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Oakland Athletics at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Oakland Athletics at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Oakland Athletics (24-63) and the Detroit Tigers (37-47) play the middle contest of a 3-game series Wednesday at Comerica Park. First pitch is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Athletics vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Athletics lead 1-0 after winning Tuesday’s series opener 1-0 in 10 innings

The Athletics have racked up 3 wins in the past 4 games, all against AL Central opponents. Tuesday’s shutout in the series opener was just the team’s first since a 5-0 victory on the road against the Baltimore Orioles on Sept. 4, 2022. Oakland was the last MLB team to record a shutout this season.

The Tigers fell back to Earth in a big way, getting blanked at Comerica Tuesday after posting a season-high 14 runs in the interleague series finale in Denver against the Colorado Rockies on Sunday. Detroit has been shut out 7 times just since May 29, and 11 times overall this season.

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Athletics at Tigers projected starters

LHP Ken Waldichuk vs. LHP Eduardo Rodriguez

Waldichuk (1-5, 6.78 ERA) makes his 12th start and 20th appearance. He has a 1.92 WHIP, 5.6 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 66 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 1 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 2 K as an opener in a 3-2 road loss vs. the Cleveland Guardians June 20
  • 2023 road splits: 1-3, 9.17 ERA (35 1/3 IP, 36 ER – 9 HR), 27 BB, 32 K, .345 OBA in 6 starts and 4 relief appearances

Rodriguez (4-4, 2.13 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 0.98 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 through 67 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 6 K in a 6-5 home win vs. the Chicago White Sox May 28
  • 2023 home splits: 3-1, 1.65 ERA (32 2/3 IP, 6 ER – 3 HR), 7 BB, 35 K, .184 OBA in 5 starts
  • Returns after a 6-week stint on the 10-day injured list due to a finger injury

Athletics at Tigers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:24 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Athletics +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Tigers -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Athletics +1.5 (-110) | Tigers -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Athletics at Tigers picks and predictions

Prediction

Tigers 6, Athletics 2

Moneyline

The Tigers (-225) will cost you more than 2 times your potential return, and that’s quite risky on a team that has been shut out 11 times, including yesterday against the league’s worst team.

The pitching matchup is squarely in favor of the home side, as Detroit looks for the bounce back, but it is way too expensive straight up.

AVOID.

Run line/Against the spread

The TIGERS -1.5 (-110) is a much better play behind Rodriguez, who has been one of the more consistent pitchers for Detroit when healthy.

The Athletics picked up the shutout win Tuesday, but it’s likely to struggle mightily behind the southpaw Waldichuk.

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Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (-110) is the lean, as both of these teams are among the worst offenses in the majors. While Waldichuk has been very giving, Rodriguez has some decent numbers and he should be able to hold the A’s down.

The Under is 5-2 in the past 7 games for the Athletics against a left-handed starting pitcher and is 4-1 in their last 5 on the road vs. LHP.

The Under is also 5-2-1 in the past 8 meetings between these teams and has gone 3-1-1 in the previous 5 battles at Comerica.

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Oakland Athletics at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Oakland Athletics at Detroit Tigers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Oakland Athletics (72-59) visit the Detroit Tigers (62-70) Tuesday to begin a three-game series at Comerica Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Athletics vs. Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Athletics lead 4-0.

LHP Cole Irvin makes his 26th start for the A’s. He is 9-12 with a 3.68 ERA (144 1/3 IP, 59 ER), 1.25 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Loss, 5-1, with 3 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 2 BB and 0 K Aug. 24 against the Seattle Mariners.
  • Irvin beat Detroit April 17 with 6 IP, 4 H, 0 BB and 6 K in Oakland’s 7-0 home win.

LHP Tarik Skubal is Detroit’s projected starter. He is 8-11 with a 4.01 ERA (128 IP, 57 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 through 23 starts and two relief appearances.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 5 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 1 BB and 10 K in Detroit’s 3-2 loss at the St. Louis Cardinals Wednesday.
  • Skubal lost to Oakland, 8-4, April 15 with a stat line of 4 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 4 BB and 5 K.

Athletics at Tigers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:40 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Athletics -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Tigers -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Athletics -1.5 (+140) | Tigers +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: +110 | U: -135)

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Prediction

Tigers 4, Athletics 3

Money line (ML)

Slight “LEAN” to the TIGERS (-105) for a half unit because there’s “reverse line movement” (RLM) toward Detroit and Skubal has been lights out this month while Irvin has struggled.

Oakland’s money line opened at -125 but has been steamed down to -115 on the consensus number even though the A’s have 84% of the action on them, according to Pregame.com. Generally, RLM is a red flag because you have to ask yourself: “Why is the House making the more popular side cheaper?”

Also, August is by far Skubal’s best month; he is 2-1 with a 1.59 ERA (22 2/3 IP, 4 ER), 0.97 WHIP and 9.0 K/BB this month. On the other hand, August has been Irvin’s worst month of the season by ERA, WHIP and K/BB.

Detroit is also 7-5 as a home underdog against lefty starters with a plus-35.5% return on investment (ROI). However, I can only “LEAN” to the TIGERS (-105) because Oakland is 10-4 overall as a road favorite against a left-handed starter with a plus-21.1% ROI.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS even though I’d love some insurance for our Detroit money line bet because the Tigers +1.5 (-175) is a little out of my price range since the A’s have the fourth-best cover rate in the majors when on the road.

Over/Under (O/U)

TAKE the UNDER 9.5 (-135) for 1 unit because the Under cashed in 11 of Detroit’s 12 games as a home underdog when the opponent has a lefty starter with an average score of 3.6-3.3. Oakland is 5-9 O/U as a road favorite against a left-handed starter.

On top of that, these teams have a combined 17-29 O/U record when these starters take the mound and Detroit’s lineup has the sixth-worst wRC+ and wOBA and fourth-worst WAR since the All-Star break.

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