 18.
Fried took a loss May 17 vs. the Mets in 6 IP with 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB and 8 K in New York’s 3-1 win.
- vs. Mets on the current roster: 114 at-bats with a .202/.287/.342 slash line, 32/11 K/BB, 2 HR and 10 RBIs.

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Mets at Braves odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:45 p.m. ET.

Money line: Mets +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Braves -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Mets +1.5 (-160) | Braves -1.5 (+135)
Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Mets 4, Braves 3

Money line (ML)

TAKE the METS (+125) for 1 unit because they have a significant edge in the pitching matchup and the presumed “sharp” side of the market is backing New York.

First of all, New York’s bullpen is head and shoulders better than Atlanta’s. The Mets relievers are fifth in xFIP, sixth in SIERA and eighth in both K-BB% and left-on-base percentage. Whereas the Braves relievers are bottom-10 in the majors for all those categories.

Also, both Peterson’s basic numbers and pitching peripherals vs. active Braves hitters are slightly more impressive than Fried’s against Mets batters, but Peterson has a 1.46 FIP against Atlanta compared to Fried’s 3.24 FIP vs. New York.

Furthermore, Peterson’s pitching performance against Atlanta earlier this season was actually very good once you look under the hood.

For instance, Peterson had his best hard-hit rate vs. the Braves of any start in 2021, the second-highest K/BB rate and a 2.29 FIP on a 5.79 ERA. Peterson’s issue in that start was his unlucky .385 BAbip, which figures to regress to the mean in this meeting.

Lastly, according to Pregame.com, nearly 60% of the money has been wagered on the Mets, but 70% of the bets placed are on the Braves. Typically it’s more profitable in sports betting to follow the money – especially when it’s flowing opposite of the public.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Mets +1.5 (-160) because New York’s run line is a little too pricy for me to bet outright, but I’d entertain incorporating it into a parlay with another similarly priced line for an even-money payout.

In addition, the Mets have a 70.0% cover rate as a road underdog (14-6 ATS) and the Braves have a 27.8% cover rate as a home favorite (10-26 ATS).

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 8.5 (+100) for a half unit as a “contrarian play” against a market that’s betting the Over at a 76% clip (according to Pregame.com).

Moreover, these starters have solid numbers vs. their respective opponents, and most of the situational trends point to a lower-scoring affair.

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